Shuky Sheffer
Analyst · Oppenheimer. Your line is now open
Thanks, Matt, and afternoon to everyone joining us today. This is my first earnings call as the new Chief Executive Officer of Amdocs and I would like to take this moment to thank Eli for his support and making this a smooth transition. I assumed the position of CEO October 1, and I'm very excited about the opportunity to lead Amdocs forward in fiscal 2019 and beyond. I'll talk more about the outlook for the coming year later in my remarks, but let me begin with a brief recap of our performance in Q4 and fiscal year 2018, both of which were solid and in line with our expectations. Q4 revenue was slightly above the midpoint of our guidance and includes our best quarter in more than a decade. Our operating profitability was stable and our sales momentum was healthy as we continued to meet significant new target in line with our fiscal goals. Regarding fiscal 2018, I am pleased to say that we achieved our total revenue growth target on the year, our performance include a revenue decline in AT&T of 15% as is last estimated, reevaluated spending priorities around Time Warner and the obvious requirements of core business. Nevertheless, we more than offset this headwind with the result of our strong progress with new and increasing customers in the broader North America, Europe and the rest of the world. Moreover, we grew total revenue for the year while maintaining consistent execution, closing several of our digital positions and meeting our commitments to return roughly 1% normalized free cash flow to shareholders. Altogether, we delivered full-year diluted non-GAAP earnings per share growth of 6.1% in fiscal 2018, in line with the midpoint of our guidance range of 4% to 8% as we [indiscernible]. Now, let me provide some color in regards to original business activity in Q4 and the market dynamics we expect to see in the coming year. Beginning in North America, sequential revenue performance reflected normal fluctuation in customer activity. During the quarter, we won several new deals, including a digital transformation award with U.S. Cellular which will support our five-year managed service agreement. We have also met important difficult milestones with [inaudible] relating to the launch of the new fiber to the home services under the multi-year modernization agreement we announced in September 2017. Regarding the outlook in North America, we continued to experience contracting business conditions between AT&T in the broader region. With AT&T, we remain confident in our ability to support its future digital requirements, yet it remains premature to assess the size and time of future awards. Our fiscal 2019 outlook, therefore, assume no significant shift in AT&T discretionary spending relative to the level of Q4; it will not reflect potentially noteworthy business opportunities which may come to fruition with Time Warner. By contrast, the outlook in broader North America remains relatively strong, as we lead with our position as the industry leading partner to support the continued digital transformation of the written communication strategy in media companies. To add to that, over the years, Amdocs has also tended to benefit from industry consolidation activity since we are the only vendor with the reach and proven track record for post-merger integration planning and execution. Along these lines, we are working hard to demonstrate the additional long-term value we can bring to T-Mobile for post-merger with Sprint. At the moment, we continue to support the core activities of both customers, but since the merger did not get the full, it remains difficult to predict the long-term business outcome to Amdocs. And we remind you that consolidation activity like this can create additional near-term uncertainty, which is not necessarily reflected in our outlook. To summarize North America, the long-term market fundamentals remain positive, but depression trends may continue to fluctuate in the foreseeable future before growth resumes in a steadier way. Moving to Europe, we delivered our best quarter in more than a decade to close a strong year of double-digit growth. During Q4, we made progress with new customers in key markets where we had traditionally been underrepresented. For instance, we won our first ever transformation award with TIM, the largest communication provider in Italy. This deal follows our greatest award with Vodafone Italy and Sky Italia and demonstrates the way in which competitive market dynamics often compel service providers to invest and modernize. Our broadening momentum was also strong in Q4 and included expansion of existing five-year service agreements as the leading service provider in Germany. In Switzerland, Sunrise Communication extended their collaboration with Amdocs to deliver best-in-class customer service, provide [inaudible] to design a digital journey for customer discretion in quality [inaudible] core business. Regarding the outlook in Europe, the weather is favorable as we are trying to multiply [convergence] [ph] are intensifying. That said, we expect our growth in Europe to moderate significantly in the coming year. Finally, due to timing of new awards, the nature of ramp down of existing projects and the macro political and foreign currency environment of the region. Turning to rest of the world, we closed the record year with a solid quarter that includes a new six-year deal to consolidate, modernize and manage the IT infrastructure of PLDT is Amdocs Intelligence Operation. This significant agreement with PLDT follow the seven-year $300 million massive transformation service agreement to be signed with the customer in January 2019 is a further proof of our ability to continuously grow the footprint in markets like the Philippines, we can leverage our existing local knowledge and sophisticated infrastructure. Our media offerings are also proving relevant to the rest of the world. In its Argentinian division, Turner Internacional recently selected Vindicia CashBox to power the subscription requirements of the new cloud gaming services Gloud. This important deal marks the first of its kind for Amdocs and demonstrates the value that we can bring to groups like Turner and WarnerMedia as they look to expand globally in the emerging e-gaming and e-sport markets. Looking forward to fiscal 2019, we believe our healthy backlog and the pipeline of opportunities support another year of growth in the rest of the world, primarily led by Southeast Asia and surrounding regions where activity remains stronger as compared to Latin America. To summarize my original comments, we are pleased with the result and the momentum in activity, the mix of which is very balanced across our various business lines, customers and geography. Moreover, we expect to continue growth ahead as we expand our co-leadership around the continued digital transformation of service providers and accelerate the monetization of new business lines which are now production proven and commercially ready. This primarily includes North America and pay-TV modernization, media and entertainment and network software and related services where we are positioned to capitalize on next-generation investments in NFV and 5G. With this in mind, let me know turn to our financial outlook for fiscal 2019 and our priorities for revenue growth, margin performance and capital allocation in real-time. First, we expect total revenue growth within the range of roughly 2% to 6% on the constant currency basis, the midpoint of which is an improvement of the pace of the foreign rate. The outlook is supported by the visibility of our record 12-month backlog and the stability of our revenue stream, approximately 75% of which is recurring in nature. Second, we expect non-GAAP operating margin to remain at the higher end of our future current target range of 16.5% to 17.5% in fiscal 2019 as we continue to focus on transformation, product delivery, automation, innovation and other investments necessary to sustainably accelerate our revenue growth for the long-term. Third, we remain committed to the proactive and disciplined allocation of capital. We have the capacity to return the majority of normalized free cash flow to shareholders in fiscal 2019, subject to factors such as M&A, financial markets and prevailing industry conditions. I am pleased to say this includes a proposed increase in the quarterly cash dividend for the sixth consecutive year, subject to shareholder approval in the annual general meeting in January 2019. Additionally, we retain the optionality to execute on M&A strategically for long-term goals, possibly utilizing debt where appropriate. Overall, we expect to deliver total shareholder returns in the mid-to-high single digits in fiscal 2019, including diluted non-GAAP earning per share growth in the range of 3% to 7% plus our dividend payment. In this final point, I would like to highlight that our next Analyst Investor Day, which will be held on December 11 in the NASDAQ MarketSite headquarters in New York City Midtown. We hope that you can join Tamar, myself and other members of our management team to hear more about the exciting dynamics we see across the global communication media industry, our strategies to sustain growth over the new three-year financial outlook. With that, I will turn the call over to Tamar.