Earnings Labs

Diodes Incorporated (DIOD)

Q3 2019 Earnings Call· Mon, Nov 4, 2019

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good afternoon, and welcome to Diodes Incorporated Third Quarter 2019 Financial Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded today, Monday, November 4, 2019. I would now like to turn the call over to Leanne Sievers of Shelton Group Investor Relations. Leanne, please go ahead.

Leanne Sievers

Analyst

Good afternoon, and welcome to Diodes' Third Quarter 2019 Financial Results Conference Call. I'm Leanne Sievers, President of Shelton Group, Diodes' Investor Relations firm. Joining us today from Taiwan are Diodes' President and CEO, Dr. Keh-Shew Lu; Chief Financial Officer, Brett Whitmire; Vice President of Worldwide Sales & Marketing, Emily Yang; and Director of Investor Relations, Laura Mehrl. Before I turn the call over to Dr. Lu, I'd like to remind our listeners that the results announced today are preliminary as they are subject to the company finalizing the closing procedures and customary quarterly review by the company's independent registered public accounting firm. As such, these results are unaudited and subject to revision until the company files its Form 10-Q for the third quarter of 2019. In addition, management's prepared remarks contain forward-looking statements, which are subject to risks and uncertainties, and management may make additional forward-looking statements in response to your questions. Therefore, the company claims the protection of the safe harbor for forward-looking statements that is contained in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Actual results may differ from those discussed today and, therefore, we refer you to a more detailed discussion of the risks and uncertainties in the company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including forms 10-K and 10-Q. In addition, any projections as to the company's future performance represent management's estimates as of today, November 4, 2019. Diodes assumes no obligation to update these projections in the future as market conditions may or may not change, except to the extent required by applicable law. Additionally, the company's press release and management statements during this conference call will include discussions of certain measures and financial information in GAAP and non-GAAP terms. Included in the company's press release are definitions and reconciliations of GAAP to non-GAAP items, which provide additional details. Also, throughout the company's press release and management's statements during this conference call, we refer to net income attributable to common stockholders as GAAP net income. For those of you unable to listen to the entire call at this time, a recording will be available via webcast for 90 days in the Investor Relations section of the Diodes' website at www.diodes.com. And now, I'll now turn the call over to Diodes' President and CEO, Dr. Keh-Shew Lu. Dr. Lu, please go ahead.

Keh-Shew Lu

Analyst

Thank you, Leanne. Welcome, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. Diodes achieved another quarter of record financials, resulting in increased profitability and cash flow from operations. Our 9-month revenue grew 5.4% over the same period last year, while earnings increased over 30%. This growth is especially notable at a time during which our served market was down more than 6.5%. EBITDA also set a new quarterly record and represents the second consecutive quarter to exceed a $300 million annual run rate as it approaches 25% of total revenue. Further, gross margin remains above 37% of revenue as product mix continues to benefit from record revenue in the automotive end market, which remains at 10% of total revenue; as well as Pericom-branded IC products. I would also like to take this time to provide an update on our proposed acquisition of Lite-On Semiconductors. As recently announced, Lite-On Semiconductors shareholders approved the proposed acquisition at the special meeting of shareholders on October 25. Diodes has also made a necessary regular (sic) [ regulatory ] filings in U.S., Taiwan and China. In China especially, we are awaiting feedback from the government. And at this time, I'm not aware of any issues that would delay the closing at the expected date in April 2020. To conclude, I'm very pleased with our year-to-date performance as we carefully navigate the seasonal softness and the inventory adjustments that are typical of our industry as we approach year-end. Long-term, I believe Diodes remains well positioned to continue delivering consistent profitability growth with an ongoing focus on content games in high-growth areas such as connected cars, high-end servers and storage, 5G as well as IoT. With that, let me now turn the call over to Brett to discuss our third quarter financial results and our fourth quarter 2019 guidance in more detail.

Brett Whitmire

Analyst

Thanks, Dr. Lu, and good afternoon, everyone. As part of my financial review today, I will focus my comments on the sequential change for each of the line items and would refer you to our press release for a more detailed review of our results as well as the year-over-year comparisons. Revenue for the third quarter 2019 was a record $323.7 million compared to $322 million in the second quarter 2019. Gross profit for the third quarter remained a record $122 million or 37.7% of revenue compared to the prior quarter of $122 million or 37.9% of revenue. GAAP operating expenses for the third quarter 2019 were $73.3 million or 22.7% of revenue and $68.8 million or 21.3% of revenue on a non-GAAP basis, which excluded $4.5 million of amortization of acquisition-related intangible asset expenses. This compares with GAAP operating expenses in the second quarter 2019 of $73.5 million or 22.8% of revenue and $69 million or 21.4% of revenue on a non-GAAP basis. Total other income amounted to approximately $20,000 for the quarter, including $2.6 million of other income, $272,000 of interest income, largely offset by $2 million of interest expense and $822,000 of foreign currency losses. Income before taxes and noncontrolling interest in the third quarter 2019 was a record $48.7 million compared to $47.9 million in the previous quarter. Turning to income taxes. Our effective income tax rate for the third quarter was approximately 21.8%. GAAP net income for the third quarter of 2019 was a record $38.1 million or $0.73 per diluted share compared to net income of $36.3 million or $0.70 per diluted share in the second quarter 2019. The share count used to compute GAAP diluted EPS for the third quarter 2019 was 51.9 million shares. Non-GAAP adjusted net income in the third quarter…

Emily Yang

Analyst

Thank you, Brett, and good afternoon. Looking more closely at third quarter revenue, POS revenue was up driven by strong demand in Asia. Distributor inventory in terms of weeks was down in the quarter and within our normal range of 11 to 14 weeks, which is where we expect it to remain near term. Global sales for the third quarter: Asia represented 74% of revenue; Europe, 17%; and North America, 9%. In terms of our end markets, industrial was once again our largest representative end market at 28% of revenue; consumer, 24%; communication, 22%; computing, 16%; and automotive, 10% of revenue. Now let me review the end markets in greater details. Starting with our automotive market, revenue reached another record as we continue to gain increasing traction and content in this key focus area for Diodes. We also expanded our product portfolio by introducing exciting new products for multiple product lines, including MOSFET, crystals, LED drivers, TVS, Zener diodes, protection products, bipolar junction transistors, SBR and sensors. Diodes also recently released our XRQ family of crystal qualified to AEC-Q 200 Grade 1 requirements targeting auto applications that demand frequency accuracy under harsh environments. Additionally, Diodes' leading PCI Express 4.0 solution and USB Type-C solutions for signal muxing and signal integrity continued to see growth in emerging automotive applications like instrument cluster, infotainment and assisted driving information. In fact, PCI Express has become the interface of choice for the backbone transmission of engine control unit, ADAS, navigation, telematic and infotainment systems. Diodes is well positioned to address this need with a variety of products designed to support the PCI Express protocol. Diodes is the only supplier to offer PCI Express 4.0 Clock Generators and Clock Buffers with AECQ Grade 2 105 C ambient temperature support. Also in the automotive market, we…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Gary Mobley with Wells Fargo Securities.

Gary Mobley

Analyst

I want to start by asking about the gross margin assumption for the fourth quarter. With gross margin expected to decrease about 120 basis points quarter-over-quarter, curious to know how much of that is underutilization of manufacturing versus pricing on a like-for-like basis for products.

Keh-Shew Lu

Analyst

Well, Gary, majority actually is coming from underutilization. Right now, our model is 95% for AT, and we could probably go down another 5% for utilization of AT and probably 5% to 10% for wafer fab, okay? Our ASP actually is quite stable. If you remember, we're using the model as 1.5% down to 2% per quarter, ASP 1.5% to 2% down per quarter. That's our models. And we are looking at probably about the same kind of rate. And -- but basically the reason from an ASP point of view can be within a model is really for a commodity down more. But if I look at the automotive and Pericom IC, in third quarter, they all have their record of -- from automotive and from Pericom ICs and also the high GP products. So from -- we expect that kind of product area will continue. And therefore, commodity, yes, go down, but the higher GP products will go up. Therefore, we -- our ASPs within the model.

Gary Mobley

Analyst

Okay. As a follow-up question, I want to ask about seasonality for the first quarter. Typically, in the first calendar of any calendar and fiscal year, you see somewhere in the neighborhood of a 3% sequential revenue decline. Just given what you know today about timing of the Chinese New Year and maybe demand trends or whatnot, how should we call the seasonal trends in the first quarter relative to revenue? And then with respect to OpEx, one would think that you would show an increase in OpEx sequentially in the first quarter because of payroll taxes and whatnot. But in recent years, you've basically trended flat in the first quarter on a sequential basis. So how should we call the OpEx change as we look into Q1, Brett?

Keh-Shew Lu

Analyst

Okay, Gary. Again, from a seasonality point of view, our 1Q typically is 5%, okay? And so we will expect this year similar to that kind of drop, but we are not sure yet. But from the market point of view, for which we can see probably similar to that kind of drop, it's about 5%, okay? From the operational cost point of view, actually, it's going to be more coming from under royalty cost, okay? Now from the -- that's the GP. Okay? And from the service operational cost, service, yes, we have 2 cost up point. One is in July, which is more the -- for the direct up -- more for the indirect employee like our engineer and our managers, that typically is up in the July -- 1st of July. Then for the operator or operation point of the manufacturing, then it's in 1 January or right within the Chinese New Year, so it will be in 1Q. So yes, that one operation will be down, our operation cost would be up a bit slightly.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from Shawn Harrison with Longbow Research.

Shawn Harrison

Analyst · Longbow Research.

Congratulations on the strong results.

Keh-Shew Lu

Analyst · Longbow Research.

Thank you, Shawn.

Shawn Harrison

Analyst · Longbow Research.

If you look at the guidance in terms of the sequential change for the December quarter, are there any end-market verticals that you would anticipate to perform better or worse than the implied sequential decline?

Keh-Shew Lu

Analyst · Longbow Research.

Well, I still believe our Pericom IC and our automotive is still going to perform quite strong, okay? We target 10% this year. And so far, we continue in 10%, and we even have a record in the third quarter. So I still expect we will continue very strong. I don't see a reason or a trend to go weaker in automotive and Pericom IC.

Emily Yang

Analyst · Longbow Research.

Right. So let me just add a little bit more, right? So overall automotive market is definitely not growing, and it's actually quite slow. So majority of the growth coming from Diodes is really coming from the content expansion that we've been really focusing on. So again, overall market is definitely not growing, it's evidently not that positive. But overall, our result has been pretty positive, really driven by the focus we've been focusing on for the last few years.

Shawn Harrison

Analyst · Longbow Research.

And so I guess, the takeaway would be the other performing areas would be within your consumer electronics, communications and PCs, just seasonality plus maybe a little weaker market trends. I'm not trying to put words in your mouth, but...

Emily Yang

Analyst · Longbow Research.

Okay. Sorry, I assume you're talking about Q4 revenue guidance?

Shawn Harrison

Analyst · Longbow Research.

Correct. Correct. I was wondering it's -- what would be maybe the weaker end markets.

Emily Yang

Analyst · Longbow Research.

Right. So I think overall lower revenue guidance is mainly driven by more than usual our year-end inventory adjustment, especially in Europe and North America. But if you look at our overall business in 3Q, our POS is actually up, other channel inventory is down. We actually performed better than our served market, right? So even with our Q4 guidance, our whole year estimate would still grow about 2.8%, which is still much stronger than our peers, right? So I think overall, if you look at the business, we are very confident that we're actually in good shape.

Shawn Harrison

Analyst · Longbow Research.

Got you, very helpful. And then a follow-up, tax rate has continued to decline here, which is nice to see. If we look out over the next 12 to 18 months, how much further can that decline?

Brett Whitmire

Analyst · Longbow Research.

Well, I would expect to continue to see some improvement there. It's hard to say exactly what that is, but we're guiding into fourth quarter to continue that momentum down. And I would expect to continue to see momentum as we go into 2020. We've been working toward a model, and we haven't gotten full entitlement of that yet.

Shawn Harrison

Analyst · Longbow Research.

Okay. And then last, if I may, just is China a big regulatory approval here, that is the one that you need to see get cleared to get the deal closed in April? Or is there something else I'm missing?

Keh-Shew Lu

Analyst · Longbow Research.

China antitrust is the key item for us to be able to consolidate LSC, okay? We don't see they are going to turn it down. It might just be the timing, okay? We believe they'll approve it. That just may not be the time we expect. So that is the key.

Brett Whitmire

Analyst · Longbow Research.

Yes, that's what we understand from the attorneys that are handling this for us. We basically addressed everything that's been asked. We provided all the information. It's just a matter of timing, working through their process, and we're just trying to keep everybody updated on that.

Keh-Shew Lu

Analyst · Longbow Research.

And we apply per the requirement. So just -- we do take all the action applied per order -- government requirement.

Brett Whitmire

Analyst · Longbow Research.

That's right.

Operator

Operator

I'm not showing any further questions at this time. I would now like to turn the call back over to Dr. Keh-Shew Lu for any further remarks.

Keh-Shew Lu

Analyst

Thank you for your participation on today's call. Operator, you may now disconnect.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.