Robert Arzbaecher
Analyst · UBS
Thanks, Andy. I wanted to provide an overview of our latest acquisition, Weasler Engineering. We completed this acquisition on June 2, so we're early into the integration. Weasler is a market leader in the highly engineered drive shaft used in a number of markets, most notably agriculture. We like a lot about this deal including the long-term growth prospects of agriculture and food, the highly engineered nature of the product, their leading position in the North American market, a 40% aftermarket sales mix and a strong management team. I'd like to spend a few minutes explaining what the products in the end markets for you. Weasler provides the critical power transmission connection between the tractor and the implements. Rather than a tractor or combine build rate, the key driver here is productivity and uptime. Once the farmer's out harvesting or bailing, he can't afford interruptions. There are various types of implements that do a lot of different tasks. The obvious customers that come to mind, companies like Deere, CNH and AGCO. But just as important from a revenue standpoint for Weasler are OEMs like Coon, Vermeer, Toro, Ditch Witch and many others. Weasler has a very said diversified customer base. These drive shafts are exposed to harsh environments and get beat up with use, which generate significant replacements, spare and repair sales for Weasler, accounting for about 40% of total revenue. A number of channels are used to serve this aftermarket, whether it's the OE service and dealer networks, retail, specialty distributors or repair shops. As we look at the acquisition integration of Weasler with Actuant, the focus is on leveraging the product technology and market leadership Weasler had demonstrated in North America to grow in Europe and then also around the globe. The European market is approximately 2x the size of North America, primarily due to smaller farms. Weasler currently supports Europe OEMs and aftermarket through a sales and engineering office in the Netherlands and a low-cost country manufacturing facility in Hungary. With Weasler, Actuant currently serves the agriculture market with a number of different products, including Maxima on the instrumentation and gauges, hydraulic systems from Power-Packer and flexible shafts from Elliott. With Weasler, the agriculture vertical market in Engineered Solution now accounts for about $100 million in revenue and provides some diversity away from the other 2 large verticals we have, heavy duty truck and convertible top. Given the increasing middle class of emerging markets that is adopting a more protein-rich diet, as well as the expanding population globally and the resulting increase in demand for food, the need for increased productivity in farms is critical. We believe that the ag market that Weasler serves will experience above-average growth for the long term. Now switching gears. During the course of the last 90 days, we've received many questions regarding solar. It candidly has generated far more questions than the 4% of total revenues it represents for Actuant. We discussed on last quarter's earnings call the headwind in the solar PV market, including reductions in feed-in tariffs in certain countries and inventory build at solar distributors. Frankly, we didn't see a lot of improvement in this in the third quarter, although quoting activity and distributor sentiment did improve in the last 30 days. While clearly disappointing from a short-term market dynamics, we remain confident in the growth prospects for solar over the long term. Solar remains the closest renewable energy source to parity, and recent actions such as Germany's plans to close down its nuclear plants is another example of why diversity in our energy focus is a prudent strategy. Also, we still believe that the solar inverters in the 50-kilowatt and below range for residential and light commercial application is the right place for Mastervolt to be from a product line standpoint. While currently navigating these headwinds in the solar market, momentum in the other markets that Actuant serves are offsetting the impact. Our diversified portfolio is doing well, as you can see on this slide. We have maintained strong double-digit growth, even though it has come up against tougher year-over-year comparisons. Our profit margins continue to improve, the function of higher volume, restructuring savings and favorable mix. Earnings and EPS have grown in excess of 50% on a trailing basis during the past year. And as we look ahead to the next year or so, we're very encouraged by the highest margin segment, Industrial and Energy, which have historically made up 2/3 of our profits. These segments are performing well, and it bodes well for continued EPS performance in 2012. Now let's move to guidance. With our strong third quarter results and the acquisition of Weasler, we've increased our full year 2011 sales guidance to $1.43 billion to $1.44 billion. Weasler will be EPS neutral in the fourth quarter due to one-time transaction costs and purchase accounting. However, we've raised our full year EPS guidance to $1.60 to $1.65 to take into account the current business momentum elsewhere. For 2012, we're endorsing preliminary sales guidance of $1.6 billion to $1.65 billion, roughly 15% higher than the current year. We are expecting core growth of 5% to 8%, moderating from the double-digit level we are now enjoying due to tougher comparables. The carryover from Mastervolt and Weasler acquisition should add about $100 million or 7% to that total growth. Our EPS guidance for 2012 is $1.80 to $2 a share. This represents an increase of about 15% over our 2011 guidance. Driving this is incremental profit from sales growth and margin expansion from volume, cost controls and favorable mix. Free cash flow guidance for 2012 is $155 million to $165 million, another year of free cash flow conversion in excess of 100%. As you can see on this slide, there are other assumptions in next year's guidance such as margin, tax rates, shares outstanding, et cetera. In summary, over the past decade, Actuant has generated a strong track record of sales, earnings and cash flow, driven by consistently following our ROIC-driven business model, including reinvestment of the cash flow in both organic and acquisition growth opportunities. Most of our financial metrics should hit new highs in 2012, thanks to some of the acquisitions over the past years, including Cortland, Mastervolt and Weasler. Our base businesses are generally not at the prior peaks, other than for cash flow and margins. We expect a number of our companies to hit new revenue highs in 2012. And if we can achieve near the upper end of the earnings target for 2012, we'll create a new EPS high as well. Actuant's employees are focused on delivering another strong year in 2012 and look forward to the opportunities and the challenges of the upcoming year. That's it for my prepared remarks, operator, and I want to open it up, the phone lines, for question-and-answer session.