Michael J. Monahan - Vice President, External Relations
Analyst · Merrill Lynch, your line is open
Thank you. Hello everyone and thanks for joining us. This webcast teleconference includes estimates of future performance. These are forward-looking statements and actual results could differ materially from those projected. Some of the factors that could cause actually results to differ or described in the section of our most recent Form 10-K under Item 1A Risk Factors and in our fourth quarter earnings release. A copy of our earnings release is available on Ecolab's website at ecoloab.com/investor. Starting with some highlights from the quarter, reported fourth quarter 2007 EPS increased 32% reaching $0.45. Excluding special gains and charges and discrete tax benefits, earnings rose 18% to $0.40, hitting the top-end of our forecasted range. We enjoyed continued solid sales trends from our U.S. institutional, Pest, Kay, food and beverage and healthcare businesses. International also showed good sales gains as Latin America and Asia-Pacific rose double-digits, while Europe reported modest growth. We finished the year with EBITDA reaching almost $1 billion. It was a solid year of growth and important business development as we continued to deliver strong results while building for future growth. We expect another good year in 2008, as continued strong sales efforts, productivity and efficiency gains, pricing and cost savings drive growth, while acquisitions accelerate top line and create additional future opportunity. We'll use some of this strength in 2008 to make critical investments in our Europe and Asia-Pacific businesses to build future growth. For the full year, we look for pro forma diluted earnings per share, which excludes special gains and charges and discrete tax items, to be in the $1.84 to $1.88 range. These results will include about $0.02 of dilution from the Microtek and Ecovation acquisitions. Pro forma earnings, excluding that dilution, are expected to rise 12% to 14% to $1.86 to $1.90 per share. For the first quarter, we expect pro forma EPS in that $0.37 to $0.39 range. These results will include about a penny of dilution from acquisitions. Excluding that dilution, earnings per share are expected to increase 9% to 14% to the $0.38 to $0.40 per share range. In summary, we believe our business trends remain solid. We continue to expect yet another superior performance for Ecolab and believe that we are making the right investments to sustain attractive growth for the future. Turning to the details, Ecolab's reported consolidated sales for the fourth quarter rose 13%. Looking at the components, volume and mix were up 5%, pricing was up 2%, currency added 5% and the impact of acquisitions was 1%. Sales for U.S. Cleaning and Sanitizing operations increased 11%. Excluding the Microtek acquisition, sales rose 8%. Institutional sales rose 7%, showing good results. The division compared against a very strong period last year, when sales rose an exceptional 14% as we brought on significant business from a competitor. Fourth quarter 2007 sales growth continued to be healthy into the various end market segments including restaurants, healthcare, lodging and travel, as we effectively leveraged our customer demand for premium results, and energy and cost reduction with our legendary premium service, aggressive sales, new products, and increasing solutions per account to drive growth. We continue to make investments in new products, programs, and the sales force training and technology to help drive better service and increase customer solutions. The Apex rollout continues go as planned adding to growth in our market differentiation as it provides superior results and demonstrable costs savings to customers. The reaction by customers to this award-winning product has been excellent. We believe the fundamental outlook for institutional remains solid. Basic restaurant traffic trends as reported through November are similar to those we have experienced over the past couple of years. Though that may change with the softening economy, we believe our opportunities to grow within our customers' operations continues to be very attractive. Further, hospitality remains solid. In 2008, institutional will leverage its broad customer base, unit expansion by the chains, increased customer needs for solutions at effectively reduced costs and improved results, an aggressive sales efforts, to drive further superior growth and market share gains. We look for continued good growth from institutional once again in 2008. Kay's fourth quarter sales grew 9%. QSR's underlying business remains healthy with good ongoing demand for major, existing, and new fast-food chain accounts. Food retail business also showed good growth. New products and programs like the introduction of solids for QSR along with customer wins continue to bolster Kay's results. We expect these to help drive continued strong gains in the first quarter for Kay. Textile Care sales rose 5%, as sales growth for the division returned to more trend line rates of growth following annualization of last year's significant account wins. Textile Care added new plans from existing customers, continued to drive new product solutions and broaden its markets. We believe these initiatives will enable Textile Care to continue to produce further growth and better customer solutions. Reported fourth quarter sales for the Healthcare division more than doubled reflecting the impact of the Microtek acquisition in November. Excluding the impact of the acquisition, Healthcare sales rose a very strong 16%. Organic sales growth reflected continued solid end market demand for infection control products and expanded penetration within our existing base of group purchasing organizations and healthcare purchasing systems. Our wireless anti-bacterial and non-medicated skincare products showed continued double-digit growth. As previously announced, we completed the acquisition of Microtek Medical in November 2007. The integration is going very well and Microtek sales continue to show strong growth. Further, we have begun our efforts to cross sell our products and leverage Microtek's very strong operating room expertise. Looking ahead, first quarter 2008 Healthcare sales should show continued good sales growth and be bolstered by the addition of Microtek. Food & Beverage delivered a solid fourth quarter performance with sales up 9%, led by strong performances in the meat and poultry, food, beverage, and agri segments. The meat and poultry business enjoyed a robust quarter reflecting significant customer gains. Corporate account wins, better pricing, and new products have contributed to dairy plant sales growth. The Food & Beverage businesses also saw strong growth reflecting new account sales and the strength of our corporate account relationships. We expect continued good sales trends in the first quarter of 2008 as we focus on new account acquisition and continued expansion of our anti-microbial platform. As detailed in our release last week, we acquired Ecovation, a leading provider of affluent water treatment and renewable energy solutions, primarily for the food and beverage manufacturing industry in the U.S., including the diary, beverage, and meat and poultry producers. We're very exited by the potential it offers. Ecovation will help our customers effectively deal with increasingly difficult affluent treatment issues, as well as use our technology to help turn some of that waste back into energy that can be used by the plants in their operations. Ecovation is a rapidly growing company. Further, it will build on our existing expertise in engineering work that we have long performed in developing clean in play systems for our food and beverage plant customers. 2007 sales for Ecovation were approximately $50 million, having grown 10 folds since 2005. 2008 sales are expected to exceed $100 million. U.S food and beverage market alone for these waste solutions is estimated to exceed $4 billion, with fragmented competition providing us lots of opportunity for future growth. We expect this acquisition to be dilutive by up to $0.01 per share in 2008, due in part to profit on projects in process going to the balance sheet, similar to inventory step up in other acquisitions. We look for Ecovation to show a rapid growth and attractive profitability as we further develop its potential over the coming years. Water Care sales declined slightly in the fourth quarter. Gains in cooling water treatment as well as filtration were offset by a lower sugar and waste water application sales. We expect a continued focus on leveraging our circle the customer strategy, particularly within Food & Beverage to deliver sales improvement in the coming year. Vehicle Care sales decreased 1%. Results were impacted by unfavorable weather in November and December, which offset better pricing and sales of our new Rain-X and Solid Power products. Vehicle Care expects new account gains in its existing markets along with new market opportunities and investments in its sales force to yield good sales growth in the first quarter of 2008. Sales for U.S. Other Services increased 10% in the fourth quarter. Pest Elimination sales continued to show good growth, rising 11%. New account activity was driven by good profit account gains while non-contract service growth also contributed to the quarter. We continue to develop our programs to target specific market needs to provide better circle the customer penetration and better growth opportunities. We expect Pest Elimination to show similar good growth in the first quarter. GCS sales increased 8%, showing continuing good sales momentum. Sales to corporate accounts are developing well and the sales pipeline continues to look attractive. The new business systems are fully on line and we are now working through the system stabilization and optimization phase of the implementation. We're already seeing the benefits of the new system through better business transparency, which has helped our business decision making. The new systems give us improved transparency into customer account profitability. As part of the improved analysis, we identified and completed a contract change in the quarter that will improve contract profitability for 2008 and beyond. We incurred a charge to revise that contract. Adjusting for that contract charge and the system stabilization and optimization costs, GCS profitability improved over the third quarter and last year. Productivity is improving on the new systems and we expect significant gains as our people continue to build experience with new productivity tools. We expect continued good sales growth in the first quarter of 2008 and the year with improving profitability as 2008 progresses. Measured in fixed currencies, international sales increased 5%, when measured in dollars, reported international sales increased 16%. Europe, Middle East and Africa sales rose 2% in the fourth quarter at fixed currency rates. Excluding acquisitions and divestures, fixed currency sales rose 3%. When measured in dollars, EMEA sales increased 14%. Europe's institutional sales were flat. Good performances in developing countries in the east as well as the west were offset by slow sales in France and Germany. Flat consumption in catering accounts for manufacturers and declines in janitorial also impacted sales. Institutional launched Wash 'n Walk in the fourth quarter and we expect it to help drive sales in 2008. In addition, we have brought some talent, as well as selling programs from the U.S. Institutional division to Europe to help improve sales execution. These actions along with the fundamental sales training we have underway and our technology improvements are expected to help improve growth as they take hold. Food & Beverage sales showed a strong gain, benefiting from good product growth and equipment sales. Healthcare sales also showed good growth as infection control and cleaning room products both performed well. Textile Care reported moderate gains in the fourth quarter, while the Europe Pest business had lower sales. The decline in Pest in Europe primarily reflects the sale of our UK property services businesses in the third quarter, but also includes the elimination of a couple of larger but low margin contracts in the UK. Looking forward, we are beginning to see improvements in key metrics, including service delivery in the UK and new contract sales growth in France. As an update, on our work to improve Europe's performance, the business information systems development work continue to move ahead and is in the build stage. Multi-phase rollout will begin in summer 2008. We have also began rolling out training, metrics, and technology upgrades for the sales force focused on our key countries. While these improvements will take time to implement, they are critical to the fundamental development we need to make to achieve better growth in Europe. We are also getting our new regional headquarters prepared and expect to make the major staffing relocations this summer, as we build a Pan-European operating structure. While a cost to 2008, we remain confident these actions as they are implemented will lead to higher sales and profit growth and a more effective business model. We look for Europe's first quarter fixed currency sales to show modest growth, but look for better results in the coming quarters and years if the actions we are implementing take hold. Asia-Pacific sales grew 10% in fixed currencies. Excluding acquisitions, sales increased 8% as growth in East Asia, China, Australia, and New Zealand drove results. When reported in U.S. dollars, sales increased 20%. From a divisional perspective, institutional strong sales gains were driven by new products, including the launch of a new warewashing platform in Japan and by growth in the Market Guard program for retail stores. We achieved important account wins in casinos, catering, hotels, and restaurants, as well as the food retail markets. Food & Beverage sales also enjoyed strong growth lead by East Asia, Japan, and New Zealand. Both the beverage and brewing sectors continued to show good growth in Asia. The Food & Beverage division benefited from increased product penetration and account gains. Asia-Pacific expects continued strong sales growth in the first quarter. Fourth quarter sales for Ecolab's Canadian operations were up 6% in fixed currency and rose 21% when measured in U.S. dollars. Institutional sales were strong, benefiting from corporate account gains, accelerated street growth, and new products. Food & Beverage sales also improved, while Healthcare, Pest Elimination, and Vehicle Care each grew double-digits. Latin America has reported an outstanding performance with sales rising a very strong 13% at fixed exchange rates. When measured in U.S. dollars, sales rose 19%. Sales were excellent throughout the region as all divisions rose double-digits. Institutional growth was driven by new account gains, increased product penetration through the 360 degrees of protection program, as well as continued success with global and regional accounts. Food & Beverage sales reflected strong demand in the beverage and brewing markets, as well as the benefits of new accounts. Pest Elimination continued its outstanding performance throughout Latin America. Overall, we expect healthy growth trends to continue in Latin America. We expect Latin American sales to show another double-digit gain in the first quarter. Turning to the expense side of the income statement, fourth quarter gross margins decreased 20 basis points to 50.2%. Excluding the impact of Microtek, gross margins would have been slightly favorable. Improved U.S. margins, driven by sales leverage, pricing and cost savings initiatives, were offset by lower margins in the international segment, principally in Europe where pricing gains were more than offset by higher delivered product costs and an unfavorable business mix. SG&A expenses were 38.7% of sales, 30 basis points below last year. The SG&A ratio reflected leverage from our healthy organic sales growth that more than offset investments in business systems and efficiency, R&D and information technology. Turning to the segment profits; operating income for U.S. Cleaning & Sanitizing increased 29%, driven by the higher sales and improved cost efficiencies and a resulting strong operating leverage which more than offset investments in the business. Operating income for U.S. Other Services decreased 5%. Continued profit gains at Pest Elimination were offset by systems deployment and stabilization and optimization costs in GCS, and a charge to exit an unprofitable customer contact. International fixed currency operating income was off slightly declining 1%. Latin America and Canada showed strong increases. Asia-Pacific profits were off due to infrastructure investments in Japan and China. Europe's operating income was down as sales growth was offset by higher delivered product costs and unfavorable product mix. Corporate segment includes special gains and charges which are also reported separately on the income statement. Special gains and charge for the fourth quarter included gains from a previously announced sale of a business in the UK of $5 million and the sale of a minority investment in a U.S. business of $6 million. Special gains and charges also included non-recurring costs related to relocation of the workforce to the new regional headquarters in Zurich. In addition to special gains and charges, the corporate segment included investments in the development of business systems and investments we are making to optimize a business structure as part of our ongoing efforts to improve our efficiency and returns. These investments partially offset the special gains and charges resulting in a $300,000 gain to the corporate segment in the quarter. Ecolab's fourth quarter consolidated tax rates was 29.7%, down from last year's reported 34.9%. Excluding discrete tax benefits from audit settlements of approximately $0.02 per share and the tax impact of the business divestments, the adjusted effective income tax rate for the fourth quarter 2007 was 34.3%. The decrease in the adjusted fourth quarter effective tax rate was due primarily to U.S. tax legislation, international tax rate reductions, and tax planning efforts. The net of this performance is that reported diluted net income per share for the fourth quarter was $0.45, up 32% over the $0.34 earned a year ago. Pro forma earnings were up to 18% to $0.40 when adjusted for the discrete tax benefit and special gains and charges. Turning to the balance sheet, Ecolab's total debt to total capital was 34% at December 31, compared with 39% reported a year ago when we pre-funded some euro debt. Adjusting for that pre-funding, the comparable prior year ratio was 29%. Our net debt at year-end 2007 was 31%. Following last week's acquisition of Ecovation, our total debt to total capital rose to 39% with net debt of 36%. Depreciation and amortization for the quarter was $76 million and capital spending for the quarter was $85 million. As you may have seen last week, we issued $250 million of seven-year notes due in 2015 with a 4.875% coupon to pay down commercial paper and for general corporate purposes. That's a review of the fourth quarter. In summary, Ecolab delivered yet another strong quarter. Our performance was the result of continued strong growth led by our U.S. and Latin America businesses, showing the strength and balance of our global business model. We also continue to use that strength to make ongoing investments in our sales and service force and double-digit investments in our R&D, information technology, and other key areas to sustain our future growth. Looking ahead to our guidance for 2008, we begin by cautioning these statements are based on current expectations. These statements are forward-looking and actual results may differ materially. These statements do not include potential impact of additional business acquisitions, divestures, higher than anticipated raw material price increases or other material events that may occur after the day of this webcast. This business outlook section should be considered in conjunction with the information on risk factors in our press release and our Form 10-K, which lists risk factors that may cause results to differ. In 2008, we expect another good year with solid sales growth, continued strong sales efforts, productivity and efficiency increases, pricing and cost savings, while acquisitions accelerate our top line in future opportunity. For the full year, we look for pro forma diluted earnings per share, which excludes special gains and charges and discrete tax items, to be in the $1.84 to $1.88 range. These expected pro forma earnings include approximately $0.02 of dilution from Microtek and Ecovation, putting pro forma earnings excluding dilution up 12% to 14% to $1.86 to $1.90 for the year. Please note these are pro forma numbers, which excludes special gains and charges and discrete tax items that we presently expect to net to a range of 0 to a positive $0.03 per share in 2008. This income statement line will include the sale of a plant in Europe that is expected to close later this year, as well as costs associated with the establishment of our European headquarters and move to Zurich. We think 2008 to be summed up as a year in which we continue to drive strong base business performance, which enables us to undertake the heavy investment underway in Europe to lay the foundation for improved top line growth, to start the new systems rollout and establish a regional headquarter in Zurich, Switzerland. It will also be a year in which we integrate two recently acquired businesses that will create exciting new growth opportunities for Ecolab. In the first quarter, we look for U.S. operations to show continued solid momentum. New products like the ongoing rollout of Apex, our new warewashing platform that provides unparalleled performance and energy and cost savings for our customers, as well as the first solids for QSR. New on-premise laundry products in the U.S. and Europe, and the new floor care line will provide further differentiation and opportunity and will help drive results. We look for international sales to again be led by strong growth from Latin America and Asia-Pacific as they offset moderate gains from Europe. We believe this will result in overall good fixed currency international sales growth. First quarter gross margins should be around 50% and reflect the impact of acquisitions. Selling, general, and administrative expenses are expected to come in around 39% of sales. Net interest expense should be around $16 million, reflecting the additional cost of debt associated with the Microtek and Ecovation acquisitions. We expect the effective tax rate in the quarter will be about 32% to 33%. Overall, currency translation is expected to benefit first quarter earnings. Finally, a reminder that the two recent acquisitions will be about $0.01 per share dilutive in the first quarter. As a result, we expect pro forma diluted earnings per share for the first quarter, excluding special gains and charges, to be in the $0.37 to $0.39 range, compared with $0.35 earned a year ago. Pro forma earnings, excluding the impact of dilution, should increase 9% to 14% to $0.38 to $0.40 per share in the first quarter. Looking to the remaining quarters, we expect sales and operating profit improvement in our U.S. Cleaning and Sanitizing, U.S. Other Services, and the international reporting segments will show progressively better year-on-year improvement through 2008. We expect good organic sales growth from our ongoing U.S. Cleaning and Sanitizing businesses along with profit improvement to more than offset dilution from the Microtek and Ecovation acquisitions. But the impact of that initial acquisition dilution may flow otherwise strong reported U.S. Cleaning and Sanitizing profit growth. US Other Services should show strong gains for the year as GCS improvement benefits the segment. International segment operating income is expected to show modest first-half growth, improving in the second half. Overall, we believe good growth from our operations along with improvement in our tax rate will yield increasingly attractive year-on-year EPS gains, driving yet another successful year at Ecolab. Also, please note the estimated effective tax rate discussed and its effects on reported EPS does not reflect the impact of discrete events that even when they occur are recognized in the appropriate period. And now here is Doug Baker to make a few comments.