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Diana Shipping Inc. (DSX)

Q3 2025 Earnings Call· Thu, Nov 20, 2025

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Thank you for standing by. Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the Diana Shipping Inc. Conference Call on the Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results. We are joined by the company's Chief Executive Officer, Ms. Semiramis Paliou. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode, followed by a Q&A session. Please note that this conference is being recorded. We now turn the floor over to Ms. Semiramis Paliou. Please go ahead.

Semiramis Paliou

Management

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Diana Shipping Inc. Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call. I'm Semiramis Paliou, the CEO of the company, and it's my pleasure to present alongside our team, Mr. Anastasios C. Margaronis, Director and President, Mr. Ioannis G. Zafirakis, Director, Co-CFO, and Chief Strategy Officer, Mr. Dave Vander Linden, Director, and Ms. Maria Dede, Co-CFO. Before we begin, I'd like to remind everyone to review the forward-looking statement on Page four of the accompanying presentation. The dry bulk market posted a solid performance in Q3. Cake once again has performed especially towards the end of the quarter. Yet after a lackluster first half of the year, we finally saw some tailwinds in the Panamax Sector. The main reason for this was the fact that China imported no soybeans from the U.S. in September, which marked the first time since November 2018 that shipments fell to zero. This impact was somewhat offset by the fact that South American shipments surged from a year earlier, therefore increasing sun miles and providing upward pressure on the Panamax sector. Overall, bulk carrier markets picked up after a softer half 2025 due to a record September for Chinese imports, reaching 200 million metric tons. Subsequently, Q3 achieved record Chinese imports of nearly 580 million metric tons. The quarter also saw continuing war-related activity in both the Red Sea and the Black Sea. This situation remains volatile, and avoidance of the area is likely to continue. Because of the Capesize resilience and the improvement in the smaller sizes, we were able to secure several charters across all segments in the fleet at higher levels than previously and again at a considerable premium over the spot market. Turning to Slide five, let's review our company's snapshot as of today. Diana…

Maria Dede

Management

Slide seven summarizes our recent chartering activity.

Semiramis Paliou

Management

From July 1, 2025, until November 12, 2025, we have secured time charters for 14 vessels. Six Ultramax vessels at an average daily rate of $13,800 for an average of 333 days.

Maria Dede

Management

For Panamax, Kamsarmax, and post-

Semiramis Paliou

Management

vessels at an average daily rate of $12,900 for an average of 331 days. And for Capes and Newcastle MAX vessels, at an average of $24,500 for an average of 380 days. Slide eight highlights our disciplined chartering strategy. We focus on staggered medium to long-term charters to avoid clustered maturities, ensuring earnings visibility and resilience against market downturns. This disciplined chartering strategy has secured €149 million in contracted revenues, resulting in an average time charter rate of $16,200 per day with an average contract duration of one year and 1.17 years. For the rest of 2025, only 13% of days remain unfixed. Now, I'll pass the floor to our Co-CFO, Maria Dede, for a more detailed financial analysis. Thanks, Semiramis. Good morning and welcome to our call. I will begin with an overview of our financial performance for the third quarter and the nine-month period ended September 30, 2025, followed by a discussion of our capital structure, breakeven analysis, and dividend. We start with the financial highlights for 2025. Time charter revenues were $51.9 million, slightly lower than €57.5 million in the same quarter last year. This decline reflects the sale of two vessels earlier this year and one vessel in September 2024. Adjusted EBITDA was $20.3 million compared to $23.7 million in the third quarter last year, consistent with the smaller fleet. Net income, however, nearly doubled to $7.2 million from $3.7 million in 2024. This was driven by lower expenses and the €10.6 million gain from the valuation of our investment in Genco, partly offset by a loss in Ocean. Diluted earnings per common share were €0.05, up from zero point in 2024. On the balance sheet, cash decreased to €133.9 million as of September 30, 2025, from $207.2 million as of December 31, 2024. This reduction reflects cash deployed in strategic investments during this nine-month period, including €103.5 million paid for the acquisition of 14.93% ownership interest in Genco, €23 million invested in share repurchases of our common stock, and $12 million invested in Greenwood and Ecogast, two of our equity method investments.

Maria Dede

Management

To strengthen liquidity, we sold two of our older vessels in the

Semiramis Paliou

Management

fleet, generating approximately $23 million and drew down €55 million under a new loan facility with National Bank Greece. By optimizing capital through vessel sales and the new loans, we strengthened liquidity while fine-tuning our fleet for efficiency. As a result, long-term debt increased slightly to €651.1 million as of September 30, 2025, from $637.5 million at year-end 2024. Operationally, this quarter was smooth with no surprises and with results reflecting the smaller phase. During the quarter, we operated an average of 36.2 vessels compared to 38.7 vessels in the same quarter last year following the sale of Houston in September 2024, Armenia in March, and Celina in July 2025. This reduction affected ownership available and operating days. Time charter equivalent averaged $15,178 a day, a 1% decrease compared to $15,103 per day in the third quarter last year due to softer charter rates. Fleet utilization remained strong at 99.4%. Special operating expense for the quarter decreased by 6% to $20 million compared to $21.2 million in the third quarter last year due to the smaller fleet size. On a per-share basis, daily operating expenses rose 1% to $6,014 compared to $5,906.04 last year, mainly due to higher crew costs. For the nine months ended September 30, 2025, Time Charter revenues dropped by 6% to $161.5 million from $171.1 million for the same period last year. Net income fell to €14.7 million compared to €3 million in the same period last year, an increase driven by non-operating gains compared to losses in the same period last year, and the absence of debt extinguishment losses seen in 2024. Time charter equivalent improved to $15,173 per day compared to $15,162 per day in the same period last year. Debt utilization remained high at 99.5%. Daily operating expenses for the nine-month period rose…

Operator

Operator

Thank you, Maria, and welcome to the participants of this latest

Anastasios C. Margaronis

Management

quarterly earnings call of Diana Shipping Inc. Starting with the geopolitical and trade development in bulk shipments. The bulk carrier market has weathered well the continuous announcements of new tariffs as well as several changes in the U.S. tariff regime with its trading partners. As of November 18, the twelve-month time charter rate for a typical case without scrubbers stood at around $24,000 a day. The equivalent rate for the Kamsarmax was $15,600 per day. For the Ultramax, about $15,900 per day. All these rates were up on the levels we saw at the beginning of the year and from three months ago. On November 19, the BCI was $2,300.0636 and the Baltic Panamax Index at $18.95. In the meantime, the five PC route weighted time charter average for Capes stood at $30,154 per day, while the Panamax five TC route averaged rates stood at $17,057 per day. As a result, sentiment remains high and some newbuilding orders are already appearing across the size sector, most of them for ships with deliveries from 2028 onwards. As mentioned by Clarkson, the recently announced U.S.-China trade war truce includes the U.S. pledge to reduce tariffs on imports from China from 30% to 20%. The resumption of China's purchases of U.S. soybeans, the rollback of China's export restrictions on rare earth, and most notably the suspension for a year of the introduction of the USDR sport fees and the reciprocal port fees for some U.S.-linked vessels entering China. According to Comodo Research, the purchase of U.S. soybeans by China represents a supporting factor for midsized bulkers for the rest of the year and into 2026. Exports to China will be much stronger over the next few months, and this will be a very helpful tailwind for the dry bulk carrier market. This is…

Operator

Operator

Going forward.

Anastasios C. Margaronis

Management

For coal, we have coking coal shipments which are expected to remain more or less flat in 2026 and 2027, with support coming mainly from Indian demand as domestic coking coal reserves deplete and feed production keeps increasing. Thermal coal shipments are expected to go down by between 31% in 2026 and 2027, respectively. Coal imports to China have continued to go down about 10% so far this year, with demand being partially satisfied by imports from Mongolia and produce from domestic mines. Indian imports are projected to drop by 6% in 2025 due to increased domestic production. In the medium term, demand will pick up as new thermal energy capacity outpaces domestic mining output. For grain exports, according to 2% in 2025, and by about the same in 2026 to reach 566 million. Brazilian grain exports and increased soybean exports from the U.S. should keep supporting this trend hopefully well into 2027. As regards the minor bulk trade, according to Clarksons, these trades are expected to grow by about 4% this year and by a further 2% year on year in 2026 at €2,400 million every sum. Approximately similar growth rates are expected for 2027 depending on key macroeconomic trends and geopolitical tension.

Maria Dede

Management

Bauxite, cement,

Anastasios C. Margaronis

Management

seed products, and forest products are expected to be the main commodities shipped in large volumes going forward. Turning to the next slide. On talent supply. According to Clarksons, the bulk carrier fleet is forecast to grow by 3.1% this year and by 3.4% in 2026. For Capes, the projected tonnage increase is only 1.4% in 2025 and 2.2% in 2026. For Panamaxes, the fleet projected increase is 3.5% this year and 4.6% in 2026. According to Braemar, the bulk carrier fleet order book stands at 106.2 million deadweight tons, which represents 10.9% of the existing fleet. This total is made up of €37.8 million deadweight of Capes, which is about 9.3% of the fleet, 38.2 million deadweight of Panamax Kamsarmaxes, about 14.1% of the fleet, and €28.4 million deadweight in Handymaxes, which are about 11.2% of the fleet. For Capes, the order book is certainly manageable going forward, and so it is for Handymax. The Panamax fleet, where the order book is higher, includes, however, 467 ships based from 2005 and earlier. On the recycling side, according to Clarkson, the recycling market has been dominated for most of the year by low activity and cautious sentiment. Softening steel prices, particularly in India, have dampened the appetite for tonnage by major scrap buyers. The average price for a handysize bulkhead offered for demolition has dropped to around $400 per lifetime display. The forecast for dry bulk carrier demolition sales this year is about 4.6 million deadweight tons, for 5.3 million in 2026, and about $7 million in 2027 when various regulations and aging of large sections of the bulk carrier fleet take their toll. The average age of dry bulk demolition candidates has gone up from 25.2 years in 2015 to 29.3 years in '25. Turning to asset prices now.…

Semiramis Paliou

Management

Thank you, Anastasios. And before concluding today's presentation, I'd like to highlight our ongoing ESG initiatives Diana Shipping Inc. is committed to promoting eco-friendly technologies and modernizing our fleet, transparently sharing emission data to ensure accountability, building on partnerships and collaborations to advance our sustainability goals, and developing an equitable, diverse, and inclusive program while continuously investing in our people. In summary, moving on to slide 20, Diana Shipping Inc. stands on a strong foundation built on over years of industry experience and twenty years on the New York Stock Exchange. It is a seasoned management team adept at addressing industry challenges, has a strong shareholder relationship and a disciplined strategic approach, a solid balance sheet with a strong cash position and a countercyclical mindset, and an ongoing fleet modernization effort, a focus on rewarding our shareholders when possible, and a strong ESG strategy. With that, thank you for joining us today. We now look forward to addressing your questions during the Q&A session.

Operator

Operator

We will now begin the question and answer session. Then one if you're using a speakerphone. The first question comes from Christopher Barth with Arctic Securities. Please go ahead.

Christopher Barth

Analyst

Hello, good afternoon, and thank you for the presentation. How should we think about your quite significant stake in Genco now? Is there any

Ioannis G. Zafirakis

Analyst

sort of dialogue with the Board? You previously mentioned that the holding is of strategic character, but I mean, they tightened the poison pill with the 15% threshold now. So sort of how does that impact your thoughts on sort of further dialogue here? And if you are just sort of opting for a passive stake, would you consider a Board seat?

Ioannis G. Zafirakis

Analyst

Hi, Christopher. This is Ioannis Zafirakis speaking. As we have said in the past, our position in Genco has strategic value. Nevertheless, we are observing at the moment, and we are examining our various options on

Ioannis G. Zafirakis

Analyst

what we'll do

Maria Dede

Management

and how to do it.

Ioannis G. Zafirakis

Analyst

We are not in contact with the current management of Genco. And we are observing the development.

Christopher Barth

Analyst

Thank you very much, Ioannis. And just a second question for me, if that's okay. Can you just comment a bit around the recent development in Ocean Tau? Do you still have a holding there? And what's the percent if that's the case?

Ioannis G. Zafirakis

Analyst

Diana Shipping Inc.'s interest in Ocean Farm is very minimal after the latest raising of equity that they did, the one before the sovereign one. And it is certainly not material at this stage. So there is nothing to comment.

Christopher Barth

Analyst

Okay. Thank you very much. That's it from me.

Operator

Operator

This concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Ms. Semiramis Paliou for any closing remarks.

Semiramis Paliou

Management

Thank you for joining us for Diana's third quarter 2025 financial results. We look forward to presenting to you again in the next quarter.

Maria Dede

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.