Earnings Labs

Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc. (ELS)

Q1 2020 Earnings Call· Tue, Apr 21, 2020

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day everyone and thank you all for joining us to discuss Equity LifeStyle Properties, First Quarter 2020 Results. Our featured speakers today are Marguerite Nader, our President and CEO; Paul Seavey, our Executive Vice President and CFO; and Patrick Waite, our Executive Vice President and COO. In advance of today's call, management released earnings.Today's call will consist of opening remarks and a question-and-answer session with management relating to the company's earnings release. As a reminder, this call is being recorded.Certain matters discussed during this conference call may contain forward-looking statements in the meaning of the federal securities laws. All forward-looking statements are subject to certain economic risks and uncertainty. The company assumes no obligation to update or supplement any statements that become untrue because of subsequent events.In addition, during today's call we will discuss non-GAAP financial measures as defined by SEC Regulation G. Reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures to the comparable GAAP financial measures are included in our earnings release, our supplemental information and our historical SEC filings.At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Marguerite Nader, our President and CEO.

Marguerite Nader

Management

Good morning and thank you for joining us today. To begin, I wish everyone on the call the best in these challenging times. Before we discuss our results, I want to say thank you to the entire ELS team for the work they have done and continue to do since the COVID-19 crisis began.We have adapted procedures with the safety of our employees and customers in mind, while also continuing to serve our residents and customers in a difficult environment. We have seamlessly transitioned to work-from-home in our corporate and regional offices. The effort and dedication that our teams have shown during these past five weeks is admirable. We have successfully navigated through new regulatory protocols and operating environments at an impressive pace, while maintaining our high quality standards. I am proud of our team.Our first quarter was strong with an NOI growth rate of 5.2%. We saw strong demand on the MH side of the business, with a 4.9% increase in rental revenue. We wrapped up our Snowbird season and have a total RV revenue growth rate of 4.8%. The drivers in that revenue were a 7.4% growth rate in annual revenue, a 7% growth rate in seasonal revenue and a 7.6% decline in transient revenue.Let me first address our MH business. Since the middle of March we have taken steps to increase social distancing, include closing the common area amenities and opening our offices by appointment only. We have been and remain focused on ensuring the health and wellbeing of our employees, residents, members and guests. Our customers have appreciated the importance of these steps and have followed the new guidelines.We have an occupancy rate of 95% in our core portfolio. We have often focused on the occupancy rate, but at this time, I think it's important to…

Paul Seavey

Management

Thank you, Marguerite, and good morning everyone. I will provide an overview of our first quarter results, highlight operating performance in April, including the results of our recent annual property and casualty insurance renewal and discuss our balance sheet and liquidity position.For the first quarter we reported $0.59 normalized FFO per share. Our results reflect the initial impact of COVID-19, which primarily affected our transient RV business. Core MH rent growth of 4.9% includes 4.4% rate growth and approximately 50 basis points related to occupancy gains.Core RV rental income from annuals and seasonals outperformed expectations for the quarter. Our transient revenues, which were pacing ahead of guidance through February ended the quarter down 7.6% compared to last year. As Marguerite mentioned, we began closing our reservation grid to incoming customers in mid-March.First quarter membership dues revenue, as well as the net contribution from upgrade sales were higher than guidance. Dues revenues increased 6.1% as a result of rate increases and an increase in our paid member count of 4.3%.During the quarter we sold approximately 3,200 Thousand Trails camping passes. We upgraded 727 members during the quarter, 15% more than the first quarter last year. Core utility and other income was in line with guidance for the quarter and includes the year-over-year increase in real-estate tax pass-throughs resulting from the Florida reenactments we discussed in January.First quarter core property operating maintenance and real-estate tax expenses were unfavorable to forecast, mainly as a result of higher than expected R&M expenses. We incurred expenses to recover from storms in California and certain northern properties.In summary, first quarter core property operating revenues were up 5.4% and core NOIs before property management increased 5.2%. Property operating income from the non-core portfolio, which includes our Marina portfolio, as well as assets acquired during 2019 was $2.8…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Nicholas Joseph with Citi. Your line is now open.

Nicholas Joseph

Analyst

Thank you. Just on the transient RV revenue, I was wondering if you could break out the percentage of the total year; that's Memorial Day and then July 4, and then Labor Day weekends.

Paul Seavey

Management

I think Nick as we laid it out, in the supplemental you can see the contribution from prior year. But at this point I think that – you know I think that you would look to those numbers as the indicator of the amounts.

Marguerite Nader

Management

And I think as we said in the past of not talking about the future here. As we said in the past, May Memorial Day represents about a third of our overall Memorial Day traffic, our overall May transient traffic.

Nicholas Joseph

Analyst

Okay, so Memorial Day, the 3rd of May and then that’s in the supplemental in terms of each of the months in the second quarter.

Marguerite Nader

Management

Right.

Nicholas Joseph

Analyst

Great, thanks. And I’m just wondering you know if you have a sense on the private side of you know your experience so far both on the MH and the RV. It’s similar to what you expect on the private side or do you expect additional stress there, you know that may ultimately lead to different acquisition opportunities on the other side of this.

Marguerite Nader

Management

Yeah, it's interesting that one of the things that’s happened during this pandemic is there has been a lot of discussion with operators. We’ve kind of gotten together to talk about what's happening, so that we have an appreciation, since we are kind of all in this together. And from that, and certainly some of the smaller operators, I think there may be an opportunity, but right now it's more about kind of exchanging best practices and really being just good community stewards at this point. And should there be something that comes out as a result of that because people are interested in selling, that could be interesting.

Nicholas Joseph

Analyst

Thanks.

Marguerite Nader

Management

Thanks Nick.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from Joshua Dennerlein with Bank of America. Your line is now open.

Joshua Dennerlein

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is now open.

Hey Marguerite, hey Paul. Hope you’re doing well?

Marguerite Nader

Management

Hello Josh.

Joshua Dennerlein

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is now open.

Curious, on the – looks like we canceled the April notice for the MH increase. What percent of the portfolio is subject to that kind of April notice, and kind of do you have any expectations on going forward, if that's something like as the pandemic passes you'd be able to push through.

Paul Seavey

Management

Yeah, yeah. So the suspension, yes, it took place in April. When you think about our renting increase process overall, those notices are generally sent 90 days prior to the effective date. So the April notices, generally suspended increases that would have been effective August 1, and just keep in mind, that rent increase calendar therefore, it’s kind of a fiscal calendar, so September through August are the notice dates for increases that would be effective January through December. We had sent notices to more than 70% of our MH residents by the time we got to April, and April the month itself is a relatively small percentage, you know kind of single digits type percentage.The notices that we had sent prior to April were consistent with the 4% rate growth that we had expected. So when you think about math, if you want to kind of figure out what it might translate into, just the math would suggest maybe 50 basis points on our expected rate growth.

Joshua Dennerlein

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is now open.

Okay, thank you, I appreciate that. And then, you enacted our rent deferral program. Is that for MH and RV or just the MH side, and has anyone at this point requested to defer April rent?

Patrick Waite

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is now open.

Yeah, its Patrick. The deferral program was rolled out for April rent and it provided the opportunity initially in MH for a resident to request a deferral of part of all of April rent to be repaid over the following three months.We have a small number of requests from our RV annual base across the portfolio, but that said, it's a small number relative to the total which on the MH side is in the neighborhood of $180,000 $200,000, which represents a few basis points, 30, 40 points total collections.

Marguerite Nader

Management

And the way we kind of got to that policy was in really, harkening back to my answer in the last question, just having conversations with owners and operators and trying to have an understanding of what others were doing, how we thought it was going to impact our property and we think it’s worked out very well and it is for those who have been impacted by COVID-19, which were you know – those were the results of what we've seen so far.

Joshua Dennerlein

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is now open.

Okay, thank you. Just one follow up on that, have you guys thought about having the same program for May or is it too early at this point?

Marguerite Nader

Management

Yeah, I think it’s a little bit early. You know as we thought about coming out with that – probably wanted to come out at the same time we normally do, but we'll certainly provide updates as we have updates.

Joshua Dennerlein

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is now open.

Okay, thank you everyone.

Marguerite Nader

Management

Thanks Josh.

Paul Seavey

Management

Thanks Josh.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from John Kim with BMO Capital Markets. Your line is now open.

John Kim

Analyst · BMO Capital Markets. Your line is now open.

Thank you. Can you just clarify your decision to open the northern RV resort and also take steps to transient RV regulations? Would that be based solely on the state and local shelter-in-place regulations or will this be in any case more of a companywide decision?

Marguerite Nader

Management

No, I mean the state shelter-in-place orders were really the large part of the impetus for the decisions we’ve made regarding reducing traffic at our RV Park or the transient traffic, and we're working with local counties on their particular order, because in some cases they may be more restrictive than the state, so it’s all regulatory protocol. So we are working with state and local counties for them to allow that activity. We're ready to go once that happens, and then in instances like I said, some are pushed to the end of April, which is only 10 days away or nine days away, whatever that is.

John Kim

Analyst · BMO Capital Markets. Your line is now open.

So you didn’t anticipate potentially being more conservative than the state regulations, opening later than the recommendation.

Marguerite Nader

Management

No, we would anticipate going along with regulatory protocol, you know similar to what we've done in every aspect of this during those last five weeks in terms of our systems that we put in place and we're operating under the guidelines that we've been given and we would continue to do that, but we would see that they would be opening as soon as there is daylight for that to happen from the standpoint of the states or those counties.

John Kim

Analyst · BMO Capital Markets. Your line is now open.

Okay. The 7.6% decline in transient revenue that you experienced in the first quarter, how much of that was demand driven versus your decision to halt reservations?

Marguerite Nader

Management

It was primarily our decision and that it was towards – Patrick, correct me, I think it's towards the middle of March or date March 18 or something, where we just said that this seems like an opportunity for us, that we would prefer to kind of stop the traffic going in and out and then we made that decision and I think it proved to be the absolute right decision for our customers and for our employees and so that – and then it was a couple of weeks after that, that that decision was made. You know the shelter-in-place orders were put in place across the state.

John Kim

Analyst · BMO Capital Markets. Your line is now open.

Once we start accepting reservations again in transient, do you anticipate demand being there or I’m just wondering if there’s any way that you could track customer demand or leads in transient ID?

Marguerite Nader

Management

I mean, we are seeing a real desire to get out and can't. We’re seeing a desire for people to be outdoors. What’s holding them back is the shelter-in-place. So we don't see any decrease in demand. If anything, an increase and an excitement of getting outside, getting out of the four walls of their home.

John Kim

Analyst · BMO Capital Markets. Your line is now open.

Marguerite, you mentioned the strong demand in Thousand Trails during the pandemic. Can you remind us what the customer experience is like today? Are members allowed to go physically into your camping ground?

Marguerite Nader

Management

Sure. So there's many TT members right now who have been able to use the system and they are actually currently sheltering in place at our property, so that – I think that's been positive and they've been very pleased about being able to do that. In some instances, in all instances we’ve actually reduced the regulation or rules around the amount of time that one can spend in a particular property and that has been very well received, so that we – that was I guess another way for us to reduce the movement around the system and around the country.

John Kim

Analyst · BMO Capital Markets. Your line is now open.

Okay, thank you.

Marguerite Nader

Management

Thanks John.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from Todd Stender with Wells Fargo. Your line is now open.

Todd Stender

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Your line is now open.

Hi, thanks. I hope you guys are all well?

Marguerite Nader

Management

Yes, thank you. You too. Good morning.

Todd Stender

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Your line is now open.

Good morning, thanks. I guess kind of moving towards home sales, Q1 numbers especially with new homes were pretty solid, but can you maybe speak to March as the COVID news certainly took hold and maybe looking back at rental conversions, how do you think that looks going forward?

Paul Seavey

Management

Let me just comment on the quarter first. It was a solid quarter for new home sales, up 70% year-over-year and we saw broad strength across the portfolio. Florida had a very good quarter as with Arizona, Nevada and really across all of our northern markets as well. So from a demand perspective coming out of the quarter, it's been very favorable.From a renter conversion perspective, and keep in mind we also look at existing residents either upsizing to a new home or downsizing to a smaller home. Total conversions were 27% for the quarter. That’s kind of in the range that’s been consistent over the last several quarters, up 25% to 30% and three quarters of those were conversions, renters who were either renting an ELS home or renting another home on site.So still a very sticky customer and very much interested in buying homes and setting up long term residency at our communities. You know how that’s going to translate into you know shelter-in-place and moving out of shelter-in-place, it’s difficult to say. You know reduced contingency, that’s our demand profile coming out of the – coming out of work.

Marguerite Nader

Management

And yeah Todd, we were pretty excited originally to talk about the new home sales, because I think our team did a great job in new home sales in the quarter, but obviously there were other things that took precedent to discussing, but the team did a great job on new home sales in the quarter.

Todd Stender

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Your line is now open.

Great! Okay, that's helpful. And then Paul, on just with the rent deferral, how are you accounting for that? We certainly see it was retail. We covered the triple net lease spaces. So with a certain level of certainty, do you think you can collect rent and certainly book it in FFL? How do you look at that from a resident standpoint and their cash?

Paul Seavey

Management

Right, I mean that's certainly a relevant question. I’d say for us Todd it is an extremely small number as we talked about, so we're evaluating it just in the ordinary course as we take a look at collectability and would otherwise offset our revenues if and when we determine it’s not collectible, but you know again, its 30 to 40 basis points.

Marguerite Nader

Management

And I think it will be important as we turn the calendar to May. Certainly each one of these deferrals signed an agreement and so as we turn the calendar to May to see how the May payments are coming in, that will be – that will inform our views as well.

Todd Stender

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Your line is now open.

Okay, got it. Just last one, when it comes to business interruption insurance, certainly we see this with you guys when hurricanes hit and events like that, but policies generally don't cover or they only apply to property damage and they don't apply to maybe pandemics. Do you have any context there with how this applies to you guys?

Paul Seavey

Management

Yeah, I think generally speaking your comments are accurate. I do think this is an area that had been the subject of quite a bit of discussion, so it remains to be seen. With respect to the policy found April 1, I think there was clarification in the language, but you know as to policies in place prior to the pandemic, it'll probably continue to be a topic of discussion.

Todd Stender

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Your line is now open.

Got it! Thank you.

Marguerite Nader

Management

Thanks Todd.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And the next question comes from John Pawlowski with Green Street. Your line is now open.

John Pawlowski

Analyst · Green Street. Your line is now open.

Thanks, good morning. Paul, just maybe a follow up question on the impact of the suspension of the MH rent increases. Is it 50 bips on total portfolio MH rate growth for 2020? Did I interpret that correctly?

Paul Seavey

Management

Yeah, that's what the math – again, you're right. I'm trying to be careful with respect to guidance since we withdrew it, but just the math, based on the number of notices remaining and the timing of their effectiveness in 2020, it’s about 50 basis points from our expected growth of 4%.

John Pawlowski

Analyst · Green Street. Your line is now open.

Got it. Okay, and then Patrick, curious for some commentary on what you're seeing on the occupancy side on the MH and split between age restricted and family. Are you seeing any markets in either segments? In April is occupancy declining anywhere and any sense of magnitude itself?

Patrick Waite

Analyst · Green Street. Your line is now open.

I think it's early to say with respect to April, but maybe just going up a level and just looking at the composition of all age generated qualified portfolio. You know overall we’re 70% age qualified. The average age of that resident is in the early 70’s. You know it’s a baby boomer, they’re retired.The average age in our all age portfolio is in their late 50’s. It skews a little higher because of the locations that we have in retirement destinations and just the amenities and activities of our properties overall. So even in the age qualified, we tend to skew towards baby boomers and retirees, whose income is really based on retirement savings, social security and less so on employment and you know paychecks. So they tend to be very resilient in periods of job disruptions.I did in my previous company run at large all these portfolios and as the job disruption in the great recession ended up resulting in an increasing vacancy over a period of time, that would have been replenished over time as the economy stabilized and we had you know residency that are relocating to different markets or different states in order to seek employment and we also saw people kind of moving down to a more affordable housing choice.But for – you know for our portfolio, again you know 70% each qualified properties and for all age properties behaving in many ways similar to age qualified. I just don’t – I don’t see the driver of the job destruction having as creating an impact.

John Pawlowski

Analyst · Green Street. Your line is now open.

Okay understood, but I guess the quick or just maybe this succinct question just given the sheer number of layoffs you see today, is it reasonable to expect that your family community sees some diminish in occupancy or you really wouldn’t underwrite that from what you see on the ground today.

Marguerite Nader

Management

I mean, I think that what you're seeing on our family community skewed toward the older, you know as Patrick mentioned, but certainly when you look at, you look at Nevada for instance, I mean you are seeing currently high unemployment rates there and we have property there. So I’d say by region you would look at it, but I think that there certainly will be some impact in those locations, but we do skew towards the older demographic even on the family side. So I think that's what will decrease the impact.

Paul Seavey

Management

And just to frame that John, I mean Nevada as an example is right around 5% delinquent for April. So as Patrick says, its early and we are trying to read [inaudible] here but that’s – there’s a lot to watch.

Marguerite Nader

Management

And then the timing with – I mean Nevada is a function of – you know the casinos, etcetera, coming back and when that happens and that type of thing. So we’re focused on all of it, but it's a relatively small piece of our business.

John Pawlowski

Analyst · Green Street. Your line is now open.

Okay, understood. Maybe be one last one from me. Paul, I know the expense savings are probably getting minimal, at least in the first half of the year. What does – can you give us a sense of magnitude? What does the play book look like in the second half of ‘20 and 2021, you know if demand remains low in the RV business. Like what kind of expense levers are there to pull in the second half and can you give, humor us with a rough dollar number of a cost savings that you're pro-actively looking to grab in the back half of this year and early 2021.

Paul Seavey

Management

Well, I can focus on the first part of your question. The last part of your question I'll probably set said for another day, but just broadly when you think about our overall property operating and maintenance expenses, when you exclude the real-estate taxes, that's about 80% of our expense base. Inside of that, about 10% are fixed. So insurance premiums, software and other expenses that support the business, so when you think about the remaining 90% that have some level of variability, and I think you’ve focused on the RV, which I think is right, because to the extent the MH portfolio maintains a consistent level of occupancy, we wouldn't see much variability there.But inside RV, depending on the data when the normal operations resume, you know there's something of a built-in hedge in expense line items like payroll and utilities and then R&M and admin, they could see reductions as well that could be just lower spend on supplies and other items that are needed for run rate operations. So that's how I’d frame it, but I'm going to stop before I you know try to suggest a dollar amount or impact.

Marguerite Nader

Management

And I think John, to just – and I think we talked about this before just from considering an example, a highly transient property, a highly transient RV property, comes with it a higher level of payroll just because there's generally more activities, there’s more people checking in and checking out, you need more people to do that, so there's a direct correlation.If you're not seeing that – I wouldn’t say as not seeing, because the demand I think is definitely there. If we’re not able, okay, then you have that kind of immediate adjustment to payroll just because you know there's just not the activity level there. So that's where I would see it, you know being able to impact with the staffing.

John Pawlowski

Analyst · Green Street. Your line is now open.

Okay, great. Thank you for the time.

Marguerite Nader

Management

Alright, thanks John.

Paul Seavey

Management

Thanks John.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from Samir Khanal with Evercore ISI. Your line is now open.

Samir Khanal

Analyst · Evercore ISI. Your line is now open.

Good morning, Marguerite. I guess just a clarification. I got on the call a little bit late, so I apologize. On the RV annuals, I think in the press release you said for the April and May lease renewals you’ve collected 61% of certain installment rent payments that you were 10% below the same time last year. I mean, I’m just trying to clarify, does that mean you're sort of losing customers here; does that mean collections are coming in – you anticipate collections to come in sort of at a later date here?

Paul Seavey

Management

I think what it highlights is the payment schedules for the RV annual customers that differ based on their renewal date. So the focus at this time of the year Samir is those April and May renewals, mainly consists to the northern RV resorts, and those customers tend to make their installment payments when they arrive at the beginning of the summer season. So the closures that we’ve noted have affected the timing of those payments, but we are pleased to be in a place where we’ve collected you know more than 85% of what we had collected last year at this time.

Marguerite Nader

Management

And just to follow-up, this was – I had kind of touched on this in the beginning, but when our customers leave after the summer, they provide a deposit as Paul mention, but they leave their park model, the resort cottage, their RV onsite at the property and return for the following season. And the first few weeks of every season are really generally a time for our customer to prepare for their second, you know prepare their second home before the summer season.The activity of the property really starts to accelerate as the summer weather moves in, and so that's kind of what we're seeing as we're making calls to our customers. We are seeing a lot of people very anxious to come and you know get out of their locations where they are and come to our properties.

Samir Khanal

Analyst · Evercore ISI. Your line is now open.

Okay, thanks for that.

Marguerite Nader

Management

Okay, thanks Samir.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. At this time I’d like to turn it back over to Marguerite Nader for losing comments.

Marguerite Nader

Management

Thank you for joining us on the call today. I look forward to providing further updates about our business. Thanks and stay well.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for your participation on today's conference. This does conclude your program. You may now disconnect.