Matt Trerotola
Analyst · Deutsche Bank. Your line is open
Thanks, Terry. Good morning and thank you for joining us today. Before we discuss our third quarter results, I want to share some thoughts from my first few months leading Colfax. I have spent much of my time learning and listening to our customers and associates but I’ve also been assessing our culture and talent and supporting our leaders as we focus on improving our relative performance through some very challenging end market conditions. I’ve been very pleased to see the level of commitment to our values and business system. These are the cornerstones of a strong operational foundation. I’m also encouraged by the amount of opportunity I see to improve and grow our current businesses. Our challenge is to focus our efforts very judiciously in the face of market headwinds. We must be more aggressive at managing our cost structure in the short-term as we work through the down cycles in several of our important end markets, especially oil and gas, and marine. Through our strategic planning process, we believe these downturns are cyclical, not structural but the timing of recovery in these markets is uncertain and may not be seen before 2017. Therefore, we’ve identified additional cost structure actions that we can take without limiting our operational capacity to accelerate growth. These actions are broad based across all three of our businesses and address manufacturing, operating and corporate expenses. While we’ve taken significant actions this year already, we now have specific plan which will accelerate and extend the reduction of our cost structure. Specifically, we have accelerated restructuring program as much as possible. This will result in an increase in our planned restructuring cost to $66 million for 2015 and approximately $50 million more specifically identified for 2016. Second, we’ve continued the resizing of our workforce. These programs result in a workforce at the end of 2016 that is approximately 1,500 less than where we began this year. Third, restructuring programs are expected to save in excess of $100 million compared to the cost base with which we entered the year, when they’re fully implemented. But less than half of that realized in 2015 and not all of the balance in 2016; we’ll provide more specific guidance later in the year as the phasing of these savings. Finally on a constant currency basis, after these restructuring programs and other cost reduction actions are implemented, our selling and administrative costs will be reduced by approximately $80 million when comparing 2016 to 2014 with about a third of this as incremental 2016 savings. We’re equally focused on improving our growth through target initiatives and on expanding our margins through value pricing and sourcing efforts, so we can outperform the competition through this cycle. I’ve been working closely with each of the business units as they’ve developed their strategic plans and budgets. And I’m excited about our opportunities and committed to accelerate the pace. Now, I’ll discuss our business segments. First, our fabrication technology business continues to experience significant organic sales decline, down 4% for the third quarter. We see several of the most welding intensive industries oil and gas, marine and heavy mobile equipment down sharply. Similar to previous quarters, our biggest headwind was the decline in oil and gas spending of approximately 30%. This continues to impact both volume and mix in all major regions. While third quarter results include some charges that Scott will discuss later, even excluding these charges, our profitability for the segment was well below our expectations. We’ve discussed the causes of this profit erosion in past earnings calls, volume decreases; strengthening U.S. dollar, product geographic mix and customer services issues. Today I want to describe what we’re doing to reverse these trends and return to more acceptable performance levels. First, we’re reducing cost in this segment in line with the current revenue level and trajectory. Operating costs will be reduced by approximately 60 million compared to 2014 on a constant currency basis, with headcount down by over 1,000. Second, we’re focusing on better meeting customer needs by improving delivery levels, aligning our best commercial resources with customers and having dedicated specialists for key product line. I have met with a number of customers in the past weeks and confirmed that they are seeing improvement. Third, we’re intensifying our value pricing and sourcing efforts to offset the gross margin headwinds we experienced this year. Finally, we have some exciting new products launching in the coming quarters that should accelerate our equipment growth. It’s a difficult situation and we’ll not resolve it overnight. As you can imagine, I planned to focus a significant amount of my time here helping plan the team in the short-term. I believe we understand most of the issues and are treating them with appropriate urgency. I’m confident that we’ll make steady progress by applying our CBS tools and will reemerge as a strong leader in this industry. Turning now to gas- and fluid-handling segment: Orders for the third quarter were down 13% organically. This was below our expectations due to the timing of some large projects orders and the push out of refining and petrochemical maintenance in our shorter cycle reliability services business. Customers are striving to maximize production and reduce spending during a period of high refining margins that will likely be followed by some tough times. Overall, we saw another solid quarter for bookings in power generation offset by the weakening marine market. As in previous periods, the timing of large project orders made comparisons across sectors and quarters difficult. Let me share some additional market trends, starting with the largest end market, power generation. As expected, revenues for the quarter decreased by 9% organically while orders increased 6% organically. New build activity in China continued to be steady which was offset by the expected environmental regulatory retrofit program decreases in China revenues. On the order growth side, we had an important environmental upgrade project win in the Western U.S. in which we were selected to supply air heaters. We also received an order for a full turnkey air heater retrofit in the U.S. converting a competitor’s installed base to our new double ceiling design. This will be a very important reference site for the heater retrofit strategy. Also impacting order activity, we experienced lower aftermarket bookings in North America after a strong second quarter, reflecting normal quarterly fluctuations. While we continue to expect our full year orders and revenue to be down in power due to the non-repeating prior year SCR retrofit activity in China, the outlook for new power construction and aftermarket products remains stable. Turning to oil, gas and petrochemicals: Sales were up 2% organically in the third quarter as expected due to the timing of large orders in the backlog but orders decreased 14% organically. Order here to-date remained up despite a clearly down end market but the timing of large project orders always made quarterly comparisons in this market difficult. We continue to make progress on our strategy to expand our addressable market for oil and gas application. In the quarter, we booked our first project wins incorporating our new high efficiency centrifugal design. This new design allows us to compete in a wider of set of applications and geographies than was previously serviceable for Howden CKD. Although we’ve been able to offset the well documented macro headwinds with success on geographic and application development initiatives, we’ve also benefited for the timing of large orders and will face a difficult large project comparison in the fourth quarter. With our recent performance, we now expect revenues and orders for the full year to be roughly flat to prior year in a market that is estimated to be down double-digits. Turning to marine, which is primarily service by fluid-handling. Revenues were down 8% organically and orders declined by 31% organically. This was driven by a sharp reduction in new commercial ship construction contracts especially in the offshore support vessel category, which primarily serves oil production. In addition, orders for the third quarter of 2014 [ph] included an $18 million portion of the multiyear contract award in our defense segment in 2014. Similar to oil and gas, we’re making progress increasing our served market in commercial marine. Earlier this year, we expanded into a larger ship size segment. This quarter, we achieved a new specification approval at a major Korean shipyard and booked our first order to include this broader solution set. Our initiative to increase aftermarket share continues to make strong progress. Overall, we expect generally flat revenue in this market for 2015 but a decrease in orders due to lower commercial marine new ship contracts and the non-repeating defense awards. Looking at the mining market, organic sales decreased by 36% while orders for the third quarter posted a 17% organic decline. Globally mining capital spending remains very low but we’re focused on winning targeted projects. We expect the challenging environment in mining to persist throughout the year but still see this as an important segment that will grow again in the future. General industrial end market sales declined 10% organically while orders posted a 23% organic decline. While heavy industry activity continues to be off sharply, we did book a large environmental retrofit project in China for a steel mill customer. It’s worth noting that China’s new air pollution reduction target will require upgrades by most steel, cement and other heavy industry customers. But we expect many of these customers to delay their investments until later in the five-year compliance window. Looking forward, we see a mixed outlook for the broad range of applications that make up our general industrial market. And now I’ll turn it over to Scott to discuss the financial results.