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DiamondRock Hospitality Company (DRH)

Q3 2014 Earnings Call· Tue, Nov 4, 2014

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Third Quarter 2014 DiamondRock Hospitality Company Earnings Conference Call. My name is Denise, and I will be the operator for today. At this time all participants are in listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. (Operator Instructions) As a reminder, this conference is being recorded for replay purposes. I will now turn the conference over to Mr. Brett Stewart, Director of Finance. Please proceed, sir

Brett Stewart

Management

Thank you, Denise. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to DiamondRock's Third Quarter 2014 Earnings Call and Webcast. Before we begin, I would like to remind participants that many of our comments today are considered forward-looking statements under federal securities law and may not be historical fact. They also may not be updated in the future. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties as described in the company's SEC filings. Moreover, as management discusses certain non-GAAP financial measures, it may be helpful to review the reconciliation to GAAP set forth in our earnings press release. At this time, I will turn the call over to Mark Brugger, our President and Chief Executive Officer. He is joined by Sean Mahoney, our Chief Financial Officer; Rob Tanenbaum, our Chief Operating Officer; and Troy Furbay, our Chief Investment Officer. Mark?

Mark Brugger

Management

Thanks, Brett. Let me start with the obvious today. This is a great time to be in the hotel business. The third quarter was nothing short of robust for the lodge industry. Occupancy grew 3.8% while ADR was up 5.2%, leading to over 9% RevPAR growth. Importantly, this was an even better quarter for DiamondRock. I’m proud to say that this was the best growth quarter for the company in our 10-year history. Our portfolio delivered 18.6% RevPAR growth, more than double the industry average and 531 basis points of profit margin growth. These industry leading results are evidence that our portfolio transformation and intense asset management initiatives are starting to pay off. Importantly, the out performance in the portfolio was broad based and we made great strides in stealing market share from our competitors. The portfolio gained over 7 points of market share in the quarter, while six hotels had stellar RevPAR growth of north of 20%. 17 of 27 hotels outperformed the industry average with double digit RevPAR growth. One catalyst for this quarter’s performance is the actualization of the benefits from the $140 million capital investment program we started in 2013. This was most clearly demonstrated by the outsized growth at the Lexington, the Courtyard Midtown, the Westin DC, the Westin San Diego and our Boston Hilton. In fact, the four pack that we purchased from Blackstone in 2012 is beginning to hit its stride and the four hotel portfolio delivered RevPAR growth of nearly 27% in the quarter, with margin expansion of 434 basis points. More importantly, we think that the benefits of these repositionings will continue well into 2015 and beyond. This was also a great quarter for the company on the asset management front. Rob’s team continued implementing their many asset management initiatives. The…

Sean Mahoney

Management

Thanks Mark. Before discussing our third quarter results, please note that our reported RevPAR and margin data is pro forma. While the pro forma adjustments include the Inn at Key West as if we owned it for all periods presented, it excludes both the recently opened Hilton Garden Inn Times Square Central, as well as the Oak Brook Hills Resort, which was sold earlier in the year. Let me start by reiterating Mark’s comments that we had an outstanding quarter that exceeded expectations. Our portfolio RevPAR growth was over twice the industry average. For the balance of 2014 and 2015, our portfolio is expected to benefit from several unique catalysts, including outsized growth from our $140 million capital renovation program, ramp up from the Lexington Hotel repositioning and re-branding the Marriott's Autograph Collection, the recent opening of the Hilton Garden Inn Times Square Central, positive momentum from successful asset management initiatives and strong group performance led by our hotels in Boston. Now, let’s jump into the third quarter numbers. Overall, it was an outstanding quarter for both the industry and DiamondRock’s portfolio. The third quarter out performance was led by our hotels in Boston, New York, Washington D.C and Chicago. The company reported adjusted EBITDA of $66.8 million and adjusted FFO per share of $0.25. Our industry leading third quarter RevPAR growth and margin expansion gives us confidence to increase our 2014 guidance. It is also a nice testament to the value creation form last year’s $140 million capital program and the success of our asset management initiatives. The numbers speak for themselves. Our RevPAR growth was 18.6%. This growth was driven by our ability to push rate, which increased 10.7% and sizeable gains in occupancy. Our topline out performance combined with good cost controls, allowed our hotels to achieve…

Mark Brugger

Management

Thanks Sean. To sum it up, lodge history fundamentals are terrific. DiamondRock had a phenomenal third quarter and we are well positioned to deliver solid full year results. Looking out over the next several quarter, we expect fundamentals to be strong, with lodging demand outstripping the low levels of supply grow projected for the industry. Also, we are encouraged by the current trends in GDP growth, employment growth, corporate profits and international travel. As I said at the start of my prepared remarks, this is a great time to be in the hotel business. It is also a great time to be part of DiamondRock and there are several catalysts that can drive above average growth for the company over the next several years. First, the Hilton Garden in Times Square will add over $6 million incrementally to the company’s ETHIBA once it reaches stabilization. Second, the Lexington is on track to grow hotel adjusted EBITDA by over 50% to approximately $30 million over the next few years. The repositioned Westin D.C is also a great catalyst for the company. Ultimately achieving our underwritten target of 105% RevPAR penetration will add approximately $2.5 million to the hotel’s bottom line. As Sean mentioned, we are also working on several ROI projects across the portfolio and we expect the three largest of those to contribute an incremental $3 million of EBITDA next year. Lastly, we remained focused on cost containment and on implementing new asset management initiatives that will continue to drive profit margin growth for the company. With that, we would now like to open up the call for your questions.

Operator

Operator

(Operator instructions). Our first question comes from Jordan Sadler with KeyBanc Capital. Please proceed. Austin Wurschmidt – KeyBanc Capital Markets: Hi guys, it’s Austin Wurschmidt here with Jordan. Just wanted to touch a little bit on acquisitions. If I heard you correctly, it sounded like you guys increased the high end by $50 million to $50 million or $150 million is sort of where your comfort level is today. I’m just curious what led you to increase the high end of that.

Mark Brugger

Management

Austin, this is Mark. No, the 50 to 150 is the same as the last earnings call. That’s been our target. We are less focused on big deals. We are not targeting big box hotels right now. We have three in our portfolio. We think that’s adequate. We think it’s -- frankly at this part of the cycle it’s too much of a big bet generally to do these big hotels given that we are mid cycle. So we are much more focused on these $50 million to $150 million opportunities that we see in the marketplace. Austin Wurschmidt – KeyBanc Capital Markets: How soon do you guys think you could get the dry powder that you have available today put to work? I think you said it’s around $250 million available of dry powder. Just curious on the timing on some of that.

Mark Brugger

Management

We are very active in the process. I can tell you Troy is doing a tremendous job of uncovering opportunities, but we don’t announce deals until generally we are close to closing them. Austin Wurschmidt – KeyBanc Capital Markets: Are you finding that there’s more opportunities today or have things slowed a bit as we get toward the end of the year?

Mark Brugger

Management

I would say over the last three to six months, we’ve been pleased with the volume of deals and the quality of deals that we’ve seen in the market place. Troy has an excellent track record of finding off market deals. The last five deals that he’s done have all been off market. I think he’s -- we are seeing some things that may not be in the flow that other people are seeing. But there’s always a myriad of reasons why people are selling. We are starting to see more of those percolate through the system now. So I’d say overall we are pleased with what we are seeing in the marketplace. Austin Wurschmidt – KeyBanc Capital Markets: Thanks. And then just one last one, it sounded like the Inn at Key West is outperforming you guys’ initial underwriting expectations. I’m just curious what’s driving the better performance there.

Mark Brugger

Management

There’s two things, it’s both top and bottom line. There were some transition costs before our period of ownership in the quarter, but since our ownership the last 45 days of the quarter, flow is better than we anticipated. It was about 70%. Then the RevPAR growth in the market and -- we gained probably 2 points of market share that were not in the underwriting during the quarter. It’s gaining a little bit more share than we anticipated, which is great and the flow is a little better than we anticipated with some of the management stuff we were able to put in place on day one of ownership.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Thomas Allen with Morgan Stanley. Please proceed. Thomas Allen – Morgan Stanley: Hey, good morning guys and congrats on the strong quarter. Can you just remind us why your F&B and other revenues are revenues are running flat to down year over year? I know pro forma they are actually running in the 6% to 7% range, but still a lot slower than room revenues. I think it’s partially a mix shift issue. But can you help us to think about -- how think about it going forward. Thank you.

Sean Mahoney

Management

Thomas, this is Sean. The F&B revenues what we projected for the beginning of the year were up mid-single digits. And so we are tracking where we thought we are going to track for the year. For the quarter and for last quarter, our F&B was actually down and that was a function of the group activity for the quarter during the second quarter. For the third quarter, our group revenues were up 26%, but our total F&B revenues were only up 7.4%. A lot of that was the type of groups that were on the books. Some of those were legacy groups from before, but it was consistent with our expectations. I think the key takeaway though on F&B with the 7.4% increase in revenues is that we were able to drive margins up 156 basis points on that growth and that was led by a combination of both banquet and catering as well as on our outlet revenues for the quarter.

Robert Tanenbaum

Analyst

Hey Thomas, this is Rob. We were also pleased with our controllable spending in our labor management and food and beverages as well. Thomas Allen – Morgan Stanley: Thanks guys. Then one of the OTAs suggested that the strengthening dollar is having a negative impact on 4Q RevPAR rends in the U.S. Obviously international visitation has an outsized impact on gateway cities versus other places, but given your exposure, are you seeing any of that? Thanks.

Mark W. Brugger

Analyst

Hey Thomas, this is Mark. We don’t have specific data on that, but the trends we’re seeing in transient, particularly in New York in the fourth quarter continue to be slightly ahead of our expectations. We’re not seeing a slowdown related to international travel particularly. And that could be because there’s enough transient demand domestically to make up for it, but we’re not seeing anything now that would lead us to believe that there’s a slowdown in that demand.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Nikhil Bhalla with FBR Capital Markets. Please proceed. Weston Bloomer – FBR Capital Markets: Good morning. This is Weston asking on behalf of Nikhil. I was just curious to how your group pace is trending in 2015 at this point versus where it stood last year. And then to dive a little deeper, if you can provide some color on how your group focused hotels are doing in terms of group pace for 2015, namely the Boston Westin and the Frenchman. Thanks.

Mark Brugger

Management

Okay, I’ll start on this one. This is Mark, Weston. On 2015 booking pace, the velocity of the booking pace has actually been very strong. If I looked in the quarter for third quarter, we actually increased 15 piece, revenue piece by 400 basis points, which is pretty remarkable. But we’re being very tactical about what kind of group and how much group we’re putting at particular hotels. I know Rob can talk about the Westin D.C and Frenchman’s in particular. I know you asked about the Boston Westin. Boston is going to have another great group year in 2015. But what we’re looking at is looking at total revenues spend by the groups and making sure that it’s not more profitable to tune back some of the lower rated or lower total revenue group and put in place higher rated transients. So we’re employing different strategies to different hotels. I would say overall we’re pleased with group piece. Boston looks like it’s going to have another good year. But I’d let Rob -- we were having this conversation earlier, talk about Frenchman’s and Westin DC is good examples of the tactical mix shift we’re making around group in our hotels for 2015.

Robert Tanenbaum

Analyst

Thanks Mark. Hi Weston. How are you this morning? With regards to the Frenchman’s Reef, we’ve really been very strategic in our approach. Last year during Q1, we took in an abundance of group business, which was positive in one side in terms of driving occupancy, but it left some opportunity with rates. We focus with -- on the high rated transient business for Q1. In Washington D.C at our Westin, we’re also focused on -- we’ve lowered our group ceilings in order to take advantage of the repositioning of the asset and the renovations and we’ve received incredible support from the corporate market, both from a business transient and also from corporate group as well with regards to that.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Ryan Meliker with MLV & Company. Please proceed. Ryan Meliker - MLV & Company: Hey guys, nice quarter. I just had a quick question. I just want to make sure I’m not missing anything below the line here. It looks like you raised your full year RevPAR guidance to now above what was the – your low end of your current RevPAR guidance is now above or at the high end prior. You assume that property margins are going to be relatively consistent to where you assumed before, but you didn’t raise your EBITDA and FFO guidance to above the – with the low end being about at to above the high end of the prior guidance similar to what you did with RevPAR. Is there something going on below the line that we should think about heading into 4Q?

Mark Brugger

Management

No Ryan, this is Mark. Thanks for the question. I appreciate you raising that. So as you know we raised the bottom and top end of our guidance. But the bottom end was raised $6.5 million on the EBITDA. We think the full year 2014 guidance is pretty strong. We’re expecting the fourth quarter to still be very strong. Obviously citywides and renovation comps are less beneficial for us in the fourth quarter. But we’re seeing really good strength at a number of our hotels. Like the Westin DC is going to continue to benefit from the renovation, the Lexington from the re-branding. Chicago looks great, both at our Marriott Chicago and the Conrad Hilton there. Boston Hilton, which has had such a great run, we expect to have another great quarter in the fourth quarter. Charleston Renaissance looks good. And obviously we have the new Hilton project in Times Square. So there’s a lot of good things happening there. But I would say looking at the bottom end raise is probably the difference versus just looking at the midpoint change in the math that you’re doing. Ryan Meliker – MLV & Company: Okay. So it doesn’t sound like there’s anything material below the property level line that’s driving that disconnect between RevPAR, EBITDA (inaudible) so that’s helpful. And then I guess the second question is, looking out to 2015 are there an any particular markets that you are a little bit more concerned about or a little bit more bullish about with regards to whether it be citywides or overall booking pace or just general dynamics that are occurring in the marketplace?

Mark Brugger

Management

I’d say for the big markets, so New York we expect, obviously there’s supply coming in, but we expect demand to be good in New York. I think relatively constructive on that market. Obviously the west coast, San Francisco looks very strong. San Diego looks like it’s going to have a good year. We are feeling generally bullish in all the west coast markets. Living wage will be a whole bucket in some of those markets potentially on the EBITDA growth. Boston is going to have another great year we expect in 2015 moving down the coast. We talked about New York, D.C. We except D.C. to have another mediocre year, but we except that our hotel will be able to gain a lot of market share. We’d expect good results from our D.C. hotel. Then we expect the resorts to have another piece of leisure demand. The resort buckets had a good year and we expect that trend at the resort market to continue to be good into 2015. Ryan Meliker – MLV & Company: Thanks Mark. That’s good. That’s all for me and I look forward to seeing you guys this week in Atlanta.

Operator

Operator

(Operator instructions) Our next question comes from Anto Savarirajan with Goldman Sachs. Please process, sir. Anto Savarirajan – Goldman Sachs: :

Sean Mahoney

Management

This is Sean. Our historical fourth quarter when we reported under the Marriott calendar for Marriott hotels used to include four months of activity versus three months of activity today. So when you look at the historical fourth quarters the waiting has shifted this year and last year relative to what DiamondRock has historically reported, which explain most of the distortion. Anto Savarirajan – Goldman Sachs: Got it. On potentially selling some lower RevPAR hotels, can you clarify here? if we look at the operating start schedule that you provide, should we think of hotels with a lower dollar value of RevPAR being taken out of the system or are you looking at certain hotels that are maybe in your math punching below on the RevPAR index?

Mark Brugger

Management

This is Mark. Obviously every hotel has its own story and we are trying to -- right now what we are trying to do is look at the hotels that are probably the lowest quality hotels. The easiest things for investors or analysts to do, is look at the bottom 10% or 15% by average RevPAR in nominal dollars. Those are the ones where we think there may be an arbitrage in the marketplace today because there’s a robust demand and there’s less distinction between high quality and low RevPAR hotels. Frankly we’ve had a number of reverse inquiries from some unlikely buyers that make us a little bit more bullish on the ability to monetize that arbitrage opportunity at this moment in time. We are looking at them and trying to create value for our shareholders by taking advantage of that environment. Anto Savarirajan – Goldman Sachs: Got it. One last question for me. On the Lex, in your prepared remarks you said 50% of revenues came from Marriott channels. Can you provide some context as to how this compares to similar hotels like the Lex and what share of bookings or revenues they get from brand pipe?

Robert Tanenbaum

Analyst

Sure Anto, this is Rob. In terms of the Marriott production, this is a typical penetration. I think where the emphasis is coming from whereas before it was the Radisson and now it's now part of Marriott and then and independent now is part of the Marriott channel. We’re seeing similar production levels coming from the Marriott channels as we see in other hotels, so very positive for us.

Mark Brugger

Management

Rob, do you want to talk about the Lexington about where the upside is going to come from in segmentation just to make that clear?

Robert Tanenbaum

Analyst

Sure. We are very much focused in on our special corporate demand now that the hotel has hit its one year anniversary as being part of the Marriott system. We’ve really been able to further penetrate within the special corporate segment and especially relevant along the east side. In addition our group opportunities further grow especially as we gain traction with the various missions for like UNJ for example and further exposure with the federal government. We’ve been very, very successful in driving demand through those channels.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Steven Kent with Goldman Sachs. Please proceed.

Steve Kent - Goldman Sachs

Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Please proceed.

Mark, just to follow up a little bit on Anto’s question, you noted a couple of times that you were considering maybe selling some properties. I guess what I’m struggling with is I know that the environment is pretty strong out there, but you are trading at around 14 times or so. Would you consider selling an asset that would be least dilutive on a multiple basis? Or would you not do that considering where we are in the cycle?

Mark Brugger

Management

Right, it's a great question. So we are trying to do what we’ve done the last several years is try to recycle capital. The ideal situation for us would be to sell a lower RevPAR, lower quality hotel in our portfolio and to quickly redeploy that same amount of capital into something that has a similar EBITDA multiple on 2015 and create higher quality and better growth prospects. That’s really what we are trying to accomplish. So it would be more of a capital recycling play of something that’s got similar EBITDA multiples on 2015 numbers. That’s what we direct the team to try to accomplish.

Operator

Operator

We have no further questions. I will now turn the call back over to management for any closing remarks. Please proceed.

Mark Brugger

Management

Thank you, Denise. To everyone on the call, we appreciate your continued interest in DiamondRock and look forward to updating you with our fourth quarter results. Thank you.