Operator
Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, this is the Dollar General Corporation Second Quarter 2011 Conference Call on Tuesday, August 30, 2011 at 9 o’clock AM Central Time. Good morning and thank you for participating in today’s call which is being recorded by Conference America. No other recordings or rebroadcast of this session are allowed without the company’s permission. It is now my pleasure to turn the call over to Ms. Mary Winn Gordon, Dollar General’s Vice President of Investor Relations and Public Relations. Ms. Gordon, you may begin. Mary Winn Gordon – Vice President of Investor Relations and Public Relations: Thank you and good morning everyone. On the call today are Rick Dreiling, our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer and David Tehle, our Chief Financial Officer. We will first go through our prepared remarks and then we’ll open the call up for questions. Before Rick begins, I will provide some cautionary comments regarding our forward-looking statements and non-GAAP disclosures. Today’s comments will include forward-looking statements such as those about our expectations, plans, strategies, objectives, and anticipated financial and operating results, including, but not limited to our comments regarding our forecasted 2011 financial performance, planned merchandizing, operating and best control initiatives, store growth and capital expenditures, as well as our expectations with regards to starting consumer and economic trends. You can identify forward-looking statements because they do not relate solely to historical matters or they contain words such as believe, anticipate, project, plan, expect, forecast, guidance, experience will likely result, or will continue and similar statement. Because they have subject to significant risks and uncertainties, we cannot assure you that forward-looking statements will prove to be correct or that any trends will continue. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those reflected in the forward-looking statements are included in our second quarter earnings release issued this morning, our 2010 10-K filed on March 22, 2011, and in the comments that will be made on this call. You should not unduly rely on these statements, which speak only as of today’s date. Dollar General disclaims any obligation to update or revise any information discussed in this call. In addition, we will reference certain financial measures not derived in accordance with GAAP. Reconciliations to the most comparable GAAP measures are included in this morning’s earnings press release, which can be found on our website at dollargeneral.com under Investor Information press releases. You should not consider any of this information as a substitute for the most comparable GAAP measure, because not all companies use identical calculations. These presentations may not be comparable to other similarly titled measures of other companies. It’s now my pleasure to turn the call over to Rick. Rick Dreiling – Chairman and Chief Executive Officer: Thank Mary Winn and good morning and thank you all for joining us today. We had yet another great quarter. I am very pleased with our financial results as well as the operational progress the Dollar General team delivered. Sales exceeded our expectations as we expanded our overall share of the consumables market. Our most recent Nielsen data shows that we have continued to increase our market share in units and dollars on a four-week, 12-week, 24-week, and 52-week basis. Our comp store sales accelerated from the first quarter and we continued to successfully expand our store base. However, the macroeconomic environment has remained difficult for consumers who continue to face high unemployment rates, high gasoline, and high food cost. Our results gives us confidence that we are continuing to meet our customer’s expectations even though we have had to pass-through some of our unavoidable cost increases. I am very pleased that we have been able to grow market share profitably while balancing the challenges of pricing and rising input cost. Key financial highlights of the second quarter include total sales growth of 11.2% over last year’s second quarter to $3.6 billion including a same-store sales increase of 5.9%. As you would expect in this environment, sales growth was primarily driven by consumables with our strongest results in food, snacks, and perishables. Pet supplies and health and beauty care performed very well also. On an annual basis, our sales reached $205 per square foot, that’s up from $199 a year ago. Our gross margin rate declined 11 basis points from last year to 32.1% in the second quarter. SG&A as a percentage of sales was down 54 basis points and our operating profit increased by 16% to 9.8% of sales, a 43 basis point improvement over last year and a new second quarter record. Our strong cash flow has enabled us to repurchase all of our senior notes significantly decreasing our interest expense with an even more dramatic effect going forward. Adjusted for the impact of the debt repurchase, second quarter net income grew by 25% over the prior year to $181 million or $0.52 per share. Overall, sales in our consumable categories were very strong and a direct result of our ongoing category management efforts, which include a significant focus on increasing our offerings of private brands. Our private brands continue perform well as they help us answer our customer’s demands for low prices on quality products while also boosting our gross margin rate. Our basic non-consumable categories, home, apparel, and seasonal, remain extremely important to our general store business model and are contributing significantly to our profit growth even as customers continue to limit their discretionary spending. We have updated our non-consumables offerings and adjusted to our customer’s needs and demands. We are seeing some encouraging result in several areas including children’s apparel, car care, men’s work wear, DVDs, toys, party supplies, and stationery. Now, I’ll ask David to walk you through the rest of the financial results and then we’ll talk about our expectations for the second half of the year. David Tehle – Chief Financial Officer: Thank you Rick and good morning everyone. We are very pleased with our second quarter sales growth, our gross margin results, strong SG&A leverage, interest reduction, and net income growth. Across the board, it was a great quarter for Dollar General. Consumables sales were very strong in the quarter. All of our food and snack category has increased significantly including a strong increase in perishables. Pet care increased nicely as we continue to become a destination for pet care supplies and health and beauty benefited year-over-year from the launch of the Rexall brand and the completion of the Phases III and IV of our 78-inch profile initiative which impacted cosmetics, skin care, dental, medicine, and first aid. Our gross profit rate was 32.1% for the quarter, down 11 basis points from last year’s second quarter. Our mix of sales in the quarter continued to trend toward – more toward consumables, which generally have a lower gross profit rate than non-consumables. We also recorded a LIFO charge of approximately $11 million, primarily driven by cost increases in food, cotton apparel, plastics, and motor oil. This adjustment is based on the year-to-date pro rata portion of the $30 million full year estimate of LIFO. Due to additional cost increases, our LIFO estimate increased over the estimate made in the first quarter. In addition, transportation costs were up due to higher fuel cost. As a percentage of sales, lower markdowns, shrink reduction, and distribution leverage come to offset the effect of rising costs. SG&A as a percentage of sales improved by 54 basis points to 22.3% primarily due to our strong sales performance and the leverage on store labor enabled by our new workforce management program and engineered labor standards. Other factors contributing to SG&A leverage in the quarter include decreases in incentive compensation and net advertising costs in addition to other cost reduction and productivity initiatives. These improvements were partially offset by higher depreciation expense primarily related to our increased investment in store fixers and equipment as well as the purchase of stores. Operating profit was $350 million, up 16% from the prior year resulting in an operating margin rate of 9.8%, a 43 basis point improvement last year. For the quarter, interest expense was down $9 million from the prior year resulting from lower average borrowings and the impact of reduced amounts on our interest rate swaps. In July, we repurchased the remaining $839 million of our senior notes, which allow us to further reduce the interest expense going forward. The repurchase resulted in a pre-tax loss of $58 million or about $0.10 per share. Net income for the quarter excluding the impact of the debt repurchase was $181 million or $0.52 per share, an increase of 25% over adjusted net income of $145 million or $0.42 per share in the 2010 quarter. For the 26 weeks, year-to-date period net sales were $7 billion, an 11.1% increase over last year. Same-store sales increased 5.6%. Year-to-date increases have been driven our strong consumables performance and reflecting increase in both traffic and average ticket. The year-to-date gross profit rate was 31.8% in 2011 compared to 32.2% in 2010, a decrease of 36 basis points attributable to the higher mix of consumables, increased product and fuel costs, and higher markdowns taken in the first quarter. The charge for LIFO year-to-date was $14.2 million compared to $700,000 last year. Distribution efficiencies and lower inventory shrinkage partially offset the year-to-date gross margin decrease. SG&A expense decreased by 57 basis points on a year-to-date basis or 53 basis points excluding certain non-comparable items as described in our press release. The majority of the year-over-year improvement was due to increased sales and a significant impact from our new workforce management program and engineered labor standard. Lower incentive compensation and net advertising costs along with other cost savings and productivity initiatives contributed to the SG&A rate reduction which was partially offset by increased appreciation expense. Adjusted operating profit was 9.7% of sales in the 2011 period compared to 9.6% of sales in the 2010 period. Year-to-date interest expense decreased $15 million from last year to $126 million in the 2011 period and the pre-tax loss and debt repurchases totaled $60 million in the 2011 period compared to a pre-tax loss of $60 million in the 2010 period. Our effective income tax was 37.5% in both 2011 and the 2011 26-week period. And finally, adjusted net income increased 20% to $348 million or $1 per diluted share. Our strong operating performance resulted in strong cash flow from operating activities of $398 million year-to-date, which we utilized to further invest in the business and to pay down debt. As of July 29, total inventories at cost were $1.97 billion, up 7% on a per store basis from the prior year. The increase is primarily due to the addition of new items as part of our 78-inch profile expansion and additional purchases within our product assortment, which we expect to help us avoid further cost increases later in the year. Total outstanding debt at the end of the quarter was $2.8 billion, down $572 million from a year ago. Net of cash, our ratio of long-term obligations to adjusted EBITDA was 1.6 times at the end of the second quarter compared to 2.2 times a year ago. Since the company went private in 2007, we’ve paid down $1.8 billion in debt. Given our success to-date, we are updating our full year guidance to reflect our first half performance and our cautious optimism for the remainder of the year. We are over halfway through the year and we have better insights on the second half. We are increasing the low end of our previous earnings per share guidance by $0.02. We currently expect adjusted diluted earnings per share for the 53-week fiscal year to be in the range of $2.22 to $2.30 assuming $346 million weighted average diluted shares and a full year effective tax rate of approximately 38%. The 53rd week is expected to contribute approximately $0.06 per diluted share. We now expect total sales to increase 12% to 14% including sales in the 53rd week, which are expected to be approximately 200 basis points of the total increase. Same-store sales based on the comparable 52-week period are expected to increase 4% to 6%. This is an increase from our previous expectation of total sales increase of 11% to 13% and a same-store sales increase of 3% to 5%. Adjusted operating profit for the 2011 53-week period is expected to increase 14% to 16% over the 2010 52-week adjusted operating profit. Gross margin will likely be impacted in the third and fourth quarter by several factors. We expect the pressure on discretionary spending to continue to challenge us in the second half of the year resulting in an acceleration of our mix of sales into consumables. Full year guidance includes an estimated charge for LIFO of $30 million for the year. The increased magnitude of commodity cost pressures now included in our updated full year guidance was not contemplated in our previous guidance. For the third quarter, we currently expect markdowns as a percent of sales to be in line with the prior year, but keep in mind, third quarter markdowns are typically higher than the second quarter due to the seasonality of our sales. With regard to pricing, we plan to remain very strategic in our efforts to balance gross margin while protecting unit sales. We planned to open approximately 625 new stores and remodel or relocate 575 stores in 2011 including up to $25 general markup stores. Capital expenditures are expected to be in the range of $550 million to $600 million with approximately 55% of capital spending for store growth and development, 25% for special projects including approximately $90 million for our new distribution center in Bessemer, Alabama; and the remaining 20% for maintenance capital. With that, I will turn the call back over to Rick. Rick Dreiling – Chairman and Chief Executive Officer: Thanks David. We have an exciting second half of the year plan to build upon our momentum in the business. We are pleased with the start to the third quarter including a solid back-to-school performance. There is no doubt that the prolonged economic pressure on consumers such as high employment, higher fuel cost, and uncertainty about the future has created more of our core customers. Those who depend on the value we offer. In addition to creating new core customers, we also believe the economy is encouraging more trial in our stores from other consumer segments. Some of our new customers are trade-down, those with higher incomes and our core customers and who are now coming into our stores for everyday low prices on consumables and brands they recognize. We believe we are seeing another category of new customers who are trading in and who are choosing to come to our stores because they like not only our pricing, but also the shopping experience and the product offerings they are finding in Dollar General. We believe these trade-ins reflect a new consumerism, which values frugality and smart shopping. We are committed to earning all of our customer’s trust, so that they continue to count on us long after the economy improves. One of the key areas we have been focusing on improving is our store in stock levels and I am pleased to tell you that for the second quarter in a row that we have seen positive results from our efforts. More importantly, our customers are noticing our progress. Customer satisfaction scores on this metric have improved in every division year-over-year. As I mentioned earlier, private brands continue to be a significant opportunity for us. Sales of private brands have increased over 15% year-to-date outpacing our overall sales growth. We are very pleased with the performance of our expanded health and beauty offering which includes strong growth in the Rexall brand. We now have over 1400 private brand SKUs including nearly 300 Rexall SKUs and we believe we still have significant opportunity to grow. We opened 301 new stores in the second quarter and continued to expect to grow square footage by about 7% for the year. We are pleased with the performance of our new stores, remodels, and relocations as we move forward with the transition to our customer-centric format. Over 2100 stores now have our new look and layout. We are on track to expand into Nevada, Connecticut, and New Hampshire in the second half of the year and opened our first cluster of stores in California in the first half of 2012. As we have mentioned before, we are also ramping up our efforts on our Dollar General market concept. Our market stores offer customers a selection of fresh produce, meat, and other refrigerated and frozen foods alongside the typical Dollar General offerings. These stores are creating a shopping experience that customers are responding to and they are now delivering the highest same-store sales increases in the company this year. Today, we have remodeled 16 of our existing 57 Dollar General market stores. In the remodels, we are reinforcing the message of freshness with our updated interior and exterior color scheme, signage, and new power alley. We are also seeing an increase in traffic, transactions, and basket size in the remodels and as a result, we plan to remodel an additional 12 market stores in the second half of the year. In addition to the remodels, we now plan to open about 10 new market stores this year including several as part of our initial entrance into Nevada in October. This morning, we announced our planned launch on September 8 of an e-commerce site dollargeneral.com. We are excited about this new opportunity for growth, which will initially offer over 1000 of our current SKUs to customers who like many of you may not have a convenient Dollar General. We plan to sell single items as you would find in our stores as well as larger quantities that we stock in our stores. And from time-to-time, we’ll also feature limited quantities of special buys. So, to wrap it up, we are very pleased with our second quarter and we believe that we are well-positioned for the second half of the year. At Dollar General, we remained focused on controlling what we can control and delivering strong financial results for our shareholders. We will continue to closely monitor how our customers reacting to the current economic challenges in the retail environment, where we believe the value message is key. We know that with the sustained period of unemployment and underemployment, our customers need us more than ever. Before I close, I’d like to give my sincere thanks to the nearly $90,000 general employees who are key delivering a great quarter. So, with that Mary Winn, I will turn it over for questions. Mary Winn Gordon – Vice President of Investor Relations and Public Relations: (Jay Lee) we’ll go ahead and take the first question please.