Jim Teague
Analyst · John Edwards with Credit Suisse. Please go ahead
Thanks, Mike. Opportunity knocks every day in our business. In a volatile environment like we're in today, opportunity still knocks; it's just a different opportunity than what we saw this time last year. The key is to recognize that knocking as an opportunity. Our quarter is the result of our hardworking, engaged and creative people recognizing the new opportunities that are created from volatility. Their mindset is to embrace volatility and not be victimized by it. It's very seldom that Enterprise looks backward, but I think it's worthwhile to start today with a look back at commodity prices one year ago, because I think it helps to have confidence in how our people perform through different parts of the cycle. Natural gas enjoyed a nice run this time last year, because of a brutally cold winter, so it averaged nearly $5 in the first quarter of 2014. It didn't catch that wave this winter and was down about $2 or 40% year-over-year and it continues to be weak. While we prefer higher prices, low natural gas prices aren't all bad for Enterprise. Cheaper natural gas lowers our feed stock cost for processing and gives us access to cheaper fuel in our plants and it lowers our power costs. Most of our natural gas transportation contracts have demand fees, so our transportation revenues are largely sheltered from low prices. Ethane is down $0.15 a gallon or 44% from this time last year, when it was already low. That does hurt some of our processing margins in plants where we still have some exposure and it can impact volumes and revenues in some of our NGL pipelines. However, over the last few years, we've converted our processing to fees instead of percent of proceeds, including going to fees on all of our new agreements, like those in the Eagle Ford. And we have other ways to make money in a low and volatile ethane price environment. With our access to natural gas residue pipelines, generally several at each plant and the flexibility we have for recoveries, we have significant capability for ethane rejection and re-injection. Also, some of our units can burn natural gas, ethane or even a combination, whichever is cheaper. We can and do make these types of changes daily, if that's what the market gives us. Further, with our connectivity to supplies and markets across the country and our infrastructure, we're able to participate in [indiscernible] regional price discrepancies, which during periods of high volatility are increasingly significant. Low ethane prices are caused by having too much, which is why we're now building an ethane export facility. Propane producers enjoyed a windfall last winter, again because of the cold winter. However, since then, propane prices have fallen dramatically and the U.S. is now dealing with an inventory overhang that is some 25 million barrels above average. Different than ethane, propane rejection back into the gas stream is not an option, so this low price propane still moves in our pipes and fractionators, stored in our caverns and moved through our distribution pipelines, to petrochemical markets, for example, where demand generally picks up with low prices. Export markets are more robust when the U.S. has depressed propane prices, so any spare capacity we can make available at our docks increases in value. With the rapid price downturn, markets are volatile, sometimes turned upside down, between regions, months and seasons. This kind of dislocation can add significant value to participants that have the ability to store barrels through this chaos. For natural gas, storage gives us the opportunity to buy prompt, store and then sell forward at higher prices, adding value to our assets. For ethane, we have significant ability to store ethane when it's priced below its forward values and capture the contango. As importantly, because we have the ability to move and store both ethane and natural gas, we can and do capture the orb, not just between months but also between the two commodities. These are just BTUs that we convert to their highest value, either tomorrow or even next winter, whichever is greater or both. Similarly, propane is also stored for better days, currently at record volumes, so our storage business at Mont Belvieu, Hobbs and Hattiesburg is doing very well. These capabilities are the same for butane, for natural gasoline, for petrochemicals and refined products. Finally, crude oil, which currently the whole world is focused on, our crude has seen good gains the last few weeks. It's still down greater than 40% from where it was just one year ago. So what's the upside of low crude prices for Enterprise? The obvious one is the steep contango that is currently in the curve, which adds significant value to our assets, as our customers store in order to capture the higher future value. In addition, because WTI is literally some of the cheapest crude in the world, it wants to move toward the Gulf Coast, where it can displace imports in refineries, which benefits both our pipelines and our terminals. Also, with the Enbridge Flanagan South expansion now complete, Canadian movements are very good right now, which again, is good for our Seaway pipeline and our Seaway docks and terminals. Also, our processed condensate business is growing. Again, good for our assets and we're continually adding assets [Technical Difficulty] be able to export much more of not only processed condensate but also Canadian crude. For crude, we also have all the tools and are taking advantage of blending opportunities. And finally, we're integrating the Oiltanking assets into ours, which is going very well, which allows us to offer new services to an expanded customer base. Strong storage spreads, regional dislocations, cross-commodity exchanges, product rejection and dual fuel capabilities are a few concrete examples of how we think about making money when the markets change like they have in the last six months. We're very comfortable that we can make good returns and continue to grow in this kind of the cycle. From a project perspective, we're in the middle of an open season to expand our Aegis pipeline. This open season recognizes the fact that we continue to work with new project sponsors on connections and extensions to Aegis and long term supply arrangements. We also have our new Permian NGL assets under construction in the Delaware Basin and today we announced a joint venture with OXY to develop another $150 million cryogenic processing plant in the Delaware Basin, to be in service mid-2016, adding to our presence in this basin and offering customers, through our assets, access to Mont Belvieu. We recently completed an LPG export expansion at Enterprise hydrocarbons terminal, with another larger expansion coming online by year-end. We'll nearly double our export capacity in 2015, to 16 million barrels a month. Construction on our ethane export facility at Morgan's Point and the Houston Ship Channel is underway and we look forward to a mid-2016 completion. In crude oil, our new Rancho 2 pipeline will be complete in July and with Flanagan South complete and high Cushing inventories -- inventories high, Seaway is running at the highest rate to date. We're also nearing completion of our crude oil distribution system on the Houston Ship Channel. We remain very positive about the potential for significant process condensate exports and what that means to our assets. In addition, we continue to work with potential shippers on our major oil project pipeline, from the Midland Basin to ECHO and remain confident that we'll be successful. Our PDH facility is under construction and is progressing as expected. Our petrochemical team's also working on other investments that we think will be a good fit. On refined products, we're pleased with how this business is performing and we're confident in its long term fundamentals, which are pretty simple. Demand is falling in the U.S. We have a rapidly growing supply base. Demand is growing in other parts of the world. We think the U.S. is becoming more of the substantial exporter of refined products. We're confident we're going to have significant opportunities in this area. In closing, without a doubt, 1.4 coverage in this environment should be proved that the sky isn't falling, at least not for Enterprise. Our businesses are integrated such that we find opportunities regardless of the environment. We have new projects working in every business and we're going to continue to advance the ball in this part of the cycle. This cycle proves that the U.S. has too many hydrocarbons. Enterprise continues to do our part in finding new markets for U.S. production. We've said over and over, we're not only focused on the supply side of the equation; we're also focused on the demand side. We're the leader in exporting propane. We're creating a system to deliver ethane to new and expanded ethylene plants. We're constructing a plant that will turn propane into propylene. We're building a facility to export ethane. We took the lead in getting a ruling to export processed condensate. With our partner, Enbridge, we're positioned to export Canadian crude oil through our Seaway docks. We're expanding our capability export refined products and soon we will own all or a part of deepwater docks from Corpus Christi to Beaumont. We're well positioned to support growing U.S. production and finding markets. If you think about it, every expansion in the midstream sector and the petrochemical sector, is actually a bet on the success of U.S. exploration and production. The fact is that our refining industry is now a net exporter, because of the success of U.S. exploration and production. What's ironic is that there are only two countries in the world that are living under restrictions that prevent them from freely exporting crude, Iran and the U.S. and news reports suggest that soon, there may be only one. Ultimately, we believe that could undermine the positions of those industries that are prospering because of the bets they're making on U.S. E&P. If U.S. E&P is the foundation of your success, then [indiscernible] markets will ultimately undermine your foundation. Ethylene manufacturers only have to remind themselves that 40% of U.S. NGLs come from associated gas from crude oil and condensate production. And then finally, if you're waiting for us to say something about Mike retiring, you're too early. With everything we're working on, he's got a lot on his plate between now and the end of the year. Also, given the fact that he's the best I've ever known at negotiating acquisitions and given the current environment, I hope he knows he's subject to recall. With that, I'll turn it over to Randy.