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e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. (ELF)

Q3 2016 Earnings Call· Fri, Nov 11, 2016

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good afternoon and welcome to the e.l.f. Beauty third quarter 2016 earnings call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Anne Rakunas of ICR. Ms. Rakunas, you may begin.

Anne Rakunas

Analyst

Thank you. Good afternoon, everyone and thank you for joining us today to discuss e.l.f. Beauty Inc.’s third quarter 2016 earnings results. A copy of today's press release is available in the Investor Relations section of e.l.f.’s website. A recording of the call will also be available for 30 days on elfcosmetics.com. As a reminder, this call contains forward-looking statements that are based on management's beliefs and assumption, expectations, estimates and projections. These statements, including those related to the company’s fiscal year 2016 outlook are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties and therefore actual results may differ materially. Important factors that may cause actual results to differ from those expressed or implied from such forward-looking statements are detailed in today’s press release and the company’s SEC filings. In addition, the company's presentation today includes information presented on a non-GAAP basis. We refer you to the press release the company issued this afternoon for a reconciliation of the differences between the non-GAAP presentation and the most directly comparable GAAP measures. With us from management today are Tarang Amin, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer and John Bailey, President and Chief Financial Officer. It is now my pleasure to turn the call over to Tarang.

Tarang Amin

Analyst

Thank you, Anne and good afternoon, everyone. Similar to our roadshow, John and I will tag team as we walk through our results. We are pleased to share a strong performance in our first call as a public company. Q3 highlights include a 11% increase in net sales and a 650 basis point expansion in gross margin versus last year. These results demonstrate progress towards our mission to make luxurious beauty accessible for all women to play beautifully. We continue to engage some of the best consumers in beauty by delivering high quality cosmetics at an extraordinary value. As a result, we drove sales growth even as compared to the third quarter 2015 period that included a national launch into 6,900 CVS stores. We have four key growth strategies to help realize our mission, build a great brand, lead innovation, expand brand penetration and drive world-class operation. Here are some Q3 highlights on the progress of our strategy. Our first strategy is to build a great brand. e.l.f. is an authentic brand that young, diverse makeup enthusiasts love. Relative to the overall cosmetics category, we're twice as developed among the millennials, overdeveloped among Hispanics and have strong appeal with makeup enthusiasts that consumers are driving in categories. Our approach engages consumers who is good in social media and digital platform. As an example, this past quarter, we launched e.l.f. Beauty Scape, a social activation engaging 50 of our beauty influencers. Through this event, we create an experience that feature the best of e.l.f. We shared some of our latest innovation, inspired participants of make-up education and tips and enables strong connections in community building. The program delivered a 25% increase in Instagram followers and reached a combined community of 53 million across social media platforms. Through authentic activations such as…

John Bailey

Analyst

I’ll begin by reviewing the details of our third quarter results and then Tarang will provide our outlook for the full year. Before continuing, I'd like to note that we will be speaking to both GAAP and adjusted results. You can find a detailed description of adjustments to GAAP results in the earnings release that we issued this afternoon. We believe this presentation provides investors with a better analysis of the underlying performance of our business. For the third quarter, net sales increased 11% or 5.5 million to 56.3 million. In our national retailer business, we saw growth within existing doors as a result of strong productivity increases, fueled by our innovation market. We also grew our direct business, which includes both e-commerce and our own e.l.f branded stores. Importantly, we had a meaningful reduction in dollar of promotional activity in e-commerce with over 90% fewer price off days as compared to the same quarter last year. Gross margin expanded by 650 basis point to 58% from 51%, driven by our suite in the mix initiative. Suite in the mix is a systematic consumer led approach to driving margin improvement in the business. At the core of suite in the mix is our innovation process, both in terms of our flow of new items with margin profiles that are accretive to that of the overall company as well as existing items that we are able to improve from a consumer experience standpoint, while also increasing margin. On an adjusted basis, selling and administrative expenses as a percentage of net sales were 43% compared to 33% in the third quarter of 2015. The deleverage in SG&A on an adjusted basis was primarily driven by strategic investments to support our growth. These investments include higher operational costs related to the transition of…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Bill Chappell with SunTrust.

Bill Chappell

Analyst

I wanted to talk a little bit about the sales momentum as we go into the fourth quarter, was there any type of pull forward, or anything that altered that, or do you feel pretty good with your set up and where things go, that the momentum kind of continues, because certainly this was an out performance in 3Q. I want to understand if we are lapping anything, or we are missing anything as we go into 4Q?

Tarang Amin

Analyst

Bill, we feel really good about the results that we were able to drive in the third quarter particularly against the tough comp last year. As mentioned in the opening remarks we plan on an annual basis given the movement that we can see in our business quarter to quarter. But as you can tell from our outlook we remain enthusiastic about the business headed into Q4 and for the rest of the year.

Bill Chappell

Analyst

And I know you are not going to talk specific about every retailer, but one recent add over the past two months has been Ulta.com, and didn't know if there was any change in your thought about not having any new retailers until at least early next year?

Tarang Amin

Analyst

I can tell you is we're really pleased with our start at Ulta.com. We have been in now a little bit over two months and we’re really pleased with what we’re seeing. From a sales standpoint as well as from an overlap on core consumers, our young diverse makeup enthusiasts match up well with their core target and we love what we're seeing there as well as our continued focus in the key retailers we’re in. We're not going to talk about new retailers until we talk kind of our forecast in the end of this year in 2017 and we’ll be able to update you better then in terms of any additional retailers.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Steph Wissink with Piper Jaffray.

Steph Wissink

Analyst · Piper Jaffray.

,:

Tarang Amin

Analyst · Piper Jaffray.

So, on Beauty Scape, we’re really excited about this program, as I mentioned it's an activation where we bring - we brought 50 of our influencers together in San Francisco for the weekend. We’re able to share some of our latest innovations and really allow this community kind of bond as well as had it immersed in the brand including some of the things that are coming new. It was incredible what we saw come out of that event, we saw over 200 million outreach from a social media standpoint. We also saw the influencers that attended this event were generating I think it was like 12.7 times more post than our average influencers did. We also saw a major pick up in traffic towards our site as well as again some of our innovation, John mentioned one of those in terms of our beautifully précised brushes and the off take we've seen there. So, it is a program that builds on our tradition of engaging with our authentic - authentically with our community and we believe has led to be able to continue to drive the grant.

John Bailey

Analyst · Piper Jaffray.

Steph, to your second question, just given the productivity that we're able to drive with many of our retail partners and obviously the strong innovation pipeline that we have, the case for incremental shelf-space is fairly compelling and I think as we've mentioned in the past very aligned with many of our retail partners about that journey. Can't really comment into 2017 but we will get into that in greater detail when we talk in the fourth quarter and provide the outlook then.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Jon Andersen with William Blair.

Jon Andersen

Analyst

Two quick ones from me, one is, on the national retailer business, I think you’ve indicated that two thirds of the year-to-date sales growth was through existing accounts, one-third through newer doors. Is that a similar profile we should be thinking about for the fourth quarter and how much kind of variation from year to year might you expect in that figure. And I'm thinking about if you look out over kind of ’17 and ‘18. And then the second question is just on gross margin, very strong progress obviously there with 650 basis point of improvement. Can you talk a little bit more about what drove that some of the components within the suite and the mix program and your confidence in continuing to be able to support gross margin expansion going forward? Thank you.

Tarang Amin

Analyst

So Jon, yes, as you mentioned about two thirds of our growth year to date has really been driven by existing doors where we've been for some time. And as you - as we've talked about the components of that its really productivity as well as shelf space expansion that ends up being the underlying drivers within a particular account. To answer your question on the go forward, it's one of the best parts of our story which is that we still have such untapped potential in terms of new doors, yet our story is incredibly balance in terms of how been able to grow within existing accounts as well as how we've selectively added new distribution over time. So in any particular period I think depending on our decision to partner with a new retailer account or continue to penetrate within their chain we may see the formula move in one side or another but I think you'll continue to see that balance overall. And then on gross margin, you touched on which is sweeten the mix initiative and really an innovation program that's been driving the significant expansion that you've seen in 2015. Really two components to that, one which is the new innovation coming online and we continue to keep that pipeline very robust as well as areas where we've been able to go and deliver an incremental consumer benefit but also expand margin at the same time, it has been a combination on the year to date period.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Oliver Chen with Cowen & Co.

Oliver Chen

Analyst

Recording the two-thirds of existing door growth, were you able to give us color about the comp growth versus the shelf-space growth in terms of how that broke out. Also, as we think about e.l.f. for the long term, how are you thinking about where your overall average unit retail can grow in terms of how you will balance gross margin opportunity versus marketing spend in terms of the long-term view of building awareness of the brand and also looking at those opportunities to continue to move the brand in interesting ways as your AUR is pretty modest. Thank you.

Tarang Amin

Analyst

So, over on your first question, we're not going to decompose comp versus shelf-space expansion, what I can tell you is, it's been a combination historically. But we don't break that out going forward. On your other question around AUR, it’s continued to be a journey for us as we’ve introduced more price points to the overall mix and continue to expand our assortment. We found that our consumer comes in at an accessible point in the range and often travels with us throughout the price spectrum. And one of our great products is a $30 item which I think some period ago, one might question whether e.l.f. was able to sell an item at that price point. But it’s always a tension for us, it’s your point on how we think about the balance of margin and pricing. For us it’s about offering an extraordinary value every day to our enthusiast consumer who really appreciates our value proposition and I'm very focused on making sure that we maintain that equation for her. So we feel very good about how we've been driving that ARU progression over time and obviously as we continue to innovate there may be more opportunity there.

Oliver Chen

Analyst

And just a quick follow-up on corporate strategy. How do we think about how you evolve in a multichannel way and also using Amazon and also building out your direct connection with the customer across different kinds of channels whether it be your own stores, national retailer, Amazon and others. What’s your vision for how this unifies with respect to the brand and the consumer interface.

Tarang Amin

Analyst

So our strategy from a channel standpoint is we are true multichannel brand with strength in e-commerce, our own stores and national retailers. In terms are going forward, the majority of the growth will be driven by national retailers given the whitespace that John talked about both in existing doors as well as new doors. Having said that our direct channel plays an incredibly important role both in terms of validating our innovation, engaging with our consumers and really we believe has a significant room to grow. In terms of e-tailers, we see e-tailers as being really important within that mix those are our core customers. Given the cleanliness of our business model, we are ambivalent whether someone buys e.l.f. cosmetics in elfcosmetics.com or whether they buy at Wal-Mart or Target or on Amazon. It's a brand where we have very good in pricing across channels and one where we can grow and again that comes, it all comes back to us to our core consumer the makeup enthusiast who seamlessly navigates between online and offline and who wants to find a brand in the place that she is looking to shop and that why we will make it available.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Andrea Teixeira with J.P. Morgan.

Andrea Teixeira

Analyst

I just want to follow up and my one question would be on SG&A. I understand obviously that all you discussed and the great hires you have that you had through obviously make the company ready for growth, but I was wondering more like long term that if you oversee probably a much lesser pressure there and it bodes well with what Tarang has been saying about the improvement of Sweeten the Mix and improvements in average pricing and the mix improvements there. So just help us going long term, if you feel those additional SG&A expenses obviously X option compensation would be more like its moving out going to the next few years. Thank you.

Tarang Amin

Analyst

So Andrea, what I’d tell you is, what you’ve seen on our SG&A line is reflective of real investment in the brand and in the business. And so historically across headcount infrastructure and actual capability to drive and build our brands, we've been very thoughtful about making investments and will continue to make those investments. And we’ve talked about a long-term growth algorithm of 20% and net sales growth in terms of compound annual growth from 2016 to 2019. 100 basis points of margin expansion on the gross margin side per year and a 20% compound annual growth from 2016 to 2019 on adjusted EBITDA. And that's really reflective of our team's desire to continue to invest back in the business. Historically, it has been a combination of headcount as well as core infrastructure and marketing. I think over time, you may see more dollars deployed against a brand building opportunity just given where our unaided awareness numbers sit. But I think this is truly a story not only of growth but investment against that growth.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And our next question comes from Mark Astrachan with Stifel.

Mark Astrachan

Analyst · Stifel.

I wanted to ask about the gap between tracked and untracked channel growth, and see if you could perhaps help us bridge that a bit, and just sort of broadly how do you think about that contribution to the top line?

Tarang Amin

Analyst · Stifel.

You are talking about the different about what you see in Nielsen multi outlet versus our overall growth rates?

Mark Astrachan

Analyst · Stifel.

Exactly, yeah.

Tarang Amin

Analyst · Stifel.

I don't know if we're going to provide that much commentary on that other that what you can see kind of on a track basis. What I can tell you, if you take a look at the category overall at least in our kind of Nielsen multi outlet data, the category in Q3 grew about 3% color cosmetics, in the tracked basis on multi-outlet we grew about 20%. And again the 20% is primarily well much better than the category is really due to us lapping our growth at CVS last year where we entered all 6,900 doors. So we feel really good particularly in the ratio of kind of our growth relative to the category. For us it goes back to the makeup enthusiasts and her love of makeup regardless of what is going on macroeconomically or with the overall categories, it’s pretty consistent strong growth given the importance of this category to her and how well this brand fits her need.

Mark Astrachan

Analyst · Stifel.

Maybe thinking about it in a different way, just as follow-up, is there anything in the other channels, the stuff that we don't see through that data that would have changed materially, one way or the other? In the third quarter sort of how you think about the fourth quarter that would help the growth rate? And then, I just wanted to ask a totally separate question, I’m going to try to get both in there. Is there any benefit from currency translation or transaction to gross margin given what the yuan is doing in terms of where your manufacturing is?

Tarang Amin

Analyst · Stifel.

Sure, so I’ll take this first one, in terms of things that aren't tracked in the Nielsen data, certainly our e-commerce business and our stores wouldn't be part of that and there are few [indiscernible] but I’d say the overall growth rate, I don’t thing is missing much other than looking at the tracked - track data.

John Bailey

Analyst · Stifel.

And Mark do you see some modest benefit to our finished goods purchases, which are denominated in RMB from the currency movement which has been advantageous over the course of the last couple of months but if it's very little in terms of the overall impact, the primary driver of gross margin again is innovation that Sweeten the Mix initiative that I mentioned.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Bonnie Herzog with Wells Fargo Securities.

Bonnie Herzog

Analyst · Wells Fargo Securities.

I had a couple of quick questions. I guess I was hoping you could provide a few more details on your new loyalty program. Maybe you could share some of that with us and then hoping you can drill down a little further on your brand penetration, and the targets you have made in the quarter in the US versus international?

Tarang Amin

Analyst · Wells Fargo Securities.

So I’ll take the first one Beauty Squad. This is a program we’re really excited about. It’s our loyalty program and the genesis of it is our consumers have been asking for it for quite some time, wanting a better way to kind of continue to connect with this brand that she loves. And so what it is, a loyalty program that provides for a dollar’s purchase as well as for referring friends. And as I mentioned just in the first six weeks we had over 80,000 of our e.l.f. consumers sign up for this program. And what makes the program really special is it goes beyond just earning and redeeming point, the Beauty Squad members are able to shop new items first, receive early access to our shopping events, receive special gifts and incentives. And we've also found it incredibly helpful in our innovation process, our consumers have long been able to guide some of our choices in terms of innovation and we find that our Beauty Squad members are some of our most engaged in active consumers and so the feedback that they're giving to us on our new items that we preview with them has been incredible. And then in some of the result, I think I'm particularly encouraged that so far we’re as much as 70% of our repeat revenue coming from members of this program. So it’s an incredibly important group to us and one that we're seeing in multiple results including both our overall traffic, repeat and what they represent.

John Bailey

Analyst · Wells Fargo Securities.

And Bonnie, on the brand penetration side, as we mentioned, we saw expansion in both national retailer and the direct sides of our business, which was quite encouraging. And we also did see expansion internationally. I think the notable piece in the quarter that I mentioned in my comments was the expansions to all Walmart doors in Canada. And from an international perspective again it's relatively small on the overall context of our business today, but we do see tremendous opportunity there, we’re obviously going to be prioritizing strategically sequence as we think about growing that side to the business over time.

Bonnie Herzog

Analyst · Wells Fargo Securities.

And then just on the brand penetration in the US, on a sequential basis did that accelerate? I know you were dealing with a tough comp too. I am just trying to think through how that’s kind of ramping as you’re building the business?

Tarang Amin

Analyst · Wells Fargo Securities.

It’s difficult to speak to that question, Bonnie, in this quarter just given the nature of the comp this year against the shipment to 5,900 CVS stores in the third quarter of 2015 that obviously impacts the overall growth rate but we continue to feel quite confident about where we're headed in the balance and all of our business and also the growth algorithm that I referred to earlier.

Operator

Operator

And that does conclude our question-and-answer session. I'll turn the call back over to Tarang Amin for closing remarks.

Tarang Amin

Analyst

Well, thanks again for joining us. We look forward to discussing our fourth quarter results with you in 2017 and see many of you at upcoming investor conferences including the Morgan Stanley Consumer Conference on November 16. Thank you.

John Bailey

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And that does conclude our call for today, we appreciate your participation.