Katie Peng
Analyst · JPMorgan
Thank you, Ryan. On Slide 12, I'd like to start by reinforcing why we believe AVLAYAH is setting a new bar for the treatment of MPS II. For the first time, a therapy is designed to reach the whole body, including the brain, and can normalize key disease biomarkers, both in the CNS and peripherally. These data continue to reinforce physician confidence and resonance with families, supporting the strong momentum we are seeing in the launch. Slide 12. Hunter syndrome represents one of the more prevalent mucopolysaccharidoses and affects a meaningful patient population within the rare disease community. The U.S. opportunity is highly concentrated, with most eligible patients already identified and receiving conventional IDS enzyme replacement therapy at a relatively small number of specialized treatment centers. These are pediatric patients with pre-symptomatic or symptomatic neurologic manifestations who have not progressed to advanced neurologic impairment. We estimate that there are approximately 2,000 patients worldwide in the addressable market, including approximately 500 prevalent patients with Hunter syndrome in the United States. Based on the FDA-approved indication, approximately 75% of the U.S. prevalent population, or roughly 375 patients, are currently eligible for AVLAYAH. In addition, about 30 children are born each year with Hunter syndrome, providing an ongoing opportunity to initiate treatment early. Our ongoing Phase III COMPASS study is an important next step in advancing AVLAYAH, with the goal of supporting full approval and expansion of the label to include adults. Ultimately, our goal is to reach all eligible patients worldwide. Slide 13. Our launch is being executed against four core strategies. First, partnering closely with the Hunter syndrome community through a high-touch, community-centered approach. In rare diseases, families often learn from and support one another. We believe that positive experience with both AVLAYAH and the Denali team helps build trust, increase awareness, and encourage additional families to seek treatment. Second, helping physicians evaluate AVLAYAH and supporting treatment centers as they prepare to initiate therapy. Strong clinical conviction is creating urgency amongst physicians to switch eligible patients and engage payers to accelerate access. Third, helping each patient and family navigate the steps from prescription through their first infusion. And fourth, driving fast label-aligned coverage decisions that help remove payer roadblocks. After our first full quarter of launch, what has been particularly encouraging is how these four strategies have reinforced one another. Strong clinical conviction has driven physician and patient demand. That demand has accelerated payer coverage, and together, these dynamics are enabling more patients to begin therapy. Slide 14. Beginning with physicians, we entered the launch with a strong foundation. Before approval, more than 80% of physicians surveyed were already aware of AVLAYAH. 90% viewed the biomarker and clinical data as motivating to prescribe. Since approval, we have reached approximately 80% of targeted healthcare organizations with AVLAYAH's launch information through our field engagements, scientific exchange, educational webinars, and treatment center support. These activities have been highly impactful and are driving strong engagement across a significant number of treating physicians. Physicians consistently tell us that the ability to address neurologic manifestations is highly meaningful and that most patients experience neurologic symptoms at some point during the course of their disease. That belief is translating into action, as many treatment centers with eligible patients are working with families to navigate reimbursement and transition patients to AVLAYAH. Slide 15. We have seen equally strong engagement from patients and caregivers. Through our launch webinars focused on clinical data and access, as well as with Denali Patient Services, we reached more than 100 families. That represents greater than one quarter of the eligible U.S. patients. This high level of engagement reflects both the unmet need in Hunter syndrome and the extent to which families have followed the development of AVLAYAH. We are also seeing families share their experiences through advocacy networks and local media, helping other members of the community learn about the availability of a new treatment option. Slide 16. One of the most powerful aspects of launch has been hearing directly from families and advocates about their experience with AVLAYAH and Denali. They have described the opportunity to begin AVLAYAH as a source of hope and, in some cases, as the possibility of gaining more meaningful time with their children. They are careful not to draw clinical conclusions from individual experiences. However, these stories illustrate how much the approval of AVLAYAH means to this community that has waited many years for a therapy designed to reach both the brain and the body. We are also hearing very positive feedback about the way the Denali team is supporting families and healthcare organizations. For many patients, initiating a new therapy involves coordinating physicians, infusion centers, insurers, specialty distributors, and patient services. Our team works closely with each family and treatment center to help them navigate those steps. The feedback from families and advocacy organizations has consistently highlighted the responsiveness, compassion, and partnership of the Denali team. That experience matters. It builds confidence in treatment, helps patients move through the access process, and supports continuity once treatment begins. Slide 17. Now turning to payer access. We have made exceptional progress during the first quarter of launch. Commercial policies covering more than 50% of lives have already been established. As with many rare diseases, a significant portion of MPS II patients is covered by Medicaid. Recognizing that not every state will publish a product-specific policy, 14 state Medicaid programs publicly listed AVLAYAH as covered. Separately, we are also seeing managed Medicaid policies align their coverage with commercial plans. These results compare favorably with early coverage achieved by analogous rare disease launches. Importantly, the absence of published policy does not mean a patient cannot obtain access. To date, physicians and families have successfully used prior authorizations, appeals, and medical exceptions while formal policies are being developed. The willingness of physicians to initiate these requests reflects their conviction in AVLAYAH, and our payer and patient access teams are working closely with them to move eligible patients towards treatment. Slide 18. We are extremely pleased with the trajectory of the U.S. launch. In our first full commercial quarter, we generated $3.6 million in net product revenue and secured commercial coverage for more than 50% of covered lives. Before discussing the outlook, I want to briefly address our approach to communicating launch dynamics and metrics. We understand that visibility is important to our investors, and we are committed to maintaining an open dialogue. There are many factors that influence the trajectory of AVLAYAH adoption, and every patient journey is unique, from the initial expression of interest through reimbursement approval and ultimately dosing. In addition, because AVLAYAH is weight-based, the number of vials used can vary meaningfully between a newly-diagnosed infant and a 16-year-old adolescent. For the first two quarters of launch, we therefore plan to provide guidance on expected net product revenue for the following quarter. We believe that this approach, together with the prior quarter's reported net product revenue, will provide the clearest view of the launch trajectory during this early period. Before launch, we described an adoption curve that would build over time. We expected the earliest patients to be highly engaged families who were waiting for AVLAYAH and were prepared to move quickly through the medical exceptions process. That initial demand has been stronger than we anticipated, reflecting both the high awareness of AVLAYAH and the significant unmet need in the Hunter syndrome community. While many patients have already started therapies, others continue to move through the reimbursement and treatment journey. As payer coverage expands and treatment centers gain experience with AVLAYAH, we expect the patient journey from prescription to infusion to become increasingly efficient, enabling more eligible patients to begin treatment. Given the pace of adoption, expanding access, and continued strong execution, we expect Q3 net product revenue to be in the range of $10 million to $12 million. Most importantly, families continue to tell us that AVLAYAH and the support they receive from the Denali team is making a meaningful difference in their lives. Slide 19. The AVLAYAH launch also has significance beyond a single product. It establishes the first commercial foundation for our enzyme transport vehicle franchise across lysosomal storage disorders. The ETV platform is designed to reach the whole body, including the brain, and it provides opportunities across Hunter syndrome, Sanfilippo syndrome, FTD-GRN, Pompe disease, Gaucher disease, and Hurler syndrome. The ERT market alone represents more than a $9 billion opportunity. Across these diseases, we expect to benefit from shared scientific expertise, established relationships with treatment centers and advocacy organizations, and commercial capabilities that could be leveraged across future launches. Each patient we support and each treatment center we activate strengthens the infrastructure that can serve the broader ETV franchise. AVLAYAH is therefore both an important medicine for the Hunter syndrome community and an early demonstration of our ability to discover, develop, manufacture, and commercialize innovative therapies efficiently and successfully. We are proud of the start while recognizing that this is still the beginning of the launch. Our priorities remain expanding access, supporting a positive treatment experience, reaching additional eligible patients, and preparing for international expansion. With that, I'll turn it back to you, Ryan, to discuss the broader pipeline.