Maria Oldham
Analyst · Neha Agarwala with HSBC
Thank you, Pedro. Good afternoon, everyone. As Pedro just mentioned, during this first quarter, we delivered strong TPV growth of 49% year-over-year and 4% quarter-over-quarter, reaching $5.3 billion. Record TPV was achieved despite Q1 being seasonally weak for our largest vertical, e-commerce and strong devaluations, most notably in Argentina. Focusing on revenue. During the quarter, we experienced 34% year-over-year growth, reaching $184 million. This growth was driven by continued strong performance in our most competitive markets; Brazil with revenues up 89% year-over-year and Mexico up 50% year-over-year. Alongside the growth in Brazil and Mexico, we saw 20% year-over-year increase in Other LatAm, including growth in Colombia, Costa Rica, Dominican Republic and Ecuador, coming from streaming, SaaS, on-demand delivery and ride-hailing verticals. Revenue growth was negatively impacted by Argentina, down 31% year-over-year. The annual Argentina comparison is a tough one. First of all, the official rate has devaluated more than 70%. Second, FX spreads have tightened, generating less FX revenues in our mix, combined with a higher proportion of local-to-local volume. Finally, Argentina also saw a decline in TPV, given that many of our merchants have pulled back from that market, given the macro instability over the last 12 months. Chile was also a drag on our year-on-year revenue growth, down 13%, primarily due to a customer churn at one of our financial service merchants. This is not that we have lost a merchant, but that one of our major financial service partners saw their volume in Chile decline significantly as they lost a key client in that market, negatively affecting our revenues. In Africa and Asia, the main contributors of revenue growth were Egypt, South Africa, Turkey and Philippines. Egypt growth was driven by; the general growth of our business there with TPV up 71% year-over-year, the wide spreads on FX rates between official and the market rates and our strong liquidity position for that market, given that we had a solid combination of cross-border pay-ins and pay-out flows during the quarter. South Africa revenue was driven by the expansion of 2 large e-commerce merchants into that market. One of these merchants grew volume significantly during 2023. The other one is a merchant that we onboarded at the end of 2023 and started processing volumes in South Africa in the first quarter of 2024, rapidly becoming the second largest merchant in their region. And finally, the biggest drag on year-on-year revenue growth was Nigeria, where revenues were down $20 million over the last year, mostly driven by; the tightening of the spreads between market and official rates after the Naira devaluation in February 2024, generating less FX fees and higher proportion of local to local volumes in Q1, 2024. Now let me give you a brief overview of the key drivers of quarter-over-quarter evolution of revenues. Compared to Q4 2023, revenues decreased by 2%. This sequential decline was mostly driven by seasonality, with Q4 being a very strong quarter for our e-commerce vertical. Additionally, we saw one of our largest merchants achieve a new level in our tiered pricing scheme and also renegotiated fees as their contract came up to a renewal. As Pedro mentioned, given that our merchant concentration still remains high, such a renegotiation directly impacts revenue growth. These 2 factors largely explain the 14% and 4% decrease in Brazil and Mexico revenues, respectively. In addition, we saw a decrease in revenues in Chile, driven by lower volumes from some of our merchants in the e-commerce vertical, due to seasonality. Those volumes were compensated by higher volumes from financial service payout flows, albeit at lower gross take rate compared to e-commerce volumes. The lower revenues in Brazil, Mexico and Chile were partially offset by Argentina, with revenues up 31% quarter-over-quarter, mainly explained by higher cross-border settlement. As we indicated in the last quarter, we believe that merchants will continue to gradually grow cross-border volumes as liquidity improves. Other LatAm also helped quarter-on-quarter revenue growth, increasing by 9%, driven by a reacceleration of growth in the ride-hailing and on-demand delivery verticals in Central America and Peru. Revenues increased 5% quarter-over-quarter in Africa and Asia. As mentioned earlier, in the year-on-year commentary, revenues in Egypt more than doubled quarter-over-quarter, driven by widening spread between the official and the market exchange rates in the first 2 months of the year. We also experienced solid quarter-over-quarter growth in South Africa, Indonesia, Turkey and the Philippines, with the same dynamics playing out as those described year-over-year. Revenues in Nigeria were strongly affected by the devaluation, down 74% sequentially, offsetting a large part of the gains in the other African Asia markets. In addition to the devaluation, revenues were negatively impacted by 35% sequential decline in TPV as our financial service vertical saw a material drop in volume after the devaluation with less FX trades occurring on our merchant's platforms. Now moving to gross profit. As you can see in Slides 8 and 9 from the accompanying earnings material from this quarter, we have included gross profit breakdown by region. Therefore, I would like to walk you through in some greater detail on the gross profit variation we experienced. During the quarter, we experienced 2% year-over-year growth to $63 million. In LatAm, gross profit was $49 million, decreasing 8% year-over-year. This result was significantly impacted by Argentina, with gross profit down 71% year-over-year. Given the lower FX revenue, as in the past, we benefited from the wide FX spreads. These, together with their lower share of cross-border volumes in Argentina, explains the contraction in gross profit margin from 89% a year ago to 37% in Q1, 2024. In Q1, 2023, Argentina corresponded to 29% of our gross profit; and in Q1, 2024, 8%. Excluding Argentina, gross profit in LatAm grew 24% year-over-year, driven primarily by strong performance in our most competitive markets, with Brazil up 63% and Mexico up 44% year-over-year. Gross profit margin in Brazil contracted 7 percentage points year-over-year, driven by; recent renegotiation explained by Pedro, growth of other Tier 0 merchants and higher share of payouts in local to local. Chile gross profit contracted 18% year-over-year, driven by lower volumes of cross border due to customer churn at one of our financial service merchants, as explained earlier. In Other LatAm, we saw gross profit slightly up year-on-year at 1%, mainly driven by Tier 0 merchant's growth. Looking to Africa and Asia region, gross profit grew 60% year-over-year, supported by strong growth in Egypt, with gross profit up 4x, driven by our merchants growth in the country. Similarly to Argentina, in Egypt, we benefited from the wide spreads and our liquidity position, having developed cross-border flows of pay-in and payouts. We observed year-on-year gross profit margin contraction in Egypt due to lower liquidity at our platform, driven by more accelerated growth of pay-in cross-border compared to pay-outs cross-border. The gross profit growth in Egypt was partially offset by Nigeria performance as discussed earlier. On a quarter-over-quarter comparison, gross profit contracted by 10%. In Latin America, gross profit fell only in Brazil and Chile. This was mainly driven by, first, the previously mentioned key merchant renegotiation. Second, e-commerce seasonality driving lower volumes in this higher net take rate vertical. Third, increased payout mix. In addition, in line with the revenue decrease, we saw an 18% decrease in gross profit in Chile. These negative variations were partially compensated by Mexico, Argentina and Other LatAm. In Mexico, although revenues dropped quarter-over-quarter, we saw gross profit growing 7%, driven by improvements in our cost structure as we gained scale and negotiation power vis-a-vis processors. In Argentina, with gross profit growing 30% in line with revenues. And in Other LatAm, with gross profit growing 16% quarter-over-quarter. In Asia and Africa, Egypt and Nigeria quarter-over-quarter variations in gross profit follow the same dynamics we observed in the year-over-year comparison. Nigeria declined by $1 million, while Egypt grew by $1 million. Although we acknowledge the quarterly gross profit results are disappointing, we do not see structural issue. On a year-over-year basis, the Q1 gross profit is of a greater quality and sustainability, with the mix of Argentina FX revenues having fallen significantly. Quarter-over-quarter, we have been impacted by merchant repricing, but we believe that over time, we will offset these pricing negotiations with increased global volume from these merchants. Now, let me hand over to Mark, to continue working our way down the P&L.