Earnings Labs

EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME)

Q1 2008 Earnings Call· Thu, Apr 24, 2008

$860.66

-2.80%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning. My name is Casey and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the EMCOR Group's first quarter 2008 earnings conference call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers' remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. (Operator Instructions) I will now turn the conference over to Mr. Eric Boyriven of FD. Eric Boyriven Thank you and good morning, everyone. I'd like to welcome you to the EMCOR Group conference call. We're here to discuss the company's 2008 first quarter results, which were reported this morning. I'd now like to turn the call over to Kevin Matz, Executive Vice President of Shared Services, who will introduce management. Please go ahead, Kevin.

Kevin Matz

Management

Thank you, Eric and good morning, everyone. Welcome to EMCOR Group's earnings conference call for the first quarter of 2008. For those of you who are accessing the call via the Internet at our website, welcome and we hope you have arrived at the beginning of a slide presentation that will accompany our remarks today. Currently everyone accessing the slides should be on slide one, which is the EMCOR title slide. During the call, instructions will be given for you to advance to the next slide. This is one of those times, so please advance to slide two. Please advance to slide two. Slide two depicts the executives who are with me to discuss the quarter. They are Frank MacInnis, our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; Tony Guzzi, President and Chief Operating Officer; Mark Pompa, our Chief Financial Officer; Mava Heffler, our Vice President, Marketing and Communication; and our Executive Vice President and General Counsel, Sheldon Cammaker. For call participants who are not accessing the conference call via the internet, this presentation, including the slides, will be archived in the Investor Relations section of our website under Presentations. You can find us at emcorgroup.com Before we begin, I want to remind you that this discussion may contain certain forward-looking statements. Such statements are based upon information available to EMCOR's management perception as of this date, and EMCOR assumes no obligation to update any such forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from the statements. Accordingly, these statements are no guarantee of future performance. Such risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, adverse effects of general economic conditions, changes in the political environment, changes in the specific markets for EMCOR services, adverse business conditions, increased competition, mix of business, and risks associated with foreign operations. Certain of the risks and factors associated with EMCOR's business are also discussed in the Company's 2007 Form 10-K, it's 10-Q filed this morning for the first quarter ended March 31, 2008, and in other reports filed from time-to-time with the Securities and Exchange Commission. With that said, please let me now turn the call over to Frank MacInnis. Frank.

Frank MacInnis

Management

Thank you, Kevin. Our telephone listeners can't see this I know, but, Kevin, I actually did that entire performance without moving my lips. Good morning, everyone and welcome to our 53rd regular quarterly conference call for investors, analysts, and other friends of EMCOR Group. Today's call is being conducted as usual, by telephone and by simultaneous webcast. And I'll be referring from time-to-time to a slide number to identify the relevant slide for webcast participants. Right now, we're still on slide number two. The focus of today's call would be on the 2008 first quarter earnings press release and Form 10-Q that we issued and filed earlier this morning. We'll conduct this call in our customary way. First, a discussion of the highlights of those operating results including our breakdown by segment and my comments on our quarter end balance sheet. Then, I'll discuss the evolution and the current status of our contract backlog portfolio with special emphasis on those factors that we think will be the most important to EMCOR's performance during 2008 and into 2009. Then I'll turn the call over to Tony Guzzi, our President and COO, for his views on some notable recent contract awards around our broad and diverse company followed by some additional comments on EMCOR's role in meeting America's energy challenges. Finally, I'll talk about some of the major factors that are expected to influence EMCOR's performance during remainder of this year and into the next, including our progress towards some of our growth and performance objectives. At that point there will be an opportunity for our listeners to make comments or to ask us questions. And you can see from slide two that a number of our senior officers are here to help with the answers. So let's begin please move to…

Tony Guzzi

Management

Thanks, Frank. Let's start with a data center project we are performing for Xilinx in Longmont, Colorado. Dynalectric Colorado's performing this project and they're serving as the prime contractor for this 5,000 square foot data center is include the three-storey facility to be connected to an existing office building. In addition to managing all the trades on this project, which is in our usual case Dyna will perform the installation of the electrical systems that include a new 3,000 amp service redundant to 750 kPa UPS system, a 2400 KW generator and all of the electrical distribution in piping cable. Our other Denver-based company and the leading mechanical contractor in the Denver market, Trautman & Shreve is also on the project performing the mechanical work. And Trautman's scope includes the installation of the complete mechanical HVAC and plumbing systems. As we've stated on our previous calls, we like data centers. They are filled with electrical, mechanical systems that are critical to the functioning of the data center. We like it because the communication infrastructure is robust and is complicated, and unlike the data centers that were build in the earlier 2000s and late 90s. For the most part these data centers that we're building today at EMCOR are built around existing or contracted tenants or for owners. They are non-spec facilities and that was the hallmark of the previous data centre expansion. It's a different market today. It has more measured growth. It’s a good market for us and the level of sophistication in these data centers today is even markedly increased versus the data centers of the late 90s and the early 2000s. Our Gibson Company in Chicago also does great data center work, but it also has diversity like all EMCOR companies do. I want to show you that with the Barney's in New York project the Gibson's performance. Gibson is going to put in over 2,000 recessed sliding fixtures and 5000 feet a tract lighting for a fashion designer areas in Barney's of New York. Now, suffice it to say, yes, guys in EMCOR for the most part won't be shopping the designer area because we are contractors. But a fewer of us will, right, Kevin.

Kevin Matz

Management

Yeah. Mark and I.

Tony Guzzi

Management

Mark and Kevin will, Tony won't. But that's where we'll be. Just switching gears in there, an attractive feature of our fire protection business and we'll go through the other ones. Feasibility is successfully travel and Shambaugh & Son is one of the best. They will be going from Fort Wayne home-based to Turkey Alabama to install a fire sprinkler systems for National Alabama Corporation's new 1.8 million square foot rail car manufacturing facility. Shambaugh will be installing 51 sprinkler systems which include 18,000 sprinkler heads and 80 fire host stations supported by a 0.25 million feet of pipe. All of the pipe will be fabricated at Shambaugh's terrific Fort Wayne fabrication facility and it will be shipped and prepackaged to the job site, where it will be installed by all our team of professionals. Prefabrication under conditions create efficiencies with our field personnel and increases our level of execution. We see this timing again throughout out mechanical operations. One of the reasons we like fire protection is design build, the trades travel well and for really significant jobs like this National Alabama job, we prefabricate the majority of it and put it together onsite. Staying with fire protection and in the healthcare market, Dyna Michigan, where we will be installing the complete fire alarm system in the new 13-storey state-of-the-art University of Michigan, Mott Children's and Women's hospital. And in California, Chevron's Research and Technology campus in Richmond, we're doing a major renovation through our Contra Costa company, installing three new generators, the electrical substation and a new fiber optic backbone for the renovated three buildings for Chevron. And Down in Houston, Gowan will be installing the mechanical systems for the new addition of the Texas Children's Hospital, Feign center. Gowan's scope of work will include the HVAC and…

Frank MacInnis

Management

Thank you, Tony. We're all excited about the major role that EMCOR will play in meeting the ever increasing demand for energy services both year end and abroad. Please go to slide 10. The quarter just passed was EMCOR's 51st consecutive profitable quarter, a record of consistency that includes several major business and market cycles. In today's report to you and in our 10-Q and press release, we've cited facts that should be positive indicators of continued success for EMCOR, including revenue and earnings growth momentum from a record first quarter, balance sheet strength and liquidity with modest leverage and diversified backlog at near record levels despite accelerated backlog burn. Our expectations are conditioned upon a continuation of the diversified demand for our service that the first quarter showed and, of course, we need to successfully execute the project work contained in backlog. We see a continued active market for outsourcing driven Facility Services. In fact, we've observed in past economic downturns that this sector is stimulated when our customers concentrate on their core businesses and leave the management and their facilities for maximum efficiency and energy conservation to specialists like EMCOR. All companies have to watch costs closely in challenging times, and EMCOR will need to continue our tradition of disciplined cost control. And we're well aware that some interesting investment opportunities sometimes arise during this phase of the macro-economic cycle. So we'll have our eyes open for additional ways in which we can accomplish our growth objectives. Please turn to slide 11. In February, we issued revenue and earnings guidance for 2008. Even though 2007's results reflect a dramatic growth to record levels. Our 2008 guidance indicated fairly aggressive ranges of additional growth, despite gathering economics storm clouds. Revenue growth rate of 7% to 10% to a range…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. (Operator Instructions). Your first question comes from the line of Alex Rygiel with FBR Capital.

Frank MacInnis

Management

Good morning, Alex.

Alex Rygiel - FBR Capital

Analyst

Good morning, Frank. An outstanding quarter congratulations.

Frank MacInnis

Management

Thanks very much.

Alex Rygiel - FBR Capital

Analyst

Are you surprised at the high level of profit from Ohmstede in the first quarter?

Frank MacInnis

Management

No, we're not. I know you looked at the Form 8-K/A that we filed in December. That it was [and still is] possible to derive anticipated Ohmstede margins from that filing . We are very pleased with Ohmstede management and with the performance of their market and customers. They are fulfilling every hope that we had for them and we hope and expect that they'll continue to do so.

Alex Rygiel - FBR Capital

Analyst

When you look at your backlog and your projects that were added to backlog in the first quarter, were there any change that was immaterial that you noticed to suggest that the profit margins embedded in that new backlog is materially higher and/or lower than what had been in backlog in the past?

Frank MacInnis

Management

No, Alex there wasn't. Many times before on these quarterly calls we've talked about EMCOR's nature as a late phase company. I think that if there were changes taking place and they make up for the inherent profitability of backlog contracts, you would see it elsewhere first before it visited EMCOR. So, the first part of my answer to your question is no. There is no indication so far. I think it is a valid assumption that a backlog was acquired during the recent period at more or less rates equal to the prevailing operating margins for construction and facility services during that period. That makes us confident and optimistic. I'd also like to say, however, that we're at the front-end of our market. That being engineering and construction management and front-end project managers. They are on construction sites before we get there and are involved in the planning and the design phases of such projects. We're seeing traffic reports out of that. We look at the Jacob's report and Floor is talking about a big earnings improvement, I'm not seeing erosion of profit opportunities on the front-end of projects either. I read all the same papers that analyst and investors do and I know or at least I think I know what's going on out there. But we see it in our margin and backlog opportunities at least so far.

Alex Rygiel - FBR Capital

Analyst

And now for the tough question.

Frank MacInnis

Management

I hate tough questions.

Alex Rygiel - FBR Capital

Analyst

Your first quarter '08 was about 25% ahead of your first quarter '07. If we assume that your second, third and fourth quarter in '08 are flat to '07, that gets us to the low end of your range. It's sounds like you're being very conservative with your guidance.

Frank MacInnis

Management

The first word out of my mouth, Alex, after I began to see preliminary indications of our first quarter results were that this is going to put some pressure on me to improve guidance. So thank you for filling my prophecy. I can see very well how good these are. This is truly a breakout quarter that reflects once again the transformational nature of our presence in the oil and gas and of the industrial market. We're very pleased with that, with the investment that we made, with the management that we acquired at Ohmstede and another oil and gas sector companies. And we like very much being a higher margin a company than we have being for many years. You know me, I don't think there is any significant benefit to EMCOR to leap just yet, but we'll be watching this carefully. I will look at backlog a replacement very carefully in the next couple of months and I think that by June, we'll no more not only about 2008 which looks pretty good, but also about 2009 which I know is a high on the list of analyst and investors concerns right now.

Alex Rygiel - FBR Capital

Analyst

I do have one last question. The June quarter sometimes can be influenced by the timing of summer weather as it impacts some of your quicker shorter turn maintenance work. Can you comment on what kind of variable that could create depending on when summer starts and when it doesn't? Could that add or hurt earnings by 5%, 10%, 15%?

Frank MacInnis

Management

Alex, I think that the potential is less than it was in the past. We use to talk about mobile services at this time of year, for example and the possibility, the cool wet spring I forgotten which spring that was '04 or '05 somewhere in that area, where our cool wet spring had the result of significantly impacting the commissioning of HVAC systems turning them on for the summer months for example. And we saw a significant drag on both revenue and profitability since those are very high margin operations, those call out services in those years. Anymore -- we've found that as our mobile services operations have achieved true scale -- and especially since our customers call our requirements have a great deal to do with energy efficiency even more so perhaps on the weather that those operations would become much less seasonal or cyclical that may used to be in the past. Then, they basically become strong all year around. So I am going to say to you that a cool second quarter will influence earnings and margin a little 5%, 10%, if that -- if the outside…

Tony Guzzi

Management

…in that sector only?

Frank MacInnis

Management

In that sector, yes.

Tony Guzzi

Management

I mean with our base where it is now and start to see the effects in the overall company and plus we've gone into the warm weather states a lot more as with our acquisition of MSI in Florida, and our expansion of the operations in California. We are now double the size and with their systems. With all those together put us in markets that are less dependent like we used to be just dependent on the northeast that we're not anymore.

Alex Rygiel - FBR Capital

Analyst

That's very helpful thank you.

Frank MacInnis

Management

That's a very good point. Thanks, Tony

Tony Guzzi

Management

Thanks, Alex.

Alex Rygiel - FBR Capital

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line Rich Wesolowski with Sidoti & Company. Rich Wesolowski - Sidoti & Company: Hi.

Frank MacInnis

Management

Hi, Rich. Rich Wesolowski - Sidoti & Company: Frank, if you look at your backlog chart, the commercial with the best performing sector which was surprising at this point in cycle, can you reconcile that with your general push towards the more defensive healthcare institutional etc?

Frank MacInnis

Management

Well, first of all, we don't go out and get work for just of the sake of having it. We would only accept commercial and office construction work that met our profit margin parameters, So we're not hitting hard the commercial and office sector just to have a strong statistical base. Having said that, we try to retain a balance year around and we're real very happy right now with the proportion of our project work that is represented by non-cyclical sectors like healthcare, like our public sector transportation work, certainly our government services division, water and wastewater looks pretty good. Let me say a word about water and wastewater, since it's just come to mind. There is some concern that I've read about being expressed by public sector analyst with respect to the availability of funding of public capital projects because of declining tax revenues and/or the inability of municipalities and states to issue a bond. We find that in general our water and wastewater projects are funded out of specifically earmarked funds derived from water distribution and sale revenues, so that there doesn't seem to be any shortage of funding for the urgently required and continuing need for upgrading of the U.S. Water Distribution System. We are very fundamentally aware of the importance of the maintaining our hedge within EMCORE at all times in terms of our significant involvement in defensive as you put it, that is, non-cyclical or countercyclical segments of the market while try to derive as much profit as possible from our historically high margin activities in the private sector commercial and office and hospitability and gaming segments. I think in the first quarter, we succeeded in maintaining a very nice balance between the two sides of our business and that's we will be describing to do for the next few quarters. Rich Wesolowski - Sidoti & Company: Okay. Secondly, if you take out the aggregate acquisition effect of the first quarter, your gross margin was about a flat at 10%, is that what we should expect going forward. I mean, you're going to get kick because of Ohmstede, et cetera, coming in while there is some amount revenue. But is this as high as we're going to get on the organic gross margin?

Frank MacInnis

Management

To be honest with you. I don't pay as much attention to gross margin as I do to EBIT margins because gross margin can be so susceptible to fluctuation based upon the location from which the revenue is derived. As an example, a New York City project will require gross margins 3 or 4 percentage points higher than a Denver or a Las Vegas project just because of the overhead that it has to cover. So you could artificially inflate gross margin by deriving more project work in any particular calendar quarter from a high gross margin sector without actually improving your bottomline at all. I've often said that increased gross margin is always good, declining gross margin is not always bad. And if you think about it I think that's the way it is. We think that the margin performance that we exhibit in the first quarter has to be considered in light of our very conservative accounting policies that's, for example, require that we recognize no income on newly began projects until they are at least 20% complete. This is a unique accounting policy, a uniquely conservative accounting policy, we believe within our entire sector. It means that we have very few write downs because we don't take profits on projects, unless and until, we've got a pretty good idea at the 20% level about these efficiency of our allowances for costs, for contingencies. We've made the buys with respect to our materials and major components and supplies. And we've got a feel for what the relationship with the customer is like and what the site problems if any are. And so at that 20% point, we can make a decision. Now, the practical result of that is that in the first quarter, we just don't book as much income, we match our revenue with cost and this has the effect of depressing first quarter net margins. So I think that our first quarter performance in light of that policy is even more significant in terms of achieving 3% EBIT for the quarter. Rich Wesolowski - Sidoti & Company: Okay. And finally, looking at say 7.5% of your SG&A cost in this segment, can you discuss the degree to which that's variable in a different business segments, let's say, for electrical and mechanical turndown sometime within the 18 to 24 months. How effectively you can take those cost in?

Frank MacInnis

Management

We feel that we've done a very effective job of maintaining the variability of our labor cost. We talked in the past about the discipline with which we control overhead cost, by the same token we have said. I typically get a counter intuitive kind of a reaction from my listeners when I tell them that our union affiliations are very significant benefit to EMCOR, especially in challenging economic times. Because a modern union contract results in those union labor cost being completely variable. In a nutshell, the day that you don't need a union employee any longer, back here as she goes to the union hall with no exposure to severance cost with no exposure to a pension fund or to a health plan or any thing of the kind. This is what I call complete variability of cost and enables EMCOR to be very quick, very nimble and very decisive in reducing cost in response to market and activity downturns. Rich Wesolowski - Sidoti & Company: Thanks, Frank.

Frank MacInnis

Management

You bet.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of the Tahira Afzal of Keybanc Capital Markets

Frank MacInnis

Management

Good morning, Tahira

Tahira Afzal - Keybanc Capital Markets

Analyst

Good morning and many congratulations on your quarter

Frank MacInnis

Management

Thank you. We're very proud of it.

Tahira Afzal - Keybanc Capital Markets

Analyst

I guess my first question is in regards to your backlog. I mean, I went back and I looked at first quarter of '07 and your bookings for first quarter '07 trended up by around $200 million sequentially. This year they're down to $200 million sequentially. And I was wondering what is pretty change from the first quarter of last year on the sequential basis versus this year.

Frank MacInnis

Management

First of all, I never want to disagree with the thorough way at which you analyze our accounts, but I think we are down a $100 million sequentially over the two quarters from the last quarter of '07 to this current quarter. I'm extremely positive about the pace of bookings between the last quarter of '07 and the first quarter of '08. In order to do a complete and thorough job of understanding the pace at which we've been replacing backlog you really have to make an assumption concerning the proportion of our revenues that in the current quarter that were derive from backlog jobs as opposed to outside of backlog and EMCOR is a strange bird in this regard. In that, unlike many of the large project companies in this sector, EMCOR derives at least 25%. I believe closer to 30% of our revenues from projects that are not in backlog. But there is some seasonality to that as well to add the complexity. So that in any given analysis of whether or not, we're accelerating or decelerating our backlog replacement, part of the work of analyzing new work bookings requires that you understand with some degree of specificity exactly how much backlog we burned off as opposed to driving revenue, for example, from projects that were so small that they didn't reach the backlog schedule. Tony, any comments?

Tony Guzzi

Management

Yeah, I mean our bookings of new business was pretty good in the first quarter. As Frank said a lot of it never makes it's sway in the backlog. An example of that is not only our small project work, it has a lot of this energy efficiency upgrade in the mobile service group but also at Ohmstede. We're learning. There is a quarter or so over EBITDA coming out of Ohmstede and it not being tied as much the backlog other than the equipment side. All the turnaround work we do is substantial, especially in March and February, and never makes it's sway into backlog. Our profit model is a little different as Frank talked about the seasonality and the extrapolation models we're using in the past. still goes the same for backlog. We have a big profit engine outside of our normal backlog view in two our faster growing businesses. It doesn't show up in backlog the same way they did. We are for the most part a mid-to-small project company. We have lumpy jobs like we put in last quarter and first quarter like Venetian and one or two wastewater treatment plants. It's just a matter of timing whether those jobs come in first quarter, second quarter or beginning of third quarter.

Tahira Afzal - Keybanc Capital Markets

Analyst

And in terms of your Facilities management business, I went through your 10-Q briefly and it seems that your Facilities management business organically grew at around close to 5%. And I was wondering if you could comment on the longer term trends of growth in that business are going forward.

Frank MacInnis

Management

Yeah. We saw a good growth in our Mechanical Mobile Service business, we saw a very good growth in our government business, 20% plus and we saw a very good growth at Ohmstede. Obviously it's new to us where we get the whole work that you are. We know what they did last year in the first quarter and they had good organic growth. The area they didn't grow as fast this quarter and there is a couple reasons for it. It is our commercial site base business. One is, as you know, third quarter of last year, we exited our relationship with CBRE, CB Richard Ellis, on the facilities joint venture we had with them. Now, on a comparison basis, they are both out of the numbers. But we had infrastructure, and that had been part of our sales channel previously. So, we have had to retool our sales channel, refocus our organization for that segment of the market that we'll attack, and we're now getting the pickup from that as we go into second, third and fourth quarter. So, double-digit growth in all sectors except commercial site-based, and that was actually down and you could say by design as we refocused the organization absolutely on our joint venture with CB Richard Ellis.

Tahira Afzal - KeyBanc Capital Markets

Analyst

Would it be fair to say that you can see once the retooling is done in totality that you could see growth in facilities management for higher level?

Frank MacInnis

Management

Yes, I think we'll double. I think we can do double-digit growth on an annual basis for as far as we can see. And I'd just point out the higher margin sectors always growing are the fastest. And we've done that by design.

Tahira Afzal - KeyBanc Capital Markets

Analyst

Okay, great. That's good to know. Just had a couple of other questions. Number one, in terms of your debt went down, it seems that you've managed to wind out a sufficient amount of your debt. And I was just wondering what in terms of your net income line in terms of your interest income, should we expect something of a tapering trend going forward? I know that you've had some expenses still due to the debt from Ohmstede and had commented that you'd see it winding down by the end of the year. Is that still a doable option for you?

Frank MacInnis

Management

It's Frank, T.

Tahira Afzal - KeyBanc Capital Markets

Analyst

Sure.

Frank MacInnis

Management

We certainly expect operating cash flows to continue to be robust and to support the plans by continued reduction of our acquisition-related debt during the remainder of this year. And that is what we will do, of course, absent major transactional opportunities. But we are open to the possibility of an additional investment that will help to enhance the continued improvement of our margins. I mentioned earlier that we really like the opportunity to be a higher-margin company. Our long-term success in electrical and mechanical construction has enabled us to do this. We are proud of that. And we think that the opportunity to invest additional money in the higher margin businesses that have transformed our operations over the last year or two together with a continued emphasis on the facility services sector, which I think is going to be a very important help for us in weathering whatever economic terms are going to effect all companies in the next year or so. I think it's extremely important. I know I stressed it on the call, but I will do it again right now. I think it's very significant that our facility services business was our largest single segment contributor to operating profits in the first quarter. That's very important in light of its relative involvement ability to our recessionary downturns.

Tahira Afzal - KeyBanc Capital Markets

Analyst

And, Frank, if you look at the beat that you have seen versus your own internal numbers, you've said that it did come on stronger than you expected. Was all that strength concentrated on the Ohmstede side or did you see the rest of your business also perform a little better than expected?

Frank MacInnis

Management

You mean in the facility segment, T?

Tahira Afzal - KeyBanc Capital Markets

Analyst

Yes, well, basically outside of Ohmstede.

Tony Guzzi

Management

From our view, we had terrific performance in our core electrical and mechanical construction business. We look at margins year-over-year and not sequentially. Frank went through the reasons why that's the accurate way. Both electrical and mechanicals margins were up, and we believe we maintained the discipline that we've had. Mobile services continued its expansion. Air systems integrated it nicely. And that combined with our existing footprint had made us the largest mobile service company in California. We saw a good penetration in our government services business. We just announced the Millington contract. So across the board right now, we are pretty pleased with performance. Canada had nice margin enhancement for this time of the year for them. That would have been an annual number for them as far as margin. We expect them to continue to perform well. Out of the woods on the U.K. I think this cost focus coupled with the bidding disciple, coupled with, as Frank said, moving to different sectors over the last two to four year, five years, 10 years had allowed us to really start to benefit from balance. And we are happy with that balance right now. We are always going to have our hiccups and really take top projects. That's the business we are in. But right now, our team is executing extremely well across the board.

Tahira Afzal - KeyBanc Capital Markets

Analyst

Okay. Thank you, Frank. And I actually had this one last question, and then I'll pass it on. And that is if you look at your business and you look at, as you have explained, your bookings and your walk-in work, in terms of your business that typically or what you foresee will fall or slowdown faster going forward if the economy and the non-residential side continues to slow down, would it be the walk-in work or would it be your backlog?

Frank MacInnis

Management

Well, my own guess, T, is that it will be backlog, because that's where the jobs that reflect customers' capital allocation decisions are by and large located. Our walk-in work, as you put it, is typically, if it's not in our customers' maintenance CapEx budgets, it's just in their cost of operations. And as I mentioned earlier, an increasing proportion of that work is based on the continued improvements in energy efficiency of customers' facilities, the payback for which is extremely short and therefore a very good investment for our customers, especially if they are not inclined to layout the significant capital required for major upgrades or even new facility construction. So, I think that the impact is likely to be so called backlog projects.

Tahira Afzal - KeyBanc Capital Markets

Analyst

Okay. Thank you very much.

Frank MacInnis

Management

You bet, T.

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions) Your next question comes from the line of John Rogers with D.A. Davidson.

John Rogers - D.A. Davidson

Analyst · D.A. Davidson.

Hi. Good morning.

Tony Guzzi

Management

Hi, John.

John Rogers - D.A. Davidson

Analyst · D.A. Davidson.

Some of the projects that you went through, Tony, were timed about on recent awards and I think frankly you've been referring to. It's a lot of upgrades or retrofits of existing facilities. Maybe that's just by design. But I am curious if you were to look at your business right now, how much of it could you classify is new construction, retrofits and then I guess just maintenance type work.

Tony Guzzi

Management

At any given time, about half of what we are doing is new construction or major upgrade.

John Rogers - D.A. Davidson

Analyst · D.A. Davidson.

And has that changed?

Tony Guzzi

Management

Yes, it's down. That's down from 60%, 65% probably going into the last cycle with addition of Ohmstede, so anywhere from 45, 50 new construction and major retrofit where you basically are shutting down the building and restacking it and other things. Maintenance service is going to be about 35% of our revenues. These are places where we have long-term customer relationships. As Frank talked about, we're part of the maintenance planning for the year in the capital. It's not all service contracts, but we basically know what we're going to do for the year, and we've been doing it for a long number of years. Our service contracts are in there. And as you know, in our backlog, we only put one year in the service contracts even if it might be a three to five-year contract. And we don't assume any extras off of those service contracts when we think about backlog. So 45, 50, maybe a little less than 45 new construction, major retrofit, 35% service and the balance we'd call is retrofit projects that we're going to add on. We may a relationship with the customer, but we don't have a steady presence.

John Rogers - D.A. Davidson

Analyst · D.A. Davidson.

Okay.

Frank MacInnis

Management

I think, John, that it's important to note that given the choice between a greenfield construction project involving numerous trades alike the excavators and the foundation guys and girls and the steel people and the glass people and the like as opposed to a retrofit project involving a much more significant portion of the cost being expended onto systems that we install and maintain, we would, generally speaking, prefer the latter. It's a simpler job for us. The work that we do is generally speaking on the critical path, and it's just another risk removed for us if we're in a position where the retrofits restacking project revolves around our systems. It has the same attraction that Tony mentioned earlier in connection with our data center work. Data centers are just really simple boxes crammed with stuff and the stuff is pretty much what we install and maintain. So the significance of that is that, our services typically comprised between 60% and 80% of the overall cost of a data center and we're in position of real authority and responsibility on those projects and that's one of the reason why they tend to pay us pretty well.

Tony Guzzi

Management

And I think that when we like new construction are in a mission critical environment where people value time. That's why we like hotel gaming and why we like Las Vegas and native American gaming. And that's why we like [home stuff]. It matters.

John Rogers - D.A. Davidson

Analyst · D.A. Davidson.

Relative to the last, I mean lot of your segments have been or divisions have been around a lot longer, but in the previous downturn -- economic downturn, I mean it showed up in your numbers, I mean, fairly quickly and we're not seeing the impact now. And I guess I am trying to figure out not only whether you have any in terms of what's really different this time. It's just that the commercial industrial markets, they won't have the excess capacity that they did previously or any sense there?

Frank MacInnis

Management

Well, John, I think that the period leading up to the last recession was one of creation of a large bubble of non-residential facilities. We saw major projects are being driven by financing availability risen by demand. And so we had lot further to fall the last time and that the 2002 and 2003 recession was extremely abrupt. We saw reductions in construction activity of 30% to 40% in many of our markets, a huge, very damaging, very difficult downturn in which by the way we remain profitable but it was a tough one. This time around I just don't see anything like the excesses of the dotcom error, for example, or the construction of so called [feature] buildings that have been put because the [bunny] was there and not because there any demonstrable demand. So I think that spending in the non-residential construction sector has been very restrained and responsible and incremental in the post recessionary period that followed upon the last recession. I think some lessons were learned and I assure you that there is no non-residential bubble out there that we course bound to the obvious residential bubble that exist. For the same reason, that the non-residential one existed last time and that on the residential side, there were lots of finance-driven projects that were not in response to demonstrable demand.

Tony Guzzi

Management

Right. And you said our operations have been around for long time and as we do reviews around the country and we talk about the differences to a company especially our major subsidiaries, we became very enamored like most people did with [tech] from 1999 to 2002 and we were probably drawing too much of our earnings from that sector. And that sector went down hard and quick like Frank said. We've done a much better job this time, a keep in diversity than our customer base. And our acquisition program has really added the diversity in our customer base by getting into oil and gas in a bigger way with Ohmstede. Our service acquisitions like [politics] and air systems notably and now MSI down in Florida, and then also expanding our footprint in the fire protection, which we like for a whole lot of reasons that are different than just traditional mechanical contracting. I think we learned those lessons, although reliance was on one sector. Although, the margins were terrific and life was good, I think it's one of those cases where not only at group level but more importantly at our subsidiary level. People said, "I'm going to do extra amount of work for this type of customer. And I'm going to make sure keep all the irons in fire across this expansion."

Frank MacInnis

Management

John, I have one other comment about your reference to our historical performance and if I'm correct and the year that I believe you're looking at. We had a very significant loss in our U.K. operation that year. That was a project loss that happened very quickly. That significantly impacted our overall performance that year.

John Rogers - D.A. Davidson

Analyst · D.A. Davidson.

Okay. Frank, the U.K. operations, you're comfortable with the structure of those now and I mean, any other further restructurings there?

Frank MacInnis

Management

We need to reduce costs some more. But there is an absence of badness reflected in the first quarter U.K. results. We consider both remaining divisions. Now that the rail division is finished, the construction division on the one hand and the facilities management business on the other, which by the way was one of the pioneers in that business back in the early 80s are both well managed and operated well at the first quarter. So it's been long and argues process, but I think we do have that absence of badness there. Although to be fair, the results are still not what we would like. The operating profit for the quarter was 1.1%, which is not enough. But it's certainly better than previously. And we are pleased with that. okay.

John Rogers - D.A. Davidson

Analyst · D.A. Davidson.

Thank you very much and congratulations on the quarter.

Frank MacInnis

Management

Thank you, John.

Operator

Operator

Your final question comes from the line of Richard Paget with Morgan Joseph.

Richard Paget - Morgan Joseph

Analyst

Thanks.

Frank MacInnis

Management

Hi, Richard.

Richard Paget - Morgan Joseph

Analyst

I just want to get back to the sequential backlog. Looking at the bar chart without having the numbers in front of me it seems sequentially the declines happened in water and wastewater and transportation. I know Frank already addressed there are some concerns about those markets, but you're not necessarily seen anything. So should we attribute this sequential downturns lumpiness or seasonality or how should we think about it?

Frank MacInnis

Management

I'm going to let Kevin give you some details concerning the performance of individuals sectors in just a second. I've characterize it as such many times in the past. You can certainly assume that water and wastewater, for example, will continue to be lumpy. It's just the nature of the [bees] that tend to have a higher proportion of larger individual projects than is the case elsewhere in our company. Aside from the rather surprising and encouraging use, our office and commercial segments grew 3.5% sequentially during the quarter. The rest of the sector performance that I am looking at is completely unsurprising to me. $100 million of backlog reduction spread among six large economic sectors is $10 million or $15 million per sector, which represents one or two good size projects out of more than the 1,000. So I am really not inclined to overreact to this as indicative of a trend or anything of the kind. Kevin, you got some numbers?

Kevin Matz

Management

Yes, Richard, I'll just give you a few numbers again. Frank mentioned that commercial was up about 3.4%. Healthcare is about flat. Institutional, which is down a little bit about 5% or so, but that $30 million is just going to be really one project, as Frank talked about. Hospitality and our gaming sector, flat; the industrial side, down about 5% of $25 million; transportation, down about $25 million of that large sector; and water waste for the treatment, as Frank talked about, on some of the lumpiness, that was down about $40 million. It is still a good distributed backlog.

Frank MacInnis

Management

I've got to say, Richard, that given the headlines of that you read everyday in the national press about the reticence of American businesses towards spending capital on anything these days, that the replacement of backlog at the pace we've done it, especially in the quarter of record revenue burn is pretty good performance. And I reiterate I don't think that the mildly negative trends, 2% downturn, is just not very significant from a -- is anything to hang your head on as far as a continuing trend to be extrapolated in this concern.

Richard Paget - Morgan Joseph

Analyst

A lot of these projects that I guess are hitting your backlog now were probably financed last year, Now that their credit crunches are really hitting in the first quarter, maybe going forward that's one you should expect to see. Is that fair to say?

Frank MacInnis

Management

Yes, I think that it is certainly fair to say that EMCOR is a late phase company. For example, if there is trouble coming for EMCOR down the road, then you should be able to look at companies right now that are around the front end of these projects and say, "My goodness, look at that. Jacobs is down 12% in terms of revenues from North American projects." But as I mentioned earlier in the call, the problem is that that's not the case, and the revenue in earnings reports from the guys who are in the front end of those projects are finished. When we install and complete and begin to manage the systems, their results are real good. And they are talking about growth prospects and analysts are upgrading them to buys and projecting significant earnings growth. So, everything you say is right except that it doesn't seem to be translated into trends within our industry so far. And I think that that may be attributable in part at least to what I mentioned to you earlier. And that is that there hasn't been any huge build-up of a bubble that has led to rose over capacity in any of the sectors in which we are operating, even the office and commercial, which I believe is the most vulnerable to an early downturn in response to a recessionary trend.

Richard Paget - Morgan Joseph

Analyst

Okay. So with Jacobs' backlog being up 50% year-over-year, that would I mean a pretty good '09 for you guys?

Frank MacInnis

Management

That's what I am talking about. And on the other side of the coin, you get a report like the architect's billing index, which came out yesterday, which was very negative, but there is a disconnect for me in reading that report, which I have to take into account. It's one of the things that we look at in connection with how cautious a note that we should sound as far as the future revenue and earnings. So we read that, and it's a very negative report, but it seems to be oddly out of sync with what we see in terms of actual results from good companies in our space.

Richard Paget - Morgan Joseph

Analyst

Okay. And then just finally, in Canadian business, I mean it's seems like you guys have run on together a couple of pretty solid quarters. I mean what should our margin expectations be for that business now that it's going at a good space?

Frank MacInnis

Management

Well, I think it's a much better business than it was. They've done a lot of work in terms of recasting of management and restructuring of the company's operating structure. This was by concentrating on the eastern market and the Greater Toronto area and the western market set on the Alberta oil and gas market and related markets. And that was the right thing to do. I mention during the body of my call that it doesn't hurt that the Canadian economy, which is largely commodities based. It has profited from the worldwide demand for commodities. We are seeing well-healed customers spending money aggressively in large chunks in order to substantially increase capacity. That's what our Canadian company does. It's primarily an industrial construction company with a strong presence in power and automotive and steelmaking and now in healthcare as well. We liked our position very much. I think that they are well managed and would expect them to continue to show better margins as the time goes long.

Richard Paget - Morgan Joseph

Analyst

So, ideally, could margins get to be similar to US or is there just a different structure that this will be a 3% margin business where it's --?

Frank MacInnis

Management

Well, it's hard to tell. It's a lumpy business like water and wastewater. It's comprised of larger projects, smaller in overall number, so that one or two projects can significantly impact the company's result for a year or even for a couple of years. That's a difficult call. I'd be hard pressed to speculate that they could dramatically increase their margins, certainly not up to Ohmstede levels or anything of the kind. But I think they can do better than they have been doing, which in the current quarter was I think 2.5% EBIT. Canada can do better than that.

Richard Paget - Morgan Joseph

Analyst

Okay. Thanks.

Frank MacInnis

Management

You bet, Rich.

Operator

Operator

I will now turn the conference back over to management for closing remarks.

Frank MacInnis

Management

Terrific. Well, thank you all for your attention, for your interest and for your support of EMCOR and watch this phase for interesting future developments. Thanks very much.

Operator

Operator

Thank you for participating in today's conference. You may now disconnect.