Justin L. Leonard
Analyst · Wells Fargo. Your line is open
Bill’s integrity and commitment to doing what is right will have an enduring impact on DiamondRock Hospitality Company. We also welcomed Bruce Wardinski to his first board meeting as our new chairman. We look forward to the perspective and leadership he will bring as we execute our strategy. Nearly two years ago, we launched DiamondRock Hospitality Company 2.0, and since that time, our shares have delivered the strongest returns in the lodging REIT sector, outperforming peers by roughly 2.7 thousand basis points and broad equity REIT indices by more than 500 basis points. We believe we are just getting started. DiamondRock Hospitality Company’s ability to drive the financial results behind our outperformance stems from deliberate and foundational decisions we have made in the past two years. First, culture. We have worked to build a culture of excellence where teams are encouraged to challenge assumptions and work collaboratively toward superior outcomes. We also strengthened the organization with added expertise across IT, legal, capital markets, design and construction, and accounting. Second, we align compensation with total shareholder returns, not just at the executive level, but across the entire organization. The goal is straightforward: our team benefits only when the shareholders benefit. This alignment and empowerment has slashed turnover and improved execution. Third, we invested in our infrastructure, implemented new accounting and enterprise analytics platforms to amplify the strength of our asset management and accounting teams, and accelerated the use of AI-enabled tools across the organization. We took a comprehensive approach to simplifying the organization, modernizing corporate policies, shrinking the board, relocating our offices, and moving our listing to Nasdaq. The outcome is a leaner G&A structure with a headcount-per-hotel ratio that remains about 50% below the peer average. Taken together, these actions help make DiamondRock Hospitality Company more efficient, more disciplined, and more focused on how we allocate capital. We are proud of the progress the team has made, and we are committed to earning your confidence through consistent execution. Last quarter, I walked through our five-year capital expenditure plan and our intent to recycle capital within the portfolio. Today, I will build on that discussion with an update on the Westin Boston Seaport District and then close with our outlook for 2026. The existing franchise agreement for the Westin Seaport expires on 12/31/2026. We view this as a meaningful value creation opportunity, and beginning in 2025, we ran a comprehensive process to evaluate brand interest in representing Boston’s premier convention hotel. We appreciated the level of interest and the creativity and flexibility we saw from brands throughout the process. After evaluating the proposals, we concluded reinforcing the Westin brand’s superior position in the Seaport would minimize disruption and create the greatest near-, medium-, and long-term value for shareholders. While we cannot disclose the specific economic terms, given the strength of our balance sheet, we elected not to pursue a T Money loan. The decision to avoid that expensive capital helped us stay focused on the fundamentals that matter most to shareholder value creation: the fee structure, the renovation scope and timing, and contract duration, assignments, and terminability. Value creation begins with the commencement of the new agreement on 01/01/2027, and as with all major capital decisions, we approached this with a focus on cash flow, flexibility, and risk-adjusted returns. With respect to the five-year capital plan we shared last quarter, importantly, our guidance remains unchanged. We continue to forecast investing 7% to 9% of annual revenue across the portfolio, or about $80 million to $100 million per year, in each of the next five years. The renovation of the Westin Boston Seaport District was already contemplated in our prior guidance as an internally funded project. The key takeaway here is we are working to provide greater transparency and consistency. Generating attractive risk-adjusted returns is essential to our capital allocation philosophy. We deploy capital across both ROI-driven initiatives and more traditional cycle renovations. Each plays an important role, but they sustain and create value in different ways. In that vein, I want to provide an update on two recent ROI projects. The first is The Dagny in Boston. With the franchise agreement for the Hilton Boston Downtown Faneuil Hall approaching expiration in 2022, we began evaluating long-term alternatives in 2020. We narrowed our options to remaining within Hilton, or for an incremental $5 million, deflag and reposition the hotel as an independent property. We chose independent positioning because we were confident that even if we initially ceded ground on the top line, we could still drive higher profits through operating cost savings. We underwrote EBITDA to exceed $16 million in 2027 versus the $10 million earned in 2023. So how are we doing? We delivered $15.5 million in 2025, and we are not finished yet, so we are comfortable this ROI project will be ahead of underwriting. The icing on the cake is unencumbered hotels regularly achieve a 15% to 20% valuation premium to comparable brand-encumbered product; our repositioning has created value through earnings and asset value. The second example is L’Auberge de Sedona. In 2025, we completed the renovation of the Orchard Inn and fully integrated its operations within our adjacent luxury resort, L’Auberge. While Orchard’s enjoyed some of the best views in Sedona, it was operating as a midscale product with a premium location in a luxury resort market. Our strategy was to unlock that untapped value. By upgrading the room product and creating more connectivity between the two hotels, we were able to transform the properties into a cohesive luxury destination in a supply-constrained, highly rated market. We invested approximately $25 million and underwrote stabilization at a 10% EBITDA yield. Early results have exceeded our expectations. In the first two quarters following integration, revenues increased nearly 25% and EBITDA increased 55%. This project exemplifies our discipline. We right-sized the investment, focused on operational excellence throughout the project, and conservatively underwrote its potential returns with upside reserved for our shareholders. Let me remind you, 2026 was not underwritten as L’Auberge’s year of stabilization. We prefer to consistently hit singles and doubles rather than hope for a home run on a complex, capital-intensive, and disruptive multiyear project. That said, when we look back, I expect we will call L’Auberge DiamondRock Hospitality Company’s version of a home run. Our ability to execute consistent, cost-efficient, and impactful CapEx spending is a result of several unique portfolio traits, including a strong competitive position, unsecured capital structure, young portfolio age, and a high percentage of independent and third-party managed hotels. This gives us control over scope and timing. While we highlight four or five larger projects each year, our in-house design and construction team is actually on more than 400 individual projects this year alone, from elevator modernizations that reduce service calls to reconfiguring outlets to add seating and drive revenue, and room renovations to enhance guest appeal and housekeeper productivity. The effectiveness of our capital spending will ultimately be reflected in our long-term free cash flow per share growth. We view our capital program as a core differentiator that originates from our portfolio construction and is a key reason DiamondRock Hospitality Company is a free cash flow per share growth story. Turning to capital recycling, as we noted last quarter, we expect to be a net seller of hotels in 2026. We are under no pressure to sell, but we believe we can accretively recycle capital within the portfolio. Transaction markets are stronger than a year ago, and though recent geopolitical events have slowed the pace of some discussions, ongoing engagement has continued. We are currently under contract to sell one hotel. We have a nonrefundable deposit and expect the transaction to close in the second quarter. At that time, we will be able to discuss the factors that informed our sale decision. We continue to place more lines in the water than in past years. Not every process will result in a transaction. We will only sell assets when, all else equal, recycling reduces risk or drives free cash flow per share growth over the medium to long term. ROI projects and share repurchases remain compelling uses of proceeds, but we have underwritten a few external opportunities that could be nearly as additive. These range from modern urban hotels with brand availability to experiential assets in supply-constrained resort markets. We have nothing to announce today, but trust that our focus is on accelerating our free cash flow per share growth and reducing risks to long-term performance. Turning to our outlook for 2026, we entered the year knowing the first quarter would be our toughest comp of the year. Despite that hurdle and the incremental headwind created by poor weather conditions, the portfolio was able to rebound in the second half of the quarter and delivered stronger-than-expected revenue growth and expense efficiency. As we look ahead to the remainder of the year, we benefit from easy comps created by Liberation Day and the longest federal government shutdown, a favorable holiday calendar, outsized exposure to FIFA World Cup host markets, America 250 celebrations, and successful renovations. While it is early, we are not seeing a reticence for guests to take to the road this summer. For example, portfolio revenues on Memorial Day weekend are pacing up in the mid-single digits. Our FIFA World Cup host market hotels have experienced increased demand at elevated rates, but we do not expect to see activity accelerate until we are much closer to the event. As a reminder, our hotels have budgeted for 20 basis points of annual RevPAR growth in the veins. We are seeing a similar booking pattern emerge around America 250 celebrations. Rates for early bookings have been strong, up double digits, but the pace at our urban hotels has been tepid. As citywide July 4 programming comes into focus, we expect the pace of bookings to improve. Our resorts, however, are currently seeing more activity than our urban hotels over the July 4 weekend. We are excited to reap the benefit from the hard work our team put into renovations last year. Among these renovations, the returns generated by L’Auberge de Sedona are expected to be the most material, driving at least a 50 basis point tailwind to DiamondRock Hospitality Company’s RevPAR growth rate in 2026. All in, we now expect our 2026 RevPAR to increase 1.5% to 3.5%, a 50 basis point improvement from last quarter, with total RevPAR growth outpacing RevPAR growth by 25 basis points. By rightsizing expenses for demand and maintaining a disciplined capital expenditure program, that 2.5% RevPAR growth at the midpoint should again drive DiamondRock Hospitality Company to a new peak FFO in 2026. We also expect to generate 7% in free cash flow per share growth for our shareholders this year. This would mark over a 30% cumulative increase in the past three years. We appreciate the trust you place in us, and we look forward to building on each successive peak. Thank you for your time this morning, and we are happy to answer your questions.