Sandra Sheldon
Analyst · UBS
Thank you, David, and good morning, everyone. I would like to turn to our performance in the quarter, beginning with a few headlines. Organic sales were down 70 basis points with underlying growth of 1%. Solid gains in wet shave and sun care more than offset declines in sun care. On an organic basis, volumes improved, but were more than offset by unfavorable price mix. We delivered $138 million of adjusted EBITDA and $1.17 of adjusted EPS in the quarter. Overall, these results are in line with our expectations coming into the year and we're pleased with this progress particularly in line of the volatile currency and macroeconomic environment, as well as the internal organizational and go-to-market changes we've made to create a new standalone company. Moving into details on net sales. Our net sales were $611 million in the second quarter, which is a decrease of 6% with impacts of 1.5 points from currency and 3.9 points from Venezuela and industrial, which were included in prior-year comparatives. In addition, we estimate that about $11 million of the net sales decline was due to the international go-to-market changes, including excess and transitions to distributors. Underlying sales, excluding those go-to-market impacts, were up about 1 point with international sales up 4.5%, primarily in Asia and Latin America with North America sales down just under 1 point. On a global basis, organic net sales grew in our two largest segments, wet shave and sun and skin care with declines in both feminine care and skin care. I'll come back to drivers at the segment level in a few minutes. Gross margin was 50.9%, a decrease of 40 basis points, which was primarily due to unfavorable currency translation in the quarter. Costs mix was favorable, driven by improved commodity and material costs and restructuring savings, which more than offset continued unfavorable transactional currency impacts. Roughly offsetting the favorable costs mix was unfavorable price mix, driven by higher commercial spending. A&P expense was $85 million in the quarter or about 14% of net sales, up from the previous year, which was 12% of net sales. Much of the increase this quarter was related to the rollout of our new Hydro 5 razors, as we continued to support innovation in our brand. SG&A, including amortization of intangibles, was 16% of sales. When we adjust last year's SG&A for the costs associated with supporting the household products business that were not eligible to be reported in discontinued operations, SG&A as a percent of sales was up about 40 basis points due in part to expected synergies. We continue to work on focused areas of cost reduction to overcome these impacts as the year progresses. Second quarter adjusted EBITDA was $138 million versus the second quarter 2015 normalized EBITDA of $162 million. The primary drivers of the decrease were $14 million of lower operating profit, due to higher A&P spends and lower gross margins, as well as $5 million unfavorable impact from currency and $6 million to the inclusion of Venezuela operations and the industrial blade business in the prior year. The year-to-date effective tax rate was 26.4%, as compared to a negative rate of 35% in the prior year. The negative tax rate in the prior year was a result of incurring tax expense on a net loss, driven by the $79 million Venezuela deconsolidation charge that had no accompanying tax benefit. Excluding the impact of the separation, restructuring and Venezuela deconsolidation charge, the adjusted 2016 year-to-date effective tax rate was 28.1%, 40 basis points higher than the prior-year rate of 27.7%. Now, turning to a few other items. Average working capital as a percent of sales was 15.5% in the second quarter versus 17.5% at the end of fiscal 2015. The 100 basis point improvement through the first half was primarily driven by days payable outstanding. Working capital continues to reflect a higher level of inventory in feminine care. So they should return to normal level, as we complete the transition out of our Montreal plant. Net cash used by operating activities were $72.6 million for the first half of fiscal 2016. During the second quarter, we made a discretionary contribution of $100 million to one of our international pension plans, which negatively impacted operating cash flow for the current period. We don't plan to make additional discretionary contribution to our pension plans for the remainder of fiscal '16. As I mentioned last quarter, due to the seasonality of our business and the timing of our fiscal yearend, operating cash is expected to be primarily generated in the last half of the fiscal year. For the full year, we expect to generate positive operating cash flow and made our full year objective of approximately 100% free cash flow conversion. As you saw in our 8-K filed earlier today, we announced an expansion of our available debt capacity by $235 million. This increase helps provide additional liquidity to allow us further flexibility to make optimal capital allocation decision. This increase also helped improve our credit quality from a rating agency perspective to improve liquidity metrics. We believe our leverage levels are manageable due to our margin structure and ability to generate free cash flow, which will accelerate over the next two quarters. Now, let's move on to segment results. Wet shave organic net sales increased 40 basis point in the second quarter with underlying growth of 2.7%, excluding an estimated $9 million of international go-to-market changes. Our market share was up globally as well as in the U.S., where we have grown share for four consecutive quarters. These positive results reflect the benefits of taking a full portfolio of product to the wet shave category. Key drivers of underlying net sales growth in the quarter were men's systems, which were driven by the global next generation Hydro launch and distribution gains in North America, with much of the North America growth being reflected in non-measured channels. Net sales growth also came from international wet shave, where in addition to growth in men's with our underlying growth in women systems, disposables and shave preps, really strong performance international, which now represents about half of total global wet shave net sales. We had good growth in our non-measured channels, including ecommerce, club stores and private label. None of these important channels are reflected in measured category metrics. Partially offsetting that growth were declines in North American women's system as we lapped distribution gains and product launches from a year-ago, as well as lower sales in disposables due to increased promotional spend. Shave prep organic net sales declined in the quarter, but on a year-to-date basis are up nearly 6%. Organic segment profit declined $13.2 million, as volume growth and favorable cost mix were more than offset by increased investments in A&P, promotional spend and R&D. Turning to the category. As measured by syndicated services we employ, the global manual shave category was down nearly 2% in the latest 12-week data, and we delivered modest share gains of 60 basis points. As measured by Neilson, the U.S. manual shave category was down 5% in the latest 12-week data, with declines in men's and women's systems and disposables. Men's manual shave was down nearly 6%. However, when factoring in non-measured channels, we believe the U.S. men's category was flat-to-up about 1%. Versus a year ago, our U.S. market share was up 130 basis points in manual share with gains in men's and women's system and disposables. We also helped sharing the shave prep category, where the overall category was down about 3%. Note that our U.S. corporate brand share results continue to be impacted by a transition of our opening price point value branded product offering in a major retailer to a private label product line. Sun and skin care organic net sales increased $4.9 million or 3.8%. Growth was largely driven by sun care in North America, where we had distribution gains and some pull-forward volume into the second quarter from the third quarter versus the prior year. Skin care sales declined in the quarter, but at a much lower rate than the previous quarter. Organic segment profit improved $2.8 million or 7.5%, driven by higher sales volumes and modestly better cost mix. Within the U.S. category, consumption was down 9% in the latest 12-week data to the cooler and wetter weather in key early season regions. These amount to Q2 accounts for only 12% of category consumption. Feminine care organic net sales decreased $9.3 million or 9.2%. Decline was driven by the following. Sport Pads and Liners volume was down as we anniversaried the prior year Q2 launch and invested in promotional support this year, as our promotional support behind the new product didn't start until Q3 last year. Stayfree volume was down, partially offset by favorable price mix, driven by continued base line decline distribution losses and lower promotional activity. The feminine care category grew approximately 1% versus a year ago with our share down slightly. Now, I'd like to turn to our outlook for the full fiscal year. As David mentioned upfront, operationally, we are in track with our key initiatives. And our financial outlook remains in line with our previous outlook with the exception of currency and tax rate assumptions. We continue to closely monitor macroeconomic challenges in currency, as we have seen quite a bit of movement in currency already in the first half of the year. For the full fiscal year 2016, organic net sales are expected to be flat, and will be negatively impacted by go-to-market changes through the end of the third quarter. For the full year, the go-to-market changes are estimated to impact topline by approximately 1.5%. Therefore, underlying sales growth, excluding these go-to-market changes is expected to increase by low single-digits. Unfavorable foreign currency impact on net sales is now expected to be in the range of $25 million to $35 million for the full fiscal year versus the prior outlook of $50 million to $60 million. Reported net sales are now expected to decrease by 2% to 4%. Our adjusted EBITDA outlook is still projected to be in the range of $440 million to $460 million for fiscal 2016, including $10 to $15 million of negative currency impact for the full fiscal year versus the prior outlook of $20 million to $25 million. Adjusted EPS is now projected to be in the range of $3.30 to $3.50 including $10 million to $15 million of negative currency impact, and reflects updated tax rate assumptions versus the prior outlook. Our adjusted tax rate is now expected to be in the range of 29% to 31%. This reflects the change in our previous outlook based on the lower rate year-to-date, which is due to the favorable mix of foreign versus U.S. earnings. Finally, restructuring related costs are expected to be $40 million to $45 million for fiscal 2016. We expect incremental savings of approximately $15 million in fiscal '16 and an additional $40 million to $50 million in fiscal '17 and '18 combined. Let me spend a few minutes discussing this initiative in the larger context of our business model. This restructuring project is just one element of the long-term strategy to continually drive efficiency and productivity in our business. That strategy began prior to the spin continues now and is an integral part of our business model and financial algorithm going forward. For a little bit of history, the first significant cost savings project began in fiscal 2013, and while much of the scope for that first challenging activity is related to the Household Products divisions, there were also initiates dedicated to personal care and general corporate savings. Those actions included: consolidation of general and administrative functional support across the organization, reduced our head spending; and a creation of a similar procurement function that resulted in significant materials cost savings. The first regular project delivered savings of approximately $85 million and a project cost of $40 million. The next round of initiatives announced in January 2014 and continuing today is focused primarily on our manufacturing footprint including the move fem care operations from Montreal to Dover. Similar footprint changes are happening within razors and blades in North America and Europe, as well as incremental operations improvement projects in commercial saving. Project costs to date from these activities are roughly $85 million with project to date savings of $35 million. The savings from these larger initiatives will add cost and will be achieved largely in 2017 and 2018. In total, for these combined restructuring initiatives, we expect total cost a $125 million to $155 million to generate a $170 million to $180 million of savings through project completion in 2018. In addition to those larger restructuring projects over the past year, we have had a number of actions underway to help overcome the added expense from the spin-off. These are less visible as they're design to help offset incremental cost, but they are no less complex, and impactful. Let me give you a flavor of some of those projects. We've outsourced non-core transactional activities, such as accounting, IT, payroll and some customer service. We have centralized back office functions, impacting accounting and customer service. And we completely revamped our go-to-market footprint impacting international area and market overheads across all functions. These actions have helped offset incremental expenses from the spin-off about to $30 million on an annualized basis. There has been tremendous amount of work done over the past several years generating significant, sustainable savings for the organization. That skill and discipline is now part of our management system. We have designed a disciplined approach to cost takeout primarily in COGS, in procurement, and we're in the final stages of implementing an approach to indirect procurement, marketing and overhead spend, ongoing productivity actions to help drive out the expense in a systematic way. In addition, we are implementing new trade-spin optimization tools later this year to further drive efficiency in our trade investment. We are just starting our planning for 2017, but as we get closer to next year, we will layout the next sort of initiatives that will help drive the productivity and efficiency embedded in our business model. I will now turn the call back over to David for a few additional comments.