Claudio Descalzi
Analyst · Exane
Okay, so as you said, we confirm our growth. And if you remember, at $90, our growth was about 3% and $110 we confirm the growth above 2%. So just to give you a general picture about, so the main contributor. So first of all, I want to highlight that what we lost in the first quarter coming from existing production that had been impacted by exceptional events and talking about Libya, we have a shutdown of 10 days and a not-easy ramp-up and we lost 30,000 barrels per day on average compared to first quarter, and more -- and about 60,000 barrels per day compared to the fourth quarter 2012. Now everything has been restored and the production is about 260,000 barrels per day. And really to confirm our growth, we need to keep these average production in Libya. For Nigeria, we lost 20,000 barrels per day in the first quarter. That's because of 3 different maybe events: is bunkering, is sabotage and flooding. So sabotage, bunkering -- sorry, sabotage and flooding impacted our pipeline, our network. And the network has been restored. So we recover most of these production. What remain uncertain in Nigeria is our swamp area because, as you know, we shut down all the production that arises, in average, between 4,000 and 8,000 barrels per day that is still there. But the rest has been restored. Then we have the ramp-up. The ramp-up of the field that started at the end of 2012 and there are probably a few that start in the first quarter, will give a contribution, on average, of 85,000 barrels per day. And then that is another important contribution that we already, so the existing production, plus the ramp-up. And then we have the new projects. The new project, we have, okay, new Angola LNG. We have Wafa in fielding [ph] and we have a series of projects that we already presented to give a contribution of about -- I'll tell you exactly, about 65,000 barrels per day. So that's overall. Plus the contingency that we have, because on the growth, we had a 42,000-barrel contingency. It's clear that we use part of this contingency to compensate the first quarter production. So overall, we are absolutely in a good shape to confirm our growth.