Trygve Munthe
Analyst · Evercore. Please go ahead
Thank you, Laila. At DHT, we do not make excuses, but we do think our spot earnings for the fourth quarter and the first quarter to date deserve some explanations and color. As you know, IFRS 15 has limited our ability to recognize revenue when the ships are imbalanced. And it so happens that we, in the fourth quarter, had an unusually large IFRS adjustment to the tune of $9.4 million. Without going into the details, we think you should note the main point, which is that on a discharge-to-discharge basis, which we believe by the way is how most of our peers report, our spot ships earned $63,900 per day in the fourth quarter. When it comes to our first quarter to date's spot bookings, we have frankly been a bit unfortunate with are scheduling. Over the past two months, we have had a number of ships tied up in congestion in Chinese ports. This affected our numbers negatively in two ways: firstly, because these ships were only earning yesterday's demurrage rates when the prevailing market was much higher; and secondly, because the ships missed the opportunity to get fixed when the market was at its strongest. By the time the ships finally came free of the Chinese delays, the spot market had already started receding. Frustrating indeed, but this is how the cookie crumbles for us this time around. On the cost side of the income statement, we'd like to highlight that the company continues to demonstrate good cost control and deliver competitive numbers. For the full year, operating expenses for the ships came in at $7,900 per day, and G&A for the year totaled $14.8 million, both of which we believe compares favorably with a peer group. As far as capital allocation goes, we'd like you to note the following four factors. One, we reduced debt by $97 million in the quarter, $17 million as ordinary payments, $47 million as net pre payments, and $33 million conversion and cash redemption of convertible notes. Two, following a significant build up in working capital in the fourth quarter, cash flow is currently strong as the ships perform the voyages fixed in high market. Three, the company will pay $47 million in dividends on the 25 of February. Four, you should expect further debt pre-payments in the current quarter. We now want to update you on our scrubber program and scrubber economics in general. So, let's start with the different TCEs obtainable in today's market, depending on what type of ship you have, and whether or not it is equipped with a scrubber. From the matrix on Slide 8, you see the rate of different TCE returns based on the same roll scale rates. Whilst the non-eco, non-scrubber ship will make about $16,500 a day in the current market, a scrubber fitted eco ship will make more than twice that, namely about $35,400 per day. You can also see that the scrubber premium base and current bunker prices are about $13,700 a day for non-eco ships and $9,400 per day for eco ships. It is lower for the eco ships because of lower consumption, of course. The eco premium is about $9,500 a day for non-scrubber ship, while it drops to $5,200 a day for scrubber fitted ships. The value of the fuel efficiency is lower for the scrubber fitted ships because HFO is cheaper than compliant fuel. And in this context, you may want to note that the composition of our 23 spot ships is such that we would average about $25,600 per day under these world scale and bunker price assumptions. That is about $9,100 a day above a non-scrubber non-eco ship, which typically the type of ship used in the many daily welcome reports. Let us now give you an update on DHT's scrubber situation. From the table on Slide 9, you will see that we currently have 12 ships with scrubbers. As you will recall from our last earnings call, we elected to postpone six retrofits in view of the dramatic increase in freight rates that we witnessed in the fourth quarter. The plan is to do these retrofits this year. From a market perspective, one would think that now would be a good time to go in for retrofits. We agree. But the problem is that this work is to be done in China, and we all know how the Wuhan virus has thrown that country into disarray. Right now, the shipyards are not in a position to even do the scheduled work, let alone any additional tanker retrofits. They simply do not know when their full labor force is going to be able to return to work. We are in continuous dialogue with our yard, and we'll certainly do as well as we can within the limits of what is possible. But at this stage, we simply cannot provide you more accurate information on when these six retrofits will happen. Finally on this topic, we'd like to highlight that the company has to date made 15 [indiscernible] of heavy fuel for its scrubber fitted vessels with a total saving of $15 million, and compared to even the bunker compliant LSFO. That means that we have already recouped 31% of the incurred retrofit CapEx of $48 million. And with that, I'll turn the call over to Svein for further commentary.