Earnings Labs

Enova International, Inc. (ENVA)

Q2 2015 Earnings Call· Wed, Aug 5, 2015

$168.52

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Welcome to the Enova International Second Quarter Earnings Conference Call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions] Please note this call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Monica Gould, Investor Relations for Enova. Please go ahead

Monica Gould

Analyst

Thank you, operator. Good afternoon everyone and thank you for joining us. Enova released results for the second quarter fiscal 2015 ended June 30, 2015 this morning. If you would like a copy of the release, you can access it on the IR section of our website at ir.enova.com. With me on today's call are David Fisher, Chief Executive Officer and Robert Clifton, Chief Financial Officer. This call is being webcast and will be archived on the Investor Relations section of our website. Before David begins, I'd like to remind you that the information we are about to discuss today may include forward-looking statements as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements are based on current expectations that are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from expectations. Factors that could cause these results to differ materially are set forth in today's press release and on Form 10-K filed with the SEC on March 20, 2015. Any forward-looking statements should be considered in light of these factors. Any forward-looking statements that we make on this call are based on assumptions as of today and we undertake no obligation to update these statements as a result of new information or future events. Additionally, this presentation contains GAAP measures and certain non-GAAP or adjusted financial measures as defined by the SEC. Per SEC requirements you’ll find additional disclosures regarding non-GAAP measures, including reconciliations of these measures with U.S GAAP in our press release issued today. As noted in our earnings release, we have posed supplemental financial information on the IR portion of our website at ir.enova.com. And with that, I'd like to turn the call over to David.

David Fisher

Analyst · JMP. Please go ahead

Thanks, Monica, and good afternoon everyone. And thanks for joining our call today. I am going to start-off by giving a brief overview of the quarter, along with an update on our new business initiatives, before turning the call over to Rob to discuss our financial results in more detail. Overall, we are happy with the trajectory Enova is on, while our financial results for the quarter were a bit muted, we remain a very profitable company with numerous growth prospects, driven by the combination of strong execution of our existing businesses, as well as impressive progress of our new initiatives. For the second quarter, revenue of $146.3 million was slightly below our guidance, driven by a slower than anticipated recovery in our UK business, as well as currency headwind. However, despite the lower revenue, strong loan performance and controlled marketing spend resulting as leading our profitability guidance for the adjusted EBITDA of $41.1 million. These results demonstrates the resiliency of our business model, built on sophisticated advanced analytics and the flexibility of our proprietary lending platform. While improvement in the UK business was a little slower than we expected, we are very encouraged by the momentum we are seeing there. UK loan originations increased almost 20% sequentially in the second quarter and we believe that reduced competition, our strong regulatory compliance and our diligence in developing a solid relationship with the FCA all position us well for continued success there. Beyond UK, our diversification strategy and recent product introductions continued to exceed our expectations and look to be meaningful contributors to our future growth. The clearest example of this is NetCredit, our near-prime installment product in the US, which continues to grow at a very strong case. NetCredits revenue and loan balances for the quarter are both up over…

Rob Clifton

Analyst · JMP. Please go ahead

Thank you, David, and good afternoon everyone. I will first review our financial and operating performance for Q2 and then provide our outlook for the third quarter and updated full guidance for 2015. Our second quarter results demonstrate the flexibility of our low fixed cost online business model and the success of prior investments in our platform. Adjusted EBITDA was inline with our guidance even through revenue came in slightly below our expectations. This level of profitability was driven continued strong gross profit margins, primarily due to stricter underwriting standards in the UK and lower operating expenses. Total revenue of $146.3 million in the second quarter declined from $201.5 million in the second quarter of last year. Domestic revenue which accounted for 78% of total revenue in the quarter rose 4% on a year-over-year basis to $113.4 million, driven primarily by the continued growth in our installment products which increased 40% over the prior year period. This strong performance was led by continued momentum in our NetCredit, near prime installment offering. For our CashNetUSA products lower combined loan balances at the beginning of the quarter and a delayed seasonal up-tick in demand moderated the domestic revenue year-over-year growth rate. Our rollout of CashNetUSAs installment loan product into two additional states and line of credit product into one additional state will contribute to a faster rate of revenue growth in the second half of the year. International revenue declined 65% on a year-over-year basis and accounted for 22% of our total revenue in the second quarter. The decline is primarily due to the changes in the regulatory environment in the United Kingdom that occurred after March 31 of last year. On our first quarter 2015 earnings release call, we stated our belief that UK loan origination levels in the first quarter…

David Fisher

Analyst · JMP. Please go ahead

Thanks, Rob. And again thanks to everyone for joining us this morning watching the prepared remarks. We'll now open the call for any questions you may have.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The first question is from David Scharf of JMP. Please go ahead.

David Scharf

Analyst · JMP. Please go ahead

Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. Dave, maybe we'll start with the UK, in some of the revisions to the outlook. First, can you talk about just the process and the level of involvement the FCA still has, not in terms of kind of oversight and enforcement. But are they still refining and providing feedback to you on ultimately what they are determination of ability to repay is, do you find yourself having to maybe still cut back further on the approval rates or is the slower outlook in the second half in terms of recovery more a function of demand?

David Fisher

Analyst · JMP. Please go ahead

Yes. I think the kind of core the ability you repay framework is largely in place. We haven’t gotten many significant comments from them there. Lately we did just wrap up our 166 review which we previously announced. And the last couple of phases of that went very well with a not a lot of significant comments from the reviewer. The comments that we do tend to hear from the FCA tend to be more around the fringes [ph] now, kind of some detail in the weeks are for on collections or for variances that kind of stuff. So I think the delay in the recovery was a little bit, are continuing to work to make sure our product was rock solid from a regulatory standpoint, so not wanted to step on the gas too fast over there. And then a little bit I think was just kind of seasonal, kind of little bit slower recovery to - in demand. But we did see a pick up in the second quarter as we announced that at the time, volume was up 20% during the quarter. We have seen a nice start to the third quarter as well. So we feel really good about our position there, both competitive, regulatory we're seeing the demand now which is kind of quarter or so slower pick up than we anticipated.

David Scharf

Analyst · JMP. Please go ahead

Okay. So to maybe paraphrase, this is more just sort of a delay in the pace of the recovery there, as opposed to any fall off in demand or any pressures on yield?

David Fisher

Analyst · JMP. Please go ahead

Yes. I think that’s right. We have not seen any major changes in kind of our – kind of the approval rates, the underwriting standards. Demand looks good in the UK right now, it looks very strong. And so again, kind of just a little bit slower ramping up as we are focused on regulatory compliance. But now we're feeling very good about our position there.

David Scharf

Analyst · JMP. Please go ahead

Okay. But it looks like you closed the quarter I mean, with balances in the UK not that far below Q1 levels. I mean, is it fair to say we should see revenue on an absolute - on a gross level, gross dollar level assuming constant currency sequentially improve a bit in the third quarter from the $32.8 million for international?

Rob Clifton

Analyst · JMP. Please go ahead

So David, keep in mind we did have when you factor out the line of credit continuing to line down, that dropped about $13 million in the quarter. So if you take that out, we did have and did see growth in the short term loan portfolio in the line of credit there in the UK. So that’s a positive and David commented, demand is up, that’s going to be a positive, I think the key is just how strong will that be because we're comping against last year, which had a lot of legacy loans in the portfolio that were originated before the changes, the regulatory changes. And so we're confident – the comp is rather tuff, but I do think that will build on revenue from here. But it looks more to be a 2016 story where we'll see the recovery really give us benefit.

David Scharf

Analyst · JMP. Please go ahead

Got it. And just to help us understand kind of the components of the top line shifts. In lowering the range by roughly $100 million to $130 million, I mean how much of that is the lower balances at CashNet here in the US versus the delayed recovery of the UK? You know, it looks like the international only had $80 million of total revenue in the first half and you still have the LOC running out. Is actually a maturity of the downward revenue guide related to CashNet?

Rob Clifton

Analyst · JMP. Please go ahead

I would say it is – its not – the majority is not related to CashNet. I think we were a little soft on CashNet revenue, but that was more due to the delayed recovery from the tax income tax season. So I think our prior guidance really was anticipating a much stronger recovery in the back half of the year for the UK and then also it was subject to the timing of ramping the new initiatives. So Q2 and Q3 are about building asset levels, and so just based on the current trends that’s the primary driver of why we took guidance down on revenue.

David Scharf

Analyst · JMP. Please go ahead

Got it. And then maybe just one more on another topic and I get back into queue. Could you expand a little on kind of where you are on this bank partnership sort of enter, I mean, are there a number of banks that are already signed up and maybe if you can give us a little sort of context on kind of the expected terms of those types of loans and ultimately your plans for funding levels?

Rob Clifton

Analyst · JMP. Please go ahead

Yes. So we're very fair down the path with several banks and expect to launch that program in late Q3 or early Q4. The product is the net credit kind of sub 36% installment loan product, kind of larger loans, longer terms, kind of looking at $5,000 to $10,000 loans, three to five year terms. I think funding levels are going to be meaningful, basically a large program we've seen how fast NetCredit has grown with just handful of states, couple handful of states they are in today. This expands their footprint pretty dramatically. And so we see as this ramps, you know, able to take several quarters for this program to ramp up. But as that ramps over the next several quarters we see meaningful origination volumes coming from this channel.

David Scharf

Analyst · JMP. Please go ahead

Got it. Thank you very much.

Rob Clifton

Analyst · JMP. Please go ahead

Yes.

Operator

Operator

The next question is from Henry Coffey of Sterne Agee. Please go ahead.

Henry Coffey

Analyst · Sterne Agee. Please go ahead

Good morning, everyone. Thank you for taking my questions. Just focusing on the UK a little bit, the revenue in the March quarter was international revenue was about what $47 million and then it declined. I just want to make sure I have the right numbers still about $33 million?

Rob Clifton

Analyst · Sterne Agee. Please go ahead

That’s correct, Henry.

Henry Coffey

Analyst · Sterne Agee. Please go ahead

And then the – and this is something I know you talked about in the March quarter, that you would see – because that you are giving little longer term, lower yielding as in this [ph] product, you would see the up tick in our originations than the up tick in revenue?

Rob Clifton

Analyst · Sterne Agee. Please go ahead

Yes.

Henry Coffey

Analyst · Sterne Agee. Please go ahead

So the 20% sequential growth is an origination number, and that all originations or just in the new products?

Rob Clifton

Analyst · Sterne Agee. Please go ahead

That’s all UK originations.

Henry Coffey

Analyst · Sterne Agee. Please go ahead

Okay. And then - so then moving forward, we should start to see a positive build in that $33 million figure based on - just then on the product lays out and how does your earnings start to come in, et cetera?

Rob Clifton

Analyst · Sterne Agee. Please go ahead

Exactly, yes, but do remember we did get a contribution from the UK line of credit in that $33 million. That we'll have to replace with - will be in the short term for installment revenue.

Henry Coffey

Analyst · Sterne Agee. Please go ahead

I know you put that stuff in that product mix stuff in the Q, can you give us a sense of what percentage of the UK revenue was the line of credit product?

Rob Clifton

Analyst · Sterne Agee. Please go ahead

It was approximately, I will give you the dollar amount, it’s approximately $6.6 million of the international revenue was from the discontinued UK line of credit product.

Henry Coffey

Analyst · Sterne Agee. Please go ahead

Now the whole flipside what you're doing in the US with this near prime product, looking forward as you're going to be working with banks, obviously in many cases the banks will want to hold the credit, we've seen that all with lending club. But to the extent that they want you to hold the credit, is this the kind of product that can have its own line of credit or ultimately be a item that you can securitize or how do you think about funding the growth of those longer term assets over time?

Rob Clifton

Analyst · Sterne Agee. Please go ahead

Yes. these are profitable assets that we could keep on our balance sheet, but there also we think not numerous channels for alternate funding sources if we desire. I think the securitization market today is wide open. We've seen that from other players in the space, public competitors like On Deck, to many private securitizations that you can see happening, today like from Opertune [ph] and others. There is also lots of home loan sale purchases going on for large hedge funds across the country. So there is a very rich market today for the high yielding assets. So we feel very good about the ability to kind of manage that growing portfolio.

Henry Coffey

Analyst · Sterne Agee. Please go ahead

And then finally, can you give us a sense of license you processed out, as you're fairly deep into it in the UK?

Rob Clifton

Analyst · Sterne Agee. Please go ahead

So we are six months in from when we filed our application. We believe our application is largely complete, which is a great position to be in the UK. The FCA is actively engaged in reviewing our application now. We believe we don’t have an exact timeline on completion. But we expect it to be done within the next six months.

Henry Coffey

Analyst · Sterne Agee. Please go ahead

Great. Thank you very much.

Rob Clifton

Analyst · Sterne Agee. Please go ahead

Yes.

Operator

Operator

The next question is from Mike Taiano of Burke & Quick. Please go ahead.

Mike Taiano

Analyst · Burke & Quick. Please go ahead

Great, thanks. Good morning. I guess just had a question on the US business, trying to reconcile sort of the difference in sort of the growth rates between loan balances and revenue. I know there is a lag factor, but I think you had north of 40% loan balance growth, but the revenue was only 4%. So can you maybe help me understand, is that just the function of mix, what are the primary drivers there. I know you talked about the CashNet balance is being down, but was that sort of the primary factor?

Rob Clifton

Analyst · Burke & Quick. Please go ahead

I think there is two primary factors running on there. One is the increase originations of longer term installment loans with larger balances, so that’s a big factor there. So a lot of it is mix. And then some of it is that lag, and so as the installment loans come on, you'll see kind of that gross profit increase over time, as that business becomes more profitable we get more interesting customers and more history with those portfolios.

Mike Taiano

Analyst · Burke & Quick. Please go ahead

Got it.

David Fisher

Analyst · Burke & Quick. Please go ahead

Mike, we also that increase in loan balances occur later in the quarter than it did a year ago.

Mike Taiano

Analyst · Burke & Quick. Please go ahead

Okay. So over time thought you would expect loan growth and revenue growth to more or less converge if those start to kind of season and catch up, is that fair?

Rob Clifton

Analyst · Burke & Quick. Please go ahead

As mix, if mix becomes more stable, and what we expect the near prime long-term installment book is significantly outpaced. The shorter term products, a long time to come. So you'll continue to see a little bit of that based largely on mix.

Mike Taiano

Analyst · Burke & Quick. Please go ahead

Got it. And is that – and when you say mix, is that more you're talking about the NetCredit product?

Rob Clifton

Analyst · Burke & Quick. Please go ahead

That’s exactly right. but even in the CNU loan book our installment loan product, the line of credit products were – its where a lot of the growth is coming from.

Mike Taiano

Analyst · Burke & Quick. Please go ahead

Got it. And so – and just kind of follow up on the NetCredit and sort of your initiative there with the banks. I am just trying to understand to the economics work there. And it sounds like there is – there would be some option in terms of who ultimately owns the loan or balance sheet for loans. But do you have effective ways the way you would you see it work, is that if you don’t end up balancing the one, you just basically get an origination fee, is that how it would work?

Rob Clifton

Analyst · Burke & Quick. Please go ahead

That is how it works. I think the economics for us a very good in either scenario. If we're just basically a processor obviously we get a paid a fee for leveraging what's largely a fixed cost platform. We have no capital commitment to that and so that’s a great price to be. To the extent we do end up buying a lot – a portion of these loans which is we expect that we'll buy a meaningful portion of these loans. The economics on these loans look larger like the economics on the rest of the NetCredit loan portfolio which are very good today, it’s a profitable loan portfolio. And so we're really happy with either outcome under this program. That’s the way we're structured.

Mike Taiano

Analyst · Burke & Quick. Please go ahead

Got it. And then I think you said that you invested $20 million this year in the four initiatives that you've spoken about. Does that run completely through the expense line?

Rob Clifton

Analyst · Burke & Quick. Please go ahead

Yes. the $20 million in the expense line, that doesn’t account investments in the loan book on the balance sheet. So that’s $20 million of it – of expense and that’s for the total year, that’s not so far this year. That’s our estimate for the total year. And again that we're able to certainly through significant amount of money, but we're still able to operate it very profitable business despite those investments. And as we've seen in the past while there was a launch in the UK back in the late 2000, 2010 or more recently a launch in NetCredit we feel very good about out ability to convert those investments into profits down the road.

Mike Taiano

Analyst · Burke & Quick. Please go ahead

Great. And then just last question on the UK business, you had talked about how much revenue you got from the line of credit product this quarter are the balances effectively close to zero at this point and just curios as to what you're successes rate has been in getting those line of credit customers to take on other products?

Rob Clifton

Analyst · Burke & Quick. Please go ahead

So we are down to approximately US$4 million on the line of credit in the UK, from a retention standpoint we're certainly converting some of those if they want a short term loan or an installment loan. Hopefully that pace will increase as those customers pay off that balance. So in that $4 million we still have a lot of customers with fairly small balances and once they pay it off then they are eligible if they would like - if they have a need we could serve them.

Mike Taiano

Analyst · Burke & Quick. Please go ahead

Thanks.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The next question comes from Jeff Menapace with R.W. Pressprich. Please go ahead.

Jeff Menapace

Analyst · R.W. Pressprich. Please go ahead

Good morning, guys. Just a point of clarification, on you Brazil and China pilots, are you lending directly there or using third parties to start?

Rob Clifton

Analyst · R.W. Pressprich. Please go ahead

We are lending directly in both of those countries with our capital. In Brazil, we do have a funding partner similar to our CSO model here in the United States, but effectively we're doing all the underwriting and we're using all of our capital at the end of the day. In Brazil there is no funding partner. We are linking up directly with the banks and doing a directly.

Jeff Menapace

Analyst · R.W. Pressprich. Please go ahead

And that’s your expectation…

David Fisher

Analyst · R.W. Pressprich. Please go ahead

And that we're sharing funding…

Rob Clifton

Analyst · R.W. Pressprich. Please go ahead

In China, I am sorry, China the only difference we do have joint venture partner in China that we're 50-50 joint venture partners under funding. But that funding is all direct.

Jeff Menapace

Analyst · R.W. Pressprich. Please go ahead

Okay. And then you just mentioned the line of credit balance to UK is down at the $4 million when – how fast do you expect that to roll off?

Rob Clifton

Analyst · R.W. Pressprich. Please go ahead

It will essentially - will be gone by the end of the third quarter. We may have a little bit roll over. But it would essentially go in each quarter as we pass it, it’s less and less of a contributor.

Jeff Menapace

Analyst · R.W. Pressprich. Please go ahead

Right. And then just any thoughts on the delayed recovery from taxes and you mentioned in the US and I guess the UK as well?

Rob Clifton

Analyst · R.W. Pressprich. Please go ahead

Yes. The UK is not so much driven by the income tax refund season. But we – Q2 is quarter we typically see there is demand that come, kicks back in. We saw that occur this year about month later than last year, so that definitely had an impact. But as David commented, we're definitely seeing stronger demand at the end of Q2 and that’s continued so far into Q3. So that’s a positive.

Jeff Menapace

Analyst · R.W. Pressprich. Please go ahead

Okay. Any idea why it got off to a slow start this year?

Rob Clifton

Analyst · R.W. Pressprich. Please go ahead

That’s hard to say, I mean, maybe the economy for our customers is better, maybe their income tax refund lasted longer. But we're certainly in the typical seasonal demand right now.

Jeff Menapace

Analyst · R.W. Pressprich. Please go ahead

Okay. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

And next we have a follow up from David Scharf of JMP. Please go ahead.

David Scharf

Analyst · JMP. Please go ahead

Thank you. Yes, just a couple of questions on some of the US products. On installment, any sense for how many of your new customers or new borrowers are actually being converted from the single pay product, is there much overlap or are we seeing most of the traditional payday borrower’s kind of threat?

David Fisher

Analyst · JMP. Please go ahead

So there is not a ton of overlap. There is only a few states where we are able to offer them on top each other. We have not offered multiple products in multiple states, but most current state enabling regulation does not allow us to do that. The two big exceptions for that are Texas and Ohio where we have new installment products this year. I think its still too early to tell, ask us that question again next quarter and I think we'll have a much clear picture.

David Scharf

Analyst · JMP. Please go ahead

Got it. Got it. And then lastly, on NetCredit, obviously you've got the bank partnership, its – you're fastest growing line in the US. It’s obviously a fairly competitive area, you've got other online competitors, you've got store based installment lenders in that sub 36% range. Can you talk about how we should think about sort of customer acquisition cost going forward I mean, are there any kind of scale benefits here or is it just trying to understand ultimately, not only on risk adjusted basis, but on a post customer acquisition cost basis, how are we to think about the profitability of this line versus some of your products?

David Fisher

Analyst · JMP. Please go ahead

Yes. So let me start with that kind of the end more fast, right now we're seeing and our forecast shows EBITDA margins for this product in line with light of our other products. So we do think it can be long-term a very profitable product for us. In terms of the competitive environment, most of the competition today is from the legacy brick and mortar guys. And as we've shown with the short term products consumers greatly prefer the convenience and efficiency and that speed, privacy and security of the online products. And that’s where we think the big benefit is. There is not a kind of competition in the online space. Most of the – if you think about lending [indiscernible] their products, it tends to be prime, credit cards in the bank are very fine. So there is – there are few competitors, but not a ton, internally not many at all, only a couple of scale in the online space. And so that’s given us kind of nice open space to go in and be able to drive some meaningful volume. In terms of scale, that’s where the bank partnership really come in. There is a huge difference between being able to advertise in a couple handful of the states and advertise internationally, both in terms of TV wise and where there is tremendous efficiency to be able to – view national wise. But also in PPC and other channels you can get much good, you can get much, much more efficient by doing national purchases, as opposed to trying to do state-by-state and regional wise.

David Scharf

Analyst · JMP. Please go ahead

Okay. And to the extent that these consumers are mostly coming from the walk in you know, store based lenders. Can you remind us kind of what the average loan size is for NetCredit just trying to kind of compare it to what we see out of the Springleaf [ph] for example?

David Fisher

Analyst · JMP. Please go ahead

Yes. It’s kind of around the $4,000 to $5,000 range today and we see that growing. We continue to find abilities to push loan sizes which customers love. But yes, around $4,000 to $5,000 today. Again its 3 to 5 year installment loan.

David Scharf

Analyst · JMP. Please go ahead

Got it. Thanks very much, Dave

David Fisher

Analyst · JMP. Please go ahead

Yes.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] There no further questions at this time. This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Mr. Fisher for closing remarks.

David Fisher

Analyst · JMP. Please go ahead

Thanks again everyone for joining us this morning, getting up right early. We appreciate it. We thank you for your time and your questions. And we look forward to talking to you again next quarter.

Operator

Operator

The conference is now concluded. Thank you for attending today’s presentation. You may now disconnect.