Lee J. Schram
Analyst · CJS Securities
Thank you, Terry. I will continue my comments with an update on our overall focus, and then highlight progress in each of our 3 segments. I will also include throughout a perspective on what we hope to accomplish during the balance of 2014. Our primary focus in 2014 continues to be profitable revenue growth and increasing the mix of marketing solutions and other services revenues towards our goal of 40% by 2018. We have created more differentiated technology check offers through investments in automated flat packaging, digital printing, high security checks and online portals and dashboards. We also have significant growth opportunities in marketing solutions and other services. We will continue to assess potential small- to medium-sized acquisitions that complement our large customer bases with a focus on marketing solutions and other services. We have strengthened our channels in Small Business to include financial institutions, online, retail, wholesale, distributors, dealers and major accounts. Deluxe is now more capable of helping small businesses pursue their passion as a trusted provider of a growing suite of products and services that a small business needs to market and operate their business and helping small- to mid-sized financial institutions with customer acquisition, risk management and other value-add services offers. Here is an update on our 4 subcategories' framework for marketing solutions and other services. We ended the first quarter right in line with our expectations in revenue with mix in the 4 subcategories basically in line with our expectations. First, small business marketing is expected to represent approximately 40% in 2014 with expected growth in the mid-teens this year. We saw solid growth in the first quarter in the Web-to-print space as we cross-sold to our customer base and added new customers through distributors, dealers and major accounts. We also saw very strong double-digit growth in retail packaging solutions and expect this growth to continue as we improve our hot stamping e-commerce capability with an improved technology rollout in the second quarter. The second category, Web services, which includes logo and Web design, Web hosting, SEM, SEO, email marketing, social and payroll services, is expected to represent approximately 31% in 2014 with expected organic growth rates in the low double-digits. We saw solid rollouts in both wholesale, Web, telco and SEM, SEO major accounts in the first quarter and also solid growth from the prior year in cross-selling bundled presence packages to our retail base and added more new customers, resellers and partners. In mid-March, we released our new email marketing premium offer and are very encouraged with sign-ups and paying customers so far. We continued to reduce Web design and SEM campaign cycle times and churn rates remain low. We added payroll services customers and many customers added new features, such as time and attendance applications. This category is also one of our key focus areas for tuck-in acquisitions. We closed a very strong first quarter with approximately 785,000 Web hosting customers. And we expect to close 2014 with nearly 850,000 Web hosting customers or up 16% from 2013 as we expect migrations to continue to ramp through the balance of the year. The third category, fraud, security, risk management and operational services, is expected to represent approximately 19% in 2014 with expected growth rates in the low single-digits. We had a solid first quarter as we added programmed services for new community banks and fraud and security offers for small businesses and direct to our consumers. In April, we also released our Banker's Dashboard tablet solution, which we expect will help to secure new financial institution wins through the balance of the year. We also started to see initial orders from our VerifyValid e-check software. Finally, other financial institution services are expected to represent approximately 10% in 2014 with expected growth rates in the very strong double-digits. In the first quarter, we saw strong growth in new financial institution customers in targeting and campaign services and delivered on expected revenue from our latest acquisition, Destination Rewards. Starting in the second quarter, we will begin piloting our enhanced SwitchAgent 2.0 release. We expect marketing solutions and other services revenues to be approximately $400 million to $410 million in 2014, up from $343 million in 2013 with organic growth in the low-teens. If achieved, this performance would translate to a total revenue mix of around 25% of revenue and up from 22% in 2013 and 19% and 16% the previous 2 years. Here is an update on our brand awareness campaign. This week, we will finish our first wave of the year of an intense 6-week local market brand awareness campaign targeting the Raleigh, North Carolina and Columbus, Ohio markets through television, online digital and print media. We have seen very strong results in these 2 markets compared against other markets, where we did not complete brand awareness initiatives. For example, we have seen visitor traffic from these markets increase 424% in Ohio and 363% in North Carolina. And these states have moved from #8 and #13 in traffic to #1 and #3. We expect to complete additional waves later this year in other local markets at various spend levels. Our objective this year is to continue with our brand awareness campaign to targeted key audience small business segments but to test at various spend levels and media initiatives in different geographies over approximately 6-week burst. By doing this, we are able to continue our transformational messaging as well as gain a better understanding of how our customers react to different scenarios, allowing us to more effectively and optimally plan for 2015 and beyond. Now shifting to our segments. In Small Business Services in the quarter, as expected, we did not see any notable improvements as the economic climate for small businesses remained sluggish. We also saw an unexpected severe winter that we know from regional results and also feedback from our small business customers had some adverse impact on our results. We had strong performance, however, as revenue grew almost 9%. Checks were a little short of the high end of our expectations, driven by the impact the severe winter weather and a sluggish economy had on small business owners selling through to other businesses and consumers. Our results from targeted customer segmentation in the call centers improved. New customers from our financial institution, Deluxe Business Advantage Referral Program and our direct response campaigns remained strong. Visitor traffic, average order value and conversion rates increased. Our online, Safeguard distributor, dealer and major accounts channels grew revenue over the prior year. We also saw strong growth in Web, email marketing and Web-to-print services. Again, we ended the quarter with approximately 785,000 Web hosting customers. We continued to closely monitor the small business market. Optimism indices increased slightly to start the quarter in January but then fell off substantially in February and recovered in March, mostly reversing the February decline. But they were still collectively down for the quarter. Severe winter weather was cited for having an impact on slower consumer spending. Fewer small business owners expect sales to increase over the next 3 months and hiring plans fell slightly. They continued to spend more cautiously, more in maintenance mode and small businesses continued to scrutinize purchases and experience tight cash flow. In summary, current optimism indices remain sluggish and actually trended lower in the first quarter. The good news is that, other than taxes and regulation, increasing sales continues to be a small business owner's #1 pain point and our portfolio is significantly more robust now, with many offers to help them here. As the economy recovers, with the transformative changes we are making to deliver more services offerings to help small businesses get and keep customers, Deluxe is better positioned as that indispensable partner for growth. Our focus for 2014 is on accelerating our brand transformation and significantly improving overall market awareness while institutionalizing our brand promise for our customers, creating an effective end-to-end, integrated technology customer experience, effectively acquiring and retaining customers and optimizing sales channel effectiveness and channel marketing capabilities. In Financial Services, we saw the rate of decline of checks perform a little worse than we expected in the high 7% range, driven by weakness in both the Northeast and Southeast regions, both of which suffered severe winter weather and where we saw double-digit declines in, in-branch traffic in many financial institutions as well as we are coming off a difficult compare to the first quarter of 2013, when the decline rate was below 4%. We ended the quarter in March with a monthly decline rate closer to 6%. And so far in April, we are seeing an even better decline rate of less than 5%. And so we continue to expect the decline rate for the year will be about 6%. We implemented a price increase at the start of this year. We had strong overall new acquisition rates and our retention rates remain strong in deals pending in the quarter in excess of 90%. We simplified our processes and took complexity out of the business while reducing our cost and expense structure. We have now extended all our large contracts through at least the third quarter of 2015, including the extension of several for 7 to 8 years. We also continued to work a number of competitive RFPs. And we are pleased to announce that we have been selected and are finalizing contract terms for a new large financial institution that we expect to start late in the third quarter that is included in our outlook. We made progress again in the quarter in advancing non-check marketing solutions and other services revenue opportunities. We now have offers in the targeting and campaign services space through ACTON and Cornerstone to assist financial institutions with customer acquisition and retention; an account activation and anchoring offer in SwitchAgent; and now an account activation and retention rewards and loyalty offer in Destination Rewards. In the first quarter, we saw continued growth in new financial institutions in our ACTON and Cornerstone targeting and campaign services offers. For SwitchAgent, we worked closely with our financial institutions and have implemented product enhancements for pilot offers that will start this quarter that further our vision for the most simple and efficient account switching and anchoring experience for financial institution customers. Banker's Dashboard also continued to perform well in the first quarter, and we are introducing our tablet offer this quarter. Destination Rewards is off to a good start in the first quarter, including initiating implementations with several new large accounts that we expect will scale over the balance of 2014. As you can see, strong momentum continues to build and we expect strong double-digit growth in these marketing solutions and other services in 2014. In Direct Checks, revenue was higher than our expectations, driven by higher initial orders and reorders. We continue to look for opportunities to provide accessories and other check-related products and services to our consumers. We continue to work on a number of initiatives to create an integrated best-in-class direct-to-consumer check experience. We continue to see a ramp in revenue enhancement synergies through our call center scripting and up-sell capabilities as well as synergistic cost and expense reductions. Our Direct Checks expectations for the year are slightly better. Previously, we had guided to a decline of 10% to 11%. But we now believe the decline will be closer to 10%, driven by continued declines in consumer usage and a sluggish economy. We expect to reduce our manufacturing costs and SG&A in this segment and deliver operating margins of about 30% while generating strong operating cash flow. As we exit the first quarter on the heels of an outstanding quarterly performance and a continued sluggish economy, we have made tremendous progress in transforming Deluxe, but we still have many opportunities ahead of us in 2014. We believe we are well positioned in 2014 for our fifth consecutive year of revenue growth. Our broad -- our breadth of offers and financial discipline has enabled us to position ourselves for sustainable revenue growth while continuing to improve profitability and operating cash flow. Our technologies and sales channels are stronger. Our digital technology services offer is more mature, our infrastructure better and our management talent is deeper and aligned to grow revenue. We know it is critical for us to be able to grow revenue again in 2014 and improve the mix of our marketing solutions and other services revenue, and we are well positioned to make this happen. We have developed a strong platform for long-term growth with the objective of transforming Deluxe to more of a growth services provider from primarily a check printer, thereby changing our product mix and resulting stock price multiple. Now Tracy, we're going to open the line for questions.