Earnings Labs

Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. (DSGR)

Q4 2019 Earnings Call· Fri, Feb 28, 2020

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen and welcome to the Lawson Products Fourth Quarter 2019 Earnings Call. This call will be hosted by Michael DeCata, Lawson Products’ President and Chief Executive Officer and Ron Knutson, Lawson Products’ Chief Financial Officer. During this call, they will be providing an update on the business as well as covering relevant financial and operational information. There will then be time for question and answers. Please note that the statements on this call and in the press release contain forward-looking statements concerning goals, beliefs, expectations, strategies, plans, future operating results and underlying assumptions that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those described. In addition, statements made during this call are based on the company’s views as of today. The company anticipates that future developments may cause those views to change. Please consider the information presented in that light. The company may at some point elect to update the forward-looking statements made today, but specifically disclaims any obligation to do so. This call is being audio simulcast on the Internet by the Lawson Products’ Investor Relations page on the company’s website, lawsonproducts.com. A replay of the webcast will be available on the website through March 31, 2020. I will now turn the call over to Lawson Products’ CEO, Mike DeCata.

Michael DeCata

Management

Good morning and thank you for joining the call. This morning, I will comment on the fourth quarter results and our continued progress. Ron Knutson, our CFO will provide more detailed review of the financial results, followed by your questions. Lawson Products had a solid fourth quarter and a strong fiscal 2019. Our results this quarter were driven by ongoing consistency of several factors, including MRO sales, EBITDA growth and significant operating leverage complemented by strong sales performance at Bolt Supply. Consolidated sales grew by 2.7%, including an increase of 1.7% in the Lawson MRO segment and a 13.3% increase at Bolt Supply. These results, combined with effective management of our cost structure, supported a 240 basis point increase year-over-year in adjusted EBITDA margin, with $7.3 million in adjusted EBITDA or an 8.3% margin for the fourth quarter compared to $5.1 million or 5.9% margin in the fourth quarter of 2018. For the year, sales increased by 6% with adjusted EBITDA of $34.5 million, representing a 37% increase over 2018 levels and our adjusted consolidated EBITDA leverage was over 44%, primarily due to our ability to leverage our existing infrastructure. In sum, both the fourth quarter and the full year results reflected successful execution of our growth strategy. A recurring theme to our performance in the quarter, as well as the year is the commitment of our teammates to identify productivity improvement opportunities resulting in broad-based process improvements. This commitment has also enabled us to effectively manage our cost structure while investing in the future. Overall we’re pleased with our continued progress, and we’re very confident in our ability to continue to build on the successes that we’ve achieved over the past three-plus years. Now let’s discuss some of the details. Our gross profit trends remain favorable. Lawson core achieved…

Ron Knutson

Management

Thank you, Mike and good morning everyone. As Mike mentioned, the fourth quarter of 2019 reflects a continuation of our strong results with our business model, continuing to generate solid execution, favorable operating leverage and growth in adjusted EBITDA in margin year-over-year, while maintaining a strong balance sheet. The fourth quarter was a solid completion to round out a very strong 2019. Before I comment on the results for the quarter, I wanted to comment on an item in our reported GAAP results. During the quarter, we were required to record $10.2 million of stock-based compensation expense. Given the type of instruments that we’ve utilized in the past to ensure management alignment with our shareholders, the accounting rules require us to mark to market these instruments. Since our stock price increased over $13 in the fourth quarter and over $20 from the beginning of the year, we were required to record expense at $10.2 million for the quarter and $17.8 million for the full year. Since this type of expense can cause large fluctuations in both directions, in our reported GAAP results, my comments this morning will largely be on an adjusted basis, which we feel better reflects the strength of the business and is how we manage the organization. Tables 1 and 2 included in the press release provide a bridge between our reported GAAP results and our adjusted results. Here are some of the Q4 financial highlights. First, adjusted EBITDA was $7.3 million for the quarter, an increase of $2.3 million or 45% year-over-year and a 240 basis point improvement and EBITDA margin as a percent of sales. Second, sales were $88.6 million for the quarter, up 2.7% and 61 selling days, the same from a year ago. Third, consolidated gross margin of 52.9% was in line with…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Kevin Steinke with Barrington Research. Please proceed with your question.

Kevin Steinke

Analyst

Good morning, Mike and Ron.

Michael DeCata

Management

Good morning, Kevin.

Ron Knutson

Management

Good morning, Kevin.

Kevin Steinke

Analyst

So the operating leverage in the model continues to be outstanding. We can continue to talk about broad-based process improvements, you continue to streamline costs, just as you look out over the next few years here, what’s the opportunity that you have to continue that process through – I know you have Lean Six Sigma initiatives across the company, but do you think there is still a decent amount of runway to continue improving processes and streamlining costs or at least holding them flat going forward?

Michael DeCata

Management

Yes, Kevin, thank you. This is Mike. We don’t see an end in sight, whether we turn our attention to G&A cost, process improvements, stripping out non-value-added activities, the use of technology, but also turning our attention to sales rep productivity, again, through the use of Lean Six Sigma and dissecting sales processes, hiring processes. By the way, tomorrow, I am kicking off another Lean Six Sigma class for teammates here at corporate. So the short answer is, we don’t see an end in sight. There will always be process improvement, there will be new technologies even years from now. So, it is a continued process and you have to work at it every day. But we are very, very optimistic about our ability to continue to manage costs and deliver more and more productivity for the foreseeable future.

Kevin Steinke

Analyst

Okay, great. And Ron, just to make sure you are reiterating that 25% to 30% operating leverage target for 2020?

Ron Knutson

Management

That’s correct. Yes, we still feel comfortable with that, Kevin even though we were able to outperform it for 2019 I think all-in operating leverage for this year was a little bit north of 40%. But we feel that the 25% to 30% is the flow through from a guidance standpoint.

Kevin Steinke

Analyst

Okay, great. And then you continue to make progress on adding new locations with strategic accounts, as well as adding new strategic accounts, but I think, Mike, you said your goal is to get 100% penetration of your strategic accounts in terms of capturing locations with them. Have you ever tried to take a deeper dive and looked across your strategic account base and said okay, what percentage we are at now and kind of give us a sense of the runway that still exists to continue penetrating your strategic accounts?

Ron Knutson

Management

Yes, absolutely, Kevin. Thank you. So a couple of thoughts though, the 100% yes refers to 100% of the locations within strategic accounts and they range all over the map and the way strategic accounts have worked for us through our history, in most cases, it’s a hunting license. So, we develop a relationship with a number of locations then it moves to the corporate headquarters of that company, they help a little bit, but we have to work one location at a time to displace a competitor. And as we bring on new strategic accounts wherever you start there is more to be had, but when I talk about 100% it’s broader than the strategic count, what I really mean in that statement is within our 12 broad product categories, we want 100% share of all customers, whether it’s local accounts, just one location, one small location, or a very large strategic account. When our sales rep is in-servicing that location, we want to service all that we can and the reason we want to do that is that because of our operational excellence, superior performance and the fact that our sales reps are visiting with the customer on average every 10 days, which is usually every week or every other week averaging 10 days. We are there reliably never let the customer run out of product they are consuming and also because we are there so frequently, we never overstock the customer, so when I say 100% share I mean really, we’ve heard all 70,000 customers, we want 100% share within the bounds of our consumable products. There is a huge potential, and let me say, I have never ever been more excited about the state of the company and our underlying value proposition and very recently, we even had a large number of potential strategic accounts reach out to us and invite us to begin broader dialogue with them. These are not customers today, but they’ve reached out to us and invited us into talk about broader relationships. So on every dimension, whether it’s cost management, Lean Six Sigma, our sales rep productivity costs, supply chain, suppliers and every dimension of the company, I have never been more confident in the future of this company that I am at this moment.

Kevin Steinke

Analyst

Okay, good, good. That’s good to hear. So looking forward to 2020, I would assume the plan is to continue adding sales reps at kind of a modest pace, and maybe talk a little bit more about the sales rep retention, you mentioned they continue to improve. That seems like it’s been kind of a multi-quarter trend there and how much more room do you see to improve there?

Ron Knutson

Management

Yes, it is. It’s small continuous incremental improvement in retention. We will continue to hire incrementally, and of course, the hiring number gets a little less pressure as you’re able to retain and when you are retaining, they track along the curve of growing their book of business and growing the profitability of the sales rep. But it is a continuous improvement of retention. By the way, Lean Six Sigma here has helped us. Several years ago, we started talking about the Lean Six Sigma project to in a very systematic way on board reps, trained reps and then help them, this most of the weight of this work falls on our district sales managers, but help and coach and monitor them, so that they can start tracking initially successfully. Now, other initiatives we have in place that we think will pay dividends for us this year is a focus, there are foundational products that are extremely important to our customers, they are very sticky to our customers and so, a real focus just starting recently on these core foundational products from which to build. They are the bedrock of the relationship with customers. And if you have those core products, the long-term retention of the customer and the profitability of the sales rep and customer relationship is far higher. All of these things serve to improve sales rep retention, customer retention and profitability of that specific customer.

Kevin Steinke

Analyst

Okay, got it. Maybe let’s switch to the operating environment as you see it now. You mentioned a slowdown among two of your oil and gas customers, strategic customers, and the impact that had in the fourth quarter. Have they shared with you their plans for 2020 or how do you see those two particular customers impacting your overall growth outlook as you move throughout this year?

Michael DeCata

Management

Yes. Of course, we can’t share all the details relative to specific customers but they are in the oil and gas industry. However, it’s important to recognize that the oil and gas industry represents less than 5%. I think it’s more than 4% of our total business. So we call them out in general because they are relatively large customers, but they are relatively small as a percent. The whole industry is relatively small as a percent of our total mix. It’s likely that those specific customers – by the way, it’s important to recognize we retain those customers as their demand goes down and it’s really about how hard they’re running their machines. As you idle machines, the maintenance cost goes down because you don’t run them they don’t break. Those two customers are probably going to move sideways this year. They might tip up but likely move sideways. However, there are so many other opportunities we have for new strategic accounts that we are very, very excited.

Ron Knutson

Management

Kevin, the other point I would add on top of that is as we look at call it the first eight weeks of 2020, we have seen a sequential increase both over December. In my prepared remarks, I commented on ADS for October, November and December. So we have seen a nice increase in our average daily sales going from December into January and February, and are also trending in the first couple of months of the year, higher than where our full Q4 ADS ended up. Bolt has gotten off to a strong start as well. So even though we continue to see a little bit of softness in these couple of customers, we have continued to see nice sequential increase over Q4 of 2019 as we start out this year.

Kevin Steinke

Analyst

Okay. Well, that’s helpful, because it was actually going to be my next question about what you’ve seen thus far through the first couple of months of the year. But it sounds like even though you mentioned indicators for the industry show growth but maybe at a slower rate that it has not materially impacted you at least as of now, it sounds like?

Michael DeCata

Management

It just goes to the specific customers not in the industry, those two customers.

Ron Knutson

Management

I think January the ISM was 50.9 and that was the first month in five months that it had ticked up about 50. We saw some of that increase – we saw some of that lift here in January as well.

Kevin Steinke

Analyst

Okay, great. Well, that’s all I had for now. Thanks for taking all the questions.

Michael DeCata

Management

Sure. Thanks, Kevin.

Operator

Operator

[Operator instructions] Our next question comes from the line of Carl Schemm with KeyBanc. Please proceed with your question.

Carl Schemm

Analyst · KeyBanc. Please proceed with your question.

Hey, good morning.

Michael DeCata

Management

Good morning, Carl.

Ron Knutson

Management

Good morning, Carl.

Carl Schemm

Analyst · KeyBanc. Please proceed with your question.

I am just curious first, you mentioned the acquisition pipeline, if you could kind of expand on that, what you are targeting, what areas you are looking at specifically and what kind of leverage you are looking to get to?

Michael DeCata

Management

Let me comment, this is Mike, Carl let me comment on the first part of that and then Ron can pick up the second part. We continue to pursue a broad range of opportunities from, let me call it $10 million of revenue up too much, much, much larger well over $100 million of revenue. And now that we have even more financial capacity, we feel good about that. We have been developing relationships for a number of years. Certainly, our vice president of M&A is having a very positive impact and his thorough approach we are very, very pleased with. So we feel good about the pipeline across that spectrum by the way and we are very optimistic that during 2020 we will succeed along that dimension. The other thing is that as we have gone through the acquisition process that’s behind us, that has enabled us to build the integration process and our integration team and all the functional leaders that participate after we succeed. Even by the way even in the analysis prior to doing an acquisition. So we feel great about our ability after acquisition to integrate successfully. We feel like here all the hard work over the past couple of years will pay dividends here in 2020. Ron, did you want to comment on leverage?

Ron Knutson

Management

Yes. Carl, I would just add on top of that. As Mike and I both mentioned in our comments that putting the new credit facility in place in the fourth quarter with J.P. Morgan Chase and CIBC and Bank of America really gives us the wherewithal to make those acquisitions that we are looking at. That combined with the free cash flow that we throw off on our base or our core MRO business puts us in a really, really good position going forward to be able to make those acquisitions. So we feel really good about not only the pipeline but also our financial wherewithal to be able to finance those acquisitions.

Carl Schemm

Analyst · KeyBanc. Please proceed with your question.

Great. Thanks. And then just a couple of housekeeping questions, what are you expecting for the number of business sales days by quarter this year?

Michael DeCata

Management

Sure. So for 2020, we pick up one additional day. The way that the calendar fell going from 2018 to 2019, we picked up one day and going from 2019 to 2020 we pick up an additional day. So by quarter for 2020, Q1 has 64 days, Q2, 64 days, Q3 64 days and then Q4 is 61 days, again. Then if you look further out into the calendar out to 2021, we actually lose 2 business days so – but we picked up that extra day here in the first quarter.

Carl Schemm

Analyst · KeyBanc. Please proceed with your question.

Okay. And lastly what’s your expectations for your tax rate for fiscal 2019 – 2020, sorry?

Ron Knutson

Management

Sure. So for fiscal 2019, we are in for the year. We were at 25.4%. That’s about where our expectation is moving into 2020 as well. What I would say is that we will be a tax-paying entity in 2020. The NOLs that we were carrying forward most of those will expire throughout 2020. So we will be using some of our cash to pay taxes where historically we have not had to cut checks. So, I do want to highlight that but the effective tax rate should still be in the 25% to 26% 27% range.

Carl Schemm

Analyst · KeyBanc. Please proceed with your question.

Great. That’s all I had. Thanks.

Ron Knutson

Management

Sure. Thanks, Carl.

Michael DeCata

Management

Thanks, Carl.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. We have no further questions at this time. Mr. DeCata, I would now like to turn the floor back over to you for closing comments.

Michael DeCata

Management

Thank you very much. Thank you for joining the call today. Lawson Products had another great quarter and a great year. Sales, EBITDA, gross profit and leverage all continue the positive trend that began in late 2016. Share gain and customer retention highlight the increasing value that customers place on our ability to improve their productivity. More customers and potential customers are recognizing our value proposition. This is especially true of potential strategic account customers. We are confident that the productivity-related actions will continue and produce earnings growth while improving the quality of the work day for our teammates. I would like to extend thanks to our teammates. I am grateful for their dedication to customer service and the knowledge that their work is enabling 70,000 customers to prosper. Thank you again for joining the call today. We look forward to speaking with you again shortly when we release our first quarter results. Thanks again. Have a wonderful day.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentleman this does conclude today’s teleconference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation and have a wonderful day.