Kenneth Mahon
Analyst · Sandler O'Neill & Partners. Please go ahead, Mark
Thank you, Sean, and thanks, everyone, for joining us this evening. On the call with me today are our newly minted CFO, Avi Reddy, you may have seen the announcement the other day; and also Chief Accounting Officer, Leslie Veluswamy. So I'm really starting today at 4:30. So in our prepared remarks I'm going to pick up some of the broad themes that underline the earnings release and also our outlook for fiscal year 2019. I'll keep my opening remarks brief, and then we'll leave some time for questions at the end. As many of you who follow us know at the beginning of 2017, two years ago, this month, upon the retirement of our long-serving CEO, Vinny Palagiano, we undertook the strategy of transforming the company's monoline multifamily business model. We chose a company vision that of becoming a robust community commercial bank. Primary emphasis for the change was because we believe the community commercial bank model provides the possibility of better returns for shareholders in the future, given changes in the operating landscape over time in the form of better returns and equity and better trading multiples to book value and to earnings. Dime's business model transformation has been focused on producing a higher-quality balance sheet structure summarizing these four financial metrics. First, growing our checking account balances, growing relationship-based commercial loans that have good risk-adjusted returns, increasing low-cost business deposit sourced both from our commercial customer and from our branches and continuing to reduce our CRE concentration ratio. So let's first start with growing our checking account balances. On a year-over-year basis, the sum of non-interest-bearing and interest-bearing checking accounts increased by 18.5% to $502 million at the end of December. Every dollar of low cost deposits that we raise increase the franchise value of the company. One of my favorite Tom Brown expressions is fearless focus. So from the CEO to our entire customer-facing staff, our incentive plans are designed around incenting low-cost deposit growth. Second, our second objective, financial objective is growing relationship-based commercial loans. The Business Banking division's portfolio grew to $648 million at the end of the year compared to $236 million at year-end 2017. Portfolio now represents 12% of total loans. Our net portfolio growth target for our first year in business was $250 million, which we came close to achieving. We weren't really sure at that point what our capabilities are going to be. For 2018, however, we established a net portfolio growth target of approximately $315 million and actually achieved $412 million of net portfolio growth for the year, surpassing our own internal target by over $90 million, 30% of the - higher than the beginning portfolio objective. We doubled the number of teams in the year and now have six productive lending teams. Increasing low-cost business deposit sourced is the third objective. Total commercial banking deposits from our Business Banking division and our legacy multifamily division increased by almost 25% or $85 million on a year-over-year basis and now comprise 10% of total deposits as compared to 8% a year ago. And our fourth targeted balance sheet metric is the CRE concentration ratio. We reduced Dime's consolidated CRE concentration ratio from 775% at the beginning of the year to 703% at the end of 2018, just a couple of percentage points from being with the headline number of being under 700%. As described above, we've made good quantifiable progress on all four fronts, and we only plan to get better in the year ahead. The last two years were mainly occupied with building the foundation in both people and culture for successful execution of the business model. For me and our executives, 2019 will be a year of back to the basics. Just in the past two years alone, we've been busy. We've entered these three new business lines, that being Business Banking, residential and SBA. We opened three new branches this year. In 2018, we completed the conversion of our legacy core technology platform. We've installed a new commercial loan origination system. And we brought in a tremendous number of talented new hires with previous commercial bank experience. It's now incumbent on the team to fully leverage these investments in people and systems and to continue to drive EPS growth. Despite all these significant investments and the costs associated with hiring relationship bankers and support staff for our Business Banking division, we were able to keep total core non-interest expenses for the year at approximately $86 million, which was within the range we have provided at the start of the year. A continuing hallmark of Dime's culture over time has been managing expenses prudently, and we remain committed to keeping operating costs down while simultaneously reinvesting in our business and growing our relationship-based Business Banking division. Managing down operating costs is one of the profitability differentiators between high-performing commercial banks and the rest of the sector. That's what we would like to be. There is been another important ancillary benefit that this Business Banking division build-out has had on how we operate our legacy multifamily business. Historically, Dime had only multifamily business to achieve balance sheet growth. We basically took what the market gave us in terms of rates and deposits. Now we have the flexibility to look for deals that meet our return hurdles, while keeping in mind our goal to improve the quality of the balance sheet. For example, in the fourth quarter, our multifamily group originated approximately $100 million worth of loans at a weighted average rate of about four and three quarters, while also bringing along more deposits and still utilizing our historically sound credit quality box and parameters that we've always applied to the multifamily business. Typical rack rates in that portion of the market were closer to four to four in a quarter. So we've achieved substantially higher yields in the loans that we did bring on. Very proud of the group over - in the multifamily team because they've adopted to the new mission of focusing on important relationships, solid margins and returns, while we're chasing balance sheet growth. In addition to the multifamily group, our residential lending operation is now fully online. We expect this group to remain a small but important part of our overall balance sheet as it serves four purposes. First, it enables us to serve the personal loan needs of our Business Banking customers and deepen those relationships. We already had success on several large and important business relationships, but we now provide the home mortgage to the business owner and hopefully, have created stickier relationship. Second, it enhances the Dime brand in our branch markets and then is another sales group for our retail staff. Third, growth in the residential portfolio also reduces our CRE concentration and last and, importantly, it is another added asset class to help manage the balance sheet and modulate growth depending on risk-adjusted returns we see for each business. This team was a lift out from a former in-market bank. So once we got the technology, infrastructure in place, they became productive almost immediately. To summarize, the Dime Commercial Bank business model is today a three-legged stool. Relationship Business Banking, a more profitable multifamily model and residential lending. If you - for those of you who have seen our investor slide deck, one of my favorite pages in that deck is one where we present. We compare our loan yields and our deposit costs to peer group of about 13 banks in the local market. As of the quarter end at September 30, it's the latest period for which we have numbers, Dime logged the median loan yields of the peer group by about 55 basis points. So the median yield of those 13 banks in the loan portfolio was 4.28. Dime at September 30, was 3.73. So we still say today what we said a year ago, there's a lot of runway in our ability to pick up yield without growth in the balance sheet. Now we believe that a year ago and we're happy to say this, we're starting to see the results of that now. The weighted average rate on our total Business Banking originations, which would be the real estate and C&I combined, in the fourth quarter was 5.38%, which is already higher than the median. So I'm confident that we have the infrastructure in place to make up the remaining ground versus the peer group. So at least reach the median yield. The deposit side of the equation is similar. If you look back at the fourth quarter of 2016, just prior to when the Federal Reserve started to raise interest rates in earnest, Dime was almost dead last from a cost of deposit's perspective. When compared to the 13 peer banks. Now our cost of deposit is actually 20 to 30 basis points lower than some of those same competitors. That said, we know we can do better in terms of improving our non-interest bearing deposit percentages to that of high-performing commercial banks, which we typically see in the 20% to 30% range of total deposits. If we move on to - a few words about the quarterly earnings per share. The details are in the press release. I just want to point out a few things and then we'll end up. The core - we're very pleased that core EPS showed up at $0.34 this quarter. Pleased but not surprised. It's up 6.3% on a linked-quarter basis and that both have reported margin and the margin excluding prepayment fees expanded also in the quarter. This was a direct result of our relationship-based build-out and the weighted average rate on loans trending higher, as the Business Banking portfolio became a larger percentage of the overall balance sheet. Our deposit betas also slowed as the cost of deposits was up only 9 basis points in the quarter versus 12 basis points in the prior quarter. Non-interest-bearing deposits will continue to grow. As I said earlier, we are focused on keeping deposit betas as low as possible while managing the loan-to-deposit ratio within a range of 125%. We ended the year with a loan-to-deposit ratio of 124%. Dimes' reported tangible book value per share at the end of the quarter was $15.14. The credit quality continues to remain pristine with nonperforming loans to loans of 4 basis points, 0.04, 4 basis points and 30- to 90-day delinquencies of less than $500,000. It was $531,000 at the end of the prior quarter. It remains a phenomenal asset quality track record of which we are proud. Now let's move on to the outlook for fiscal year 2019. We expect net portfolio growth for the Business Banking division of at least $650 million to $700 million. That's a net portfolio of growth. As mentioned previously, we beat our internal ending portfolio target for fiscal year 2018 by over $90 million and see strong demand due to our responsive customer focus platform and known brand name in the marketplace. As Dime shows longevity and commitment to commercial bank model where we are being shown more opportunities to add lending teams. As for total assets, we'd like to see some modest level of balance sheet growth to leveraging investments we have made in infrastructure. We are ultimately the most focused on improving the quality of our balance sheet. We refer to that as sort of building the new balance sheet inside the old balance sheet. The year-end 2019 total asset number will be a function of future payoffs in the multifamily business, which is still a question in the next couple of years. That said, we have been aggressive purchasers of our own shares in the second half of 2018. We have an active share repurchase plan in place, and we'll take advantage of the volatility in the sector valuations by buying back our shares. We have the capital to do so. If we segue into capital management, we expect to run the company at approximately 8.5% tangible common ratio in 2019. We're above that ratio now by about a quarter over percent, tangible common ratio is eight three quarters. Repurchasing shares at our recent trading metrics produces a very, very short-term tangible book value earn-back period. We always try to take actions that produce superior long- and intermediate-term returns for our shareholders. Dime has always been a good steward of capital and has grown tangible book value per share by approximately 46% over the last 5 years and 123% over the last 10 years. When you include $0.56 annual dividends, cash dividends that we have maintained, this creates an economic value creation to our shareholders of over 73% over 5 years and 205% over the last 10 years, respectively. I'd also note that in the second half of 2018, Dime repurchased approximately $26 million of common stock. That represents 3.5% decrease in our common shares outstanding for the full year when compared to 2017. The annual cash dividend in 2018, that imputes - plus the repurchases imputes to an approximately 90% payout ratio for the year. In 2019, we remain committed to returning capital to our shareholders keeping in mind our 8.5% tangible common ratio target. Returning again to the outlook on the balance sheet liquidity, that was built up significantly over the past 18 months. It is now at a level we're comfortable with. It's more in line with our peers, and we don't expect any material increases from current levels. As for net interest margin, for all the usual reasons, we don't provide quantitative NIM guidance. It spans on a number of extraneous factors, including the Federal Reserve, the shape of the curve, future competitive pricing environment for deposits. What we'll say on the NIM is this, the weighted average rate on $648 million of Business Banking portfolio was 5.22% at year-end 2018 and was accompanied by $188 million of total self-funding deposits at a weighted average rate of 51 basis points. This leads to a Business Banking portfolio NIM in excess of 3.75, far above our NIM on earning assets today. While there are various factors that will affect the changes in NIM on a quarter-to-quarter basis, the medium to long-term trajectory of our NIM is clearly upward. I spoke about the fact that the Business Banking portfolio is expected to become a larger and larger percentage of the balance sheet over time. Additionally, as disclosed in our press release, we have almost $1.5 billion of repricing assets, which have a fairly low weighted average coupon of approximately 3.43% to $1.5 billion of repricing multifamily loans over the next 2 years. That should help with the upward trajectory of NIM. So what I'll comment here, too, when it comes to the repricing assets, many of you know historically in this business, a lot of those loans do not reach their repricing period, while tend to come in early. So it's $1.5 billion based on their contractual repricing date. The - it could be possible that we see repayment happen faster than what the contractual repricings would indicate. Non-interest expense for the fiscal year 2019 should be in the range of $88 million to $90 million. This estimate does include the cost of hiring new lending teams to meet our aforementioned portfolio growth estimates for the Business Banking division. Finally, in fee income, while 2018 was a slow year for us in the SBA business, we did receive PLP status and hope to grow the business line in 2019. Recognizing the SBA shutdown right now, that could put a crimp or at least slow progress down. Secondary market premiums have also been down in latter half of 2018. So the business is not quite as profitable as it was when we thought about to build that a year ago, but it's still a very good source of non-spread revenue. And we have a very low contribution in 2018 to the revenue line, probably in the range of $200,000 to $300,000. So it's not going to be a material change. It shouldn't be materially lower than that - materially lower than that in 2019. We also need to optimize our new core technology platform to help drive higher commercial banking fees. So we put the system in. There are a lot of new bells and whistles on the system that we have yet to bring online, but we expect to do that in the first half of the year. And lastly, the tax rate, we expect that to be approximately 25%. So with that I'll ask, Sean, if you please open up the line for questions.