Paul J. Grinberg
Analyst · JMP
Thank you, Ken. As Ken discussed, we had a very strong third quarter, reflecting strong performance from our core business and our recent acquisitions. Before I go into our financial results in detail, I would like to let you know that as required by U.S. GAAP, we are showing 100% of Cabot's results in our financial statements. Where indicated, we will adjust the numbers to account for the noncontrolling interest. We collected a record $380 million, up 54%. Our call centers contributed 41% of total collections or $157 million compared to $117 million. Legal channel collections grew to $154 million in the quarter compared to $111 million and accounted for 40% of total collections. Finally, 18% of collections came from third-party collection agencies. As a result of the Asset Acceptance acquisition, we expect to see an increase in third-party collections as many of those assets have already been placed with third-party agencies at the time of acquisition. Because of our lower cost-to-collect and because we are better able to ensure a consistently positive consumer experience, we plan to shift much of this work to our internal channels over time. Also, for some of Cabot's purposes, we are contractually required to keep accounts with certain agencies for a period of time. Consistent with our stated practice and in keeping with our Consumer Bill of Rights, we had no portfolio sales in the quarter. Revenue from receivable portfolios was $225 million, an increase of 60% over the $141 million in the third quarter of 2012. As a percentage of collections and excluding the effects of allowances, our revenue recognition rate was 58.6% compared to 56.9% in 2012. For the quarter, we had $3 million in allowance reversals, all from ZBA, compared to $1 million of reversals in 2012. We had no allowance charges during the quarter. As many of you know, we account for the business on a quarterly pool basis rather than overall. When pools underperform, we take allowance charges, which are reflected as an immediate reduction in revenue. We measure underperformance against the current yield that is assigned to a pool, not its original expectation. This pool-by-pool accounting treatment may lead to noncash allowance charges in certain periods even when we are overperforming a pools' initial expectations. In contrast, when pools overperform, that overperformance is not reflected immediately. Once we have evidence of sustained overperformance in a pool, we will increase that pool's yield. Consistent with this practice and as a result of continued overperformance primarily in the 2009, '10, '11 and '12 vintages, we increased yields in those pool groups this quarter. Turning to cost-to-collect, it's important to note that this is the first quarter that is fully loaded with Asset Acceptance cost. As a reminder, Asset Acceptance's cost-to-collect was 52.2% in 2012. Excluding acquisition-related and other onetime costs, our overall cost-to-collect increased 20 basis points to 40.7%. Breaking the overall cost-to-collect into its components, Cabot's cost-to-collect is comparatively low, in mid to high-20s, due to the fact that Cabot's portfolio primarily consists of consumers who are already in payment plans and involves very little litigation. For our U.S. business, direct cost per dollar collected in our call centers rose to 8.4% in the third quarter versus 5.9% in 2012. This was the result of the increased costs associated with the Asset Acceptance business. As mentioned earlier, until we complete the integration of Asset Acceptance, we expect our cost-to-collect to remain higher than it has been in recent quarters, and in some periods, could be higher than we experienced this quarter, depending on the level of headcount and collections coming from the Asset Acceptance portfolio. Direct cost per dollar collected in the legal channel was 39.6%, down from 41.5% in 2012. While cost-to-collect is an important metric, we don't focus on it in isolation. Overall success in our business is driven by generating the greatest net return per dollar invested. We accomplished that by generating more gross dollars collected per investment dollar at what we believe to be the lowest cost per dollar collected in the industry. Over time, we expect to build further efficiencies into our operations, which we believe will result in our cost-to-collect continuing to improve, but also expect it to fluctuate from quarter-to-quarter based on seasonality, the cost of investments in new operating initiatives and technology, and the ongoing management of the changing regulatory and legislative environment. Our legal channel, which includes both legal outsourcing and our internal legal operation in the United States, continues to be a strong contributor to the business, both in terms of dollars collected and cost-to-collect. Total dollars collected in our legal outsourcing channel was $121 million at a cost-to-collect of 36.7%, down from 39.4%. This decrease was primarily related to improvements in our ability to more accurately and consistently identify those consumers with financial means to repay their obligations. Total dollars collected in our internal legal channel were $33 million at a cost-to-collect of 50.1%. In 2011, our cost-to-collect in internal legal was over 200% as we were investing in our technology platform, hiring staff and opening new sites. As our volume in the channel increased, our cost-to-collect came down. Last year, our cost-to-collect was over 80%, and this year, we expect it to drop even further. In our 10-Q, which we filed earlier today, we've broken out our legal cost-to-collect between our external and internal legal channels. This will provide investors with more visibility to our progress in reducing cost-to-collect in our internal legal channel. I'd like to reiterate that our long-stated preference is to work with our consumers to negotiate a mutually acceptable payment plan tailored to their personal financial situation. These plans almost always involve substantial discounts from what is owed to us. We not only believe that this is the right thing to do for our consumers, but the right thing to do for our business. As mentioned earlier, collections reached an all-time high for a quarter, and continued investments in our operating platform expanded the operating leverage in the quarter. This growth in collections and cost improvement led to improved cash flows with adjusted EBITDA increasing 55% over last year to $234 million. There was a significant reduction in our effective tax rate this quarter, primarily as a result of 2 factors. The first was the reduction in our effective state rate due to some changes we've made in apportionment factors. While the majority of the benefit this quarter related to the prior period catch-up, we expect to see an ongoing quarterly benefit of just under 1%. The second is due to the lower overall tax rate in the U.K., which is currently at 23% and is expected to decline to 21% in the middle of 2014. We expect our long-term tax rate to be somewhere in the 36% to 37% range. There were certain onetime and noncash items which affected our results this quarter. We had $0.04 related to the noncash interest cost associated with our convertible notes, $0.18 of onetime acquisition-related and advisory fees primarily associated with the Cabot acquisition; and finally, we had the benefit associated with changes to our state apportionment factors that I just mentioned, which amounted to $0.05 per share. After adjusting for these, we end up with $0.99 per share on an accounting basis and $1.02 on an economic basis. As you recall, late last year, we issued $115 million in convertible notes at 3% with a conversion price of $31.56. At the time of this issuance, we entered into a call spread transaction, which increased debt conversion premium to $44.19. For GAAP purposes, if our share price exceeds $31.56, we are required to include the shares that would be issued pursuant to the convert in our diluted share count. But since we entered into the call spread, we will only issue shares when our stock price exceeds $44.19 at the time of conversion. Our average stock price during the quarter was $40.52, which resulted in 805,000 additional shares used to calculate fully diluted EPS. These shares will never be issued because of the call spread. As such, in calculating adjusted EPS, we have not included these shares in our calculation, which increases adjusted EPS by $0.03 to $1.02 per share for the quarter. We paid $11.6 million for the call spread, which protected us from economic dilution from $31.56 to $44.19. This represents more than 1 million shares, which we would have had to issue had we not entered into the call spread. As stewards of your capital and with our strong views about the strength of our business and our future share price, we thought it prudent to protect from the dilution of the convert so we entered into the call spread, which increased the conversion premium to 75%, resulting in savings significantly greater than the cost of the call spread. I want to remind you that with our 2013 convert of $172.5 million, we entered into a capped call transaction, which increased the economic conversion price from $45.72 to $61.55 per share. We closed the Cabot acquisition at the beginning of the quarter. Through a new European subsidiary, we acquired a 15.1% interest in Janus Holdings for $177 million. JC Flowers owns the remaining 49.9%. Janus, in turn, owns 86% of Cabot Holdings and Cabot's management owns the other 14%. Encore's effective ownership interest in Cabot ends up being 42.9% after reflecting the ownership of the noncontrolling interest and the redemption or conversion of certain preferred equity certificates. $12 million of Encore's ownership is reflected as equity in Janus, and $165 million consists of preferred equity certificates or PECs. The PECs accrue interest at 12%, and while the PECs are classified as debt in our financial statements, no interest or principal is paid on the PECs until the ultimate sale of the noncontrolling interest of JC Flowers and management. JC Flowers' 49.9% ownership consists of a similar equity PEC split as Encore's. Management has $9 million of PECs in equity, which represents the amount of their rollover into the transaction, but the balance of their ownership represents the equivalent of an option pool, which only has value after the PECs and any accrued interest is redeemed. As a result of the ownership structure and our rights as majority shareholders in Janus, we consolidate 100% of Cabot's results in our financial statements and then adjust for the noncontrolling interest. We recognize that the consolidation accounting may be complicated, but at the end of the day, Cabot has exceeded our expectations. This quarter, Cabot contributed $46 million in revenue; more than $50 million in adjusted EBITDA; and after adjusting for the noncontrolling interest and non-core share of the PEC interest expense, which eliminates in consolidation, $4.4 million or $0.17 in earnings per share. Looking ahead, we believe our long-term prospects are favorable. We foster an operations culture of continuous improvement, which drives stronger performance, as is demonstrated by our operating results and capital deployment. We continue to enhance our ability to take advantage of new opportunities as a result of our strong liquidity and access to capital. As this year's quarters' results show -- as this quarter's results show, our acquisition activities continue to drive ERC and collections upward, resulting in solid cash flows. Finally, we are now a global company with investments in several asset classes, which positions us for strong earnings growth in the future. With that, we will be happy to answer any questions you may have. Operator, please open up the line for questions.