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DHI Group, Inc. (DHX)

Q2 2008 Earnings Call· Sun, Jul 27, 2008

$2.58

+0.19%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the second quarter 2008 Dice Holdings Incorporated earnings conference call. My name is Frances, and I will be your coordinator for today. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. We will be facilitating a question-and-answer session towards the end of this conference. (Operator instructions) As a reminder, this conference is being recorded for replay purposes. I would now like to turn the presentation over to your host for today's call, Jennifer Bewley, Director of Investor Relations. Please proceed.

Jennifer Bewley

Management

Thanks, Frances, and good morning, everyone. With me on the call today is Scot Melland, Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer of Dice Holdings, along with Mike Durney, Senior Vice President, Finance and Chief Financial Officer. Please note this morning we issued a press release describing the company's results for the second quarter of 2008. A copy of that release can be viewed on the company's website at diceholdingsinc.com. Before we begin, I'd like to note that today's call includes certain forward-looking statements, particularly statements regarding future financial and operating results of the company and its businesses. These statements are based on management's current expectations and beliefs, and are subject to uncertainty and changes in circumstances. Actual results may vary materially from those expressed or implied by the statements herein due to changes in economic, business, competitive, technological, and/or regulatory factors. The principal risks that could cause our results to differ materially from our current expectations are detailed in the company's SEC filings, including our Annual Report on Form 10-K in the sections entitled ‘Risk Factors,’ ‘Forward-Looking Statement,’ and ‘Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Conditions and Results of Operations.’ The company is under no obligation to update any forward-looking statements except as required by federal securities laws. Today's call also includes certain non-GAAP financial measures, including adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA margin, and free cash flow. For details on these measures, including why we use them, and reconciliations to the most comparable GAAP measures, please refer to our earnings release and our Form 8-K that has been furnished to the SEC, both of which are available on our website. With that out of the way, I'll turn it over to Scot.

Scot Melland

Management

Thank you, Jennifer. First, let me welcome all of you to the Dice Holdings second quarter 2008 conference call. I'll start today by discussing our second quarter performance, including our perspective on the current market conditions here in the U.S. and elsewhere, and how they are impacting our business. I will also share with you some of the details around our new website launches. Then I'll hand it over to Mike Durney, our CFO, to take you through our financial performance in greater detail and our guidance going forward. After Mike, I'll make a few closing remarks, and then we'll open up the call for questions. Now, let me say a few words about the second quarter. Overall, we turned in solid performance despite market conditions that continued to soften in the U.S. and the U.K. Worldwide, our revenues increased 15% year-over-year on a comparable basis, profitability remained strong with adjusted EBITDA margins of 42%, and we generated more than $12 million of free cash flow during the quarter. In the U.S., DCS Online, our largest business segment, comprised of Dice.com and ClearanceJobs, grew 9% year-over-year, driven by growth in both the number of recruitment package customers and revenue per customer. Looking at the U.S. in more detail, not much has changed from the trends we noted in the first quarter. In general, recruiting activity at direct hiring companies, both large and small, has slowed with the slowing economy. Given the uncertainty in the economy, many of these companies don't feel the urgency to fill positions today or to make longer term commitments on renewals or new business. On the recruiting, staffing, and consulting side of our business, many of which have sizeable tech sector operations, the larger staffing and consulting firms are holding up well, with softness more prevalent…

Mike Durney

Management

Thanks, Scot, and thanks to everyone for joining us on the call this morning. I'll give you an overview of our second quarter financial performance and then update you on our view of estimated financial performance for the balance of '08. In the quarter, on a GAAP basis, consolidated revenues grew 17% to $40.3 million, led by gains at both eFinancialCareers and at Dice. Operating income grew 31% to $10.2 million in the second quarter, due to the revenue increase and in part due to lower amortization expense in 2008. We continued to make investments during the quarter with year-over-year increases in customer support related to improved infrastructure, security, and compliance, in product development related to some of the new initiatives that Scot referred to, and in G&A, which is mostly a result of public company costs, which we didn't have in the second quarter of 2007. In addition, we increased our investment in sales and marketing by 15% with $2.1 million over the second quarter of 2007 and by approximately $1 million over the first quarter of this year. Of the marketing portion of sales and marketing lines, 75% of our spend is geared towards job seekers, and you can tell by the metrics that Scot laid out, we are continuing to attract seekers, highly qualified tech and financial services professionals to engage with the sites. As for customers, we continue to work on the opportunities that we laid out to you recently at the Investor Field Trip for both Dice and eFinancialCareers. We are continuing to invest in programs that are both direct marketing related, causing immediate high-value actions, like applying for a job or posting a resume, as well as branding related, which is a long-term investment, such as the Dilbert online and offline campaigns or radio…

Scot Melland

Management

Thank you, Mike. Let me wrap up our formal presentation with a few closing thoughts here. In the first half of 2008 our revenues grew 21%, with 42% EBITDA margins, and free cash flow generation of nearly $35 million. That's solid performance I think in any environment, which we believe demonstrates the power of our specialty focus and the business model that we have. In the first half of this year we also invested in our products and communities, laying the foundation for future growth in our business. And as Mike mentioned, as we look forward to the second half of 2008, we are not expecting any improvement in the overall market conditions, but we do expect to execute well on the opportunities that we have. I'd like to thank all of our employees for their ongoing hard work and dedication. Thank you for listening. And now let's open up the call for questions.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. (Operator instructions) Your first question comes from the line of Youssef Squali with Jefferies. Please proceed. Youssef Squali – Jefferies & Co.: Thank you very much. Good morning. A couple questions, first, can you speak to the sales cycle? How long is it today versus, say, a year ago? And second, is there or do you believe there to be any price sensitivity at Dice? The argument here is potentially as employers are going through tough times maybe they'll be more willing to maintain the service if they are able to, maybe, have a discount on the -- have you run any kind of sensitivity analysis around that?

Scot Melland

Management

Well, I guess maybe I'll talk about the price sensitivity first and then go back to the sales cycle. So, have we run any analysis on price sensitivity? We test different promotional programs from time to time, so we think we've got -- we have a pretty good feel for whatever price sensitivity is there. I think though what we should keep in mind is that from a -- if you take a step back, our service is actually quite a valuable service and so in a market where essentially the issue with customers today is really needs based, we could do something on pricing, but it's really not going to have a huge impact because the value is already there. So we can't really change whether they have an immediate need for the service or not, and so if they have the need, we definitely justify the pricing. We justify it with the value of the service. So our strategy, overall, has not been to deeply discount the service to generate additional volume in the service, if you will. Going back to your sales cycle question, comparing sales cycle today versus 12 months ago, it's definitely longer. Definitely longer. I think we've mentioned this from time to time, both on renewals and on new business. What's happening is many of the customers are sitting back, and they have the budgets. They have the hiring plans and many of them have reqs [ph] that are outstanding in the marketplace that they are trying to fill, but they really lack the urgency, and oftentimes in the organizations word comes down from on top that they want to be very careful about expenditures, and so as a result, they are taking much more time evaluating programs that they might buy and then evaluating competitors. And the result is that the sales cycle has lengthened. I mean, we see deals for new business today that historically may have taken a few weeks that are now taking two to three times that. We are seeing renewals where the sales cycles might take a week or two are now taking two to three times that. And so that's part of the reason for the impact on the customer count and on the renewals. Youssef Squali – Jefferies & Co.: And if I may, just one last question, maybe for Mike. If I look at your guidance, it basically implies that the net revenue growth by the end of the year or in Q4 is flat or maybe even slightly negative. As you look at the cost side of the equation, how quickly can you pull back on some of these costs? Can you just rank for us the different areas where you see the most ability to cut costs quickly versus where you have fixed costs that are more difficult to cut?

Mike Durney

Management

Sure. So the premise, Youssef, on Q4 is correct in -- within the middle of that range. It would be flat -- roughly flat year-over-year. We certainly have the ability to make adjustments in cost structure. We can defer, delay certain investments we make whether it's CapEx or operating expense. We've always had that ability, and I think we've said before that the place where we have the most stability is in marketing, in sales and marketing line, marketing specifically. A lot of the marketing investments are near term. We have no long-term commitments for marketing spend, so in some cases we can turn it up or turn it down in weeks or a month, sometimes longer but not very often. In the other areas there's certainly the ability to make the adjustments. The real thing we evaluate, obviously, is what's the impact on the business going forward because we firmly believe that we have opportunity even in a market like this to continue to invest, to be on the positive side when it changes. Youssef Squali – Jefferies & Co.: Great. Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of John Janedis with Wachovia. Please proceed. John Janedis – Wachovia Capital Markets: Hi. Thank you for taking my call. Couple of questions, first, Mike, where do you see the renewal rates stabilizing, and is the average monthly revenue that you are getting in line with your expectations?

Mike Durney

Management

In terms of the renewal rate I mean I think if you look at historical usage in the build of the annual contracts over time, I don't see it going down a whole lot more. That's not to say it wouldn't be slightly lower in a period. If it got dramatically worse, presumably the rate would go down, so I don't mean to say there is a floor, but if the environment is as we see it today, it's in the range that it is now, maybe slightly lower in certain periods of time. In terms of revenue per customer, the answer is yes. It's exactly in the range that we thought it would be. If you look at the mix of business what I said earlier in terms of upgrades of level of service, the revenue per customer at $853 per recruitment package customer per month is a reflection of some of our bigger contracts. And then the base new customers, on average, although not always, on average tend to be at the baseline. So at $6,500 or so, it's going to bring the average down. That is what we expected, and the level of upticks has subsided, and the rate at which they uptick when they do is certainly at a lower percentage than it was. So all that means it is in the range that we thought it would be. John Janedis – Wachovia Capital Markets: On a related note, do you think you are losing share to competitors who may be more promotional in the downturn?

Scot Melland

Management

No.

Mike Durney

Management

No. John Janedis – Wachovia Capital Markets: No. Okay. And then one other quick question. I think the second half guidance at eFC implies revenue growth somewhere maybe in the double digits, maybe low to mid teens or mid teens, and I think postings to the eFC seem to have weakened and maybe turned negative in some cases. So I am wondering if that's a leading indicator of revenue there, so I am hoping to maybe get some detail for maybe the top four or five countries.

Scot Melland

Management

Well, I think if you look at job postings overall, for eFC or for Dice or for other services, they are really not a perfect predictor of revenue for many reasons you know customers buy slots, some buy slots, some buy classified postings, so they are moving postings in and out on a regular basis. Many customers buy database access, and so that's a huge generator of revenue that's really not accounted for in the behavior of job postings. And so -- and then of course you got the issue of sort of measuring postings at a certain point in time rather than looking at it over wider periods of time. So it's really not a great predictor of revenue in the business. I think if you look at what's going on in eFC today, there's definitely, as we mentioned, softness in the U.K. that we are experiencing. Even though that business continues to grow there is softness there, and I think we are trying to recognize that and deal with that. Outside of the U.K., the business sentiment has been good. And certainly in Asia and the Middle East has been very strong. So I would be careful about reading too much into the postings themselves. John Janedis – Wachovia Capital Markets: Okay. So, thanks. Does that mean then, Mike or Scot, on the U.K. side, does the guidance for the second half imply the U.K. remains growing or positive?

Mike Durney

Management

We are not going to talk about guidance specifically, but if it does grow, it's not very much. John Janedis – Wachovia Capital Markets: Okay.

Scot Melland

Management

I think the other to remember is when we compare postings, I mean there's a variety of things that go into why somebody puts a job up, and there's a variety of things that go into the way we sell. So if you are going back a year and looking at some of the less mature -- not necessarily newer, but less mature markets, we may have seeded [ph] some of the growth with arrangements with existing customers that are already customers in other markets. The yield per job goes up dramatically when we move from the introductory arrangement to another arrangement. And so I -- certainly we should not give anybody an impression that if postings don't continue to stabilize or grow, that over a long period of time revenue will grow. We shouldn't give anybody the impression those don't work. We retain them over time. If you are looking at last year versus this year or last quarter versus this quarter, there are a number of factors that go into what gets posted and the revenue we generate. I mean, just by way of example, you are talking about eFinancialCareers, but if you look at Dice, if you compare Dice today to Dice two years ago, the revenue we generate per job, which is purely the average of revenues divided by the average number of jobs, is up about 40% in a two-year period. And certainly the rate has not increased 40%, but people use the site differently. They use – we are pushing people to use the database more. That's certainly the same case in eFC. So there are a number of factors that go into revenue that are not posting related. John Janedis – Wachovia Capital Markets: Okay. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line Doug Anmuth with Lehman Brothers. Please proceed. Doug Anmuth – Lehman Brothers: Thanks for taking my questions. First one is I was hoping you could comment on the current pricing environment and just sort of give us more of an update on what the competitive landscape looks like. And then, secondly, I think you also said that the large recruitment firms and staffing firms are actually holding up better. Can you comment on why you think this is happening and what the outlook is for that part of the business going forward? Thank you.

Scot Melland

Management

Sure. Sure. First, on the pricing environment I think the best way to characterize it is that it's still very promotional out there. Youssef asked the question earlier about price sensitivity and what's going on, and we do some promotions, but basically we haven't really changed our promotional mix, I guess you would call it, in the last couple of years. In general, the market today is more aggressive on pricing than it was six and 12 months ago, and that's something that we are dealing with on a competitive basis, overall. As far as large recruiting and staffing firms, you know what's really interesting is that when we look at our large recruiting, staffing, and consulting firms, we tend to look at them as kind of a group. Many of those have very large tech industry businesses, and so, as you know, the tech sector has been performing fairly well in this overall economy, both in U.S. and outside the U.S. And so I think what's probably going on is two things. One is that the tech sector in general is performing well, and those companies that are serving that sector on a consulting and staffing basis are benefiting from that, and then the second is that when you have times like these where direct hiring companies or regular corporations may be reconsidering their recruiting plans, oftentimes, they will hire temporary or staffing type workers to complete projects or to fill projects on a more -- on a less risk basis. And so I think that's also having an impact on the staffing company businesses. What can we expect to see going forward with those customers? I think they are probably looking at the same uncertainty that many others are, but they – they are faring well. And that -- as a result, our business with them is doing well. Doug Anmuth – Lehman Brothers: Okay. Great. Thank you, guys.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Collis Boyce with Morgan Stanley. Please proceed. Collis Boyce – Morgan Stanley: Hi, guys, thanks for taking my question. Real quick, I was just wondering, you guys spoke again about Premium Post, and I didn't know if you could give us any type of metrics around kind of how the launch has been. And also, if you could comment on kind of out of the customers that are using the service, how many of those are new to Dice versus how many have previously used it in the past? And then I have one quick follow-up.

Scot Melland

Management

Sure. And I guess we've highlighted Premium Post at our Investor Day, and we are also highlighting it again today, and I think the reason why we are doing that is really not because of the size of the revenue generation that it’s producing today. It's more that this is a new service that's been created and targeted directly at essentially small direct hiring companies. And historically, if you go back a couple of conference calls, we talked about how the growth opportunity for Dice, in particular, really sat -- a great deal of it sat in the direct hiring company segment with small direct hiring companies. So this is a product targeted directly at that segment. So it is small today. It was only launched a few months ago. It's – we are still counting it in the thousands of dollars -- I mean, millions of dollars. That gives you a sense as to where it is. We are – I am sorry, the second half of your question again? Collis Boyce – Morgan Stanley: Well, actually, I was just -- is there any way to give any color on kind of -- are you guys using this as something to attract new customers, something to up sell current customers, or kind of a combination?

Scot Melland

Management

It has really been targeted at new customers, so going after that smaller direct hiring company segment. And it is producing new customers. It's also being sold -- there are some existing customers that like the benefits of it, and so they are picking it up as well. But the real focus of that product is at that small direct hiring company segment. Collis Boyce – Morgan Stanley: Okay. And then, as I look at guidance, and I am looking at the income from operations, how much of the increase for the calendar 2008 -- how much of that increase is due to just the one-time items versus kind of just increased expectations?

Mike Durney

Management

The income from operations level it's a combination of the one-time items and -- below EBITDA, so EBITDA hasn't changed, so interest expense is expected to be slightly less. There's a handful of other things that we now expect to be slightly less. It comes from a combination of interest rate swap benefit in Q2 and some other minor adjustments. Collis Boyce – Morgan Stanley: Okay. And then just the last question kind of more high level. Is there any way to give us a timeframe of when you guys expect a turnaround in the business, when you think people might be coming back to the hiring?

Scot Melland

Management

Well, there's still a lot of hiring going on today, but to get at the meat of your question, we actually -- I mean, I wouldn't be probably the best person to try to predict the -- what's going on with the economy, but we did a survey of about 1100 direct hiring companies, as well as staffing firms, many of which who were not our customers. It was a broad based survey that we did a few months ago. And we asked them the question of what their hiring plans were and when they expected to turn up the juice in their recruiting activity. And the consensus that came back from that survey, which is public, by the way, you can take a look at it. The consensus from that survey was that we are really talking about 2009, and it's likely to be the midpoint of 2009. Collis Boyce – Morgan Stanley: Okay. Thank you, guys, very much.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Imran Khan with JP Morgan. Please proceed. Imran Khan – JP Morgan: Yes. Hi. Good morning, Scot and Mike. A couple of questions, Scot. In the past you talked about expanding categories. So with the market being depressed, are you seeing opportunities to potentially expand the business through acquisition? What kind of opportunities you are seeing in terms of the private market valuation? And secondly, I think in the call you talked weakness among small recruiters. Could you give us some sense what percentage of your revenue comes from small recruiters? Thank you.

Scot Melland

Management

Sure. In terms of expanding categories, we definitely see opportunity there. We are -- as Mike mentioned, we are seeing more opportunities this year than last year, and we have those discussions that are ongoing. And if the right thing happens at the right valuation, then I think you can expect us to act on it. And we have -- I guess a comment about valuations. We still see that valuations -- private market valuations are still, I would say, in general, lagging public market valuations. And that's why -- probably one of the reasons why you haven't seen us do something so far. On the weakness attributable to small recruiters, yeah, what -- we are seeing more weakness in the small recruiter segment on the margin versus sort of other customer segments. And if you look at our customer base, generally the way we divide up our customer base is that a little bit more than 50% of our customers are direct hiring companies of all sizes, and a little bit less than 50% are staffing, recruiting, and consulting firms of all sizes. So less than 50%, and if you were to take out of that the large staffing and consulting firms that we all know and love, you probably get a sense that a good percentage of our business is sitting with small recruiters. Imran Khan – JP Morgan: Great. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

(Operator instructions) Your next question is from the line of Tobey Sommer with SunTrust. Please proceed. Tobey Sommer – SunTrust Robinson Humphrey: Thanks. Two questions. Just a follow-up on the most recent one, and that is what kind of trajectory of growth were you achieving with the large staffing companies, particularly within the U.S.? Thanks.

Mike Durney

Management

I am sorry, Tobey, year-over-year growth? Tobey Sommer – SunTrust Robinson Humphrey: Year over year and/or sequential. Just kind of wanted to get a sense for the large staffing component kind of what trajectory of growth you are seeing there.

Mike Durney

Management

Okay -- confusing the category with what's happening with our customers. The increase in revenue from that group, the larger ones, is in the low-single digits. So there is – they are either flat or up slightly on a case-by-case basis. So it's not significant growth. Tobey Sommer – SunTrust Robinson Humphrey: Okay, thanks. That's helpful. And then, regarding eFinancialCareers in London and, kind of, in the U.K, what sort of sequential change did you have? And then, just to make sure I have my notes correct, is it -- did you achieve 24% year-over-year growth in the U.K.?

Mike Durney

Management

Yes. The U.K. piece of the business is up 24% year-over-year. Tobey Sommer – SunTrust Robinson Humphrey: And how would that shake out sequentially?

Mike Durney

Management

It is roughly flat. Tobey Sommer – SunTrust Robinson Humphrey: Okay.

Scot Melland

Management

Within a percent -- it's within a percent or two of flat. Tobey Sommer – SunTrust Robinson Humphrey: And was there any noteworthy change over the last several months or kind of within the quarter?

Mike Durney

Management

We haven't seen any significant change during most of this year, and it's pretty much the same as what we said in April and then again in June. We have -- we are certainly continuing to book new business. We have slight downticks, occasionally, in levels of services from customers. I think given the perception and the reality, I guess, of what's going on in the U.K. and London market, specifically, our business continues to perform well, because people continue to see the value of the service, and that doesn't change. Tobey Sommer – SunTrust Robinson Humphrey: And maybe I'll ask you another follow-on question. Do you get the sense that you -- because of the value you are offering, you are gaining share within that London market, within capital markets and other financial services firms? Or is it your sense that the market itself may be relatively stable on a sequential basis?

Scot Melland

Management

Well, I think we are definitely -- it's difficult to measure share because our -- the competitive set for eFC is pretty thin in that eFC – our eFinancialCareers, the service tends to replace executive recruiting. So it's kind of difficult to measure that share, but we are definitely maintaining and/or growing our share of budgets and probably growing our share of budgets within the customers that we have at eFC because of the cost effectiveness of that service. We are truly the low cost provider of candidate flow for these companies. Maybe a little bit more color on the U.K.. The weakness that we are seeing in the U.K. is largely being felt amongst what we call direct hiring companies, which translates into the banking -- the banks themselves. And so we are really talking about it being felt there. And if I can just go back to Imran's question about small recruiters, because I want to make sure that we don't -- that we sort of get this one right, and that is that small recruiters definitely are a large part of the customer base for Dice. The weakness that we are seeing is truly on the margin. And so I don't want people to feel like there is a huge shift of behavior going on out there. It's truly on the margin. Tobey Sommer – SunTrust Robinson Humphrey: Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

And there are no other questions in the queue at this time. I would like to turn the call back over to Jennifer Bewley for closing remarks.

Jennifer Bewley

Management

Thank you for your time this morning and interest in Dice Holdings. Management will be available to answer any follow-up questions you may have. Please call Investor Relations at 212-448-4181 to be placed in the queue. Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Thank you all for your participation in today's conference. This concludes the presentation. You may now disconnect and have a good day.