Ward M. Klein
Analyst · Bill Chappell, SunTrust
Thank you, Dan, and good morning, everyone. Before we discuss the quarter results, let me first cover what we are as a company. At the onset of the restructuring last fiscal year, we focused on 2/3 of our overall global corporate footprint, including almost all of the Household business, with the goal of reducing our costs and increasing our competitiveness in a declining category. We have been pleased with the level of engagement from our organization and the results of those efforts. We feel that the renewed focus on the core business and reinvestment in our brands will yield tangible results for the business in the future. We are now in the process of expanding this restructuring program across the remainder of the Personal Care division, particularly in line with the recent weak category trends we have been seeing. The goal of the program is to simplify our processes and organization, to improve our marketplace agility and to enable reinvestment back into the business. We believe the increased investment in innovation, brand equity and critical capability development will benefit our consumers and customers and provide the opportunity to resume the growth of our portfolio. Now turning to the quarter. As Dan stated, first quarter adjusted earnings per share results were in line with our expectations. However, there were certain trends that we believe will persist in the first half of our fiscal year, which led to our decision to adjust our full year earnings outlook. I will get into the details of our updated estimates a little bit later. First, I'd like to discuss segment performance. As Dan already alluded to, Personal Care organic sales were down 6% versus a year ago. This is below our expectations as we originally assumed that the North American Personal Care categories in which we compete would stabilize after a turbulent year of heavy promotions. However, this is not the case. This is evident in the latest 12-week U.S. category results. Men's razors and blades system category volumes were down nearly 16%, and category value was down almost 11%. Women's system category was down nearly 3% in volume and 2% in value. The disposable category was down nearly 3% in volume and 1% in value, and Shave Preps category was down 3% in volume and 3.5% in value. The Fem Care category was down nearly 3% in volume and 1% in value. Infant Care category down 6% in volume, 3% in value. And Sun Care category volumes were up 3% in volume and 8% in value, but as you know, this is a relatively light quarter for Sun Care sales. On an aggregate basis, the categories in which Energizer Personal Care competes were down almost 4% in value in the latest 12 weeks. We believe many of these category trends will continue through at least the first half of our fiscal year. As a result, we modified our top line outlook from low single-digit organic growth in Personal Care to flat versus a year ago. It is important to note that we believe this is a short-term setback for these categories. Longer-term growth projections remain positive due to innovation, trade-up opportunities and, most importantly, the strong brands and products we have to offer our customers and consumers. In the context of the very weak category trends, our U.S. share results were positive to mixed over the 12 weeks ending December 14. In our largest Personal Care segment, Shaving, our total U.S. razor and blades share grew 90 basis points, led by continued double-digit volume growth behind our Hydro franchise. Sun Care share grew 170 basis points due in part to the carryover benefit of our new products introduced last year. However, Shave Preps, Infant Care and Fem Care shares declined due primarily to aggressive competitor promotional activity. On a global basis, our razor and blades share grew 30 basis points. Before leaving Personal Care, I did want to comment on our acquisition of the Stayfree, Carefree and o.b. brands that closed in the quarter. Integration efforts are progressing well. As Dan mentioned, we are more bullish on our financial outlook than our original estimates, primarily due to a more improved cost and margin structure. We are confident that these brands will round out our Feminine Care portfolio, and we'll make this category segment an important component of our overall Personal Care business. It is also important to note that we remain committed to increasing [indiscernible] support levels behind these brands. Increased investments will be concentrated in the back half of the year as we fully integrate these brands into our overall Feminine Care marketing plan. Now turning to Household Products. As Dan mentioned, sales declined 10%, but this was in line with our expectations. Previously disclosed loss of distribution contributed about 6 points to the decline, and lapping Hurricane Sandy response volumes contributed another 3 points. Global category value was down nearly 7% in our latest 12-week data. However, nearly 1/2 of the decline was due to lapping prior year hurricane response volumes in the U.S. Excluding this impact, category results remained in line with our expectations, being down 2% to 4%. In terms of market share, we experienced a 1.9-point decline due solely to the previously disclosed loss of distribution at 2 U.S. retail customers. However, outside of these accounts, our global share actually grew 60 basis points, and our U.S. share grew 140 basis points as we have been able to leverage our marketing innovation and expand our merchandising presence and distribution across many key markets. This is a clear sign that our battery business remains strong and healthy and continues to represent an important part of our overall portfolio. Looking ahead, we continue to expect the global category to be down 2% to 4% for the remainder of fiscal 2014, with our market shares beginning to stabilize in July as we anniversary customer losses. Before moving to our revised full year outlook, I wanted to provide an update on our restructuring project. We continue to make excellent progress with over $140 million of savings realized thus far. We have met our headcount reduction goal, and initiatives are tracking as planned. As a result of the increased scope and success of the original project initiatives, we have increased our total project gross savings estimate from $225 million to $300 million. We expect the actions necessary to complete the program will be completed by the end of fiscal 2015, and the full run rate of savings are expected to be realized in fiscal 2016. This represents an additional year to the program and an additional $75 million of expected savings. Due to the planning and implementation timing needed to execute this program, we believe the incremental savings will begin in fiscal '15. In this volatile and competitive environment, we believe it's critical to optimize our cost structure to provide for increased financial flexibility to offset future volatility and to allow for incremental investments in our business. As a result of the negative category and currency trends we saw in quarter 1, and our expectations that many of these headwinds will continue through at least first half of our fiscal year, we have decided to adjust our full year earnings outlook by lowering our adjusted EPS outlook from the $7.25 to $7.50 range down to the $7 to $7.25 range. Most importantly, this 3% reduction reflects our commitment to hold to our original brand investment plans. We believe that we cannot and should not adjust our spending plans down, due to the temporary category declines we experienced. Included within the adjusted outlook are the following assumptions. Total organic net sales, excluding the impact of the acquisition and currencies, are expected to decline in the low single digits. Personal Care organic sales are projected to be flat as compared to the prior year. The revised outlook reflects the shortfall realized in the first quarter, anticipated category headwinds through the first half of fiscal year and impacts from import restrictions and price controls in Venezuela and Argentina. For Household Products, organic net sales are expected to decline mid-single-digits, consistent with our previous outlook; restructuring savings of $100 million versus the prior year, which is at the high end of our original estimated range. It's important to note that the impact of the scope expansion just announced is not expected to have a material impact to fiscal '14 results. A&P as a percent of net sales will be in the range of 10.5% to 11%, consistent with our original plans, as we remain committed to investing in the long-term health of the brands. And EPS accretion of approximately $0.25 from the acquisition of the Feminine Care brands, excluding the impact of deal and integration costs and the inventory step-up adjustment. This is higher than our expectations in November for the reasons Dan stated previously. Unfavorable foreign currency is affecting operating profit of approximately $45 million to $50 million. This is higher than our original range of $20 million to $25 million. And an effective tax rate, excluding unusual items, in the range of 29% to 30%, again consistent with our original outlook. As we look at the quarterly cadence of earnings, we continue to expect earnings per share growth to be in the back half of the year as the sales comps in the first half will be negatively impacted by many of the trends we saw in quarter 1. In addition, we have several new products that will be launched this year. Within Personal Care, we will be launching Hydro Silk Sensitive and Hydro Groomer, a 4-in-1 shaving tool for grooming in all areas of the body. In addition, we will be adding the Ribbons [ph] moisturizing technology used in our Sun Care products into our new Intuition Ribbons women's [ph] system product. We will also be introducing the first of Tampon's odor shield technology to defend our position as the #1 sport tampon brand. In Sun Care, we have several new products, including a line of Banana Boat for men and Banana Boat Sport Power Stick [ph] technology to further enhance our position as the #1 brand in the sport category. We are also extending the Hydro Silk and Hydro Disposables to additional international markets. In closing, the primary objectives for 2014 remain unchanged, restoring longer-term growth in Personal Care by continuing to focus on and fund innovation, expand distribution within Household Products and leverage our strong brand equity, integrating the acquisition with our existing Playtex Feminine Care business and executing against our restructuring and working capital initiatives. We are confident that the plans we have are in the best interest of our shareholders and will position us for long-term success. Operator, you can now open up the line for questions.