Michael Brown
Analyst · Citi. Your line is open
Thank you, Scott, and thank you to everyone who is joining us today. I'll begin my comments on Slide number 5. I am happy to be joining you today on the other side of a year that continued to present more uncertainties from the COVID pandemic, but one where we have emerged stronger with more products and better network and even more advanced technology. Just as it did through the heart of the pandemic, the strength of our balance sheet has afforded us the luxury of continuing to invest in our business and our best-in-class employees. Our pre-pandemic strategy consisted of two key points: one, deploy ATMs in more markets; and two, expand our physical and digital distribution in both epay and Money Transfer. Our investments validated that these strategies remain effective, and we believe that they will continue to result in strong earnings growth rates in the coming years. We achieved these strong double-digit growth rates in revenue, adjusted operating income and adjusted EBITDA for the full-year of 2021, despite a year with highly irregular travel patterns, that moved from heavy restrictions across most of the world to promising travel patterns later in the year, only to be set back by Omicron in the second half of the fourth quarter. Despite this setback, the current data suggests a strong rebound in travel recovery beginning in the second quarter of this year 2022. As we ended the year, and airlines increased flight capacity, we saw improvements in cash withdrawal trends, particularly through the first half of the fourth quarter as the Omicron variant spread across the globe, air travel was interrupted and lockdowns were implemented in certain countries, resulting in lighter transaction recovery than early in the quarter. In epay, we continue to see strong adoption of our digital products in many of our markets, and we achieved $1 billion in revenue for the first time in that segment's history. And in Money Transfer, we continue to deliver strong double-digit growth rates on the U.S. and international outbound transactions, including the Middle East and Asia, which were offset by lower domestic transactions and transactions in the Middle East and Asia, where transactions still suffered from government-mandated lockdowns. All of the data from this fourth quarter, together with the continued global expansion of vaccine programs and many countries' decision to open borders to regain some of the GDP loss during past travel seasons give us optimism in our expectation that 2022 will be a strong year for Euronet. Now let's go on to Slide 6, and I'll discuss the current travel data in more detail. On Slide 6, we have presented an updated version of the graph we provided to you in the last couple of quarters, which shows actual and projected European flight data for this year versus 2019, overlaid with our total international cash withdrawals for the same period as well as our transaction recovery from non-EU cardholders. This chart really helps you see the trend we mentioned on the previous slide. The actual flight data continued to improve through the first half of the fourth quarter, and our international cash withdrawals were tracking better than flight data in the travel recovery transactions. As you can see a sharp increase in non-EU transactions represented by the blue dots, and which represent 25% of the total international transactions presented on the gold dot. However, in mid-November, you can see that the flight data started declining with the spread of the Omicron variant, and our total international transactions, including non-EU transactions, also declined sharply as new travel restrictions and lockdown requirements were put in place in several markets. You'll notice the orange circles on the graph are industry predictions that were made prior to Omicron, which have not yet been updated to account for the new variant. What we see in the news continues to confirm a view similar to what these numbers represent. As we have said in the past, we tend to see intra-Europe transaction recovery ahead of flight recovery largely because travel by automobile is faster to a range and returns more quickly than airline travel. While the decline in transactions from Omicron couldn't have been predicted when we provided guidance in October, we continue to be encouraged that when borders were open with limited or no travel restrictions and when flights were operating, tourists were eager to travel and that continued to translate into cash withdrawals for our EFT business. There have been many predictions of a strong travel recovery in 2022 as vaccine efforts continue to spread across the world and as people learn to live with COVID as part of their lifestyle. Let's go on to Slide number 7, where we have presented some of these articles with a little bit more detail. At various points during the pandemic, we felt like we could see that light at the end of the tunnel only to enter another COVID wave. However, this time, to steal a baseball analogy, it feels like we maybe rounding third base and heading for home. We are seeing articles that quote various officials, starting to predict that COVID will become an endemic during 2022 for some parts of the world. We are also seeing new treatments being approved, vaccines finally reaching the less developed countries and airline expectations starting to climb back up in anticipation of better travel numbers this year. In January, a survey of Americans who travel for business or pleasure before the pandemic, 91% of those respondents have plans to travel in the next six months, and 25% have said that the pandemic no longer influences their decision to travel according to a travel market research firm, Longwoods International. We are seeing major brands like Visa and Mastercard make statements that consumers are learning to live with the pandemic and also that spending surged in the final three months of 2021 despite the disruption caused by Omicron. Some of the more encouraging stories include comments that airlines are starting to recover. In fact, with their popular budget airline in Europe, reported a 243% increase in passengers year-over-year for the fourth quarter of 2021. Perhaps the most important and to the most significant portion of our EFT business beginning this February, a couple of days ago, the EU made a policy shift from safe listing travelers to Europe by country and replacing them with restrictions based on individual travelers COVID status. These recommendations were based on three factors. First, the Omicron variant appears to be much milder version of the COVID-19 and therefore, less worrying; second, citizens are tired of these ongoing restrictions; and third, these countries have concluded that travel restrictions do not prevent the spread of COVID-19. In their recommendation, they noted that a person-based approach will substantially simplify the applicable rules and will provide additional clarity and predictability for travelers. Outside of Europe, where strict lockdowns and travel restrictions have been in place for much of the pandemic, we are starting to see some easing of these policies. For example, the Philippines announced that effective February 1, the government will allow fully vaccinated foreign travelers in the country, and several other Asian countries are considering plans to allow tourists into certain island beach areas of their countries. All of these third-party indicators give us optimism that we may now be where we thought we were a year ago. While there is not a universal view that 2019 travel levels will be achieved, the confidence of achieving near 2019 levels is continuing to build, giving us confidence that the EFT segment will deliver significant contributions to our consolidated results this year. While we do not expect the EFT results to fully achieve 2019 levels with the improved EFT results in 2022, together with the growth that we have achieved in epay and Money Transfer over the last two years, we continue to expect that we will produce 2022 earnings similar to those in 2019. Now let's move on to Slide number 8, and we'll talk about some of our EFT expansion in the quarter. Slide number 8. Over the years, we have consistently demonstrated our willingness and ability to expand our product portfolio and distribution capabilities. You may remember that in March of last year, we announced our intention to acquire the merchant acquiring arm of Piraeus Bank in Greece. This acquisition expands Euronet's merchant acquiring capabilities, including a leading position in Greece for online acquiring in a market that continues to have the same growth trajectory that we saw when announcing the acquisition. This has taken a little longer to close than we originally expected, but we expect to close later this quarter. We also signed an agreement with Safepay, a fintech start-up in Pakistan. Safepay as a developer of a financial platform that facilitates digital payments in Pakistan. The company's platform assist stores to increase checkout conversion, speeds up accounts receivables and streamlined sales by helping customers to pay online. Euronet will provide the technology to help Safepay interact with Visa's Internet payment gateway services. In addition to a focus on expanding our non-ATM services, we also continue to expand our ATM network. This quarter, we launched new ATMs in Montenegro. Montenegro is a beautiful country with rugged mountains, medieval villages and beaches along the Adriatic coastline. In 2019, the country welcomed more than 2.6 million tourists and year-over-year growth was booming. This will be a nice addition to our ATM networks across Europe. In Spain, we continue to sign agreements with banks so that their domestic customers have access to Euronet's more than 3,300 ATMs in the country, significantly expanding the convenience for the bank's customers. This quarter, we signed an agreement with Orange Bank and EURO 6000, a consortium of 12 banks in Spain. We now have 25 network participation agreements with 72 banks in Spain, which is a reflection on the great value our ATM network provides the banks and their domestic customers. We also continue to add more ATMs in our existing markets. During the quarter, we added another 375 deployed ATMs, 511 outsourced ATMs and 259 low-margin ATMs. We seasonally deactivated nearly 4,000 machines due to the slower travel season in the winter and the travel disruptions and new lockdown restrictions caused by the spreading of the Omicron variant. For the full-year, we added more than 3,350 new deployed ATMs. We reduced our outsourcing count by about 850 machines and added 432 low-margin ATMs, bringing our total ATM estate to 48,619. As we look forward, we would expect to add between 4,000 and 4,500 ATMs to our estate this year. As we wrap up the year on EFT, we are encouraged that as travel came back, our growth strategy was validated. People will still travel, they'll still want cash when they do so. We even found that they were withdrawing more cash in each transaction. So as travel continues to trend back to pre-COVID levels, we are proud that we have a larger, stronger network to serve both our domestic and international customers in 33 countries around the world. Now let's move on to Slide 9, and we'll talk about epay. epay had an outstanding year, delivering double-digit growth across all metrics and reaching $1 billion in revenue for the first time in its history. These exceptional results were achieved through the continued growth in our digital media distribution, both in physical retail as well as through digital distribution channels and through growth in mobile top-ups sold through the digital channels. The expansion in digital distribution has been extremely important for many consumers around the world for the last couple of years. Movement restrictions and the lockdowns imposed during the pandemic highlighted the importance of the digital economy. For people who previously relied on physical retail, the transition to the digital economy was challenging by implementing new digital distribution agreements with retailers by adding mobile wallet distribution and perhaps most importantly, by digitizing traditional payment methods, epay provided a path for these customers to fully participate in the digital economy. The technology to make these payments happen is complex, but the technology we have spent years developing and improving made these conversions achievable to our customers. And as you can see on this slide, we continue to sign new agreements for more products distributed through all of our channels. This quarter, we launched Apple products on PhonePe and AmazonPay wallets in India. These two wallets do exceptionally high transaction volume, and Apple will be another nice addition to their product offering. We also saw nice growth in other Asian markets. In Indonesia, we launched digital media content at Alfamart, one of the largest convenience store chains in the country as well as tender digital codes, which will be distributed through Tokopedia, Indonesia, one of the largest e-commerce platforms in Southeast Asia. Finally, we launched digital distribution of Just Eat a leading global online food order and delivery service kind of like Uber Eats in seven European countries, including Germany, Austria and Switzerland. epay has developed industry-leading partnerships with the most popular global brand a vast network of retailers and digital distribution partners and best-in-class technology that makes integrating the brands and the retailers quick, seamless and convenient. Brands benefit from increased distribution, retailers benefit from having more content to offer their customers and the customers benefit from having the choice in how they want to interact with their funds, whether in a physical store location or as a participant in the world's digital economy. All of this together is a result of many years of hard work and dedication from our teams to build a strong infrastructure and this year, it paid off with strong double-digit growth rates in the business. With our continued product development, distribution expansion and technological advantage, we continue to believe epay will achieve annual operating income growth in the low double-digit range. However, as we introduce more products into epay's portfolio, the epay business is likely to become more lumpy through the quarters, ending the year with an annual growth rate that we expect to be in the low double-digit range. Now let's move on to Slide number 10, and we'll talk about Money Transfer. We continue to expand our industry-leading payments and remittance network, which now reaches 510,000 physical locations in 165 countries as well as 3.7 billion bank accounts and 439 million wallet accounts. We also continue to expand our mobile wallet presence, adding service to another 20 wallets across 11 countries, including seven new markets, El Salvador, Myanmar, Pakistan, Tonga, Vanuatu and Vietnam. We expanded our digital presence by launching our Ria app in two new countries, Australia and Malaysia, and we added two countries to our bank deposit network, Japan and Madagascar. COVID has certainly presented its share of challenges over the last couple of years, but our payments and remittance business were well positioned to address the changing needs and preferences of our customers, namely real-time account deposit and digital adoption. We've seen account deposit volumes grow in excess of 20% over the last five years. But there was a convincing shift in consumer preference to bank accounts and mobile wallets during the pandemic, and this increased our account deposit volumes by 44% last year in 2021. During this past year, 29% of Ria's cross-border remittance volumes were paid to an account, and including Xe, 50% of our Money Transfer segment's cross-border international payments and remittance volumes are sent directly into an account with the vast majority of these being received in under five minutes. Finally, Ria continued to see strong digital transaction growth in the app and riamoneytransfer.com site with 55% direct-to-consumer digital transaction growth in the quarter, which gave a 72% growth for the full-year. I should also mention that Xe saw strong corporate and consumer payment transaction growth rates during the year of 29%. Now those are some impressive growth rates. We made significant investments in our Money Transfer network, our teams and our products in 2021. And we expect these investments and commitments to fuel double-digit operating income growth in 2022. Now let's move on to Slide number 11, where I'll provide you with a brief update on our progress with the Dandelion platform. As we told you this past November, we launched our Dandelion platform, which offers our core Money Transfer infrastructure as a service to the broader financial services ecosystem. We have continued to make great progress on our network expansion and product improvement, where in this quarter, we have enabled Xe2Ria rails for B2C and B2B in Indonesia. This is the first country processing both B2B and B2C payments through Xe and Ria. Additionally, we enabled corporate payments to four new countries, Costa Rica, Japan, Malaysia and Mexico. We also launched service with STP in Mexico, creating real-time service for both corporates and individuals to all banks in Mexico. These are great enhancements for our Dandelion product, which allow us to enable new use cases into adjacent verticals that will contribute nicely to the Money Transfer growth in the coming quarters. I just want to remind you that Dandelion not only powers payments to third parties, but also powers our own assets such as Ria Digital and Xe. In that regard, I believe it is worth pointing out the scope of our broader portfolio of consumer digital product and the success we are seeing with them. As many of you know, we offer real remittance services through our Ria app and riamoneytransfer.com, and we offer consumer payments, including remittances, through our Xe app and xe.com. When all three digital customer revenues are totaled, including the relatively insignificant Dandelion revenues at this point in time, it accounts for approximately 9% of our total Money Transfer revenues in the fourth quarter 2021. We are extremely excited about this sizable part of our business, where we are seeing hyper growth and what is beginning to be a meaningful part of our business. In the fourth quarter, we saw transaction growth of 50%, which gave us 68% for the full-year. And on the revenue side, we grew at 35% for the quarter and 51% for the year. Certainly, these are impressive, exciting growth rates. As I reflect on our digital customer base, I can't help, but to admire some of the trading multiple certain competitors in the digital transfer space enjoy like revenue multiples ranging from 6x to 24x revenue. So in theory, the digital transfer part of our business should be worth something approaching $3 billion alone. This valuation reflection confirms our conclusions to develop our digital assets and reinforces our results to push hard at nursing this part of our business that's growing at 35%. Now bear in mind that, as I pointed out earlier, inside these numbers are Dandelion volumes still play a smaller role, but with even more explosive growth. So at some point down the road, we might want to break these revenues out for you, so that you can keep up with our amazing progress and potential that this product has for us. As we told you when we launched our Dandelion service, we are extremely excited about this new endeavor where with the incremental work that we have done, we have expanded our current total addressable market of $700 billion to a new TAM of $155 trillion, positioning us for continued double-digit growth while disrupting the status quo of the cross-border payments world. We look forward to giving you more update on this new business line. Slide number 12. Now let's transition to another of our exciting technology solutions, REN. REN is really starting to take off with implementations of numerous significant payment projects throughout the world and a strong pipeline of new deals. In December, Banco Atlantida, the oldest bank and the largest bank by assets in Honduras and the fifth largest bank in all of Central America, expanded their relationship with Euronet by licensing REN self-service our multi-vendor ATM terminal driving software. Banco Atlantida is looking to expand its presence across Central America and implementing REN self-service will enable that bank to use their fleet of ATMs and what they call a digital conversation channel with each customer individually as opposed to it being a cash dispensing cost center. Offering new services to customers outside of traditional bank branch is a major challenge for banks saddled with old technology infrastructure, implementing REN self-service will provide a path to offer new services to their customers in a more efficient, integrated and secure manner. In Singapore, this is really cool news, we signed a REN deployment agreement with Trust Bank Singapore Limited which is a digital bank joint venture between Standard Charter Bank and NTUC Enterprise, the largest supermarket chain in Singapore, amid sardine demand for online and mobile alternatives, new digital players are transforming the banking landscape. The bank was looking for a strategic partner to provide consumer services based on a micro services-based cloud native digital platform deployed in the public cloud. Our REN technology aligned very well with their strategic goals. So our team conducted a proof-of-concept using Amazon Web Services cloud in just 7 days to demonstrate the technical capabilities of REN. Our REN team blew away the bank's expectations and is now working to fully launch the product, which we expect to happen in the next several months. This will be the first project where we will offer REN payment services from a native cloud and also our first collaboration with Amazon Web Services. We are excited about the possibilities that this will afford us as more cloud-first and digital-only banks are emerging globally and as traditional banks look to move their payment workloads to the cloud. This quarter, we completed the first phase of a multiphase modernization product with Standard Chartered Bank in Hong Kong. Finally, we signed an agreement with Touch 'n Go Digital in Malaysia. Touch 'n Go, the parent company of the Touch 'n Go Digital was established to set up a road toll system in Malaysia through a closed loop card. Touch 'n Go Digital was incorporated to digitize the closed loop card and create frictionless payments in order to expand the closed loop card beyond the toll roads. They launched a mobile wallet, which has become the largest wallet in Malaysia with more than 22 million users, which for some perspective, means that nearly 70% of all Malaysia have the Touch 'n Go mobile wallet powered by REN. Through the partnership with Touch 'n Go, we will leverage our REN technology to enable the issuance of virtual cards and/or physical cards, allowing the customers to utilize the balances in their e-wallet through Visa's global merchant and ATM networks. In short, REN will be the backbone for one of the largest fintech and the largest payment wallet in Malaysia. This is possible because of REN's ability to bring a new card program to market quickly, it's developer-friendly APIs and a secure and highly resilient platform. These implementations are extremely impressive, so I'd like to pause for a moment and reflect on the significant power of REN. The attractiveness of REN is that it uses a modern microservices-based architecture that is compatible with the most popular programming languages, hardware, databases and best practices. The modular architecture enables specific areas of an application to be created or upgraded without interruption to the rest of the system. We have proven that this power again this quarter using APIs to create a significant structure for Trust Bank in just seven days. Not seven months or seven years as might have been the case with more antiquated payment options, which are currently used in the marketplace. REN also connected to AWS native cloud which is at the high end of what fintechs are looking for. This allows our partners to address locally the services that AWS offers internally, increasing the speed to market for these fintechs. REN provides a platform for complex projects. For Touch N Go Digital, we developed a platform to allow our customers, users the ability to use a closed loop card to do open loop transaction that is not easy and not something every tech partner can provide. We are seeing an increasing number of technology leaders at fintechs and banks relying on these inherent features of REN to provide the powerful payments technology they need while maintaining their freedom of choice to work within the development environments that are best suited to their teams. REN is also crucial in helping these teams leverage the latest advancement such as real-time payments and ISO 20022 digital wallets and cloud-based solutions. And most importantly, REN enables them to quickly meet the demands of their customers for faster, more convenient and highly secure experiences. Hopefully, the overview of the details on these REN agreements gives you a much more tangible understanding of how REN really is a difference maker. To underscore the tangibility of the momentum of our success, we have now signed 21 REN agreements, which we expect to contribute a minimum of $78 million in revenue over the next six years. And it's worth noting that this is revenue, which comes with very high margins. And our pipeline will continue that momentum with opportunities with more than half of what has already been signed. So while we've always known that our REN technology is special, there's nothing like customers validating its usefulness to the signing of long-term contracts. We look forward to continuing to share more REN success stories with you in the next quarter. As I close my comments, I think you can see from these highlights that we have the potential for a long runway of growth ahead of us through our sound strategies to grow each of our segments and through our new technology that is transforming the way payments are made. COVID presented a small setback in terms of growth, but it also gave us an opportunity to sharpen our focus to validate these strategies and emerge stronger on the other side. And I hope that 2022 is the beginning of the other side. I believe the double-digit consolidated growth rates we achieved this year are just the beginning of a new streak of strong growth rates, and I'm excited to talk to you about our achievements as we move through the year. With that, I will turn it over to Rick.