John Drabik
Analyst · Bill Chappell from Truist Securities. Go ahead, please
Thanks, Mark, and good morning, everyone. I will provide a more detailed summary of the quarter, an update on project momentum, and some additional color on our expectations for the fourth quarter and full year. For the quarter, net sales were up 30 basis points with an organic increase of 1.2%. Improved battery category trends, distribution gains, and warmer weather driving the North America refrigerant business contributed to organic volume growth of 4.6%, offset by planned strategic pricing and promotional investments of 3.4%, primarily within battery and lights. For the last two quarters, we have invested a little over 300 basis points of pricing and promotional investments back into the battery business. We believe these investments have been very successful and continue to drive healthy volume growth in the category. In addition, the current levels of total pricing and promotion are largely in line with historical averages for the category, and we expect this to remain relatively consistent in the quarters ahead, including in the coming holiday season. Adjusted gross margin increased 270 basis points to 41.5%, driven by project momentum savings of approximately $14 million, as well as lower input costs, including improved commodities and material pricing and lower ocean freight. These benefits were partially offset by the planned strategic pricing and promotional investments. As Mark mentioned earlier, we have made significant progress over the last two years restoring our gross margin, which has been a key contributor to our ability to generate cash and invest for future growth. We anticipate gross margins will continue to be a positive tailwind for us in Q4, as well as heading into next year due to additional momentum savings, slightly mixed but overall positive raw material cost trends, and reasonably stable freight costs. Adjusted SG&A increased $5.1 million, primarily driven by an increase in labor and benefit costs, higher travel expense, and increased depreciation expense related to our digital transformation initiatives, partially offset by project momentum savings. A&P as a percentage of sales was 5.4%, flat versus the prior year, and consistent with our focus on investing behind our brands and business. Interest expense decreased $3.7 million due to lower average debt outstanding, reflecting the benefits of continued debt reduction. Our strong operational performances in both battery and auto care, driven by improving top-line performance, significant margin recovery, and momentum savings, resulted in adjusted EBITDA and adjusted earnings per share of $149.7 million and $0.79 per share. This represents a 46% increase in adjusted earnings year-over-year, well ahead of the outlook we provided last quarter. Throughout the first nine months of fiscal '24, we have generated $195 million of free cash flow, or 9.4% of net sales. Our strong free cash flow generation has enabled us to pay down $150 million of debt during the first three quarters, already hitting the low end of the full year range that we provided at the beginning of the year. Our debt capital structure remains in great shape, and our focus on debt repayment continues to drive significant benefits. Our current weighted average cost of debt is 4.5% and 96% fixed, with no meaningful maturities until December 2027. As noted in our press release this morning, we recorded a one-time non-cash $111 million impairment charge on certain intangible assets associated with the acquisition of Spectrum's battery business. We continue to view these acquired assets as vital components of our portfolio, and this non-cash accounting charge does not have an impact on our strategic plans for these brands or our broader battery business. Lastly, I would like to provide some additional color for our fourth quarter and full year expectations. In Q4, we expect volumes to continue to be a positive driver of performance, although partially offset by pricing and promotional activity. We also experienced significant heat-related activity, which shifted some refrigerant sales out of the fourth quarter and into the third. When we combine our plan with a generally defensive posture on the consumer, we expect organic net sales to be roughly flat. We anticipate gross margin in the quarter to improve by roughly 150 basis points year-over-year, and higher SG&A in the quarter, as we make strategic investments in digital transformation and growth initiatives. We expect adjusted earnings per share to be in the range of $1.10 and $1.20. For the full fiscal year, we expect organic revenue to be down roughly 2%. We expect adjusted gross margin improvement of over 150 basis points, an increase from our prior call of over 100 basis points, primarily driven by incremental project momentum savings and improved input costs. We expect the over delivery and gross margin to drive us to the high end of our original guided adjusted EBITDA and EPS ranges, to $610 million to $620 million and $3.20 to $3.30 per share, respectively. As Mark noted in his earlier comments, project momentum continues to be a driver of significant efficiencies and benefits for our organization. Due to continued progress across the program, we now expect to achieve savings of between $180 million and $200 million, up $20 million from our previous guide. And finally, our expectations for strong full-year cash generation will enable us to pay down debt at the high end of our originally guided range, expected to be between $175 million to $200 million for the year. With that, I will turn it over to Mark for closing remarks.