Dan Sullivan
Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Jason English with Goldman Sachs
Thank you, Rod, and good morning, everyone. As Rod discussed, we're pleased with the strong sales and profit performance this quarter, and we continue to make good progress against our strategic initiatives through the first 3 quarters of the fiscal year. These include commercial investment in a targeted way in support of brand equity building, innovation and stronger digital activation, continuing to strengthen our internal capabilities in the areas of e-commerce and brand marketing; and seamlessly executing our fuel savings program. As a reminder, our framework for sustainable value creation is to generate consistent organic top line growth to make efficiency and continuous improvement core to how we run our business and a catalyst for investing in our growth objectives to strengthen our gross margin profile with focus on both cost and revenue management and to direct our attractive free cash flow in a disciplined way to improve shareholder return. Against the backdrop that is still COVID-19 impacted in many of our markets as well as an increasingly challenging supply chain environment, our results demonstrate good progress against these objectives. Organic net sales for the quarter increased 12.5%, aided by strong category consumption as compared to last year's COVID-19 impacted quarter. Year-to-date, organic net sales have turned positive increasing 2%. Organic net sales in our right to win Sun and Skin Care segments increased 29% in the quarter with strong Sun and Grooming performance. Wet Shave organic net sales increased nearly 6% with growth in both our North American and international markets as the category begins to gain traction following the COVID disruptions of last year. These improving consumption trends combine with our focus on brand-building investment, consumer-centric innovation and improved planogram outcomes position us well moving forward. Both in the third quarter and on a year-to-date basis, we delivered 40 basis points of adjusted gross margin rate accretion versus last year despite intensifying cost headwinds in the last quarter. Our Project Fuel program continues to excel while underpinning our profit growth with gross savings to date in fiscal 2021 of approximately $52 million. And our increased focus on effectively managing price, promotion and mix is also helping to mitigate an increasingly complex cost environment. Importantly, in the quarter, we remained in investment mode, and the $82 million of A&P spend represented the highest level of investment in over 2 years and a $14 million increase over the same quarter last year. We focused our investment on digital activation and supporting new product innovation and key brand relaunches. And strong cost discipline remains central to our business model, with adjusted SG&A growth of just over 3% year-over-year when excluding the impact of the Cremo business, as we invested in enhancing organizational capabilities, most notably in e-commerce, brand market and data and analytics. Now turning to our supply chain. All of our global manufacturing plant and distribution centers remained open and fully operational despite the broader operating environment becoming increasingly challenging. From a cost perspective, rising resin prices and accelerated wage pressures have created increased near-term margin pressure. Additionally, COVID continues to affect the macro operating environment, pressuring suppliers, extended port delays and adding distribution complexity across the supply chain, all of which brings both operational challenges and added costs. Our teams remain highly focused on navigating this challenging landscape and are working collectively to mitigate the impact to our business. Now I'll turn to the detailed results for the quarter. As I mentioned, organic net sales in the quarter increased 12.5% with growth in all 3 core segments, fueled by higher consumption compared to last year's COVID-19 impacted quarter. Organic net sales in North America increased 14.7% while international markets increased 8.8%. Our e-commerce business declined by 6% in the quarter compared to very strong 77% growth a year ago, but was up over 30% on a 2-year CAGR. With reopening and increased foot traffic at retailers, not surprisingly, we saw some sales shift back to brick-and-mortar. Looking deeper at our segments. Wet Shave organic net sales increased 5.8% in the quarter, largely driven by strong performance in Women's Systems and Disposables and in both North America and international markets. Our Women's Systems business continues to be the primary catalyst for growth with organic net sales increasing nearly 12%, driven by our key brands, including Hydro Silk, Intuition and Skintimate as well as Private Label, which grew over 30% in the, cycling 40% growth last year in Q3. Disposables organic net sales increased 11%, and we gained share in the category. In the highly competitive Men's Systems business in North America, organic net sales increased by about 3%, largely driven by Private Label, while international markets lagged. In the U.S., razors and blades category consumption increased 8.8%, an improvement from the previous quarter and 52-week trend. The category growth in the quarter was seen across Men's and Women's Systems and Disposables. For the 12-week period, market share for the Schick franchise declined 40 basis points, which was consistent with our 52-week trend. Branded disposable share increased 80 basis points, driven by gains in Schick original and Silk Touch-Up. While in branded Women's Systems, near-term supply chain can negatively impacted our Intuition and Hydro Silk brands on shelf, resulting in share loss in the quarter. We've taken additional steps to improve product flow to shelf as we work through the network-wide supply chain challenges and have already seen improved availability in the current quarter. Sun and Skin Care organic sales increased over 29%, driven by strong Sun Care and Men's Grooming sales. Sun Care organic sales in North America increased about 50% in the quarter and over 3% on a 2-year CAGR. In the U.S., Sun category consumption increased 34%, a sharp improvement over last quarter and 52-week trends. Hawaiian Tropic and Banana Boat both experienced modest share declines, largely reflective of last year's strong Q3 performance, where our brands gained 140 basis points of market share. On a 2-year basis, our portfolio has gained 60 basis points of share as compared to the 2019 baseline. Importantly, the category remained strong in July with consumption increasing 14% in the 4-week period ending July 17, and our combined brands gained 50 basis points of market share. Men's Grooming organic net sales increased 17.2% in the quarter. The total Men's Grooming category in the U.S., ex razors and blades, increased 12%. Wet Ones organic net sales decreased 32% in the quarter as compared to an increase of over 50% in Q3 of last year. Category growth was 27% versus a year ago as the category lapped the lowest point of consumption during the pandemic due to constrained product availability and prior to new entrants hitting the shelves. Wet Ones consumption declined 11%, driven by declines in food, drug and club channels. Importantly, we're beginning to see signs of brand consolidation on shelf as retailers cycle through high levels of alternative brand inventory. Wet Ones consumption at mass retailers increased 13% in the quarter, and our share grew by 160 basis points in this channel. Fem Care organic net sales increased 6.1% while the U.S. category increased 12%. This quarter, market share declined 90 basis points, an improvement over last quarter and 52-week trends. Playtex Sport gained share in the quarter, reflective of new product launches and stronger retail support on the heels of the positive distribution outcomes we discussed last quarter. Now moving down the P&L. Gross margin rate on an adjusted basis increased 40 basis points compared to the prior year, despite the challenging macro cost environment, as further fuel savings, improved pricing and promotion and favorable mix offset rising commodity, labor and supply chain costs. A&P expense increased $14.4 million this quarter and was 14.3% of net sales, reflecting increased investment and focus on critical commercial efforts supporting the Schick Hydro relaunch, Stubble Eraser and Skintimate brand launches and increase in season Sun Care support. Digital spending represented over 70% of overall advertising spend in the quarter. SG&A, including amortization expense, was $97.5 million or 17% of net sales. Adjusted SG&A as a percent of sales decreased 200 basis points versus last year as sales leverage more than offset increased costs associated with the Cremo business and unfavorable FX. Adjusted operating income was $80.6 million compared to $58.1 million last year, reflecting the benefit of increased sales and gross margin, partially offset by higher A&P and SG&A costs. GAAP diluted net earnings per share were $0.74 compared to $0.09 in the third quarter of fiscal 2020. And adjusted earnings per share were $0.89 compared to $0.66 in prior year period, primarily reflecting increased operating income. Adjusted EBITDA was $101.2 million compared to $82.8 million in the prior year. Net cash from operating activities for the first 3 quarters was $155.9 million or $37 million in the corresponding period last year, driven by higher earnings. In the third quarter alone, we generated $163 million in free cash flow. Both our capital structure and liquidity position remains strong. We ended the quarter with $438 million in cash on hand and access to a $425 million credit facility. And our net debt leverage ratio at June 30 was 2.4x trailing 12-month adjusted EBITDA. That brings us to our outlook for fiscal 2021. We're raising our outlook for the fiscal full year for both adjusted EPS and adjusted EBITDA, reflective of our strong performance to date and encouraging signs of traction in certain categories, balanced against the reality of heightened inflationary and operating cost pressures across our operations. For the full fiscal year, we still expect organic net sales to increase low single digits and reported net sales to increase mid-single digits, and both are now expected to be at the higher end of their respective ranges. Adjusted EPS is now expected to the range of $2.80 to $2.90. Adjusted operating profit margin is still expected to be largely in line with 2020 levels. And adjusted EBITDA is expected in the range of $358 million to $366 million. The adjusted effective tax rate is still expected to be in the range of 23.5% to 24.5%. We're increasing our full year outlook for Project Fuel gross savings to be approximately $70 million for the fiscal year and $280 million for the full project. And as we've discussed all year, we continue to be mindful that we're operating in an environment that has greater uncertainty than normal, making flexibility and agility a key focus for our organization. Now let me provide a bit more insight into the core elements of our expected 4Q performance. Our outlook for the quarter reflects a transitory product return charge in Japan, ahead of our planned Hydro relaunch in fiscal quarter 1 2022. This charge negatively impacts both organic net sales and gross margin rate for the by 150 basis points and 70 basis points, respectively. Inclusive of this onetime charge, we anticipate mid-single-digit organic sales growth, which on a 2-year basis would deliver about a 1% CAGR. And our gross margin rate will likely down about 70 basis points in the quarter year-over-year. Excluding the impact of the onetime charge in Japan, the underlying run rate organic net sales growth in fiscal 4Q would be about 6%, and our adjusted gross margin essentially be flat versus the prior year. And finally, we anticipate operating profit margin for the quarter to be above 14%, inclusive of continued investments in our brands and organization. In closing, as Rod mentioned, we are very pleased with our Q3 results and corresponding increase in our full year outlook. Our organization remains focused on executing against our go-forward strategy that we outlined at our Investor Day last November. And while work remains, we're encouraged demonstrated progress we are making. For more information related to our fiscal 2021 outlook, I would refer you to the press release that we issued earlier this morning. And with that, I'll turn the call back over to the operator to start the Q&A session.