Earnings Labs

VAALCO Energy, Inc. (EGY)

Q2 2018 Earnings Call· Tue, Aug 7, 2018

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning. My name is Thea, and I will be the conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the VAALCO Energy Second Quarter 2018 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Thank you. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Liz Prochnow, Chief Accounting Officer. Please go ahead, ma’am.

Liz Prochnow

Analyst

Thanks, operator. And on behalf of the management team, I welcome all of you to today’s conference call to review VAALCO’s second quarter 2018 operating and financial performance. After I cover the forward-looking statements, Cary Bounds, our Chief Executive Officer, will review key highlights of the second quarter along with operational results. Phil Patman, our Chief Financial Officer, will then provide a more in-depth financial review. Cary will then return for some closing comments before we take your questions. [Operator Instructions] I would like to point out that we posted an updated investor deck on our website this morning that has additional financial analysis, comparisons and updated guidance that should be helpful. With that, let me proceed with our forward-looking statement comments. During the course of this conference call, the company will be making forward-looking statements. Investors are cautioned that forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance, and thus, actual results or developments may differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements. VAALCO disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Accordingly, you should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. These and other risks are described in yesterday’s press release, the presentation posted on our website and in the reports we file with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including the Form 10-Q that was filed yesterday. Please note that this conference call is being recorded. Let me turn the call over to Cary.

Cary Bounds

Analyst · Tieton Capital

Thank you, Liz. Good morning, everyone and welcome to our second quarter 2018 earnings conference call. I’m very pleased with our operational successes as well as our strong financial results that we delivered in the second quarter. Production for the second quarter averaged 3,549 barrels of oil per day net, which was at the midpoint of our guidance range of 3,400 to 3,700 barrels of oil per day net. While our realized Brent pricing rose to over $74 per barrel in the second quarter, we had three expenses that adversely impacted earnings by $7.5 million or $0.13 per share, which resulted in income from continuing operations of $887,000 or $0.02 per share. The three specific expense items totaling $7.5 million were comprised of $4.5 million charge for workovers that restored net production of 1,100 barrels of oil per day, a $2 million non-cash charge related to the impact of the recent share price increase on employee Stock Appreciation Rights and $1 million non-cash charge due to the quarterly mark-to-market impact associated with our crude oil swaps, because of strong Brent pricing at June 30. Excluding these items, totaling $7.5 million at $0.13 per share second quarter income from continuing operations would have been $8.4 million nearly as strong as the $8.7 million or $0.15 per diluted share reported in the first quarter of 2018. Just as importantly, we generated adjusted EBITDAX of $8.8 million for the second quarter, which brings the total adjusted EBITDAX for the first half of 2018 to $23.3 million. Using the midpoint of our production and expense guidance and August 3, 2018 Brent strip pricing we are forecasting adjusted EBITDAX for the second half of 2018 to be in the range of $27 million to $30 million, which would be an increase of approximately 23% from…

Phil Patman

Analyst · Tieton Capital

Thank you, Cary. Good morning, everyone. Our financial results for the second quarter were essentially as strong as those in the first quarter. After adjusting for the workover operations to primarily non-cash employee Stock Appreciation Rights charge and the non-cash mark-to-market impact of our crude oil swaps. VAALCO’s income from continuing operations of $0.9 million or $0.02 per diluted share would have been $8.4 million or $0.14 per diluted share once adjusted from the $7.5 million associated with the three expenses. Adjusted EBITDAX for the second quarter was $8.8 million and is $23.3 million for the year-to-date 2018. As Cary detailed, we are forecasting an increase of more than 20% in adjusted EBITDAX for the second half of 2018 when compared to the first half actuals. This forecast assumes the midpoint of production and expense guidance and utilizes Brent script pricing on August 3, 2018 of approximately $74 per barrels for the remainder of 2018. We currently estimate that for every $5 increase in realized oil price, our annual adjusted EBITDAX would increase by $6 million. Second quarter oil sales totaled 319,000 net barrels compared with 414,000 net barrels in the same period a year ago and 393,000 net barrels in the first quarter of 2018. Our realized oil price for the second quarter of 2018 averaged $74.36 per barrel, up 59% from $46.83 in the second quarter of 2017 and up 8% from $68.69 in the first quarter of 2018. In the second quarter, VAALCO executed crude oil swaps at a Dated Brent weighted average price of $74 per barrel for the period from and including June 2018 through June 2019 for a quantity of approximately 400,000 barrels. These are the only commodity derivative contracts that the company currently has in place for 2018 and beyond. Through our hedging…

Cary Bounds

Analyst · Tieton Capital

Thanks, Phil. With Brent continuing to trade near multi-year highs and production restored from the workovers, we anticipate continued growth in our cash position. We have executed crude oil swaps at Brent pricing of $74 per barrel through June 2019 on a portion of our production to ensure that we can fund the potential 2019 development drilling program at Etame. Already in 2018 we have paid off all of our outstanding debt successfully completed three workovers on the Avouma platform and generated $23.3 million in adjusted EBITDAX. We are projecting an increase in adjusted EBITDAX for the second half of the year of more than 20% to between $27 million and $30 million. As we continue to deliver on our guidance and strengthen our balance sheet we remain confident in the drilling opportunities on our Etame asset. We are actively engaged in dialogue with the government of Gabon to extend the Etame license on terms that are beneficial to all parties. We will continue to execute on our strategy and I am optimistic that we will create substantial value for our shareholders by enhancing our balance sheet in 2018 and executing on projects that add reserves and production. Thank you. And with that operator we are ready to take questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Today the first question will come from Bill Dezellem with Tieton Capital.

Bill Dezellem

Analyst · Tieton Capital

Thank you. Given that you haven’t had a great number of questions on past calls. I’m going to break the rule of one question with one follow-up if I may please. I’d like to start with the charges in the quarter and just to make sure that we understand each of those three correctly or extra expenses. The workovers those are now complete and those – that was a cash expense correct?

Cary Bounds

Analyst · Tieton Capital

Correct, Bill. You are correct, the workover expense was a cash expense, yes.

Bill Dezellem

Analyst · Tieton Capital

Whereas the SAR expense all but the $100,000 that still had referenced all of that was non-cash. And is it correct that if the stock price is lower at the end of the third quarter than where it started the third quarter that you would then have a benefit to earnings or does it not work that way?

Cary Bounds

Analyst · Tieton Capital

No, you’re correct. That is how it works. We would adjust the calculation for this year price at the end of the quarter. So part of the calculation would be favorable to earnings, in the event our share price is less than – where we closed at the second quarter.

Bill Dezellem

Analyst · Tieton Capital

And I guess, in other way to think about it is that the $0.03 impact from the SARs that you had this quarter unless the share price went up by a commensurate amount in the third quarter that impact would be less than the $0.03 and as you just pointed out could actually be a benefit to earnings if the share price were down.

Cary Bounds

Analyst · Tieton Capital

That’s correct. There’s two components though Bill, and so let me be clear about this. There’s the value of the shares – the SARs, I’m sorry, that have already vested and those are adjusted every quarter and then there’s a value and an – or a charge I should say, for SARs that vest during the quarter. So there will be SARs that vest during the third quarter and there will be a charge for those SARs and then there will be an adjustment for these SARs that had already vested prior to the quarter depending on the direction of the stock price.

Bill Dezellem

Analyst · Tieton Capital

Great. And then the crude oil swap expense that you realized in the quarter that was non-cash that’s just simply a mark-to-market adjustment, correct?

Cary Bounds

Analyst · Tieton Capital

Correct.

Bill Dezellem

Analyst · Tieton Capital

And today is, do we understand that your hedges are currently slightly below where Brent pricing is and as a result that would lead to an additional charge? Or is it the case where it’s really relative to the end of the second quarter? What’s the correct way to be thinking about the future impact of that?

Phil Patman

Analyst · Tieton Capital

The correct way is, that they move every day and as Dated Brent moves above $74 on any particular day there would be a charge associated with the hedges. As Brent moves below $70 – Dated Brant moves below $74 there would be a gain associated with the hedges each month as the hedges roll off there will be a cash impact.

Bill Dezellem

Analyst · Tieton Capital

Thank you. And then relative to the government listing this quarter what impact does that have on net income. You’d mentioned that it had the impact on cash flow but what about net income?

Phil Patman

Analyst · Tieton Capital

There will be no net income effect when the government lifts its share of crude oil. There will be a cash impact when the government lifts it share of crude oil.

Bill Dezellem

Analyst · Tieton Capital

And that’s essentially because each month or quarter you are allocating or expensing taxes and you simply don’t have those barrels to sell when the government takes their portion of the lifting. And so that’s why it would impact the cash.

Phil Patman

Analyst · Tieton Capital

That’s absolutely correct. The way you should look at it is that the foreign taxes payable liability is settled as the government lifts its share of crude oil.

Bill Dezellem

Analyst · Tieton Capital

That’s helpful. And then the conversations with the government and the probability of getting this wrapped up. Does it appear – as though it will be happening in the near-term or are they not showing a propensity to have a sense of urgency?

Cary Bounds

Analyst · Tieton Capital

Well, Bill we are as you can appreciate, we are in the middle of discussions with the government negotiations with government officials, those meetings continue to occur routinely. We’ve had them very recently. And at this point I’m not ready to share publicly any of the details of those negotiations because they are so sensitive. But what I can say is that we are in very intense negotiations. So if I can I’ll just leave it at that.

Bill Dezellem

Analyst · Tieton Capital

And by those comments, Cary, I’m going to presume that the people that you are negotiating with that they have been in place for some time and you have not had personnel changes.

Cary Bounds

Analyst · Tieton Capital

That’s correct. We have not seen the personnel changes that we saw earlier this year and last year.

Bill Dezellem

Analyst · Tieton Capital

Great. Thank you. And one additional question, the H2S well with oil prices now going up and having risen are you thinking differently about those and bringing them back on line or the economic still not looking favorable.

Cary Bounds

Analyst · Tieton Capital

What we’re doing Bill, I’m glad you asked that question. What we’re doing is we’re reassessing the technical evaluation of the H2S tripping systems, reassessing their costs and running our economics and looking at what those economics, how those economics compared to other opportunities we have in our portfolio. And based on the work we’ve done so far the economics of drilling development wells in 2019 is a better use of our cash. But certainly we are always – we’re evaluating the opportunity to install H2S tripping equipment. And then it just depends on the economics, but right now the drilling the development wells seems to be a better use of our cash.

Bill Dezellem

Analyst · Tieton Capital

Great. Thank you both for taking all the questions.

Cary Bounds

Analyst · Tieton Capital

You bet, Bill. Thanks.

Operator

Operator

The next question will come from Jamie Wieland with Wieland Management.

Jamie Wieland

Analyst · Wieland Management

Thanks. Nice quarter fellas. Just a follow-up on a couple of Bill’s questions. Just on the – for the payment of taxes. Basically on our income statement, we will accrue the taxes paid, so we will really – on an income statement basis it will have no impact on anything that we do.

Phil Patman

Analyst · Wieland Management

That is correct. And if you’ll look at our current income – our current balance sheet rather you’ll see that we had $5.4 million of foreign taxes payable on June 30 of 2018. Each time we left this number increases and when the government lifts the share of revenues that we would have received will flow through to this. This will be the credit as the taxes are paid.

Jamie Wieland

Analyst · Wieland Management

Perfect. So, as I look at the first half of the year basically you are in $0.15 a share fully taxed in the first and second quarter. And you are looking at an increased volumes in the third and the fourth quarter and in aggregate higher EBITDAX with the higher overall pricing at current market. So it looks to me like the third and fourth quarter should exceed that $0.15 number. In fact, I don’t want to put words in your mouth but possible head toward the $0.27 level and each quarter.

Phil Patman

Analyst · Wieland Management

Yes. We’re not forecasting net income, but we did forecast adjusted EBITDAX and feel very good about a range of $27 million to $30 million for the rest of the year.

Jamie Wieland

Analyst · Wieland Management

Okay. Which means in excess of the $0.15 per quarter we earned in each of the first and second quarters, if we hit those numbers.

Phil Patman

Analyst · Wieland Management

We forecast adjusted EBITDAX for the rest of the year of $27 million to $30 million, we are not forecasting the net income impact of that amount.

Jamie Wieland

Analyst · Wieland Management

Got you. I don’t know if you’re aware what the stock price is today. But amazingly it is significantly lower for some reason maybe people didn’t understand the additional onetime expenses that went into the second quarter numbers. But given how significantly lower it is, given your cash level now would you consider a large scale repurchase at these levels it would seem to make a lot of sense given how great our cash flow is and how secure our outlook is looking forward.

Cary Bounds

Analyst · Wieland Management

Right, right. We that’s a Board decision and it’s a discussion that happens routinely with the Board. And obviously the Board has not had the opportunity to consider a buyback given the – where our share prices at the moment. So that’s a topic of conversation that happens routinely. And I will say that so far we thought that we create more value by investing in development wells rather than share buybacks. But we’ll reassesses as we watch your share price.

Jamie Wieland

Analyst · Wieland Management

Okay. And lastly, I think it was great move to lock in a third of the production at $74, certainly reduces our risk and that is indeed with what hedging is indeed meant to do. So I applause that, congratulations on the workovers and the outlook for the business, you guys have done a very nice job.

Cary Bounds

Analyst · Wieland Management

All right, great thanks Jamie. Good to talk to you.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The next question will come from Bob Shohet with RLS Financial. Please go ahead, sir.

Bob Shohet

Analyst · RLS Financial. Please go ahead, sir

Good morning, gentlemen. Thank you for taking my call. I wanted to start out by just confirming or asking you to please confirm for the different producing wells what the gross amount of barrels and the net amounts to VAALCO are. They do seem to change from time to time of course. And I would just like to go through them now. So at least as of the end of the second quarter, I have the amount as you know them.

Cary Bounds

Analyst · RLS Financial. Please go ahead, sir

Right. And so you’ll see that as of the – for the second quarter production averaged 3,549 barrels of oil per day that’s the net amount. Let me – so that’s roughly in gross terms 13,100 barrels a day.

Bob Shohet

Analyst · RLS Financial. Please go ahead, sir

Right. But I guess, what I’m asking is something different. Because I like to keep track of the individual wells as you do workovers and as you do other things. So is it possible for you to break down both the gross and the net amounts by well as of current conditions. Not even as of 630, but as now since all the wells are up and running.

Cary Bounds

Analyst · RLS Financial. Please go ahead, sir

Well, we historically do not give out individual well information for a variety of reasons. But let us take that into consideration. And that’s just something we’ve chosen historically not to do. But we will – I appreciate the question and we’ll take into consideration.

Bob Shohet

Analyst · RLS Financial. Please go ahead, sir

Okay. So as of right now, you’re saying 13,100 gross which is 4,300 net to VAALCO is that accurate?

Cary Bounds

Analyst · RLS Financial. Please go ahead, sir

No, 3,549 barrels a day net to VAALCO.

Bob Shohet

Analyst · RLS Financial. Please go ahead, sir

I thought with the South Tchibala 2H coming back on line you indicated that production was now back up to 4,300 barrels per day.

Cary Bounds

Analyst · RLS Financial. Please go ahead, sir

Yes. Let me back up. Our gross working interest is 31%, our net working interest is 27%. And so when we calculate production, we take the gross amount that we multiplied by the net working interest. The gross working interest applies to cost, 31% the net 27% applies to production. And so I think what I would ask you to do is, keep those numbers in mind and there are several – you’ll see in several places where we reported production and volumes on our website on the presentation. You can take – you can apply those. The net percentage of 27% for example to the 4,100 barrels of oil per day increase at Avouma, which net is 1,100. So you can do all that math. I think we’ve got a lot of different numbers floating around and I don’t want to confuse people. So I would encourage you to go to our website, look at our presentation and apply a net 27% to any gross production number you see.

Bob Shohet

Analyst · RLS Financial. Please go ahead, sir

Well, I’ve done that sir. And I was prepared with that prior to the call and because there are so many different numbers that’s why I’m asking for clarification, so that you can relieve any confusion that I have and possibly others. So for instance, I mean, when I’m primarily concerned with the numbers that – understanding the numbers that went to the reporting, the quarterly, the annual as well as the updates that you provide. So for instance, the 4,300 now that was in the – that came out with the earnings is that actually what is being produced and therefore available for liftings for sale? Or is that the other number that you were referring to?

Cary Bounds

Analyst · RLS Financial. Please go ahead, sir

Where are you pulling the 4,300 barrels a day from?

Bob Shohet

Analyst · RLS Financial. Please go ahead, sir

The 4,300, just bear with me a moment. The 4,300 came from – I believe, I’m looking for the page in the – here we are. Cary Bounds, VAALCO’s Chief Executive Officer, commented, we’re pleased to have restored 1,100 barrels BOPD net production, so forth and so on. It’s the following completion of the Avouma workover program total net production for VAALCO is currently averaging approximately 4,300 barrels per day.

Cary Bounds

Analyst · RLS Financial. Please go ahead, sir

Correct. Okay, that’s very helpful. So if I divide that by our 27% net interest that’s 16,000 barrels a day gross, which is roughly what the field produced yesterday.

Bob Shohet

Analyst · RLS Financial. Please go ahead, sir

Right. So is that the number aside from any potential shutdowns or issues or workovers? Is that the number we should be looking at going forward for current production, which is available to be lifted?

Cary Bounds

Analyst · RLS Financial. Please go ahead, sir

Right. The guidance that we’re giving for the year is net 3,500 to 4,100 barrels a day for 2018. And so the guidance for third quarter is 3,800 to 4,100 barrels a day net. Does that answer your question?

Bob Shohet

Analyst · RLS Financial. Please go ahead, sir

The lower numbers are 3,800 to 4,100 is that allowing for potential reductions or potential off-time some of the wells or is that calculated differently than the 4,300. I’m just trying to understand that.

Cary Bounds

Analyst · RLS Financial. Please go ahead, sir

The 4,300 is where we are today, and so we take where we are today and we look at what are all of the – what can impact production. And there’s positive impacts we may see a well performed better than we expected. What are negative impacts, we might have a problem and have to shut in a well for a few days. So it’s a very detailed technical analysis where engineers go and they analyze – again, what are the impacts that might drive production up or down and we come up with the guidance range. We don’t feel like we’re going to miss the low end and it’s going to be difficult to produce above high end either in the third quarter or for the year.

Bob Shohet

Analyst · RLS Financial. Please go ahead, sir

Okay. But the 3,800 to 4,100, the 4,300 they’re all based from the same number, which is what I was trying to confirm with you before because you’d mentioned these basis.

Cary Bounds

Analyst · RLS Financial. Please go ahead, sir

Okay.

Bob Shohet

Analyst · RLS Financial. Please go ahead, sir

I just want to make sure that they’re all based on the same gross number whatever that number is at a given point in time and you’ve confirmed that. We’ll then move on to the other questions, which are much shorter. The slots itself do the slots function much like futures would in the futures market where in effect with the swap your affectively short the 400,000 barrels of production at the price of $74 or is there an actual purchase price for the swap itself plus the mark-to-market on end of quarter basis.

Phil Patman

Analyst · RLS Financial. Please go ahead, sir

I’ll take that. The answer is that the hedges simply fix the price at $74 for the 400,000 barrels that were hedged. So hence as the price rises above $74 there would be a reduction to income for the period as well prices go below $74 the swap would protect us at the $74 level for those 400,000 barrels.

Bob Shohet

Analyst · RLS Financial. Please go ahead, sir

Okay. So if I understand this correctly then what’s happening is – let’s say, the price for the lifting at whatever point at time that is $75, so effectively you’re showing a non-cash charge for $1 times the 400,000 but at the same time you’re booking in effect the full $75 times the barrels lifted, whereas if for instance the lifting price is $73 obviously your gross is based on the $73 times a number of barrels lifted. But then there’s an offsetting gain if you will, which is I assume mark-to-market but it is not a cash gain of the difference between the $74 swap price and the $73 cash price if you will times the number of barrels. Is my understanding correct?

Phil Patman

Analyst · RLS Financial. Please go ahead, sir

Well, not entirely. The revenues are the price at the time whatever that price it is. The effect of the hedges shows up on the income statement has other net for the mark-to-market gain or loss associated with the hedges. And that is mark-to-market each period and then realized as hedges roll off.

Bob Shohet

Analyst · RLS Financial. Please go ahead, sir

Right, you confirmed what I was asking, we might have been using different words. But okay, great. That confirms. I’m trying to find or figure out how and when the lifting prices are actually determined for the months? Is it done on the actual Brent spot price on the day of the lifting or are they set at the beginning of the month and then changed or not changed accordingly, as it tied to Brent futures at all or is it a different calculation?

Phil Patman

Analyst · RLS Financial. Please go ahead, sir

The prices set by our off-tanker and is tied of course to Dated Brent as we have disclosed in the past. It is beyond the scope of the call to explain exactly how that is determined except to say that it is a month-to-month issue.

Bob Shohet

Analyst · RLS Financial. Please go ahead, sir

Okay. So yes, that part I understand. But there is no way for an investor or let’s say to have some general awareness of understanding of where that price might be or is there something I can look at for instance just to have a general idea of where the price is likely to be based on a lifting day.

Phil Patman

Analyst · RLS Financial. Please go ahead, sir

I think as an investor what I would say is, that you should take a very close look at where you believe Brent will go that is the biggest component of the price that we received for our oil. There is a basis differential, which we have not disclosed and do not plan to at this time.

Operator

Operator

The question is a follow-up question from Bill Dezellem with Tieton Capital.

Bill Dezellem

Analyst · Tieton Capital

Thank you. I actually had two quick ones. The 3,800 to 4,100 barrels guidance that you’re providing was that for the remainder of the year or the third quarter?

Cary Bounds

Analyst · Tieton Capital

That was – let me get back to the page, Bill. That was 3,800 to 4,100 was for the third quarter and for the year it’s 3,500 to 4,100.

Bill Dezellem

Analyst · Tieton Capital

Right, okay. Thank you. And so from an outsider’s perspective given that you are running at 4,300 today and where half way almost through the quarter it’s a pretty good indication you will meet or exceed your – even the high end of the guidance of the 4,100 per day, correct or is there something a piece of that puzzle I’m missing?

Cary Bounds

Analyst · Tieton Capital

I think it’s fair to say that as of today, we would probably hit the high end of guidance but again, there’s things that can happen that are beyond our control. And so that’s why we have a range but where we are today, yes, we’re pointed towards the high end but a lot of things can change over the remainder of the quarter.

Bill Dezellem

Analyst · Tieton Capital

Understood. So your guidance is taking the unexpected into account.

Cary Bounds

Analyst · Tieton Capital

Absolutely, exactly.

Bill Dezellem

Analyst · Tieton Capital

That’s helpful, Cary. And then on a completely different topic you referenced in your opening remarks the evaluation of – I’ll use my term, acquisition opportunities. Would you please provide a little more perspective in terms of what it is that you’re looking for? And then secondarily, how those activities are progressing?

Cary Bounds

Analyst · Tieton Capital

Right, okay. What we’re looking for is something that and I said this in my comments that fits our existing technical and operational expertise. And so ideally we’re looking for an acquisition opportunity that’s in Central – offshore Central West Africa. And where we can use some of our people that are already over in Africa, we can use our people here. So in other words we don’t want to start a new business where we have no experience. And we have to go out, and we have to hire a staff that has the experience necessary to operate a brand new type of asset in a different location something like that. Where we are – we have a team dedicated to pursuing those acquisitions, we’ve looked at several opportunities, there’s nothing to report. Again as soon as we have something to report, I’ll let you know. But I guess the – my message that I’m trying to get out there is, we are actively looking for acquisitions that would be accretive to our share price and if people have ideas please call us. And so that’s really my message for today.

Bill Dezellem

Analyst · Tieton Capital

That’s quite helpful. Thank you and thank you again for taking all my questions.

Cary Bounds

Analyst · Tieton Capital

You bet, Bill. Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, we’ve reached the end of the allotted time for the Q&A session. Are there any closing remarks from management?

Cary Bounds

Analyst · Tieton Capital

No. I’d like to thank everybody for participating in the call. And have a great day.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen thank you for participating in today’s conference call. You may now disconnect.