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The Ensign Group, Inc. (ENSG)

Q4 2017 Earnings Call· Fri, Feb 9, 2018

$188.11

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Ensign Group’s Fourth Quarter Fiscal Year 2017 Conference Call. At this time all, participants are in listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session and instructions will be given at that time. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference may be recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Chad Keetch, Executive Vice President. Sir, you may begin.

Chad Keetch

Analyst

Thank you, Ashley. Welcome everyone and thank you for joining us today. We filed our earnings press release yesterday. This announcement is available on the Investor Relations section of our website at www.ensigngroup.net. A replay of this call will also be available on our website until 5:00 p.m. on Friday, March 2, 2018. We want to remind any listeners that may be listening to a replay of this call that all statements made are as of today February 9, 2018, and these statements have not been nor will be updated subsequent to today’s call. Also any forward-looking statements made today are based on management’s current expectations, assumptions and beliefs about our business and the environment in which we operate. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to materially differ from those expressed or implied on today’s call. Listeners should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements and are encouraged to review our SEC filings for a more complete discussion of factors that could impact our results. Except as required by federal securities laws, Ensign and its affiliates do not undertake to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements where changes arise as a result of new information, future events, changing circumstances or for any other reason. In addition, The Ensign Group, Inc. is a holding company with no direct operating assets, employees or revenues. Certain of our wholly-owned independent subsidiaries, collectively referred to as the Service Center, provide accounting, payroll, human resources, information technology, legal, risk management and other services to other operating subsidiaries through contractual relationships with such subsidiaries. In addition, our wholly-owned captive insurance company, which we refer to as the captive, provides certain claims-made coverage to our operating subsidiaries for general and professional liability as well as for workers’ compensation insurance. The words Ensign, company, we, our and us refer to the Ensign Group Inc. and its consolidated subsidiaries. All our operating subsidiaries, the Service Center and our captive are operated by separate, wholly-owned independent companies that have their own management, employees and assets. References herein to the consolidated company and its assets and activities, as well as the use of terms we, us, our and similar terms used today, are not meant to imply, nor should it be construed as meaning that The Ensign Group Inc. has direct operating assets, employees or revenue or that any of the subsidiaries are operated by The Ensign Group. Also, we supplement our GAAP reporting with non-GAAP metrics. When viewed together with our GAAP results, we believe that these measures can provide a more complete understanding of our business, but they should not be relied upon to the exclusion of GAAP reports. A GAAP to non-GAAP reconciliation is available in yesterday’s press release and is available on our Form 10-Q. And with that, I’ll turn the call over to Christopher Christensen, our President and CEO. Christopher?

Christopher Christensen

Analyst

Thanks, Chad, and good morning, everyone. We're proud to report that we achieved the highest adjusted earnings per share in our history. The momentum we experienced in the third quarter continued into the fourth quarter and we’ve just started scratching the surface of the significant organic growth potential within our portfolio. As those who have been following us know, we're coming off some of our largest acquisition years. Over the last several quarters our talented local leaders have been tirelessly integrating 116 skilled nursing and assisted living operations into the organization. In our 17-year history we've established a track record of both top and bottom line organic growth. It often takes several years to truly transition a healthcare operation as the clinical reputational culture transitions take time to transform. We still have pockets of weakness in some of the transitioning operations, but we've made great progress in the vast majority of them including in Texas. Of course some transitions are quicker than others, but over the period of 18 years and 232 acquisitions, this pathway to progress has been proven over and over again. We're very excited to see this multiyear process beginning to bear fruit in spite of some challenging circumstances. Over the next several years as the wave of baby boomers arrives and networks continue to narrow, we're positioned to capitalize on the enormous organic growth potential. During the quarter we experienced a dramatic improvement in our transitional and skilled services segment income of 40.2% over the prior year quarter. We also experienced positive trends in occupancy with an increase of 289 basis points in our transitional operations and 109 basis points in our same-store operations, both over the prior year quarter. Our GAAP earnings per share for the quarter was $0.21 per diluted share and adjusted earnings…

Chad Keetch

Analyst

Thank you, Christopher. During the quarter we paid a quarterly cash dividend of $0.045 per share representing an increase of 5.9% over the prior year. This is the fifteenth consecutive year we have increased our dividend which we hope shows our continued confidence in our operating model and our ability to return long-term value to shareholders. We have been a dividend paying company since 2002 and have increased our dividend every year since. Also during the quarter and since the company's subsidiaries made the following acquisitions. On October 19, 2017 we opened Pointe Meadows Health and Rehabilitation, a newly constructed 99-bed skilled nursing facility located in Lehigh, Utah. This one also happens be the last outstanding new build commitment for the time being. On November 1, 2017 Cornerstone acquired the assets of Excell Home Care and Hospice and Excell Private Care Services in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. And on February 1, 2018 Bridgestone acquired the real estate and operations of Cedar Hills Senior Living a 37-unit assisted living facility in Cedar Hill, Texas and Deer Creek Senior Living a 37- unit assisted living facility in DeSoto, Texas. These additions bring our growing portfolio to 181 skilled nursing operations, 21 of which also include assisted living operations, 51 assisted and independent living operations, 22 hospice agencies, 20 Home Help agencies and four Home Care businesses across 15 states. On December 27, 2017 we completed a 112 million portfolio financing with low fixed-rate loans amortized over 30 to 35-year terms and secured by mortgages on 17 of our 65 owned properties. These new long term fixed-rate borrowings represent an important piece of our capital structure providing us liquidity on a portion of our own real estate during a period of historically low interest rates. In addition to paying down previously drawn amounts on…

Christopher Christensen

Analyst

Thanks Chad. Before Suzanne runs through the numbers, we'd like to share a few examples that represent some of the vast improvements that have been made over the quarter. Osborn Health & Rehab located in Scottsdale, Arizona has seen remarkable growth under the leadership of CEO, Karl Cooper and Director of Nursing Mary [indiscernible]. Osborne is a great location across the street from a major hospital but they literally sure properly in line with two direct competitors making it a highly contested market. Even in this highly competitive environment, Osborne has proven to be the facility of choice growing census and boosting Medicare days by over 24% for the quarter. In coordination with their local hospitals and physician partners, they've developed specialized services to meet targeted patient needs. They also boast lower length of stay and very hospital readmission rate which is remarkable given the complex patients they serve. As a result they have leveraged these outcomes to become the trusted partner to their ACL partners and physician groups, all while achieving outstanding survey outcomes. Because of the demand for their services, Osborne has boosted to their EBIT performance by more than 100% over the prior year. Bridgestone Healthcare our assisted and independent living company has been a critical part of our success in the quarter. Over the past three years Bridgestone has grown from 24 operations to 75 as of today. As an example of their operational success on the social living front we've seen some impressive performance from the team at Desert Springs Senior Living in Las Vegas, Nevada. CEO Simona [ph] and Wellness Director Erica Tindall have taken on an already high performing operation and made it even better during the year. Desert Springs has a long tenured staff, some of the most consistent regulatory outcomes and…

Suzanne Snapper

Analyst

Thank you, Christopher and good morning everyone. Detailed financials for the year are contained in our 10-K and press release filed yesterday. Highlights for the quarter included, GAAP earnings was $0.21 per diluted share. Adjusted earnings per share was up 33% over the prior year quarter to a record $0.40. GAAP net income was $11.2 million adjusted net income was $21.1 million an increase of 35% over the prior year quarter. Transitional skilled occupancy was 74.7% an increase of 289 basis points over the prior quarter and same-store occupancy was 78.7% an increase of 109 basis points over the prior year quarter. Skilled segment income was $39.9 million an increase of 40% over the prior year quarter and an increase of 8% sequentially over the third quarter. Assisted and Independent Living segment income was up 66% to $4.3 million and Home Health & Hospice segment income was up 27.7% to $5.8 million. Other key metrics include cash and cash equivalents of $42.3 million at December 31st and $100 million of availability on our revolving line of credit. We expect our lease adjusted net-debt-EBITDAR ratio which was 4.2 times at quarter end did decrease in 2018 as the EBITDA from transitioning and newly acquired operations continue to grow. We also wanted to address some of the weak [ph] items that impacted our 2017 GAAP results, including class action settlement, the impact of the natural disasters and the adoption of the new tax laws. Each of these events are unusual and are not expected to occur in the near future. We also anticipate the results related to some of our constructed operations will no longer be included in our adjustments. As a result we expect that the elimination of these items will significantly reduce the number of non-GAAP adjustments in 2018. As Christopher mentioned, we are updating our guidance for 2018. We are projecting revenues at $2 billion to $2.06 billion and adjusted earnings of $1.88 to a $1.87 per diluted share. The 2018 guidance is based on diluted weighted average common shares outstanding of approximately $54.3 million. The exclusion of transaction related cost and amortization costs related to patient base intangibles, exclusion of losses associated with startup operations which are not yet stabilized. The inclusion of anticipated Medicare and Medicaid reimbursement rate increases net of provider tax, a tax rate of approximately 25%, the exclusion of stock based compensation, and the inclusion of acquisitions closed or anticipated to be closed in the first half of 2018. Additionally, other factors contributing to our asymmetrical quarters include variation in reimbursement systems, delays and changes in state budgets, seasonality in occupancy and skilled mix, the influence of the general economy and our business staffing, the short term impact of our acquisition activity, variation in insurance accruals and other factors. And with that, I'll turn the call back over to Christopher. Christopher?

Christopher Christensen

Analyst

Thanks, Suzanne. Just to clarify something. I think, I said we had $100 million of availability on our revolving line of credit. We have $170 million of available on our revolving line of credit, I just wanted to clarify that from my part. We want to again thank you for joining us today and express our appreciation to our shareholders for their confidence and support. We're very appreciative we have colleagues in the field and the service center for making us better every day and for the improvement that we are making currently in our current organization. I guess I'll turn the time over to Ashley to conduct the Q&A portion of our call and Ashley if you would instruct I guess everyone on the call how to proceed.

Operator

Operator

Of course. [Operator Instructions] And our first question comes from Chad Vanacore of Stifel. Your line is open.

Chad Vanacore

Analyst

Hi, good morning all.

Suzanne Snapper

Analyst

Good morning.

Christopher Christensen

Analyst

Good morning Chad.

Chad Vanacore

Analyst

All right, so just thinking about occupancy in the quarter, it was relatively strong while the industry has been struggling. So what drove that occupancy improvement at Ensign versus the rest of the industry?

Christopher Christensen

Analyst

I think part of it, because you saw it was in same-store and in the other buckets, but part of it was because we saw great strength in some of the transitioning facilities that were starting to get healthy, but on the same store front, I think it's kind of what we've been talking about for a while that sort of was more delayed that I sort of sheepishly kept referring to Chad, we finally saw the strength in Texas. We finally saw some strengthening in Utah. We finally saw some strengthening in some of those markets where there had been some delay in some of the narrowing of networks. They probably had the biggest influence on that and that we feel like that's going to continue into the distant future.

Chad Vanacore

Analyst

All right, so Christopher you've mentioned a couple times the strengthening in the Texas portfolio and what's really driving that improvement there? Is it operating expense improvement, payer mix, better occupancy, some combination of them?

Christopher Christensen

Analyst

Yes, I mean I think it's all of it. You're probably tired of hearing this too Chad and we really took a little bit of a step backwards when we took that acquisition on and we weren't strong enough in Texas to be taking on an acquisition like that, slowly last year our same-store stuff got much, much healthier and as they got much healthier, they were able to help in a much bigger way with the transition that the healthier transition of the Legend portfolio. And so all of that and I mean to be candid we did take a step backwards first in Texas before we started taking leaps forward and those leaps are more pronounced now, partially because we took a step backwards.

Chad Vanacore

Analyst

So it's fair to say that situation looks like it's stabilized now?

Christopher Christensen

Analyst

It's much. much better. Look, there's always room for improvement. We - there's plenty of opportunity for growth still in Texas and we expect - we actually expect the growth in ‘18 in Texas to be much bigger than it was from ’16 to ’17 but because most of the impact happened late third quarter and early fourth quarter. So we're really excited about the track that Texas is on, it's a good question though and I'm glad you noticed that.

Chad Vanacore

Analyst

Well, then just thinking about revenues were stronger and then that looks to be occupancy and mix, but that margin profile still little weaker than historical average, so what's driving that and what kind of assumptions are you making in 2018?

Christopher Christensen

Analyst

You’re talking about EBIT margins?

Chad Vanacore

Analyst

EBIT, EBITDA, all the way down excluding taxes.

Suzanne Snapper

Analyst

Chad, I mean if you’re looking for the year, I mean as you've heard us talk about the health care, I mean obviously plagued us the entire year, so if you're looking at the overall year amount I would say that that's an accurate statement, we continue to be having that higher amount coming into through Q4 and like we projected and like we brought down guidance. But as we continue to look at what ‘18 is going to be, we think that will be in good shape on the margin and overall it's kind of exactly where we thought it would be and very consistent and a little bit down, a little bit up from where 2000, Q3 was.

Christopher Christensen

Analyst

Yes, so the margin is actually strengthening, but Chad you are right, if you compare all of ‘16 to all of ’17 it did decline a little bit, but if you look at the momentum and what we see in the fourth quarter as compared to prior quarters, we feel like those margins are getting stronger, but yes it was - I don't think we hit it at all. We did have some struggles in early ’17.

Chad Vanacore

Analyst

So, when do you think about 2018, do we get back to those 2016 margins, do you want to hazard a guess on that?

Christopher Christensen

Analyst

I hate hazarding a guess, but I do feel like the momentum is there and whether it happens, I think we should run past ‘16’s margins, I just don't know, I don't know if it will happen in ’18 or ’19, but the momentum is there and I'd be surprised if our margins didn't strengthen throughout the year.

Chad Vanacore

Analyst

All right. And then just one last one from me, I know it’s average Medicaid rate per day was elevated in the quarter, is there some year-end bonuses in there and where do you think the average of Medicaid rates for 2018 shake out?

Suzanne Snapper

Analyst

Yes, I mean I think what – you'll continue to see us participate in the supplemental programs, so we had our first full quarter of the Texas [clip] [ph] program and so I think that that elevated rate is a consistent rate that we expect to continue in 2018.

Chad Vanacore

Analyst

So, just to clarify that that fourth quarter Medicaid average rate you think would be average for 2018 something there or better?

Christopher Christensen

Analyst

Yes.

Chad Vanacore

Analyst

Okay, that’s it from me, thanks.

Christopher Christensen

Analyst

Thank you, Chad.

Operator

Operator

And our next question comes from Frank Morgan of RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Frank Morgan

Analyst

Good, I guess good morning here. How - I have to think about there for a second. Could you talk a little bit, you made some comments in your prepared remarks about the likelihood of some M&A activity in the first part of the year. Could you share with us maybe your thoughts on sort of the level that you're thinking about for the year and what you're talking about here today is that represents a larger part of what you may be thinking about for the year? That will be my first question.

Christopher Christensen

Analyst

It’s a good question and I think you know better than anybody does that it depends on a lot of things. We are probably not going to see us participating in a lot of those big deals. Chad mentioned in his remarks that we just don't think the pricing is right, right now, but we do have some - we see some off market stuff that looks very intriguing to us and yes, it's hard for us to tell you exactly what that volume will be, but we do expect some volume, but not crazy volumes. Chad what?

Chad Keetch

Analyst

Yes, I would agree with that, I mean I think you the onesie-twosies and the smaller deals are definitely there and like I said we have a handful of those that we can see in the short run that we're going to do. We expect that to kind of continue on a steady basis throughout the year. As far as more than that, I think we're just - we don't have artificial growth goals and we don't set targets that we're trying to achieve at the outset. We're just very opportunistic about it and when we think the opportunity is right and we have the leadership in place we’ll be ready. And I think that's our focus, Frank is we're just wanting to be prepared for what we think will be an attractive acquisition market in the near future.

Frank Morgan

Analyst

Got it. And I suppose, I think Suzanne referenced leverage coming down in your press release came down, do you have any kind of targets of where you want to see that optimal leverage particularly in a year where it sounds like you're not going to do anything big?

Christopher Christensen

Analyst

Well, again Frank as the deals come forward and they come out of nowhere off and we don't want to say we won't, we will do that, but you're right, if none of the right deals come forward, we expect that number to go down in the three to three and a half times and that's where we ought to be. But if some additional deals that make sense to us are attractive, then that number might stay above that for a little while. But that’s kind of where - I mean our ideal number is probably between three and three and a half times.

Frank Morgan

Analyst

Got it. And then maybe one more kind of high level, you referenced the value in the SaaS or some of your other assets and your other ancillary assets. I guess what would it take for you to seriously consider doing something one of those, maybe as a spinoff or I mean obviously there's a lot of interest back payers with Humana buying Kindred at Home [ph] in a JV. So given the kind of the appetite and acknowledgement with our payers and the value of some of those other businesses, I guess what are you looking for?

Christopher Christensen

Analyst

Well, I'm not ever allowed to say that we'd never do something, but I think that there is ample reason if the market doesn't give us credit for what's happening there in a growing part of our portfolio, then it may make sense for us, both functionally and on behalf of our shareholders to do something else. Selling them off is not or anything that we would be interested in. But creating a separate entity that functions alongside us, but where people can see in detail, what's happening with our Home Health and Hospice and Assisted Living that are both functioning very, very well. That’s something that we certainly have the obligation to look at and constantly consider.

Frank Morgan

Analyst

Got you.

Chad Keetch

Analyst

Yes, Frank I would just add. We have added more disclosure as well with our different business segments and so we're hoping to kind of shine more of a light on those businesses as well through that disclosure.

Frank Morgan

Analyst

Got it. Maybe one more technical question, I'll get back in the queue, but just looking at the transitioning portfolio, certainly the occupancy as you pointed out is improved nicely, but it looks like the skilled days, the percentage of skilled days in the skill revenue is kind of going down year-over kind of trended down, really since I guess you had that big pop going from the fourth quarter of ’16 to the first quarter of ’17 where the size of that transitioning portfolio went up to I guess $40 billion. So can you remind me what happened with those $40 million and why that seems to be kind of trending where skill mix is lower? Thanks.

Suzanne Snapper

Analyst

Yes, so one of the things there is you're looking at a percentage Frank and so, what it does is it skews. We have a significantly higher growth and our Medicaid days or non skilled days, you actually have that percentage, look a little skewed. So we did have just a really significant growth in our Medicaid days making the percentage go down.

Chad Keetch

Analyst

So in other words, the days still went up, but because the Medicaid days went up alongside it, because remember how many empty beds we have in our total portfolio of 116 that we've taken just in the last couple of years that are - that have a lower occupancy than our standard occupancy. So as those fill up even if we increase our skilled days, you're still diluting them in that part of the portfolio.

Frank Morgan

Analyst

Okay, got you. All right, thank you very much.

Chad Keetch

Analyst

Thank you, Frank.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Dana Hambly of Stephens. Your line is open.

Dana Hambly

Analyst

Thanks to followup on Frank's questions on the ancillary services, how integral is Home Health and Assisted Living to your core skilled nursing operations and if you did something would you be able to do that without a lot of disruption to existing operations?

Christopher Christensen

Analyst

Yes, I think there - just because of the way we function as an organization there probably wouldn't be a whole lot of functional change. They help us a lot, we help them a lot. But they are very independent. They have their own service center. They provide almost all of their own resources, except for some legal and accounting stuff, but other than that they are very independent. But I should state in their behalf and the behalf of the whole organization, there's an interdependency. I mean, we on the skilled side there are a lot of pushing and pulling of Home Health and Hospice and vice versa. So, but I don't think that if we did something like that that would change at all Dana. I think we would – it wouldn't be like the other transaction we did where we were mandated to be very, very separate and then not sit on each other's boards or things like that, it would be, and there'll still be a lot of interdependence.

Dana Hambly

Analyst

Okay, all right helpful. And then on the Medicaid pricing environment, you know states are going through their budgeting processes right now, are there any states that particularly concern you on the Medicaid pricing right now, future Medicaids?

Christopher Christensen

Analyst

In skilled nursing you're talking about?

Dana Hambly

Analyst

Correct, yes.

Christopher Christensen

Analyst

Yes, no nothing that is concerning.

Dana Hambly

Analyst

Okay and then on Medicare, I guess the potential big changes to the reimbursement in Medicare I don't think it's probably this year, but maybe next year, anything that particularly concerns you there with potential changes?

Christopher Christensen

Analyst

No, not that it's really just things that we've seen proposed are not things that we aren't already addressing or can't address quickly and even for next year. So we did see the increase reduce slightly in the latest proposal, but - if you know it's still healthy, about 2.4%, 2.5%. So that's what we've been accustomed to. In fact we've been accustomed to less than that a few years, so it's it not something that any of it's concerning.

Dana Hambly

Analyst

Okay, then lastly Suzanne, do you have a targeted CapEx number for the year and within that are there any special projects that need to be done and system overhauls or implementation that could cause disruption?

Suzanne Snapper

Analyst

No, our targeted is about $60 million. We don't have any system overhauls or other things that could cause disruption plan for the current year.

Dana Hambly

Analyst

Great, thanks very much.

Christopher Christensen

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And I'm showing no further questions in queue at this time. I will now like to turn the call back to Christopher Christensen for closing remarks.

Christopher Christensen

Analyst

Thanks, Ashley. And thanks for everyone for giving us your time this morning. We'll look forward to talking you again next quarter.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for participating in today's conference. This does conclude the program and you may all disconnect. Everyone have a great day.