Steven E. Simms
Analyst · Stifel, Nicolaus
Thanks, Scott. Good morning, everyone. Today, I'll provide a review of our third quarter results, followed by a brief operational update, and then Scott will provide more detail on the financials and our updated guidance for the year. After which, we'll open it up for questions. And we're pleased with our third quarter results, especially given the economic environment. The benefits of our global footprint and balanced portfolio were particularly evident with strength in various regions and product lines, offsetting weaknesses elsewhere. For example, while fluid-handling continues to experience the softness in oil and gas demand that we highlighted in the last quarter, this was more than offset by solid performance at Howden, which realized organic increases in both sales and orders, while profit margins were in line with expectations. In addition, the quarter underscores our team's commitment to delivering the margins we believe are appropriate and possible for this business. For example, while fabrication technology sales volume fell below forecast, profit margins actually exceeded expectations, driven by aggressive SG&A restructuring, global sourcing, plant consolidations and improved pricing. In terms of the macro environment, the slowing we saw in the quarter was fairly broad-based across all geographies, with no single region standing out. Order rates continue to decline in our Fluid-Handling business in line with the trend we've experienced all year. However, the gas handling order rate remained strong and, in fact, would have been similar to quarter 2, but for a few large orders which were expected in September but booked in early October. In addition, areas of strength discussed on previous calls such as SCR remediation projects in China and maintenance programs in South Africa continue to deliver, and demand across both business segments in Russia continue to contribute significantly to our revenues. Now for a look at specific results, adjusted EPS for the 2012 third quarter was $0.33 per share, which includes $0.03 per share related to a noncash adjustment to deferred tax balances. This compares to $0.30 per share reported for the 2011 third quarter. Other than adjusted EPS, there's very little comparable between 2012 and 2011 due to the signs of the acquired ESAB and Howden businesses. The stronger U.S. dollar in the third quarter of 2012 resulted in a 7.4% year-on-year reduction in revenues. On an organic basis, that is excluding FX and acquisitions, net sales for the 2012 third quarter were $954 million, an increase of 5.1% compared to $972 million of pro forma sales for the 2011 third quarter. Turning now to our business segments, for Gas and Fluid Handling, net sales during the third quarter were $465 million which represents an increase of 15% organically compared to $423 million of pro forma revenues in last year's third quarter. With respect to our end markets, please refer to the slides for specific growth rates. As you review that data, you'll note that currency had a 6% drag on sales and 7% on orders for the period compared to the 2011 third quarter. In reviewing end markets for the Gas and Fluid Handling segment, I'll begin by focusing on our largest sector, Power Generation. For the 2012 third quarter, sales increased by 23% organically. As in the first 2 quarters, sales were particularly strong in China and South Africa. Growth in China continues to benefit from compliance with aggressive environmental regulations and a series of maintenance projects has provided growth in South Africa. As expected, orders for the platform surged by 11% organically, with contributions from new build activity in Taiwan and other parts of Southeast Asia and growth of our higher-margin aftermarket business. We expect double-digit growth in revenue and orders to continue in the fourth quarter as we've already booked significant orders in the U.S. during the month of October. Next, Oil, Gas and Petrochemicals, which is the second-largest market for Gas and Fluid-Handling. Sales for the 2012 third quarter increased 15% organically, while orders decreased 10% organically. Our revenue growth was driven by Howden where we benefited from industries' investment and downstream upgrades. However, these gains were partially offset by continued declines in Fluid Handling, whose primary focus is on upstream applications. In line with these recent trends, we project our total volume growth in this segment to slow in the fourth quarter driven by fluid-handling, which now expects a more significant decrease in this end market versus previous assumptions. While Gas Handling continues to enjoy strong bookings in certain geographies such as Russia, this is not sufficient to offset the overall market trends, and total orders have continued to decline from 2011 levels, driven largely by reduced oil consumption, excess refining capacity in the developed world. We expect orders to continue declining for the next several quarters, though this should reverse in the medium term as refining capacity is added in Brazil and Russia and new pipelines in North and South America begin construction. Turning now to Marine, this end market includes both commercial marine and defense customers and is served primarily by fluid-handling. Marine is very large -- I'm sorry, which is a very long cycle market, has been a challenging sector for the past several years due to sharp decline in new vessel deliveries. Sales for the 2012 third quarter were down 11% organically versus pro forma 2011 third quarter. This is consistent with our expectations and performance in the first half, as our backlog in Marine projects was depleted in 2012. However, we are pleased with the order rates, and the segment are up for the second quarter -- sorry, however, we are pleased that order rates in the segment are up the second consecutive quarter, driven in part by strength in vessels serving oil and gas industries. We expect these trends of declining revenue and modestly higher order rates to continue in the fourth quarter. Despite the challenging near-term dynamics, this is a sector we like over the long-term, given the overall increase in global trade and the impact our products have on customer economics. Next, let's turn to the mining end sector. Sales for the 2012 third quarter increased 46% organically while orders increased 24% organically. Strong revenue growth was anticipated based on the strong orders received in 2012 and should continue into the fourth quarter. Overall, order activity remains somewhat subdued in South America and certain other regions, although a very large order booked in North America contributed to the robust growth in total orders this quarter. While many raw material prices have declined in recent months, we remain cautiously optimistic about the prospects for bookings over the next several quarters, given project activity and certain strategies Howden is implementing. Finally, I'd like to touch upon the general industrial end market, which encompasses a wide variety of products and applications for both gas and fluid-handling. For the third quarter of 2012, sales increased 9% organically and orders increased by 6% organically. While the performance in this market was better than expected overall, overall results contain submarkets, which are in the state of growth or decline modes. For both sales and orders, growth was strong in Gas Handling, particularly fans from the steel industry. In Fluid Handling, both sales and orders declined in the mid-single digit range. This is a slightly higher rate of decline than prior quarters, with European distributors and municipal markets particularly slow. We currently expect a similar decline in fluid-handling revenues in the fourth quarter. While we expect continued growth in both sales and orders from gas handling, the rates are expected to slow modestly. From a profitability standpoint, adjusted operating margins for the Gas and Fluid-Handling segment decreased 1.5 points from the second quarter to the third primarily due to lower volumes. However, this sequential trend is in line with seasonal patterns for this segment and is in line with our expectations. We continue to actually apply the CBS system across our entire organization, resulting in benefits from our customers and shareholders. Our CBS materials process emphasizing demand pull and process flow is an example of the successful standardized approach we are deploying across all of our global businesses. The power of CBS, specifically the CBS materials process, can be seen through the deployment at 2 very different sites within Colfax. As we discussed in last quarter's earnings call, our Howden Mexico facility was introduced to CBS in April. Since then, follow-up Kaizen activities driven by local leadership have dramatically improved results. Since the introduction of CBS, the team has reduced inventory by $700,000, decreased total operating cost by $1.5 million per year and opened up 9,000 square feet of additional manufacturing floor space for business expansion. We're also able to drive continuous improvement in our more mature high-performing operations such as our fluid-handling Monroe, North Carolina facility. This plant has been one of our top-performing sites for years in lead time, inventory and customer delivery. Since April, using the same CBS tools at Howden Mexico, they compressed lead time by 33%, reduced inventory by 23%, and increased on-time delivery to our customer by 3 full percentage points over the period. With that I'd like to turn our attention at this point to ESAB's results and the status of our profit improvement initiatives. Third quarter sales for ESAB were $490 million, down 2% organically versus last year. Despite the lower-than-expected sales, adjusted operating margins improved by 70 basis points during the third quarter in comparison to the second. Despite the softness in top line sales, this margin rate was higher than expected as costs were tightly controlled and price increases largely held. As I mentioned in my introductory comments, the revenue shortfall was broad-based and generally in line with the overall slowing of the worldwide economy. The welding market is largely a short cycle one and sales are tightly correlated to underlying economic conditions. This is evident in the sequential and third quarter patterns we see in our daily consumables revenues, which are largely in line with regional economic activity with the exception of North America. In the U.S., which accounts for less than 20% of ESAB's revenues, we encountered some start-up issues in our newly commissioned solid water plant, which contributed to flat North American revenues for the quarter. We're currently implementing countermeasures but expect that this will adversely affect North American revenues in the fourth quarter as well. From the segment as a whole, we expect revenue trends for the fourth quarter to be similar to the third as several customers have indicated they expect extended shutdowns in December. Adjusted operating income for the quarter was $43.9 million or 9%. As Scott mentioned earlier, this margin percentage is not comparable to last year, with notable differences being the inclusion of research and development, pension and amortization expenses, as well as joint venture earnings. As noted above, despite the softness in top line demand, ESAB profitability improved versus the second quarter and was ahead of our internal expectations. While we expected flat margins with the second quarter, we were actually able to achieve a 70 basis-point improvement. SG&A expense associated with central operations was down significantly as cost savings actions taken earlier in the year were fully realized in the third quarter. Another significant contributor to the improved margins was our Indian operation, which increased margin significantly despite a challenging economic environment. To ensure that we continue to realize these kinds of improvements on a sustainable basis, the ESAB team is aggressively driving the implementation of the Colfax Business System. As an example, by implementing the demand pull process, which we first piloted at Fluid Handling, the ESAB team has experienced similar results. Several weeks ago, Clay Kiefaber, the leader of our fabrication technology platform, together with a team of associates at our solid water manufacturing site in the Czech Republic, launched demand pull in the Magwater Cell. The objective of the Kaizen event was to reduce the reliance on multi-week forecast, cut levels of raw materials in work-in-process inventories and produce to actual customer demand. While much is less to do with that site, the customer delivery from this cell is now at 99%. Inventories have been cut by 57%, and we now build actual customer demand as opposed to a multi-week forecast. While cost takeout was not the objective of this event, we also garnered a $120,000 annual cost reduction through the elimination of outside rental warehouse space. As communicated in our July release, and as noted in these results, the ESAB cost and restructuring program remains on track, and we are -- we continue to be confident with our plan to deliver margins in the low teens within 3 years of acquisition. While we will not offset the full impact of reduced fourth quarter volumes on our manufacturing facilities, we do expect margins near those of the third quarter through the period. And in light of the reduced volumes, our team is aggressively reevaluating our manufacturing footprint, examining additional cost reduction opportunities aimed at ensuring that we deliver 2013 levels of profitability. And now I'll turn it over to Scott to provide more details on the financials. After Scott's discussion, I'll provide a bit more color on merger and acquisition activities. Scott?