Longgen Zhang
Analyst · ROTH Capital. Please go ahead
Okay, Philip, I think it’s a good question. Basically, I think it’s a lot of information data you see flies. And if you look the new capacity, I think we are the first one I think 3B ramp up the production – for – production. Then other people most I think starting production like Tongwei, I’m not going specific, okay, they’re going to ramping up maybe on the Q2 of this year, then other maybe ramping up in Q3. So basically, first of all, it’s not all capacity will – fully expected to run in this year, but definitely I think for next year, yes, a lot of new capacity will come in. But total, add together, if you can see that I think even this year I think the good quality, the better quality and the lower cost maybe is around like 270,000 tons for this year. So basically, I’m not saying demand side, just say production side, I think the domestic high good quality products is not too much there. For example, I can say an example, in Q4, our monosilicon supply is around 61%. So, if you look our gross margin, our monosilicon price ASP is around like $10 and the multi is around $6.30 or whatever. Our ASP is around like renminbi is around like – US dollar maybe around like $9.50. So, we see in Q1, we will get more improved our gross margin, the reason because first of all, the monosilicon percentage will increase to around 77%, 78%, then we didn’t see the monosilicon price go down, because we think it’s already lower, right now $10, because a lot of people actually the cost is probably above that even the foreign producer. So then on the other side, yes, I think on the multi-silicon side, oversupply situation is coming, okay, we got the pressure and we still can because of quality today we’re still selling above $9 per kg. So, basically, from our side, we’re still very optimistic, the reason because we see the Chinese new policy is going to installation in more detail and in the second half of this year, we see the good picture there. Secondly, the global market is there and right now the downstream if you look at the module price right now, renminbi, the foreign currency maybe around like $0.25, $0.26 on the mono you see is very lower, actually grid-parity is there. So, basically, I’m not worried about that because basically, right now the ASP is already a lot of producer in China is consolidation. Even in foreign producer as they applies, we may be making gross margin 20%, our competitors right now I think is bleeding.