Longgen Zhang
Analyst · ROTH Capital. Go ahead
Okay, Gary, to answer your first question. The ASP, I think currently you see the polysilicon ASP, I think it go up very fast and as you can see that this week, our – I think a small order reached to even more than $20 per kg, we believe the month of June, I think the selling price also were higher. So that’s why we given, I think second quarter, the every ASP is around $19 to $20, and that should be compared our Q1 is $11.90 a bigger jump. And that will reflect our gross margin bottom line in second quarter. We’ve got a bigger improve. And the reason is because, for the second half of this year, the ASP what’s the trend basically the poly, it’s a very difficult to forecast, I think at the peak price, however, you see our wafer customers will continue to buy as they are operating cash flow remains positive. That’s what I say. You see the peak will go to until the wafer industry you see that averages the gross margin will go to breakeven. Right now, as you see that last week, the wafer price continued to go up. So that’s why it’s difficult for me to give you a forecast of polysilicon price. But I think the polysilicon prices will continue to go up in the second half of the year, because it didn’t have any additional polysilicon capacity – new capacity add in. And for the next year, the first half of next year, maybe around 1,000 tons new capacity come in. But if you look, the – I think the wafer capacity continue to expansion. I think by the end of this year, we’ll reach around I think a 450 – maybe 450 kilowatts on the wafer capacity. So we think, I cannot give you the ASP for the next year, but I think the first half next year should be around, I seeing more than RMB150 per kg. Then the second half of the year, because the new I think capacity come in. What I think I talked to you in the industry other people we think we should keep above – ASP above like RMB120 per kg. Second question about our stock market listing, we cannot guarantee the timetable. The reason is a lot of uncertainty in China kept the market, but we have updated our Xinjiang Daqo Q1 financial data and also the first half of this year estimates to Shanghai Stock Exchange last week. We think maybe this week will be released to public very soon, and we are waiting to start the registration process with CSRC. The registration process is expected to be completed within 20-week working days, after CSRC officially accepts our documents. So after completion, I think as the registration – completion of the registration with the CSRC, we can starting to listing processing that taken maybe around it one month. So basically, if everything goes smooth, I think we can be listing maybe early July. And for the valuation, it’s difficult for me to tell you the valuation, because the Chinese kept the market. They have a special I think the price determining the candidate. And we think from our side, we hope, the IPO, the shareholders can make money. But definitely, I think this year, the financial results plus net financial results can support our, I think, the future – after IPO, the future, the price maybe continue to go up. The third question about the cash flow, because I think if you look, this quarter, I think the earning cash right now and the cash currently even restricted cash almost $227 million in hand. And also we continue to, have some like a RMB400 million in our deposits long-term contract deposit will received by the rest of the year. And if you look our Q2 financial results, plus second half of the year financial results, the cash flow – operating cash flow, I think probably in, is very higher. So we very confident even without the STAR Market listing, we can, to support our 4B, continue expansion. So by today, our 4B, total investments is estimated around like RMB3.6 billion. I think we already paid RMB1 billion. So I think the CapEx for this year we were paid, I think 4B more than I think RMB3 billion we will pay this year, maybe only RMB600 million to RMB700 million will lead to next year 2022 to 2023. So basically, I think everything so far is very, I think – is very good business.