William M. Cook - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Analyst · KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please go ahead
Thanks Tom and good morning everyone. I think there are two takeaways from our second quarter release. The first is that our model of continually building upon and expanding our portfolio of filter businesses really does work. And the second is that despite the operational challenge Tom discussed and which we are working through, we had a good quarter of both sales and earnings records. Now I'd like to briefly review a few of our second quarter highlights. We saw continued growth in NAFTA with sales up 4%. I should also add that this was despite and including the downturn we are still experiencing in the North American heavy duty truck market. This 4% overall increase in NAFTA, was driven by strong performances in our Filtration Systems for Ag equipment and defense applications, and our engine aftermarket business. Our international businesses also had a good quarter with revenues up 5%, excluding the impact of foreign exchange. Here are a few of our highlights within our international numbers. In our European engine products business, we saw strong performances in both our OEM truck and off-road equipment businesses, as well as our aftermarket or parts business. In total, our European engine revenues were up 9% over the prior year and this is in euros excluding the foreign currency impact. In our European industrial products business, we saw strong performance in our industrial dust collection business, with our Euro revenues up 10% over the prior year. In Asia, our engine OEM off-road business and our after-market businesses both had strong quarters, with sales up 31% and 10% respectively. Our significant Asian off-road sales increase was driven by strong construction equipment demand for our customers across the Asian region. Our Industrial Filtration Solution business in Asia had a good quarter with sales up 6% excluding currency. This business in China was particularly strong during the quarter reflecting the continued high level of general manufacturing investment there. During the quarter, our global Gas Turbine business was down 5% from the prior year. As we have mentioned in the past, our quarterly sales results for Gas Turbines are lumpy as the timing of these shipments of very large projects can and does vary dramatically from quarter-to-quarter. And finally, our worldwide special application sales were good again in the quarter as sales for our filters from our Chinese and Thai plants to our disk drive OEM customers were very strong. Now, I would like to switch gears and talk about our outlook for the second half of the fiscal year. First, as noted in our press release we have again increased our full year sales guidance for both businesses. Full year sales for engine business now are expected to be up 10% to 12% from our last forecast of 7% to 9%, and our industrial business in aggregate is now forecast to be up 14% to 16% versus our last guidance of 11% to 13%. Few more comments on our outlook, and I will start first with the engine business. Our guidance is based on our forecast of continued good conditions for heavy construction and mining equipment especially outside of NAFTA. We also expect the sales of agricultural equipment by our customers to remain strong globally due to higher crop prices and farm incomes. We expect to see continued growth in our Defense and Aerospace business due to the combination of increased equipment utilization and replacement and also the acquisition... our acquisition last year of Aerospace Filtration Systems. Our replacements parts or aftermarket business should continue to grow based on the utilization rates of equipment in the field as well as our focus to continue to develop new markets internationally. And finally, while we are currently and what appears to be the bottom of the NAFTA heavy duty truck cycle, we do expect that NAFTA heavy duty truck builds will begin picking up year-over-year in our fourth quarter. Now, switching to our industrial businesses. We expect our IFS business which includes our dust collectors and compressed air filters to grow approximately 10% to 15% for the full year. This is due primarily to increases in our sales of replacement filters as well as new equipment sales especially internationally. And while I mentioned earlier that our gas turbine filter sales were down slightly in the second quarter versus last year, we are looking at a very strong second half based on orders in hand. We continue to see Gas Turbine business conditions strong in the Middle East, Asia and parts of Africa. And as a result we have increased our sales outlook for the full year to 20% to 30% over last year. This means that our full year Gas Turbine sales should be between $190 million and $205 million. Tom already mentioned, that we expect our full year fiscal '08 operating margin to be minimum at 11%, and that our operating income should be up 14% to 19% over last year. Now I would like to take a minute to update you on a few of our growth initiatives and I will start first with PowerCore. We continue to make great progress with our innovative PowerCore technology. We have now won 119 equipment platforms with our OEM engine customers. This represents an additional 26 wins in the last quarter. 86 of these 119 platform wins are already in production with our customers and another 11 are expected to go into production later this year. Our PowerCore sales were up 45% in the quarter to $14 million. And looking forward, with PowerCore we have another 75 platforms in the proposal stage with our OEM customers. And with the high win rate that we have experience in the past we are confident of the continued growth of PowerCore. And then finally as I mentioned last quarter, we are in the process of releasing our next generation PowerCore technology this year. This next generation technology utilizes the latest advances in our technology and allows us to offer our customers additional benefits. The second growth area I would like to briefly update you on is our expansion projects. As Tom mentioned, we expect our full year CapEx to be in the range of $60 million to $70 million, this is down from last year when our CapEx was $77 million. Within our current CapEx budget we have a number of expansion projects underway to support our growth and market penetration plans. In the Czech Republic, we have run out of capacity in the engine filter plant we opened four years ago. We are now in the midst of a significant expansion of this specialty. This additional capacity should come on line later this fiscal year. About a year ago we announced our plans to expand our engine filter plant in India. We have since broken ground and expect to be completed and enter production by the end of this calendar year. Last month our board approved an expansion of our disk drive filter plant in Thailand. We expect that this additional capacity will be available later this calendar year. And finally, two years ago we reentered Brazil. This year we will further ramp up our presence and capability to better support our global customers who are moving there. So in conclusion I want to offer a couple of final thoughts. We completed the first half of fiscal '08 with good sales growth and 11% operating margin. And yes, on the plus side we did have some help from exchange rates. However, on the flip side we also had to deal with the cyclical downturn of the NAFTA heavy duty truck market. Remember, in aggregate, it is really the power of our diversified business space that has provided the foundation to deliver these results. Looking forward, we anticipated good second half. While there are some pockets of weakness in some end markets, we see solid strength in others. Overall, the positives more than offset the negatives. Again, this is the power of our diversified business model. As Tom mentioned, we will continue to make progress on improving the operational effectiveness of our main US distribution centre. While I am very disappointed in the temporary inconveniences we have caused our customers, I am confident that we will resume providing our customers with best in class service soon. The bottom line is that we expect to deliver for the year, sales between $2.1 billion and $2.2 billion which would be up 11% to 14% over the prior year. Not only would this be another sales record, this would be also our first revenue year over $2 billion, a key milestone which we have been shooting for, for sometime. Second point is that earnings per share should be as Tom mentioned between $2 and $2.10. It should be up between 9% and 15% from our prior record which we achieved last year. This should be our 19th consecutive EPS record, further extending a track record of which we are incredibly proud. That concludes my prepared remarks, Vince. Now we would like to open it up to the questions. Question And Answer