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Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc. (ELS)

Q2 2015 Earnings Call· Tue, Jul 21, 2015

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day everyone and thank you all for joining us to discuss Equity LifeStyle Properties' Second Quarter 2015 Results. Our featured speakers today are Marguerite Nader, our President and CEO; Paul Seavey, our Executive Vice President and CFO; and Patrick Waite, our Executive Vice President and COO. In advance of today's call, management released earnings. Today's call will consist of opening remarks and a Q&A session with management related to the Company's earnings release. As a reminder, this call is being recorded. Certain matters discussed during this conference call may contain forward-looking statements in the meanings of the federal securities laws. Our forward-looking statements are subject to certain economic risk and uncertainty. The Company assumes no obligation to update or supplement any statements that become untrue, because of subsequent events. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Marguerite Nader, our President and CEO. Please go ahead.

Marguerite Nader

Management

Good morning and thank you for joining us today. Our second quarter results showed strong growth, with core NOI up 5% and FFO up 11%. The strength of our NOI is due to the high demand for our real estate locations. Our properties are located, where the greatest demand exists for our customer demographic, the baby boomer generation. In the MH footprint, we had our 23rd successive quarter of occupancy growth, with an increase of 112 sites. This gain has made up of an increase of 239 homeowners and a reduction in rental occupancy of 127. This is our eighth consecutive quarter of homeowner occupancy growth, and we are pleased with this trend. We are currently 92.7% occupied. We have roughly 5,100 vacant sites, with half of that vacancy in Florida, where there is strong demand for our value proposition. We had a good quarter, with respect to both new and used home sales. We sold 143 new homes, as compared to 86 last year. Additionally, we saw an increase in used home sales of over 28%, as we increased sales from 340 to 436. Within our four key Florida markets; Orlando, Tampa, Sarasota, and Southeast Florida, we see customers willing to either try before they buy our home in the form of a rental conversion or simply purchase outright after having toured the community. These new buyers are generally 60 years old, with FICO scores of over 700. Operationally, we are focused on converting existing renters to owners. We are encouraged by our results year-to-date, as 11% of our overall sales are a result of our renter converted to a homeowner. We analyze the demand for conversions at our property, and adjust our inventory accordingly. We encourage prospective customers to commit to us in the form of rental for…

Paul Seavey

Management

Thank you, Marguerite, and good morning everyone. I will discuss our second quarter results and update guidance for the remainder of 2015. For the second quarter, we reported $0.70 of normalized FFO per share, approximately $1.8 million ahead of guidance, and $0.02 ahead of the midpoint of our per share guidance range. Overall, core property NOI contributed $1 million more than expected as a result of strong revenue growth across the MH and RV portfolio. Core MH rent growth was 3.2% ahead of expectations. The base rental income increase consists of approximately 2.8% rate growth and 40 basis points related to occupancy gains. We sold 143 new homes, including 49 through our Echo joint venture. Our second quarter core RV resort base rental income growth was 7.7%. Revenue from annuals performed as expected in the quarter, resulting in 5.7% growth over 2014. Revenue from seasonal and transient, performed better than expected, delivering 10.6% and 12.6% year-over-year growth respectively. The annual revenue growth was driven by increased rate in our encore properties, and a mix of rate and occupancy increases in the Thousand Trails portfolio. The South and California properties contributed both rate and occupancy gains to drive the seasonal outperformance. Strong transient performance in California, Florida, and the West, is the result of growth from both occupancy and rate. Membership dues were $10.9 million for the quarter. During the quarter, we sold and activated approximately 7,900 Thousand Trails camping pass memberships, an increase of almost 40% over second quarter 2014. Paid camping passes increased 26% and RV dealer activations increased 56% to 3,900 in the second quarter. Year-to-date, we have generated approximately 12,100 camping passes, an increase of 43% over the first six months of 2014. For the quarter, the net contribution from right-to-use contracts or membership upgrades was lower…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. Our first question comes from the line of Nick Joseph from Citigroup. Please go ahead.

Nick Joseph

Analyst

Thanks. For the core MH portfolio, looks like occupancy is at its highest point since the end of 2002 at 92.5%. Where do you think you could go from here before you reach frictional vacancy?

Marguerite Nader

Management

Well I think, as we have said, at the high point we were at 95% occupancy, and we continue to see positive trends and increasing occupancy. So I think that 95% is what we are aiming for.

Nick Joseph

Analyst

Thanks. And then to get to 95%, would you be comfortable increasing the rental program to see those further occupancy gains, or do you expect enough demand from homeowners?

Marguerite Nader

Management

Yeah. I mean, what we have seen is an increase in our homeowner base, and at the same time, we have seen a decrease in the rental base. But we would be comfortable, because we are seeing some of the conversion activity pick up. We would be comfortable in certain markets, increasing the rental program on kind of a short term basis, and making it part of a conversion program to an ownership. We really see that when people have the opportunity to come down and see our lifestyle offerings and kind of experience what we have for a year, they are able to make a commitment to us on a much longer basis.

Nick Joseph

Analyst

Thanks. And then just turning to acquisitions; what was the cap rate on the deal this quarter, and then can you talk about the pipeline, as it is today?

Marguerite Nader

Management

Sure. The pricing was approximately -- on the Miami deal, was about $38,000 per site and it is a fixed cap. With respect to just other transactions, it's really the same as we have always said, difficult to figure out timing of when a transaction will take place. I think, the acquisitions we have done over the last year have really been, primarily, undermanaged assets, which we saw the ability to drive growth through right-sizing, and we will continue to look for those opportunities.

Nick Joseph

Analyst

And then, does the pipeline skew either MH or RV at this time?

Marguerite Nader

Management

No, it's pretty much the same, kind of equal on RV and MH in our core markets.

Nick Joseph

Analyst

Great. Thanks.

Marguerite Nader

Management

Thanks Nick.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Gaurav Mehta from Cantor Fitzgerald. Please go ahead.

Gaurav Mehta

Analyst

Thank you. Good morning. You touched upon used and new home sales in your prepared remarks. Could you speak about the price point for the used home sales? Are you seeing an uptick in the price points?

Patrick Waite

Analyst

Yeah, we have seen an increase in the price points. Year-over-year, the average price of a used home sale for ELS is up about 5%. The resales that we are seeing in the market are up about 10%, so we are seeing continued strength in the -- not only the pricing, but the volume of used home sales and new home sales, as the overall housing market continues to firm up and recover.

Gaurav Mehta

Analyst

Okay. And then, on the resort based income side, if I look at your first half numbers and if I look at 2015 guidance, seems like there is some slowdown in the second half. Can you perhaps talk about that? And also, I recall on the 4Q call, you talked about yield management initiative around the holiday weekends, could you touch upon that as well?

Paul Seavey

Management

Yeah. I think in terms of guidance, we took the core RV revenue guidance, 1.3% for the remainder of the year. The guidance, as we have talked about, projects RV revenue based on visibility into future quarters. The annuals really aren't subject to much seasonal volatility, and generally are locked in by the end of the first quarter. We did increase, for the second half of the year, the annual growth rate slightly to 6% to reflect some rate in occupancy gains that we have achieved. Roughly 35% of the full year seasonal comes in the second half of the year with the majority coming from the southern resorts as they enter the winter season in the fourth quarter. Our transient growth rate assumption is almost 6% for the second half of the year. That's up more than 3% from our prior forecast. 4th of July holidays, the activity was strong, as Marguerite said, but we do continue to see significant amounts of rain in the Midwest and the Northeast. If this weather pattern persists, it will likely have an impact on the rest of the summer season. We will, as we always do, update our expectations for the fourth quarter seasonal and transient in October, when we have better visibility into those reservation trends, heading into the winter season.

Gaurav Mehta

Analyst

Okay, thank you. That's all I had.

Marguerite Nader

Management

Thanks Gaurav.

Operator

Operator

Okay, thank you. [Operator Instructions]. And our next question comes from the line of Jeffrey Spector from Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Please go ahead.

Jeffrey Spector

Analyst

Good morning. Thank you. I just wanted to confirm, I guess, clarify, on the rental program, Marguerite; you are saying that this is just a short-term decision in select markets to increase the program. You are not changing the long term view of the company?

Marguerite Nader

Management

No, absolutely. And what I am saying is that -- what we concentrate on is that the increase in the homeowner base, and overall, you may see that the rentals -- when you roll it all up, still continue to decline. But there may be areas, there is areas in Florida, for instance, some of our markets in Florida, where we just have really strong conversion rates, which we would want to continue to work through those and get the customer to become an owner. But not a change at all in our overall view that we prefer owners to renters, kind of the next in line is a guy that could be a renter conversion. We like them, and then renters.

Jeffrey Spector

Analyst

Okay, great. And then, just wanted to -- I guess, see if you could provide a little bit more information on the vacant sites. I believe you said half are in Florida. What have you been seeing there over the last year, two years, or even the last quarter, and how should we be thinking about those sites?

Marguerite Nader

Management

About half of the vacancy or the improved occupancy that we have seen in the year is coming up in Florida. And just -- you take a tour around Florida just as we do, there is a lot of activity going on in Florida, and we are seeing it in the form of customers coming through our door, coming through our web site to inquire about either moving a home in, or living in an existing home that we have for sale. So it’s a large concentration for us. Obviously, it's because -- our highest vacancy is, but it is also where we have a lot of demand.

Jeffrey Spector

Analyst

Okay. Thanks. And then last -- we have been reading about low inventory levels on single families throughout the country, especially certain markets. Are you seeing a different customer today, this quarter, this past quarter than last year, or is it still the same profile, and that low inventory and single family is not having as much of an impact? Just trying to see if you guys have discussed, I guess, some of the things you might be benefiting from the single family market?

Patrick Waite

Analyst

Yeah, it's Patrick. Let me just give you a basic view of the customers that we have been seeing over, call it, the trailing 12 months in both Florida, and I will compare that to Colorado as well. Florida, that's a traditional retirement destination. We are seeing that reemerging traditional retiree, buying a home in an ELS community. Just over 80% of those homebuyers relocated from a single family home or a condo. Their basic profile is that during they are in their early 60s, FICO score in the mid 700 range, and approximately half of those new homebuyers relocated from the Midwest Northeastern Canada. So we see that as a trend. People of north being able to sell their single family home, and then come down and set up roots in one of our communities for retirement. If you compare that to Colorado, which has also been doing very well for our new home sales; that's mostly a local market. Approximately 90% of those new homebuyers are coming from the local market within the state, and only about 50% of them have sold a single family home or a condo. So this is basically, call it a primary long term housing for them. Their basic profile is, they are in the mid-50s, FICO score is again the 700 range. As with Florida, what we are seeing from a traffic perspective, about half of all of those buyers are coming to us through MH village, which is a third party web site, or through resident referrals, people who are already our customers, they are reaching out to their families and friends.

Jeffrey Spector

Analyst

Great, thank you. Helpful.

Operator

Operator

Okay, thank you. Since we have no more questions on the line, at this time, I would like to turn it back over to Marguerite Nader, for closing comments.

Marguerite Nader

Management

Thank you all for joining us today. Paul Seavey will be around, if there are any additional questions.