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Donnelley Financial Solutions, Inc. (DFIN)

Q4 2020 Earnings Call· Thu, Feb 25, 2021

$50.81

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Donnelley Financial Solutions Fourth Quarter Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speakers presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. Please be advised, that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Justin Ritchie, Head of Investor Relations. Thank you. Please go ahead, sir.

Justin Ritchie

Management

Thank you. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining the Donnelley Financial Solutions fourth quarter 2020 results conference call. This morning, we issued our fourth quarter earnings release, a copy of which can be found in the Investors section of our website at investor.dfinsolutions.com. During this call, we'll refer to forward-looking statements that are subject to uncertainty. For a complete discussion, please refer to the cautionary statements included in our earnings release and further detailed on our annual report on Form 10-K and other filings with the SEC.

Dan Leib

Management

Thank you, Justin and good morning, everyone. Before I comment on our results, I'd like to introduce two of the people that Justin just mentioned; Craig Clay and Eric Johnson. Craig is the President of our Capital Markets Business, and Eric is the President of our Investment Companies Business. With Tom Juhase moving into an advisory role as of year-end, Craig and Eric, who now report directly to me, will be on our calls going forward. I'd like to thank Tom for the leadership he provided to DFIN, and the insight he added on these calls, and I look forward to Craig and Eric sharing their insights with you as we continue to transform DFIN. Turning now to our financial results. We finished the year by delivering strong fourth quarter results highlighted by record quarterly software solutions net sales of $54.2 million or nearly 26% of our total net sales in the quarter. Overall, our consolidated net sales grew by over 10% as compared to last year's fourth quarter. Excluding print and distribution, our remaining net sales grew approximately 20% as the strong rebound that began in the third quarter in our transactional offerings, as well as in our software solution sales continued. We also posted record quarterly operating cash flow and free cash flow of $101.7 million and $5.1 million respectively. Fourth quarter non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA margin was 16.6%, an improvement of approximately 290 basis points from last year's fourth quarter, continuing a trend of year-over-year improvement that now stands at six straight quarters. The improvement was primarily driven by a better business mix, along with the significant impact of permanent cost reductions. Dave will provide more details on our quarterly results shortly, but it's fair to say I'm pleased with our performance, and more importantly, the momentum. I'm seeing in our software solutions and capital markets transactional offerings heading into 2021.

Dave Gardella

Management

Thank you, Dan and good morning, everyone. Before I discuss our fourth quarter financial performance, I'd like to recap a few housekeeping items. First, as discussed throughout the year. We are using the regulatory changes that are reducing mutual fund and variable annuity print demand as a catalyst to accelerate our mix shift toward our software and tech-enabled solution offerings. This more proactive approach has changed our longer-term growth outlook for the traditional investment company's offerings. Given this change in expectations, as part of our annual goodwill impairment analysis, we recognize a non-cash goodwill impairment charge of $40.6 million during the fourth quarter to fully impair goodwill in the investment company's compliance and communications management segment.

Dan Leib

Management

Thank you, Dave. Before we open it up for Q&A, I would like to discuss further our 44 in 24 strategy. In May of last year, I introduced our goal of doubling the proportion of our sales mix derived from software over the next five years; moving from 22% of sales from software solutions in 2019 to 44% in 2024. Growth in our software offerings, strong tech-enabled service offerings, and a shrinking printing distribution offering results in continued strong adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA margin, and cash flow performance. As I detailed in my opening remarks, we have made excellent progress in terms of enhancing product development velocity; introducing three new software products to market over the last 15 months, while also expanding various key customer relationships across our product portfolio. Building off already strong software solution sales growth in the second half of 2020, these product introductions and expanded relationships, as well as the potential for a rebound in M&A in 2021, a key driver of venue growth, positions us well to increase our software solution sales growth back to double digits in 2021. While on the print and distribution side, we remain on-track to execute our print platform optimization efforts in concert with the rollout of SEC rules 30E3 and 498A which when combined with our proactive exit from non-strategic low margin commercial print contracts significantly reduces our expected print and distribution sales starting this year. The combined impact of these efforts have us on-track with, if not ahead of, where we thought we would be heading into year two of our 44 in 24 journey. In fact, we are currently estimating that software solutions net sales will make up over 30% of total net sales in 2021, with print and distribution falling to a little over 20% which…

Operator

Operator

Your first question comes from the line of Pete Heckman. Please go ahead, your line is open.

Pete Heckman

Analyst

Good morning, gentlemen. Thanks for all the information on the quarter and the outlook. Dan could you revisit a comment that you just made, want to make sure that I heard correctly. I mean, clearly, the company has made some sustainable reductions in the cost base and our assumption was that you really outperformed in 2020 and we are expecting EBITDA margins to fall in 2021. You made a comment, as regards 2021 just a few minutes ago it and I missed it, sounds to me like you're expecting that in kind of a base case 2021 EBITDA margins could be up year-on-year?

Dan Leib

Management

Thanks, Pete. Yeah, that's correct. When we look at the reduction of revenue coming in print and distribution out the $35 million at the midpoint and $5 million to $10 million of EBITDA, coupled with where we're seeing growth, mainly software solutions and then entering 2021 with a pretty robust transactions market. We feel we have the opportunity to expand margins in 2021.

Pete Heckman

Analyst

That's great. That's impressive. All right and then, great job on getting net leverage down significantly over the last three or four years, how does that change your thoughts about capital allocation and the kind of target leverage that you think about running the business.

Dan Leib

Management

Sure. Thanks. So I'll take a first crack and then Dave, if you want to jump in, but it's an important question and one that we discuss internally and with our Board frequently, certainly we're pleased that our performance has put us in the position to have the amount of financial flexibility that we do. And we do have a lot of our revenue, that's recurring but we also understand the cyclicality of some of the markets we play and as Dave has mentioned previously the transactions turn off and on very quickly. So even taking that into consideration, we’ve created a great balance sheet, the cash does not burn a hole in our pocket so when we think of capital allocation, you saw we increased our buyback. It starts with looking at our business in the assets that we own. We model out several years forward look at intrinsic value, the typical financial metrics nothing unique there. I think what is unique within our businesses is the transformation that is underway and well in progress. And so we have over $200 million of software revenue growing in the 10 plus percent range and that has a lot of value when we look at comparable market multiples. The largest part of the revenue software revenues roughly two third is recurring compliance SaaS revenue primarily ArcSuite and ActiveDisclosure. Venue and eBravia make up the -- most of the rest, and they have really attractive financial profiles and value as well. So we look at CapEx is the other place and so on 2021 that we're increasing CapEx. We view capital and that's we're increasing that it's primarily software development and where we're making the increase is in software development. And it's variable, and so we're thrilled with our internal development efforts…

Pete Heckman

Analyst

Got it. And just on a housekeeping basis those term notes 230 million in notes in the quarter those can be called in October at 102?

Dan Leib

Management

That's correct.

Pete Heckman

Analyst

Thanks. All right.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Charles Strauzer from CJS Securities. Your line is open.

Charles Strauzer

Analyst

Hi, good morning. If you could maybe explain a little bit more on the guidance, if you could, you talked about EBITDA improving substantially year-over-year maybe quantify that and also maybe give us some sense on the different segments, how we should think about that for Q1 and how that should shape up for the year as well, and both the top line and profitability perspective based?

Dan Leib

Management

Sure, Charley. So, as I noted we're expecting an uplift to margin and it's really driven by the shift in the revenue mix as Dan commented earlier. Really two specific aspects of that, the first is less print and more software and tech-enabled services. And then the second is the higher proportion of the capital markets transactional revenue. You look we way we started the year, our January results support this. We don't have February results yet, but the trend has continued. I'd also say in addition to that, we did a great job in 2020 reducing the cost structure. Most of that reduction was not reflected until the second quarter in 2020. So we'll also see the benefits of those actions. I guess more specific to the margin. Last year, we reported 13.6% in the first quarter and I'd say if current trends continue through March. I see EBITDA margin exceeding 20%. So call it low to mid '20s from a margin perspective and again all contingent on the stronger mix continuing and as we said that published part to predict is really the capital markets transaction market. We have strong activity there, but the timing of exactly when those will hit is not certain.

Charles Strauzer

Analyst

Got it. And perhaps just a little bit more the commentary by the segments than in Q1 in terms of the contribution from each of the segments and also the margin outlook that.

Dan Leib

Management

So to my comments obviously the transactional revenue in capital markets would hit within capital markets compliance and communication management. So that's the area we'd expect to see the most expansion also with the software growth we would expect to see operating leverage there in the few software segments. And then on the investment company compliance and Communications Management, a couple of different things going on there, one with the drop in print, you have negative operating leverage and I commented on this in my prepared remarks, but one of the things that will affect all the segments, is the way some of the shared costs get allocated. We have certain expenses more centralized functions in their areas like IT, finance, procurement, HR, just to name a few. And those get allocated to the four operating segments. There is a variety of drivers that we use to allocate these costs in different segments. Most of them are really based on a combination of net sales and headcount. And so I would say is, given the significant drop that we expect to see in investment company's compliance and Communications Management net sales related to this regulatory impact we'll be shifting, probably about $11 million of cost out of that segment. And then I'll go to the other three segments. Roughly $3 million to $3.5 million will get pushed to each of the two software segments and then the remaining $4 million to $5 million will go to capital markets compliance and Communications Management and those are, just to clarify, those are full year numbers. And again it's a zero-sum game really just a question on how the segment share certain of those centralized past.

Charles Strauzer

Analyst

Got it. And then just one more question on the Q1 guidance, the 200 to 220 there, how much of that reflects kind of the -- lost print, if you will?

Dan Leib

Management

Yes. So obviously with the regulatory impact that's hitting this year. We haven't specifically broken out the print detail relatives to the first quarter of 2020. We're certainly expecting that to decline and then again, mostly offset or nearly offset by the transactional activity and the growth in the software revenue.

Charles Strauzer

Analyst

Just looking at the comps year-over-year, we're seeing the back half of 2021 being a tougher comp versus last year obviously.

Dave Gardella

Management

Yes that's a great point. I would go back to my comments about having a lack of visibility. Probably a good example, less than a year ago, when we were trying to understand the potential impact that the pandemic would have, we certainly would have expected a substantially weaker transactional environment during 2020 and obviously, we're pleasantly surprised by the strength of the markets there. Certainly hard to predict what the second half of 2021 will look like, but to your point, we’ll definitely be comping against a very strong second half.

Charles Strauzer

Analyst

Got it. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

There are no further questions at this time, I will now turn -- we have a question from Raj Sharma from B. Riley Securities. Your line is open.

Raj Sharma

Analyst

Hello, good morning. Yes. Fine results, congratulations. I think congratulations also on the continued efforts to cut down costs and improve margins. I just wanted to follow up on the guidance for the year. There is not much of a revenue guidance, but you did say print is going to be down 130 from fiscal 2020 levels.

Dave Gardella

Management

That's right, yes.

Raj Sharma

Analyst

Then, software services up 10%, right? Or double digits? And then tech-enabled, we will be leaving out because that's all transactional based.

Dave Gardella

Management

I wouldn't say it's all transactional based, but certainly the transactional piece, then again as we pointed to several times, not only in the past, but also on this call, it's the hardest to predict and that's really the biggest variable that from a predictability standpoint, we don't have great insight to what the balance of the year will look like on the transaction side.

Raj Sharma

Analyst

So it is what it is. It is what transactions turn out to be in the U.S. and globally and will happen to be enough for the guidance for the first quarter, are you assuming transaction sequentially up or is there any?

Dave Gardella

Management

Yes. To my earlier comments, what we saw in January supports that. We haven't closed February yet, but the activity level remains high on transactional and then we'll see where March comes out. Right, we have a lot in the pipeline still. One of the challenges on transactional is also the timing on when these deals will hit and one will ultimately recognize revenue. And so if that trend continues and that mix remains favorable like that, that was my earlier comment around margins potentially reaching low 20%.

Dan Leib

Management

And just to add to that is, it's great to see Venue respond with a stronger M&A market. We went through a fairly weak M&A market, despite the fact that IPO has been really hard and so you saw Venue was strong growth starting in Q3 continuing in Q4, to the 10.4% in Q4 and that will be sensitive to the M&A market as well. In Q1 we had last year, one or two larger projects, but a strong M&A market will certainly be helpful for venue.

Raj Sharma

Analyst

Right and on that front, any sort of change in pricing relative to IPO’s respects and also about your market share, so market share holding up in deals that are greater than $100 million in the funds transaction side?

Dan Leib

Management

So we continue to have strong market share. I think when you look at the activity in 2020, a lot of what drove the IPO pricings was the SPAC market and typically, we historically have had lower market share there, but have really increased that in 2020. So I think when you look at the overall -- we increased our share in SPACs IPO, we increased our share in non-SPAC IPO, but given the mix, I think probably our overall share is down on the IPO side, but certainly happy that, individually, when we look at SPAC and non-SPAC that we're doing very, very well there. SPACs obviously result in De-SPACs, so that's being well positioned on the M&A side, as well.

Raj Sharma

Analyst

Got it. And then, on the compliance, you mentioned the compliance side revenues in the fourth quarter were up year-on-year. I understand there’s seasonality there on the fourth quarter. Any color on why they were higher than expected?

Dan Leib

Management

I don't think seasonality would play into a year-over-year comparison, but certainly we commented on market share being slightly up, some additional 8-K volume, etcetera.

Craig Clay

Analyst

Some of that compliance here is driven on the transactional side, so just which is the 8-K piece involved and you saw on the transaction side?

Raj Sharma

Analyst

Got it. And then, just a couple of more -- I understand your comments about your capital allocation. So as I understand it correctly, there’s no real big M&A, basically the new CapEx is going to be our internal software product development to grow on into areas related to compliance and management.

Dan Leib

Management

Yes. So we continue to look at M&A aggressively, but we're disciplined on what things are worth. And so to us, what it means for our business. But yes, we've increased -- we see great opportunity in our internal development both for venue, as well as for the compliance platforms. One of the things, I think Dave may have referenced earlier, on the Investment Company side is, the print is going away, the $135 million next in 2021, we're extremely well-positioned for our total compliance management product which leverages our software and so, we're investing behind those software products to drive the growth. But relative to capital allocation, I think you've got it right, which is we'll continue to look at M&A, but we're realistic about the price multiples.

Raj Sharma

Analyst

That's all, again, congratulations on a wonderful job of transforming the company and pushing up cash flows.

Operator

Operator

There are no further questions at this time. I will now turn the call back to the presenters for closing remarks.

Dan Leib

Management

Great, thank you very much and thank you for everyone for joining us and we will speak to you again in May.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.