Belgacem Chariag
Analyst · BMO Capital Markets. Your line is now open
Thanks, Nahla and good morning, everyone. Today, we're very excited to review Ecovyst first standalone quarter, representing the beginning of a new chapter. As a reminder, during the third quarter, we advanced a portfolio transformation with the closing of the sale of Performance Chemicals. And the rebranding of Ecovyst, a pure-play catalyst and services company. Ecovyst business portfolio and our new leadership team demonstrated an abating resilience through a significant strategic transition, global market complexity challenges and severe weather disruptions in the U.S. We achieved volume growth and expanded margins, optimizing on the demand recovery and advancing our operational efficiency. Let's now turn to Slide 3 for highlights of our third quarter performance. Our safety performance continues to be a positive story. We have remained vigilant throughout the pandemic and during all of our transformation activities. Year-to-date, we continue to deliver historic record results, reinforcing our leadership position among top tier safety performance in the industry. For operations, this was certainly a challenging quarter with another severe weather event and continued supply chain constraints, yet again, the team responded to disruptions with successful outcomes. On the commercial front, we continue to benefit from multiyear contracting successes. This is both in terms of existing and new customers with increased momentum from growing end markets for semiconductor, renewable fuels and emission control product solutions. These contracts were executed with growing volumes and favorable pricing. On strategy; as you know, Ecovyst rebranded to a pure-play sustainability-focused catalyst and services business with a clear growing and greening ambition. We are excited to report on some recent progress in our sustainability journey as we focus on driving solutions and growth for our customers in their transition while also improving our own footprint. First, we joined the European Circular Plastic Alliance. Through this alliance activity, we are looking to be the partner in the Packaging segment as our Zeolyst-based technologies can be an enabler with leading global players in the chemical recycling value chain. Second, as we discussed on prior calls, we are targeting more than 80% of our innovation pipeline to be sustainability focused. I'm extremely excited to report that we have already reached 85% with our recent product development streamlining and restructuring efforts. Finally, while we still have more work ahead we are advancing our own ESG initiatives, developing our integrated pathways to achieve our safe targets for 2025 and 2030. Going to the financial results; on our second quarter call, we shared our expectations for a strong second half recovery. Our financial performance this quarter is a testament to the end-use trends coming in as expected and the immaculate execution by the team. On both year-over-year and sequential basis, we delivered sales growth of 28% and 11%, respectively, with higher adjusted EBITDA growth of 45% and 32%, respectively. Margins grew to nearly 35%, up 420 basis points year-over-year and 540 basis points sequentially. We are proud of this achievement and expect continued momentum into the fourth quarter and 2022. Before we shift to a discussion on our two core businesses and their end-use growth trends, let me offer the following comments on macroeconomic trends, we track as depicted on Slide 4. We expect demand in nearly all our end-use markets to return to pre-pandemic levels in 2022. This is a result of an economic recovery and continued favorable secular trends. Consumer activity continues to recover due to increased vaccination and mobility and U.S. GDP is estimated to grow by nearly 6% and approximately 5% in 2021 and 2022, respectively. Year to date, vehicle miles traveled rose by approximately 12% and we expect them to trend higher as we move into 2022. As a result, 2021 U.S. refinery utilization is forecast to improve to 85%, including the historic storm disruptions this year. With gasoline inventories at the bottom end of their five-year range, 2022 utilization rates are expected to move higher and exceed the pre-pandemic levels to more than 90%. Another key metric underlying our portfolio of products is the U.S. Industrial Production Index. This is showing 4.5% growth in September 2021 relative to September 2020. Although supply chain issues could continue to be a constraint, economic activity is projected to demonstrate further improvements throughout 2022. Now, let's move to some specifics for each of our businesses. Beginning on Slide 5, with Eco Services key business drivers. This business is benefiting from greening end-use demand for sulfuric acid. This is a result of increasing needs for cleaner and more efficient fuels and sustainable industrial applications, specifically with electrification infrastructure. Starting with clean fuels; as we have mentioned on prior calls, alkylate or as nick named liquid gold, is considered one of the highest margin products within the refinery complex. Alkylate demand is expected to grow at approximately 4%. The first part of the growth story is a function of economic recovery with vehicle miles travel projected to exceed 2019 levels in 2022. The second part of the story is increased capacity to meet CAFE fuel efficiency requirements and lowering sulfur emissions for 2020 Tier 3 standards. Industrial applications are well diversified and in total, represent the second largest end-use applications for our special grade high-purity virgin sulfuric acid. We are seeing the benefit of sustained demand growth and improved pricing through at least 2022. Also as seen in the past few quarters, mining for electrification infrastructure is expected to be the fastest-growing component of industrial applications for the foreseeable future. Waste treatment and catalyst activation our rapidly growing niche product areas for the business portfolio with improving manufacturing fundamentals. The need for the sustainable treatment of industrial waste is growing particularly for incumbent players with the appropriate permits and handling capabilities. Finally, as renewable diesel capacity is expected to grow more than 25% CAGR over the 2020, 2025 period, Catalyst activation services will remain in high demand. Moving to Slide 6. Eco Services is differentiated and should outperform the end market growth with resilient adjusted EBITDA margins that range in the high 30s primarily for the following reasons. First, we successfully gained a significant new long-term contract that will ramp beginning in December 2021. This will drive growth in annual regeneration services volumes by mid- to high single-digit range. Second, we coproduced specialty-grade high-purity sulfuric acids and have further debottlenecked the network. We have been able to produce reliable services to meet the surging demand from mining customers in the Southwestern U.S. This has been driven by the shift to more widespread use of key minerals, particularly copper, in low-carbon technologies and electricity grid. Finally, the tightening regulations and accelerating needs by traditional and renewable fuel producers are increasing demand for off-site catalyst activation services. Our unparalleled North American network in the Gulf Coast and California regions is the key element of our strong competitive position. Eco Services has built in production redundancy and diverse modes of transport. We manage the critical end-to-end supply chain and inventories for the largest alkylate producers and secure long-term take-or-pay contracts with cost pass-throughs. Next, for Catalyst Technologies business trends on Slide number 7. As with Eco Services, underlying growth trends for the segment are set to accelerate into 2022 with demand recovering to pre-pandemic levels. Combined with continued favorable secular drivers, this business is set to outgrow it's end markets. Starting with the largest end-use area, clean fuels and air which encompasses emissions control catalysts for transportation fuels. Hydrocracking activity is recovering with increased vehicle miles driven and higher refinery utilization rates. With the anticipation of continued recovery in 2022, global capacity is projected to rise by about 5% CAGR over the period of 2020 to 2025. While still at an early stage, applications for renewable fuels are an exciting and significant growth area for our business, supported by federal and state incentives, renewable diesel is growing 20% to 30% from a combination of converted refinery capacity and new capacity additions. Catalysts are critical for the majority of the production that is either coming online or being converted. Due to the heavy processing rate of biomass, these facilities typically require 2x to 3x more catalyst change-outs than traditional fuels. Heavy-duty diesel or HDD, global production has been the slowest end market to recover due to supply constraints with the expectation this abates by the second half of 2022. HDD production is expected to increase by at least mid-single digit for the largest markets we serve in North America and Europe. Within Engineered Polymers, consumption of packaging and films remains robust and underpins global demand expectations for polyethylene growth of at least 4% CAGR over the period of 2020 to 2025. As a reminder, our proprietary and customized silica-based technologies are typically specified in production facilities for multiple years. We are outgrowing this market by nearly 2x. Lastly, on niche custom catalysts. As we discussed last quarter, this end use is the smallest and has been slow to recover, given timing of project deferrals for our highly specialized and customized products. We are already seeing increasing specialty catalyst orders and expecting promising trial launches for new technologies in 2022. Turning to Slide 8. Catalyst Technologies business with it's leading competitive position has exciting growth prospects for higher adjusted EBITDA margins in the upper 30s percent. We expect full recovery of all the significant end-use markets with the potential growth inflection by the second half of 2022. Throughout the pandemic period, we seized the opportunity with customer production deferrals to further strengthen our own manufacturing network strategically and successfully repivoting the business. We have projects underway to debottleneck production by 10% to 20% for several products that are in high demand. Additionally, with the anticipated commercialization of 8 new products in the near term, this business should outperform it's underlying market growth rates. So to summarize on both businesses; we expect to see accelerating growth trends through 2022 and beyond as we approach a full market recovery. This is complemented by additional contract gains for existing products and services, coupled with favorable growth inflections from new markets. In particular, we are most excited about our continuing rapid growth in renewable diesel with increasing demand on our Zeolyst Technologies and catalyst reactivation services. Now, I will turn the call over to Mike to discuss our third quarter financial results and outlook.