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Enterprise Financial Services Corp (EFSC)

Q1 2020 Earnings Call· Tue, Apr 21, 2020

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, everyone and welcome to the EFSC Earnings Conference Call. Today's conference is being recorded.At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Jim Lally, President and CEO of Enterprise Financial Services Corp. Please go ahead, sir.

Jim Lally

Management

Thank you, Sera. Well, good afternoon and welcome to our 2020 first quarter earnings call. For all of you on the call I hope that you and your families are healthy and safe and there will be precedented times. Joining me on the call this morning is Keene Turner, Chief Financial and Operating Officer of our company; Scott Goodman, President of Enterprise Bank & Trust and Doug Bauche, Chief Credit Officer of Enterprise Banking Trust.Before we begin, I would like to remind everyone on the call that a copy of the release and accompanying presentation can be found on our website. The presentation and earnings release were furnished on SEC Form 8-K yesterday. Please refer to Slide 2 of the presentation titled Forward-Looking Statements and our most recent 10-K for reasons why actual results may vary from any forward-looking statements that we make today.The first quarter of 2020 will a quarter that will soon not be forgotten. Our EFS team it was a quarter that showed the financial streak and resiliency that we built over the last several years, the operational efficiency punctuated by the culture of incremental improvements and prudent investments and entrepreneurial innovation that has been a hallmark of our company.The sound fundamentals of our company were exhibited during the first quarter. We earned record operating revenue of $77 million, we extended our revenues margin and had a stable efficiency ratio compared to the linked quarter. Our loan and deposits were as strong. Loans grew by $143 million or 11% annualized and the profits grew $219 million or 15$% annualized.In response to uncertain economic conditions, we were able to be proactive and prudent of our provision for credit losses addition $22 million to reserves. While we feel good about our financial results in the first quarter, we were…

Scott Goodman

Management

Thank you, Jim and good morning. Sa Jim outlined and as shown on slide 7 and 8, the fundamentals of Q1 were strong as we grew the loan portfolio by $143 million or 11% annualized. The C&I actually represented over 70% of this growth, stemming from increases across the specialty business line as well as higher line of credit usage.Borrowers access lines for additional working capital at modestly higher levels with increased usage of roughly $40 million versus the prior quarter end. Slide 9 and 10 breaks down the change in loan balances by category and business unit. Commercial real activity was steady as we captured opportunities for investors to both refinance and purchase properties, particularly in St. Louis and Kansas City.Higher construction loan funding mainly represent steady activity on project originated over the past three or four quarter. St. Louis growth in the quarter also reflects increases in the affordable housing tax credit sector and new business originated by the agricultural lending team. We continue to be a steady flow of new project opportunities in the affordable housing business, which was further bolstered in this quarter with some refinancing.The gain was able to successfully onboard three new relationships and significantly expand another during the first quarter. As a reminder, the clients in this unit represent traditional row crop, pork and cattle farms which have a history of solid operations and are well known to our experienced Ag lenders.In the Specialized Lending Unit, enterprise value lending started the year strong with a solid pipeline and new growth from both M&A and recapitalization activity. This activity quickly slowed as deals were put on hold by sponsors in the latter part of Q1. Life insurance premium finance experienced growth from several new policy referrals and the funding of existing premiums.Moving through deposits…

Doug Bauche

Management

Thanks Scott and good morning. During these challenging and uncertain times our relationship approach to credit reveals its true value. While we are pleased with the solid performance of our credit portfolio during Q1, our attention is turned squarely it working with our clients in particular those who have been most severely impacted by the pandemic and related economic effects.Scott touched on the diversification of our overall credit portfolio and I thought it would be helpful if I spent a few minutes talking more specifically about our exposure to the higher risk sectors including CRE retail, EDL, hospitality, oil and gas and agriculture. Slide 14 shows a breakout of our C&I and CRE portfolios. Of the investor-owned real estate, approximately $356 million includes retail CRE. Of that, the average commitment is $1.8 million with the weighted average LTD of 64% and personal recourse of 98% of the portfolio.In our segment stress testing it was determined that 88% of the loans to be service for a period of 12 months in borrower and guarantor liquidity reserves. Our enterprise value lending or EVL portfolio consists of senior debt exposure to private equity, primarily SBIC owned middle-market companies. As referenced on Slide 15, our $441 million portfolio includes both $299 million of senior secured term debt and $142 million of borrowing based secured working capital lines of credit.The portfolio is well diversified with approximately 90 unique borrowers, resulting in an average exposure of nearly $5 million per relationship with $2.5 million for loan. Industry segmentation includes manufacturing at 34% mostly of trade at 15% and professional and technical services at 15%. We've enjoyed long-term relationships with our proven SBIC sponsors and this portfolio performed quite well during the prior economic downturn.Our general underwriting and space linked to a conservative senior leverage position of…

Keene Turner

Management

Thanks for your comments and good morning, everyone. My comments reflect slide 21 of the presentation. Net income for the first quarter of 2020 was $12.9 million and earnings per share was $0.48. Total revenue compared favorably to a seasonally strong fourth quarter and the solidly given for 2020. Net interest income added $0.03 of earnings per share in the linked quarter both be the continued average asset growth as well as 11 basis points of total net interest margin expansion.Core net interest income was essentially stable while incremental accretion added $0.02 per share. Also, we would have expected fee income and expenses to compare unfavorably to the fourth quarter due to the seasonality. Nonetheless there was an environmental item that helped make up for the expected trend in both categories which I'll highlight further in my comments.Our strong revenue and expenses resulted in increased tax pre-provision net income of $38.1 million for the first quarter of 2020 and allowed us to be proactive with our provision for credit losses at $0.63 per share while still netting $0.48 per share of earnings.Turning to slide 22, net interest income increased to $52.1 million in the first quarter. Core net interest margin was 3.71% an increase of 7 basis points from the linked quarter. Net interest income was aided by $1.3 million of non-core acquired loans accretion particularly related to free flow option and $0.8 million of discount accretion related to prepayment on core PCI loans in the period.Overall margin was stable during the quarter, prior the actions by the federal reserve in March. Portfolio loan yields were lower versus the linked quarter primarily as a result of interest rate resets during the period and a 38 basis point decline in one month LIBOR. This was partially mitigated by higher average loan…

Operator

Operator

[Operator instructions] And our first question will come from Jeff Rulis with D.A. Davidson.

Jeff Rulis

Analyst

On the capital just in terms of double those loan-loss reserves sort of capital come from different sources, so any thoughts on that TCE comfort level of that here in excess make sense of the levels that comes in further, you guys did a good job outlining the liquidity and other sources of capital, but just per that metric any thoughts on comfortability levels where we sit today here?

Keene Turner

Management

Jeff, this is Keene. I think we're extremely comfortable with capital of these levels. I think particularly when you look at the confluence of factors here in the first quarter, you had day one adoption of CECL, you have a feel like is a proactive day two provision and we were also buying back some shares in the quarter. So we only 8.5% PCE I feel like that's strong and then I think it's worth noting just in terms of CECL and based on regulatory and relief and phasing that you get, so PCE is one indicator but the rest of the ratio from a regulatory perspective remained strong.And again I think the earnings profile sort of that first line of defense on potential future provisions that we'll need take size, I think we feel good right here with the 8.5% level and moving forward at what obviously we've been stable and pause on kind of the capital management. So I do expect that the capital position will be sufficient here and we can have a few quarter like this and if you had call it a 50% quarter here with an $0.18 dividend here then you're building PCE every quarter.

Jeff Rulis

Analyst

Thanks. And another one of expenses and really just color I know that you didn’t provide guidance but there are a lot of moving pieces in Q1 and thanks you probably towards the end of the quarter but if you can touch on this level of expenses in the first quarter giving thoughts of branch closures and travel limitations, is that figure a good level or would you expect that to come in or increase of nearly 2Q.

Keene Turner

Management

Jeff I would just say normally first quarter expenses are high because of seasonal payroll taxes and a myriad of items that go along with it including merit increases right in the first quarter. We do have that kind of normal trend, but I would say that the environment has given us some natural mitigate to that and also adding to that was reduced incentive accrual.So I think the first quarter level here felt pretty comfortable and really it only had call it a month of some of the more extreme expense management in it. I would also with that said there are some variability, we're definitely going to see some more professional fees as we consult with the attorney who council on either specific credits or how to navigate challenges that the current environment provides that we haven’t seen that specifically before.So there's a little bit of give-and-take there, but there is nothing that I would say would material upside or outside to the level we're at. We feel pretty good about at least in light of current profitability to the extent that things were to get better and we would have customer growth and things like that. Obviously the teams would be in line for some level of incentives there and that would have to accrued later in the year.

Jeff Rulis

Analyst

Thanks. And one last want to clarify I think it was in Doug's comments about the average PP balance of your deal approved clients, was that a $1.25 million of did that get better?

Jim Lally

Management

Yeah Jeff you're right, the $75 million total for the portfolio of clients with an average of $1,250,000 of portfolio of clients.

Jeff Rulis

Analyst

Thanks Jim. That's it for me.

Operator

Operator

And our next question will come from Andrew Liesch with Piper Sandler.

Andrew Liesch

Analyst

Just some thoughts on the margin here, the industry deals more roughly value is currently explored.

Jim Lally

Management

We've got, let me find my page here, I apologize, we've got $3.2 billion in total variable-rate loans, $1.2 billion of those for and you've got almost 50% of those currently on the floor. So that's where it fits and we'll provide some more detail when we file our Q on that as well.

Andrew Liesch

Analyst

Okay. That's helpful and then just on the provisions here just trying to get a sense on the macro liquid debt based on when I look at multiple reversed or maybe later on in the quarter just trying to get a sense of this could be some proof of our reserve just from an economic factor in the quarter to have?

Jim Lally

Management

Yeah, let me try to give you as mush flavors as I can there Andrew, we felt like it was important to use the most updated information we had in terms of our economic forecasts and so that blended both downside and upside scenarios and no let's just say our base forecast includes nearly 9% unemployment in the near term and then it includes almost 5% decline in GDP and then those extend out respectively to nearly 13% unemployment and an additional almost 7% decrease in GDP.So I think it's safe to say that we felt like getting ahead of this or taking as much information as we could and incorporating them to the forecast and working that into the results early was the best approach and it allows us to be positioned to either continue to add to that or the efforts to mitigate borrowers to stop continue to stretch out will be sort of status quo until we get some clarity, but we felt like this was the right posture and the right start to use in those updated forecast which is I think clearly little bit more of a conservative view than we could have taken.

Andrew Liesch

Analyst

That's helpful. I will step back and then take a question.

Operator

Operator

[Operator instructions] We'll now hear from Michael Perito with KBW.

Michael Perito

Analyst

Hey guys, hope you're all doing well. Thanks for your time for that. I wanted to spend a little bit more time on credit, Keene in your prepared remarks you mentioned that you had not seen any material credit stress manifest at the current time. I was wondering if you could maybe extrapolate that a little bit further. Are you suggesting that I guess what is your assumption in terms of the business compared to quite a few that are taking some form of intervention or full balance.What kind of assumptions in terms of their ability to return to kind of full operation later this year you guys making and kind of reserve fill that we have?

Jim Lally

Management

Let me handle that high level and then I'll have Doug or Scott to kind of color in maybe the borrowers. I think it's been pretty clear that the idea that it's inclined much of the relief have been to provide initial liquidity and belief and when we've been looking at the deferrals and things like that it's really not an income event.Now certainly there is a collectibility element that I think right now is just uncertain and it's kind of depend a lot on how people get back to work and the speed of recovery and we're clearly not in the position to forecast that. So I guess what I would say is our provisioning level is based more on broad based economic information and potential that it could have across the portfolio and clearly I think our land was intended to be more conservative than more optimistic and what will work on through the next quarter or two is how certain sectors, certain businesses, certain industries perform and borrowers as it relates to our portfolio and their ability to get back to business and make the payment and then our expectation would be those will start to meet in the middle right.But I think we're starting with a good coverage at one point 1.7% would double -- more than double from where we were at the end of the year for a variety of factors and from our perspective I think we just feel like that's the right approach and posture because there really is no other approach, there is no information in real detail that we had to be able to estimate those losses with the portfolio other than using a broader economic indicators.I think we transitioned from being able to portfolio analysis into what I call case management which you go customer and my comments about the nature of the first eight weeks that we had I think beyond that and valuable clients understanding where they stand and when does the economic slowdown impact in this if it does and then what do we need to do to prepare for that is who we think about.

Scott Goodman

Management

And this is Scott. I was just going to add I think the way I look at it is the diversity of our portfolio as the first barrier and I think to Doug's comments we try to dial in through a lot of the work that our internal folks do to really dial into the sectors that we think are higher risk to do work around liquidity, loans to values, guarantor support to really see how long they can weather the storm. So I think the key point -- the key issue is what is the longevity because that's as I talked about that's the comment, that's the concern that weighs most on everybody is how long are we going to be in this state. But I think diversity of the portfolio is the key factor that obviously make it.

Michael Perito

Analyst

Got it and then I know it's still early in an transaction, volumes haven’t been high in the real estate arena but it seems like there is a bit of real estate collateral obviously in the portfolio and have you guys seen any updated data points yet in terms of how real estate prices in your markets of operation are trending since this some pandemic has really start to take older and is it still too early to comment on that.

Jim Lally

Management

Now I can let Doug comment specifically if he wants to. I think it's early from a value standpoint. I think only minor cash flows because I think that's obviously cash flows leading to valuations and I think generally what we've seen is those that are related more to the hospitality are certainly impacted those that are more commercial have a bigger buffer but I don’t think we've seen for example an overabundance of CRE take advantage of the deferrals, but I'll hand it to Doug if he has further comments there.

Doug Bauche

Management

No, I haven’t seen in terms of the deferrals, first and foremost we ventured in very few forbearance agreements on commercial real estate and so far deferrals have largely been accommodated to those developers that are really just looking for an opportunity to preserve some liquidity during this temporary cash crunch, but I think in general changes in real estate values to this is early but certainly we're mindful of the potential long-term impact that COVID-19 could have relative to demand for particular office and retail space.So we're mindful of that and we're watching it but I think early yet to determine the impact relative to current loan to values.

Michael Perito

Analyst

Okay. Thank you and then just lastly and I do appreciate all the added disclosures guidance that was helpful and all the areas of focus I think with market interest lies just on the aircraft just a small quick question on the aircraft portfolio, can you guys just confirm I believe this is true but none of the aircrafts are actually used to generate revenue correct?

Jim Lally

Management

Yeah the bulk of that portfolio or the alarming majority of the portfolio is taken in on trades of basically short-term. There may be less than 10% of the portfolio where the aircraft would be used to generate revenue, but that's not certainly the focus of the business.

Michael Perito

Analyst

Got it. Well thank you guys and I appreciate the extra time and help with the questions this morning. I hope you all stay well in top motion.

Operator

Operator

[Operator instructions] We'll now take a question from Brian Martin with Janney Montgomery.

Brian Martin

Analyst

Hey thanks for all the added color echo that, it's very helpful insightful but maybe just a couple things for me, just the -- did you guys mention the total deferrals at this point in the portfolio and what was that as a familiar question earlier Keene was that as of March 31 kind of looking a little bit after that with the most recent data as far as what the deferral look like?

Scott Goodman

Management

Yeah Brian it's Scott and I can take it. Okay, the deferrals that we talked about were really trying to give some color post 31 and right now I would say we've done 30 to 90 day deferrals of P&I. Some borrowers will take less than 90 days. Some borrowers will take principle not just interest but impacting less than $500 million of the portfolio so 110% probably fewer than 400 loans overall will okay that's helpful.

Brian Martin

Analyst

Okay that's helpful. Okay and how about just secondly on the PPP program I may guess can you just walk through, how I guess if this -- do you anticipate that being a margin of '19 or is this a fee income and then just kind of the timing of how you're thinking about recognizing that revenue as we kind of model something in on that.

Scott Goodman

Management

Yes so let me just add one thing that Scott comment which is on that $0.5 billion of principle balances that the loan the amount requested for deferral is not very big. So we're talking $20 million to $25 million of total payment deferral that's been requested for that period. So just we're sizing relative to the unpaid balance and then I would just say on the PPP loans the potential for the fee income is right now call it $16 million, $17 million, $18 million in fees plus the modest mix spread we'll get once we fund those loans.Our results look pretty clear. We don't have specific instructions on how is that forgiven or necessarily be paid but it's probably some combination of second to third quarter recognition of what a majority of those will pay off and then in speaking with peers and trying their arms around maybe what might continue to drag on further, I think 20% to 25% might be around for some period of the full term that that's just us kind of guessing and modeling and figuring that out but we do think in the next couple quarters here, we can start to get some payoffs but to the extent that we've growth, that will be a loan yield than a margin drag or be it a 0% risk-weighted asset.So we're not overly focused on that. We're a bit more focused on making sure that our client withstand business and we've an excellent job of executing, but that's how we think about those moving back in here to earnings and shrinking down the balance sheet.

Brian Martin

Analyst

Okay so it's probably fair to say Keene in the second half of this year maybe you get 75% or 70% to 75% of that total revenue and the remainder just spread out over the quarter and however we think about it, is that fair?

Keene Turner

Management

Yeah I would hope so and with the intention of the plan which is to keep people employed we're hopeful that its 75% of mortgages that means that it went into the communities and paycheck and for really the purpose of that we've intended for. So that can be forgiven.

Brian Martin

Analyst

Okay. That's all. Thank you and then just on margin, can you just with the rate cuts and then the proactive efforts you guys have had on the funding side, how much of the 150 basis point rate cut was in the quarter just maybe if you talk about the March margin just with the starting point now that you’ve had the rate cuts in the cuts that you guys have been proactive just kind of how to think about that core margin going forward just in the near-term.

Keene Turner

Management

Yeah I'm in actually excess. I would say generally when we look back at our asset sensitivity tables, I think we expect that we'll be able to maybe mitigate some of that effect, so a really big wildcard that we've got right now Brian is there is a lot of liquidity coming into the banking and into the system and we're also taking actions to bolster liquidity. So I'd be hesitant to give an answer because I think some of this is about the relative margin and net interest income given the risk profile and we're working as hard as we can to maintain a highly liquid, highly capitalized institution to be able to support needs.And so I think it would be irresponsible if I tried to give you some sense for that. I will say that you March margin was lower than January and February comparatively but now I also think you can see the results here for the first quarter and they were they pretty stellar. So I think you are on way to have a pretty good year before the Fed actions and the economic conditions started to darken.

Brian Martin

Analyst

Okay. That's helpful and just the one housekeeping question, Keene you guys have talked about for a while that seasonality of that tax credit line it looks like the first quarter was I guess it looks like maybe it's more expectation will be it's more streamlined or I guess more stable less volatile this year I guess is one indication of that or I guess would you still expect some volatility in the next couple quarters and for keeping back just big picture on the changes we made in the tax credit line trying to normalize it.

Jim Lally

Management

Yeah I would have said six weeks ago I would have expected it to be more consistent, but still probably weakest in the second quarter. I would say right now the predictability of the business is a challenge and it's mostly our ability to source credits as opposed to sell credits. So I think all of the equal we will expect some fourth quarter activity and then I was just also add that some of it depends on what happened to rates and some of the quarter results were good by the reduction in LIBOR which caused some of the credits that we fair value to be adjusted.So a give a little bit clarity on that in the upcoming 10Q to those indication but right now we don’t have as Scott indicated on a variety, we don't have the clarity of what a 30, 60, 90 day delay in business in terms of timing that all comes back or if it pushes out or it meets the overall level of activity in the tax credit spaces I think no different.

Brian Martin

Analyst

Okay. And maybe just last high-level for me given that a people -- a lot of your client haven't taken deferrals or said they really don't need them in your comments about the exposure you guys have the greatest level of risk you view today when we kind of look at those buckets and it's really just a you outlined of one in particular I guess more concerning at this point from what you’ve seen as the way you gathered.

Keene Turner

Management

Brian I can take that, I think it's liquidity to weather the downturn is the theme that regardless of the industry that was what came through more than anything but I think the good news is based upon deposit inflows, based upon the rate at which our clients accepted deferrals, we feel like they're in decent shape but I think it's definitely our liquidity to weather that.

Brian Martin

Analyst

Okay. And normally you guys have 1Q seasonality with the deposit base with the tax payments from people, but obviously with that being pushed back and would you expect some I guess does that inflow of it normally in that 1Q following the 2Q now with the timing changes that which your expectation would be?

Keene Turner

Management

Yeah I would say Brian we're not, I don’t know that I can wage your guess as to what this will provide moving forward and what we're going to see. I mean clearly with lending and with the PDP program we're seeing that going to deposit accounts the client borrowings other places. We don’t know if that's come with the bank or not but we do continue to see a flight to quality and balance will grow as Scott mentioned as people put more cash in their balance sheet as they're worried about the outlook.

Brian Martin

Analyst

Okay. Perfect. That's helpful Keene, thanks everyone and stay safe.

Operator

Operator

And there are no further questions in queue this time. So I'll turn things over to our speakers for any additional or closing remarks.

Jim Lally

Management

This is Jim and just want to thank everybody for their time today and your interest in our company. Please stay well, stay and look forward to talking again at the end of the second quarter if not sooner. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And that does conclude today's conference. Once again thanks everyone for joining us. You may now disconnect.