Mark W. Brugger
Analyst · KeyBanc Capital Markets
Thanks, Martine. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to DiamondRock's Fourth Quarter Earnings Conference Call. Today, I'm joined by Sean Mahoney, our Chief Financial Officer. As usual, before we begin, I would like to remind everyone that many of our comments today are not historical facts and are considered forward-looking statements under federal securities law. They may not be updated in the future. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties as described in our SEC filings. Moreover, as we discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures, it may be helpful to review the reconciliation to GAAP set forth in our earnings press release. We would also invite you to review our new Investor Presentation posted on our website at www.drhc.com. Let me start today by expressing my sincere thanks to departing COO, John Williams, for his contributions to DiamondRock over the last decade. He played an integral role in founding and growing the company, and we wish him his best in his upcoming retirement. Before we review our results for the quarter, I want to take a minute to provide an overview of DiamondRock strategy and how we plan to drive value. We believe that the combination of a balanced portfolio of premier assets in top gateway assets and destination resorts and a conservative, clean balance sheet positions DiamondRock to deliver above average shareholder returns across the full lodging cycle. We take a long-term approach to investing in our properties and will tolerate short-term disruption when we uncover outside value creation opportunities. We seek to identify and acquire hotels with excellent locations and upside for either under-management, underinvestment or brand conversion opportunities. Moreover, we continually focus our precious CapEx dollars on the best opportunities to drive RevPAR and margin growth. We've assembled the portfolio with a balanced mix of the 3 major demand drivers: business transient, group and leisure. This approach sets the portfolio up for consistent performance across all phases of the lodging cycle. Our balance sheet has lower leverage than most of our peers and no near-term debt maturities. More than half of our assets are unencumbered. We believe this gives us substantial financial flexibility and supports sustainable dividend payments, which are a key component of lodging returns over time. I am proud to say that we returned more than $375 million in cash to our shareholders in dividends since our IPO. To summarize our strategy, our singular goal is to create long-term shareholder value through a high-quality portfolio of assets, a clean and low risk balance sheet and focused execution, and we're committed to providing transparency around our progress related to this strategy through best-in-class disclosures. In a minute, I'll provide more details on several key actions we are taking to drive growth and value. But first, let me touch briefly on our broad sector view. The lodging story remains very strong with good results in the fourth quarter and for the full year 2012, and encouraging trends headed into 2013. Despite mixed broader economic trends, lodging RevPAR continued its strong momentum with 6.3% overall growth in 2012 with solid 3% demand growth. For 2013, we are encouraged by projected 5% increase in corporate profits, as well as improving trends in corporate investment, employment and consumer sentiment. The lodge industry is off to a strong start in 2013 with January RevPAR growth of 8.8%. We believe that 2013 will be another great year for the industry with RevPAR likely increasing 4% to 6%. The overall supply picture for the sector is also very positive. New hotel additions are projected to run at 40% of their historical average in 2013 and '14, and remain well below forecasted demand figures. Industry RevPAR growth will benefit from demand growth which we currently forecast to grow at a CAGR of 2.5% from 2013 to 2016. This meaningfully outpaces our projection of new hotel supply, which we estimate at a CAGR of 1.5% for the same period. With hotels currently trading at significant discounts to replacement cost, we believe this lodging cycle will be an extended one. We thought it would be helpful to discuss the actions that we have taken to transform our portfolio over the past few years, as well as the progress we are making on some recent acquisitions. As you know, since the recovery began in 2010, our execution has been focused on the following strategic objectives: first, improving portfolio quality; second, buying early in the cycle when the most growth is ahead; and third, diversifying brands by adding more Hilton and Westin product, and diversifying managers. Currently, 40% of our portfolio is independently managed and we expect to move to a 50:50 mix of branded and independent management. Ultimately, we believe pairing each hotel with the right operator, whether it's independent or branded, is the best formula for value creation. During the last 3 years, we completed over $1.5 billion in acquisitions and dispositions to fundamentally reposition the portfolio. We sold hotels in markets like Atlanta and Lexington, Kentucky and deployed capital in growth markets like San Francisco, Boston, San Diego, Charleston, Denver and New York City. Importantly, this transformation increased portfolio RevPAR by $16 and EBITDA margins by over 240 basis points. We are pleased with the high-quality portfolio of hotels that we have assembled. Based on our current stock price trading at a significant discount to NAV and what we estimate to be a 30%-plus discount to replacement cost, we don't expect to be active buyers in the near term. Our efforts in 2013 will be focused on mining the unique and exceptional value creation opportunities within our existing portfolio, primarily through the successful execution of our targeted capital investments. In addition, we will continue to explore dispositions of non-core hotels. We believe that this strategy positions us for significant future earnings growth which should translate into outperformance of our shares. While we're talking about the future, I want to report that construction is progressing well on the Times Square Hilton Garden Inn, which remains on schedule for completion in mid-2014. This 282-room hotel is at 42nd and Broadway, the heart of Times Square. Our cost of $450,000 per key is fixed and not subject to construction cost overruns. When completed, I believe that this will be the single best located select-service hotel in Manhattan and at a price per key that is well below current market value. Further, we are anticipating a 9% EBITDA yield the first full year of operations at this hotel. I'd like to now spend a few minutes on our most recent acquisitions. Generally, our acquisitions this cycle are performing as expected and we're happy with how we've increased our exposure to top markets, such as New York, Denver, Boston, Minneapolis and D.C. Most recently, we purchased the Hotel Rex San Francisco. This hotel is immediately accretive. It is a fee-simple, nonunion hotel in the heart of one of the best lodging markets in the country, managed by Joie de Vivre Hospitality, a leader in the non-branded boutique hotel segment. The hotel is performing very well with 20% RevPAR growth in 2012. Last summer, we acquired a portfolio of 4 hotels. Consistent with our strategy, these hotels were under-managed and underinvested in with good long-term upside. Let me review our investment thesis for each of these properties in that portfolio. The nonunion Westin Washington D.C., which is located in the heart of D.C. at the intersections of 14th and M Street is one of only 2 Westin-branded hotels in Washington D.C. We see tremendous upside in this asset from 2 main drivers: first, we believe we can drive meaningful RevPAR improvement with a targeted capital plan beginning late this fall; second, we don't believe that the prior sales efforts maximize the benefits from the Starwood system. We believe that we can introduce a better revenue management strategy. The hotel lost 5% market share during the fourth quarter from some short-term group loss and the impact of being pre-renovation, which we highlighted on our last earnings call. In total, the hotel is off 6 percentage points in market share since prior peak. We believe that we cannot only recapture lost market share but also drive the hotel to record levels of profitability with the right renovation scope. 2013 has started off well with the presidential inauguration leading to a RevPAR increase of 34% for January, which was in line with our expectations. The nonunion Westin San Diego is a well-located hotel near the Gaslamp District and within walking distance to the Convention Center. San Diego is one of our favorite markets because of its exceptional weather, desirable convention venue and strong amenity base. Our Westin San Diego is located across the street from the newly-opened $400 million Federal Courthouse, which we expect to generate incremental demand. The property started off strong in 2013, with January RevPAR up 64%. Another indicator of upside is that the hotel is currently 6 percentage points below prior-peak market share. We believe our hotel will be able to significantly bridge the market share gap after our capital investments. The Hilton Burlington is located in the heart of downtown Burlington, Vermont on Lake Champlain and proximate to the University of Vermont. The hotel has been a pleasant surprise and is outperforming expectations with impressive double-digit RevPAR growth in 2012. Lastly, the Hilton Boston enjoys a premier location in Boston and features 66 suites. We recently renamed the hotel, The Hilton Boston Downtown Faneuil Hall to reposition the marketing of this asset and highlight both its excellent business transient location, as well as its highly desirable leisure location near Faneuil Hall. Moreover, we have taken significant actions to drive upside from this property. In the fourth quarter, we brought in Davidson, a well-respected independent hotel management company, with a proven track record of improving revenues and enhancing margins at luxury upscale properties. We've also installed new leadership at the hotel during the fourth quarter, including a new GM, as well as new directors of sales, catering and rooms. During the transition, the hotel lost 11 percentage points of market share, which should provide additional revenue penetration opportunities for 2013 from the easy comp alone. As Davidson completes the operator transition and works with us to put in place revenue-maximizing strategies, we believe that we will recapture lost market share and expect to realize substantial upside. We feel good about the hotels' projected 2013 revenue growth, including the greater than 10% RevPAR growth in January. Our team remains very bullish on the Boston market. With that, I'll hand the call over to Sean, who will discuss our operating results, the status of our capital renovations and our outlook for 2013.