Dan Sullivan
Analyst · Jefferies. Please go ahead with your question
Thank you, Rod. And good morning, everyone. As Rod discussed, we were pleased to close out the year with a quarter that demonstrated a return to more stable underlying sales and gross margin performance, despite a backdrop for our core categories that continue to be impacted by the effects of COVID-19. We saw some improved category metrics in North America Wet Shave, Sun Care and personal hygiene categories in the fourth quarter. But overall, we continue to operate in a highly challenging and uncertain environment. So as I mentioned a quarter ago, we remain highly focused on managing the business with discipline, focused equally on near term efficiency, while taking the right steps to position Edgewell for sustainable growth. We've stayed laser-focused on our core priorities. First, execution. Against our commercial and operational strategies, both short and long-term. We saw the benefits this quarter, best illustrated by our successful efforts to win in the market during the extended Sun Care season in North America. And also with Wet Ones, where our agile disciplined capacity expansion provided immediate benefits. Second, strengthening the balance sheet, by ensuring a strong liquidity position with an emphasis on maximizing cash with strong financial discipline and working capital management, we were able to deliver a 16% increase in cash from operations in the quarter and a 22% increase for the year, resulting in $190 million in free cash flow generation for fiscal 2020. Third, maximizing our brand-building investments. By optimizing our media mix, increasing our digital focus and improving in market execution, while prioritizing those investments with the potential to generate the highest returns. The benefit of increased and more targeted investment levels was evident in our results across women's Shave and North America Sun Care. And fourth, executing on Project Fuel, where we delivered another quarter of meaningful gross savings and have now increased our 3 year savings target by about $40 million to $265 million to $275 million by the end of this fiscal year. We executed well against these priorities, which, coupled with sequential category performance improvement enabled us to outperform our own expectations for the quarter and significantly improve our performance versus a quarter ago. We believe this sets us up well to deliver organic net sales and adjusted EBITDA growth in fiscal 2021. Now I'll turn to the detailed results for the quarter. Organic net sales in the quarter decreased 3.5%, a substantial sequential improvement from Q3. Net sales results improved as the quarter progressed and slightly exceeded our internal expectations. This improved performance was driven by North America, with organic sales growth year-over-year of about 3%. Within North America, Wet Shave improved sequentially, down about 1% from Q4 last year, with women shave growing nearly 13%. Sun and skin care organic net sales increased over 40% in the quarter, driven by good end of season execution in Sun Care and continued accelerated Wet Ones growth. International organic net sales declined about 10% in the quarter when adjusting for the impact of last year's consumption tax load in Japan, reflecting solid sequential improvement from last quarter. International Sun Care was again significantly impacted by the ongoing effects of COVID-19 on tourist Reliant markets. Our e-commerce business, which for the year represented 7% of total company net sales, grew organically by 97% in the quarter, with strong growth in all regions and all segments, as our efforts to deploy a digitally enabled consumer platform gained traction. In our largest e-commerce channel, Amazon, sales for the full year increased by 90%, and we gained 240 basis points of market share. Looking at performance by segment. Wet Shave organic net sales decreased 5% in the quarter, largely driven by COVID-19-related category declines globally, cycling the pre-consumption tech selling in Japan and the impact from the noted distribution losses in North America, partly offset by growth in women's private label shave. In the US, the Razors and Blades category was down about 6%, a sequential improvement over last quarter's decline of 10%. The decline in the quarter was largely driven by men's systems, down 9%, with continued transitory declines in shaving incidences for men, reflective of the continued work-from-home environment. Women's systems increased just over 1%. For the 12 week period, our US market share in Razors and Blades declined 180 basis points, consistent with last quarter and 52 week performance, reflecting distribution losses at Walmart and Sam's Club, and heightened competitive pressures in the men's category. However, consumption results in the quarter do point to signs of progress in our Wet Shave business. Total share for the Schick franchise was essentially flat in the quarter despite the lost distribution in Sam's and Walmart, a significant improvement from the 52 week trend of down 130 basis points. Women's disposables grew almost 8%, with share gains of 120 basis points driven largely by skintimate and reflective of distribution gains at BJ's, increased promotional support and strong response to our new brand campaigns. In women's branded systems, where we maintained a 30% share position, we declined 7%, entirely result of distribution losses, most notably on Intuition f.a.b. Hydro Silk gained 40 basis points of share benefiting from the strong media push behind the new campaign. Importantly, Schick Women's continue to perform well on Amazon, driving 220 basis points of share gains in what is the third largest women's shave customer. And while our men's branded Shave business results remained sluggish in the quarter, excluding the distribution losses at Walmart and Sam's, Hydro share was flat for the second consecutive quarter. Lastly, Shave Preps continue to follow similar patterns of the razors and blades category, and we realized 170 basis points of share gains. As we have said, stabilizing our Wet Shave portfolio is a critical objective for the business. And while work remains, we are certainly encouraged by recent performance, especially in our women's branded and disposables categories. Looking ahead to 2021, while it's still too early to have a complete read of final outcomes, we continue to anticipate that the planogram resets at our key strategic retail partners will likely result in a mostly neutral impact versus today across our Wet Shave portfolio. There certainly will be puts and takes, but our aggregate expectation on both men's and women's is for consistent item and facing counts. Sun and Skin Care organic net sales increased nearly 9% driven by strong demand for wet ones, and 37% growth in North America Sun Care, partly offset by international, which continues to be significantly affected by COVID-19 and the resulting impact on travel to global tourist destinations. In the US, the overall Sun Care category declined about 2% in the quarter, a marked improvement from the 18% decline seen in Q3, as favorable weather was a catalyst for an extended Sun season in the US and our brands continue to perform extremely well. Banana Boat and Hawaiian Tropic gained 60 basis points of share in the quarter with stronger velocities and increased distribution. Despite a highly disrupted category, our full year results in US Sun Care were strong, and our full point of market share gains is evidence of our improved assortment, compelling innovation and impactful consumer communication. Men's grooming organic net sales decreased 3.4% in the quarter, driven by the impact of COVID-19 related category declines in the US market and Europe. Despite the challenging COVID environment, our grooming business grew almost 5% for the full fiscal year, led by 9% growth in Bulldog. Wet Ones organic net sales increased 85%, with continued strong demand for products that meet consumers' heightened hygiene and sanitation needs, with growth further enabled by our ability to increase capacity. In the quarter, the category increased by 31%, and we gained 130 basis points of market share. For the full year, we grew the business by about $40 million, capturing over 500 basis points of share gains in the category. As we enter fiscal 2021, we have essentially doubled our internal capacity versus pre-COVID levels through a combination of capital investment and extended operating hours, while also increasing third party manufacturing, all in an effort to further capitalize on this consumer led focus on personal hygiene in support of our category leading brands. Feminine Care organic net sales decreased 11% as compared to the prior year period, with half the decline attributable to the distribution losses, most notably related to general glide at Walmart. The remainder of the decline resulted from overall category softness due to COVID-19 related pantry loading in the fiscal second quarter, and the impact of increased competitive pressures. In terms of consumption, Fem care category sales declined 3.5%, and our market share declined 180 basis points. In the quarter, our focus was on activation for Carefree breeze [ph] with increased brand’s spend and feature and display activity, and we remain encouraged by the continued growth in trial and repeat rates. For the year, Fem Care organic net sales were down 3% versus a 6% organic sales decline in 2019, and we lost about a point of market share. Moving down the P&L. Gross margin rate on an organic basis increased 90 basis points year-over-year to 45.4% driven by lower trade promotional spend, higher Sun Care pricing in the US and savings from our cost reduction actions related to Project Fuel. A&P expense this quarter was 12.4% of net sales as compared to 11.3% of net sales in the prior year period. We remain committed to investing in our strategic brands and markets and deploying incremental investments in areas of expected highest return. We continue to reshape our A&P profile and in the quarter, our working dollars increased over 17%, including digital spend, which grew by 25%. Our investments were focused on the activation of the new Hydro Silk and Intuition campaigns, the new Wilkinson Sword master brand campaign in international markets and supporting the extended Sun Care season in North America. SG&A, including amortization expense was $101 million, or 20.7% of net sales. Excluding one-time costs, as well as acquisition and integration costs, SG&A increased $6.6 million versus the same period last year. This was primarily driven by increased compensation and incentive costs and higher bad debt provisions, largely related to COVID-19. GAAP diluted net earnings per share were $0.38 compared to $0.75 in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2019. And adjusted earnings per share were $0.59 compared to $0.86 in the prior year period. Now let me turn briefly to the full year. Although this was an extremely challenging year and our key categories were significantly impacted by headwinds related to COVID-19, we were encouraged by the underlying stability we drove in our topline and gross margin in fiscal 2020. The year essentially played out across three distinct time periods. Over the first 5 months ended February, organic net sales were up almost 2%, gross margin rates had improved about 60 basis points and we saw solid year-over-year gains in adjusted EBITDA, EPS and free cash flow. Of course, things changed dramatically in the months that followed and after an initial topline benefit in March due to consumer pantry loading, we saw dramatic declines across most of the categories in which we compete, leading to steep top and bottom line declines year-over-year in Q3. And then in Q4, as we saw some modest category improvement, we executed our plans extremely well, accelerating our fuel efforts, investing in our brands in a disciplined and highly effective manner and generating significant free cash flow. As such, Q4 reflected a return to a more structural, stable business despite continued uncertainty around the virus. Organic net sales for the year decreased 4.4%, including an estimated $100 million impact from COVID-19. Excluding this, we estimate that organic net sales would have been essentially flat. Gross margin rate increased 10 basis points year-over-year, reflecting the benefit of project fuel savings, favorable commodity tailwinds and lower promotional intensity, largely offset by the impact of lower volumes and unfavorable category and product mix. We generated $74 million in gross savings from Project Fuel in fiscal 2020, slightly above initial expectations, as we accelerated efforts in response to the uncertainty created by the pandemic. As we discussed last quarter, our business model is defined by strong operating cash flow generation and efficient free cash flow conversion, which we demonstrated this year despite significant top and bottom line headwinds. Net cash from operating activities for the full fiscal year was $233 million, a 22% increase year-over-year. Free cash flow was $190 million driven by improved working capital performance and lower CapEx, and we strengthened our balance sheet. During the year, we focused on solidifying our capital structure, successfully refinancing and upsizing to our $750 million 2028 notes and executing a $425 million revolving credit facility. These efforts greatly stabilized our capital profile, which now has a weighted average maturity of 5 years, and a weighted average interest cost of 5.3%. We ended the year with $365 million in cash on hand after closing the CREMO transaction and a net debt leverage ratio of 2.6 times. We have ample liquidity with our cash balance plus full access to an undrawn $425 million credit facility. So as we enter fiscal ‘21, despite the uncertainty related to COVID-19, we do so from a position of operational and financial strength. And that brings us to our outlook for fiscal 2021. Our intent has always been to reinstate a financial outlook for our business once we had greater visibility into our categories, our markets and our business. As Rod mentioned, while there remains a great deal of uncertainty about the path and duration of COVID-19, we do have better insights into many of the components that we expect will drive growth in our business in fiscal 2021. Having said that, given the macro environment and unknowns associated with the virus, we entered the year with greater uncertainty than normal. For fiscal ‘21, we anticipate low single-digit organic net sales growth, fueled by meaningful tailwinds from our Wet Ones brand as continued durable demand and increased capacity and product availability, drive further growth in that business. We also expect continued top-line headwinds as a result of COVID-19 in the first half of the year, with anticipated gradual recovery later in the fiscal year. As such, we anticipate slightly declining organic net sales in the first half of the fiscal year. And mid single digit organic net sales growth in the second half of the year, as we anniversary the impact of COVID and expect some modest recovery. Adjusted operating profit margin is expected to be largely in line with 2020 levels on a full year basis, as further fuel execution and slight commodity cost tailwinds continue to strengthen our gross margin profile, while we remain in an investment stance with respect to A&P in support of our growth outlook. However, we expect significant operating margin rate contraction in the first half of the year. On the heels of large increases in advertising spend and more modest increases in R&D and SG&A and resulting deleverage given first half sales declines. More specifically, in Q2, our planned step-up in brand investment and resulting expense deleverage reflects investments behind our new brand campaigns, timing of our new product launches and cycling abnormally low levels of A&P spend in Q2 last year. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to grow largely in line with organic sales growth on a full year basis. Quarterly interest expense is expected to be about $17.5 million. Adjusted EPS is expected to be in the range of $2.62 to $2.82 and is inclusive of approximately $0.22 of headwinds, equally attributable to last year's Infant Care divestiture, and higher interest expense associated with the 2028 notes. And we expect that approximately two thirds of our adjusted EPS will be delivered in half two of the fiscal year. Fuel gross cost savings are again expected to be strong at about $50 million to $60 million, and free cash flow conversion is expected to be approximately 100% of non-GAAP net earnings. For more information related to our fiscal 2021 outlook, I would refer you to the press release that we issued earlier this morning. In summary, we closed out a historic and unprecedented year with demonstrated progress towards stabilizing our underlying business trends. There remains work to be done, and we're encouraged by the foundational efforts and clear progress made in 2020. These efforts have set the stage for top and bottom line growth in fiscal '21 and beyond. And we look forward to sharing more about this at our investor meeting next week. And with that, I'll turn the call back over to the operator to start the Q&A session.