Thomas R. McDaniel - Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
Analyst · Jefferies
Thank you, John, and good morning everybody. Today, I am going to cover our first quarter earnings performance and update you on Edison Mission Group's operations and hedging programs. I will also comment on the liquidity position of the EIX entities and conclude with comments on 2008 guidance. Throughout my discussion, I will refer to the teleconference presentation located on our website. And if you could all turn to page two, our first quarter earnings summary, I will begin my comments. Reporting earnings… reported earnings were $0.91 per share for the first quarter of 2008 compared to $1.01 per share for the same period last year. The first quarter 2007 had a favorable impact of $0.10 per share related to a tax item associated with the treatment of environmental remediation costs at SCE and $0.01 per share from discontinued operations at EMG. Excluding these items, earnings were $0.92 per share, up $0.02 per share over last year. Keep in mind that quarterly earnings reported during the year are generally more heavily weighted to the third quarter, reflecting the impact of the summer months. For SCE, warmer summer weather combined with how [inaudible] our design produces generally higher base rate revenue and operating margin during the third quarter of each year. Similarly, for EME the summer generating season combined with its open [inaudible] position tend to make EME's third quarter the most significant of the year. A look back at the earnings contribution by quarter over the past few years gives a reasonable indication of the summer season impact related to the other quarters within the year. Now, let's look at the first quarter results on a company-by-company basis, please turn to page three. First, beginning with SCE, core earnings were $0.46 per share compared to $0.45 per share last year. Operating margin was essentially flat, with the increase mainly due to lower net interest expense. EMG's core earnings of $0.49 per share were also up $0.01 from the first quarter of last year. Going to the piece parts for EMG, both Midwest Generation and EMMT contributed positively to earnings for the quarter. Midwest Generation was up $0.12 per share, mainly due to higher gross margin, contributed $0.05, a gain on the buyout of the legacy coal contract of $0.03 and lower interest expense of $0.04 resulting from our 2007 refinancing activity. Let me pause for a moment because it's not intuitive that the buyout of the legacy coal contract, given where coal prices are today, is something that we should be doing. This is a contract that we inherited from ComEd. The quality of the coal and its specifications really did not work well within our units and was not effective or efficient for us. And so, we have been working for some time to relieve ourselves of that obligation, and in doing so we did it in a more favorable cost than what we had reserved for. Turning back to Midwest Generation then, Midwest Generation's higher gross margin, as the $0.05 includes lower unrealized losses in 2008 related to FAS 133, that’s $0.03 per share, and higher realized energy prices of $0.02 per share. Midwest Generation's output was lower for the quarter, primarily related to the Powerton Station unit's fixed outage reported last quarter. Net outage extended into the first quarter of this year. The unit went back into operation in mid-February. In addition, the delivery cost of coal was higher for the quarter, primarily related to the roll-off of certain contracts. EMMT experienced a good first quarter in 2008 with pre-tax trading margin of $41 million compared to $26 million during the same period last year, an increase of $0.03 per share. Several EMG items reduced quarter-over-quarter earnings comparisons. First, Homer City earnings were down $0.02 mainly due to lower realized energy prices, and lower generator rating, as capital is down $0.03 due to lower gains from this global infrastructure fund investments. Project income was down $0.03 per share, largely due to lower earnings from the Sycamore and Watson projects, two of our Big Four, which have been operating under new market-based contracts since the beginning of the year and this is something that we did highlight with regard to our guidance. Finally, corporate interest in G&A expense were up collectively $0.06, primarily due to higher interest expense at the EME level debt as associated with our refinancing last year, and a step-up in our growth initiatives at EMG. Next, I will be discussing the operational metrics for Midwest Generation, so if you could turn to page four. Generation was down 2.9% at Midwest Gen for the first quarter of 2008. This was largely due to the forced outage at Unit 6 at the Powerton station that I mentioned previously, and this outage shows up in the lower availability for the fleet for the quarter and higher forced outage rates as compared to the first quarter of 2007. Turning to the right side of that page, all-in average realized prices increased 7% for the first quarter compared to last year due to higher real-time prices. Turning to page five, for Homer City, total generation was lower by 3.1% compared to the first quarter last year, mainly due to a higher forced outage rate and lower off-peak dispatch. In the right side of the chart, all-in average realized prices decreased 2% for the first quarter of… compared to last year, primarily due to the roll-off of higher priced power hedges. Turn to page six, this page summarizes our regular hedge positions for both power and coal in Midwest Generation and Homer City. There were no changes to these positions since we reported in fourth quarter. As you will note… can note that for Midwest Generation we're in essentially a hedge neutral or 50% hedged positions for the balance of 2008 and to slightly lesser hedged position in 2009 and 2010. We are substantially hedged for a fuel costs including both coal and rail at Midwest Generation through 2009. At Homer City, we are also about this hedge neutral position for the balance of 2008 and to a lesser-hedged position in 2009 and 2010. Our coal requirements are large hedged for Homer City through 2009, and this positions us well, as John said, to capture the higher market prices that we're currently seeing if they prevail through the balance of the year. On page seven, you will see our liquidity positions remains strong and backed by a well-diversified banking group for EIX as a whole. We ended the first quarter with overall committed credit facilities of $5.1 billion, which extend through 2013 through [ph] EIX and SCE and through 2012 for EMG. These where negotiated last year and expanded at favorable pricing terms, and we're very pleased that we did that relative to what we might experience today. So, liquidity including cash and short-term investments is $5.9 billion. Turning to page eight, as we said in our press release this morning, we are reaffirming our 2008 core guidance range. We establish a fairly broad range at the beginning of the year because of the volatility of power prices and the commensurate impact on the revenue and margin associated with the unhedged component of EMG merchant generation. Power prices have been trending upward. Based upon current favorable forward market prices, we expect EMG's earnings to be around the high end of the range, and consequently EIX's core earnings to be around the high end of the $3.61 to the $4.01 per share guidance range. Our core guidance is based on the key assumptions, in fact as we reviewed in our February call and are showed on the slide. And one last item I want to update you on our tax matters related to our Edison Capital leveraged lease portfolio. We have updated our 10-Q disclosure that was released this morning. Let me run through what we have included since we've had a number of questions on this area during the week. The 10-Q provides an update to our 2007 10-K regarding the status of several cases involving other taxpayers to reflect two legal developments involving commercial [inaudible] that occurred in April. This is the only current court decisions points involving these types of transactions. And as required by GAAP accounting, each quarter we reduce significant events to determine whether our accounting or disclosures should be revised. We have done so, and we continue to believe that we have profitably recorded these transactions based on applicable statutes, regulations and case law. As a result, we recorded deferred taxes associated with [inaudible] of about $1.6 billion as reflected in the 10-Q. The $1.6 billion cumulative tax deferral is updated annually based on the filing of our tax returns, and last year it increased by $54 million. We do not expect this deferred tax amount to grow materially in the coming years, given the age of our leased portfolio. The after-tax accrued interest is updated quarterly, and that was $557 million at end of the first quarter compared to $525 million at the end of the last year. Finally, we are engaged in settlement discussions on a number of issues with the Administrative Appeals Branch of the IRS for certain open tax years, which include these issues. As a result of these discussions, we are limited in commenting about future outcomes beyond the disclosure we have in our 10-Q. And with that, we will move to the formal Q&A part of the call. Question and Answer