Paul J. Grinberg
Analyst · Sidoti & Company
Thank you, Brandon. As Brandon discussed, we had a very strong fourth quarter and year in 2012. Collections in the fourth quarter reached a record high for our fourth quarter and continued investments in our operating platform give us confidence in our ability to expand upon the operating leverage created over the past few years. We generated earnings from continuing operations of $0.79 per fully diluted share during the quarter, an increase of 17% over the fourth quarter of 2011. For 2012, we generated earnings from continuing operations of $3.04 per fully diluted share, an increase of 29% over 2011. Adjusted EBITDA, which represents the cash we generate that is available for future purchases, capital expenditures, debt service and taxes, was $135 million in the fourth quarter, an increase of 28% compared to the fourth quarter of 2011. Our overall cost-to-collect for the year decreased 180 basis points to 40.4%, down significantly from 42.2% in 2011. We achieved these results in 2012 even as we made investments to expand our internal legal channel and ramp up our operations center in Costa Rica. While cost-to-collect is an important metric, there are other related drivers of our success. One example is generating the greatest net return per dollar invested. We accomplished that by generating more gross dollars collected per investment dollar at what we believe to be the lowest cost per dollar collected in the industry. Over time, we expect our cost-to-collect to continually improve, but also expect it to fluctuate from quarter-to-quarter based on seasonality, the cost of investments in new operating initiatives and the ongoing management of the changing regulatory and legislative environment. Due primarily to the large purchasing volume and the strong performance of portfolios purchased over the last couple of years, our estimated remaining collections, or ERC, at December 31 increased by about $390 million over 2011 to approximately $2 billion. As we've discussed previously, we believe that our ERC, which reflects the estimated remaining value of our existing portfolios, is conservatively stated because of our cautious approach to setting initial curves and our practice of only increasing future expectations after a sustained period of overperformance. Fourth quarter collections were very strong at $230 million, up 24% from the fourth quarter of 2011. Our call centers contributed 45% of total collections, or $104 million, compared to $80 million. Direct cost per dollar collected in our call centers fell slightly to 7.2% in the fourth quarter from 7.3%. Legal channel collections grew to $113 million in the fourth quarter of 2012, compared to $96 million and accounted for 49% of total collections. Cost-to-collect in the legal channel was 40.4%, down from 41.4%. I'd like to reiterate that our long-stated preference to work with our consumers to negotiate a mutually accessible payment plan tailored to their personal financial situation. These plans almost always involve substantial discounts from what is owed. We not only believe that this is the right thing to do for our consumers, but the right thing to do for our business. When we do litigate, we pledge to be fair and reasonable throughout the process. Unfortunately, despite sincere efforts to reach consumers in a variety of ways, too many refuse engagement with us to resolve their financial obligations. Accordingly and as a last resort, we are often left only with the option of using legal means to recover debts that are owed. Finally, 6% of collections came from third-party collection agencies. In general, we expect collections from this channel to continue to decline as we shift more of our work to our internal call centers at a lower overall cost-to-collect. As a result of the large portfolio purchase we completed in the second quarter, we saw a temporary increase in third-party collections as many of those assets were already placed with third-party agencies at the time of acquisition. Because of our lower cost-to-collect and because we are able to ensure a consistently positive consumer experience, we will continue to shift much of this work to our internal call centers. Consistent with our stated practice and in keeping with our Consumer Bill of Rights, we had no portfolio sales in the quarter. Moving on, revenue from receivable portfolios was $140 million, an increase of 20% over the $116 million in the fourth quarter of 2011. As a percentage of collections and excluding the effects of allowances, our revenue recognition rate was 59.4%, compared to 64.1% in the fourth quarter of 2011. Our revenue recognition rate is attributable to our cautious approach when setting initial IRRs and our policy of increasing them gradually after periods of overperformance. For example, as a result of sustained overperformance, we have slowly increased the multiples on the 2009, '10 and '11 vintages to 2.9, 2.8 and 2.4x, respectively, up from their initial levels of 2.4, 2.2 and 2x, respectively. For the quarter, we had $2.7 million in net allowance reversals compared to $2.7 million of allowance charges in the fourth quarter of 2011. Looking at the breakdown by year, we had $914,000 of allowance reversals in the 2005 vintage, $252,000 in the 2007 vintage, $2 million in the 2008 vintage and $759,000 in ZBA allowance reversals. These were partially offset by allowances of $1.3 million in the 2006 vintage. We had no allowance charges for the 2009, '10, '11 or '12 vintages, as has been the case since we acquired these portfolios. As many of you know, we account for the business on a quarterly pool basis rather than overall. When pools underperform, we take allowance charges, which are reflected as an immediate reduction in revenue. We measure underperformance against the current yield that is assigned to a pool, not its original expectation. This pool-by-pool accounting treatment leads inevitably to noncash allowance charges in certain periods, even when we are overperforming a pool's initial expectations. In contrast, when pools overperform, that overperformance is not reflected immediately. Once we have evidence of sustained overperformance in the pool, we will increase that pool's yield. Unlike allowance charges, which are realized immediately, this increased yield will be reflected as increased revenue during the current and the future quarters. Consistent with this practice and as a result of continued overperformance, primarily in the 2009, '10 and '11 vintages, we increased yields in those pool groups this quarter. Shifting now to expenses. Our total operating expenses for the fourth quarter, excluding Propel, were $102 million, up from $84 million in the fourth quarter of 2011. Included in operating expenses for the fourth quarter of 2012 were stock-based compensation charges of approximately $2.1 million compared to $1.7 million in the fourth quarter of 2011. One of our key financing milestones at Encore in 2012 was the issuance of $115 million in the convertible debt for a 5-year term with a 3% coupon. This additional capital will allow us to take advantage of accelerating industry consolidation and keep our competitive cost of capital edge. However, it is important to mention that while the accounting for our business is complicated, the accounting for convertible bonds can be even more complicated. We have a 3% coupon on our convertible debt, which reflects the cash costs of this debt. However, in our financial statements, we will show an interest rate of 6% or the amount that is estimated to be our cost of straight debt. The noncash difference is not insignificant, about $3.5 million or $0.09 per share per year. This difference is a noncash charge and so, going forward, to give a more accurate picture of the cash position of our business, we will add the presentation of cash EPS to back out these noncash charges. Earlier today, we posted a presentation to the Investors section of our website to more fully explain some of the accounting nuances of our convertible bonds. Including the convertible debt, we ended the quarter with $706 million in total debt. Our leverage ratio was 1.25x in the fourth quarter, down from a high of 1.46x in the second quarter. At the end of the fourth quarter, we had approximately $190 million of available borrowing capacity. Before we open up the line for your questions, Brandon has a few final remarks.