Scott Balfour
Analyst · TD Cowen
Thank you, Dave, and good morning, everyone. Emera enters these last months of 2025 with solid momentum. Our third quarter marked our fifth consecutive quarter of strong adjusted earnings growth, which has been underpinned by disciplined execution and customer-focused investments and reflects both the strength of our strategy and the quality of our portfolio. With a record $3.6 billion in capital investment this year and a newly extended 7% to 8% rate base growth profile, and a $20 billion capital plan through 2030, we're confident in our ability to continue to deliver sustainable value for customers and shareholders alike. This morning, we reported third quarter adjusted earnings per share of $0.88, a nearly 9% increase over the same period in 2024. Year-to-date, adjusted earnings per share of $2.94 represents a 14% increase over the same period in 2024. The progress this year sets us up well to deliver on our 5% to 7% adjusted earnings per share growth guidance through 2027. In September, our Board of Directors approved a 1% dividend increase, our 19th consecutive year of annual increases. This continued growth in our dividend reflects our confidence in the strength of our premium asset portfolio and our ability to deliver consistent earnings and cash flow growth. We remain focused on delivering value to all stakeholders and we're delivering. We're on track to deliver our largest annual capital spend of $3.6 billion in 2025, with more than $2.6 billion already deployed across key projects, including solar and reliability investments at Tampa Electric, energy storage and transmission upgrades in Nova Scotia, and gas infrastructure at Peoples Gas, and we remain on track to fully execute on our full year plan. Looking forward, our 2026 to 2030 capital plan adds $20 billion of essential investment across our portfolio, enabling us to continue to deliver the reliable energy our customers expect. Like many across the sector, we see increased demand for core investments in reliability, resilience, modernization and generation capacity driven by key market conditions, such as accelerating demand growth, changing grid configuration, renewables integration and of course, electrification. Put simply, there is no shortage of investment opportunity across our portfolio. Our capital plan thoughtfully maintains our 7% to 8% rate base growth trajectory as we remain focused on pacing our capital investment in a way that best delivers value and manages cost impacts for customers while also delivering solid and sustainable growth for investors. Affordability for customers is an important consideration that we must balance with the need to invest in our systems to ensure we were able to reliably deliver the energy our customers need. Since our acquisition of Tampa Electric in 2016, Tampa Electric's rate base has grown by more than 8% annually, driven by investments to support the delivery of essential service to our customers. Over the same period, Tampa Electric's bill increases have remained below the national average. Our success in managing customer cost impacts is driven by prudent cost management, smart investments and a focus on strategic initiatives that deliver value for customers. For example, our solar investments in Florida have saved customers more than USD 350 million in avoided fuel costs. In Nova Scotia, investments required to meet growth in the province to maintain reliability in the face of increasing severe weather and to support government policies of closing coal plants are also driving rate base investment and growth. And we're working to find creative solutions to minimize the impact on customer rates. Last year, Nova Scotia Power is supported by both federal and provincial governments, we securitized more than $600 million in fuel costs and the recently filed consensus general rate application proposes an additional $700 million of securitization related to a portion of Nova Scotia Power's thermal generation assets. These steps are helping to minimize near-term customer cost impacts and demonstrate the thoughtful approach we continue to take in managing rates for customers. Florida continues to be a powerful engine of growth, with robust population and economic expansion driving increased demand for electricity and natural gas. In the last 5 years, Florida has experienced nearly 38% GDP growth. And in 2024, it was the #1 state for net migration and experienced the second highest population growth in the country. To support that growth, more than 80% of our capital plan will be deployed here. The influx of new customers has translated into increased demand for both electricity and natural gas across both residential and commercial sectors. At Tampa Electric's capacity needs grow as a result of economic development, our 2026 to 2030 capital plan includes approximately $1.2 billion of transmission expansion and capacity improvements, averaging approximately $240 million of investment per year. This is in addition to the more than $2 billion of anticipated ongoing spend on solar and complementary energy storage projects, which will result in 2,100 megawatts of solar to be in service by the end of 2028. At Peoples Gas, our investments will be targeted at bringing new customers online as we see continued growth in natural gas demand. In addition, our investments will continue to focus on hardening the system and increasing reliability for customers. As a direct result of the growth we continue to see in Florida, we expect rate base growth from our local utilities to outpace the average of our consolidated plan with these investments driving 8% to 9% rate base growth through 2030. And with the recently approved settlement of Peoples Gas and last year's Tampa Electric rate case, both of which include subsequent year adjustments, we are pleased to have regulatory clarity in support of our investment in rate base over the next 3 years. I'd like to acknowledge that a capital plan of this size is not just numbers on a page. It requires a team of dedicated professionals to execute on. I'm very proud of our teams across all our companies that year after year developed thoughtful plans to take our customers' current and future needs and government regulations and policies into consideration, anticipate what it will take to execute and then go out and deliver on these plans, safely and efficiently. We made a meaningful regulatory process in 2025. The Florida Public Service Commission approved the Peoples Gas settlement with USD 67 million of new rates to go into effect in 2026 and subsequent year adjustments of USD 25 million and USD 5 million in 2027 and 2028, respectively. The settlement agreement also reflects a 15 basis point increase in return on equity, bringing it to 10.3%. This agreement helps to manage regulatory lag and the recovery of investments and important reliability and distribution expansion needs across the state. Earlier this week, the FPSC formalized Tampa Electric's 2026 base rate increase of USD 88 million, which was approved as part of their 2024 decision. In Nova Scotia, the utility filed a consensus general rate application with the Nova Scotia Energy Board in September, requesting new rates for 2026 and 2027. This consensus GRA reflects agreement reached with all customer representatives following extensive engagement and constructive collaboration with key stakeholders across the province. The hearing has been scheduled for January 2026, and we expect a decision and new rates early next year. The GRA enables critical reliability and infrastructure investments necessary to support the needs of Nova Scotians, which are reflected in our updated capital plan. If approved as filed, the settlement provides Nova Scotia Power with a path to return to earning its approved ROE in 2026 and 2027. Finally, at New Mexico Gas, the sales process is proceeding. The regulatory hearing began earlier this week, and we remain confident in obtaining regulatory approval in early 2026. Before turning the call over to Greg, I wanted to highlight that while we extended our rate base growth forecast today through 2030, we've maintained our 5% to 7% adjusted earnings per share growth guidance through 2027. We plan to roll forward our EPS guidance on our fourth quarter call in February of 2026. And with that, I'll turn the call over to Greg.