Tim Regan
Analyst · Dropbox's website following this call. I will now turn it over to Kern Kapoor, Head of Investor Relations for Dropbox. Mr. Kapoor. Please go ahead
Thank you, Drew. On today's call, I'll walk through our fourth quarter and full year 2021 results, our 2022 guidance along with some context underlying this guidance, and then I will close with an update on our long-term targets. Starting with our fourth quarter and full year 2021 results, total revenue for the fourth quarter increased 12.2% year-over-year to $565 million, beating our guidance range of $556 million to $559 million. Our revenue outperformance was driven by strength in our higher ASP offerings, such as our professional SKU, our teams’ plans and DocSend. Foreign exchange rates provided approximately a 150 basis point tailwind to growth. Total ARR for the quarter grew 11.8% year-over-year for a total of $2.261 billion. On a constant currency basis, ARR grew by $43 million sequentially and 10.2% year-over-year. As Drew highlighted, our continued growth in ARR reflects our efforts to attract new users to our premium SKUs and to drive better retention by improving the user experience with a specific emphasis on mobile, work and teams users. We exited the quarter with 16.79 million paying users and added approximately 300,000 net new paying users in the fourth quarter driven by strength in our teams plans and the continued adoption of our family plan. Average revenue per paying user was $134.78 in Q4. Before we continue with further discussion of our P&L, I would like to note that unless otherwise indicated, all income statement figures mentioned are non-GAAP and exclude stock-based compensation, amortization of purchased intangibles, certain acquisition-related expenses, impairments of our real estate assets, expenses related to our reduction in force and net gains on our lease termination. Our non-GAAP net income also excludes net gains and losses on equity investments, the income tax benefit from the release of a valuation allowance on deferred tax assets and includes the income tax effect of the aforementioned adjustments. I'll now provide a brief update on our real estate strategy, where we are taking steps to de-cost our real estate portfolio as part of our transition to a Virtual First model. We continue to make progress against our goals, executing subleases in Seattle and Ireland in the fourth quarter. As we anticipated during our previous earnings call, in the fourth quarter, we also successfully reached an agreement with our landlord to buy out a portion of our San Francisco lease where we had an existing subtenant in Q4. This resulted in a onetime payment of $32 million, which is reflected within our cash flow from operations and a $14 million gain on lease termination, which is reflected within our GAAP results. As a reminder, this lease termination agreement will drive significant savings as the amount of rent payments avoided exceeds the amounts we otherwise would have generated from our previous sublease. In the future, we may enter into similar buyouts with our landlords, should the economics make sense for us, though there are no other pending deals at this time. Separately, during the fourth quarter, we incurred impairment charges of $14 million on our remaining facilities footprint as continued pandemic restrictions translated to slower-than-expected subleasing. This brings our cumulative impairment incurred to-date to $430 million. We continue to estimate that our total impairment charges will be up to $450 million. Additionally, in Q4, our GAAP net income was favorably impacted by a $38 million onetime income tax benefit from the release of a valuation allowance on Irish deferred tax assets. This event is a result of our improved profitability, leading us to conclude that our valuation allowance on these deferred tax assets is no longer necessary. I would also note that there is no cash impact associated with this onetime benefit. With that, let's continue with the P&L. I'd note that all expense categories continue to benefit from lower facilities-related costs driven by pandemic restrictions and a reduction in depreciation as a result of the write-down in our real estate assets stemming from the aforementioned impairment. Gross margin was 81% for the quarter, representing an increase of 1 percentage point on a year-over-year basis. The improvement in our gross margin is primarily a result of the continued rollout of hardware efficiencies across our internally managed storage and data infrastructure. Fourth quarter R&D expense was $148 million or 26% of revenue, which is slightly increased as a percent of revenue compared to the fourth quarter of 2020. Sales and marketing expense was $99 million or 17% of revenue, which decreased compared to 20% of revenue in the fourth quarter of 2020. G&A expense was $43 million or 8% of revenue, which decreased compared to 9% of revenue in the fourth quarter of 2020. In total, we earned an operating profit of $168 million in the fourth quarter, which represents an operating margin of 30% or a 4 percentage point improvement compared to the fourth quarter of 2020. Net income for the fourth quarter was $160 million, which is a 36% improvement over the fourth quarter of 2020. Diluted EPS was a record $0.41 per share based on 386 million diluted weighted average shares outstanding, up from $0.28 per share based on 416 million diluted weighted average shares outstanding for the fourth quarter of 2020. Moving on to our cash balance and cash flow, we ended the quarter with cash and short-term investments of $1.718 billion. Cash flow from operations was $163 million in the fourth quarter and includes the impact of the aforementioned lease buyout of our headquarters in San Francisco. Capital expenditures were $1 million during the quarter. This resulted in quarterly free cash flow of $161 million compared to $158 million in Q4 of 2020. In the fourth quarter, we added $16 million to our finance leases for data center equipment. Let's turn to our share repurchase activity. In Q4, we repurchased 11.2 million shares, spending approximately $295 million, nearly doubling the number of shares purchased from Q3. As a reminder, our buyback program is structured to buy more shares at lower price points. At the end of Q4, we had approximately $344 million remaining on our $1 billion share repurchase authorization. Additionally, as we will discuss in greater detail later on this call, we're pleased to announce that earlier this month, our Board authorized an additional $1.2 billion share repurchase program. Now let's turn to our full year 2021 results. Total revenue for 2021 was $2.158 billion, representing 12.7% year-over-year growth, beating our updated guidance range. On a constant currency basis, relative to the average rates across 2020, year-over-year growth would have been 11.1%. Reflecting on this for a moment, our 2021 total revenue beat our initial constant currency revenue guidance of approximately 8% by over 300 basis points as we executed against our strategic pillars and outperformed throughout the year. Gross margin was 81% for the year, which was up 1 percentage point from 2020. Operating margin was 30% for 2021, which was up 9 percentage points from 2020. This significant year-over-year improvement demonstrates our continued commitment to and ability to execute against our long-term financial targets. Net income was $609 million for the year a 56% improvement over last year. Diluted EPS was $1.54 per share based on 396 million diluted weighted average shares outstanding, up from $0.93 per share for the full year 2020. Cash flow from operations for 2021 was $730 million. Capital expenditures for the full year totaled $22 million, which resulted in free cash flow of $708 million or 33% of revenue. Free cash flow grew by over 40% year-over-year. In 2021, we also added $127 million to our finance lease lines for data center equipment. Net off repayments, our finance lease balance increased by $17 million. Finally, we repurchased approximately 41 million shares, spending over $1 billion in 2021. I'd now like to share our 2022 first quarter and full year guidance, where I will also provide some context on the thinking behind this guidance. For the first quarter, we expect revenue to be in the range of $557 million to $560 million. We are assuming a minimal currency tailwind of approximately $1 million in the first quarter. Additionally, and as a reminder, there are fewer subscription days in the first quarter of each year. We expect non-GAAP operating margin to be in the range of 27.5% to 28%. As a reminder, there is some seasonality with first quarter operating margins as payroll taxes reset at the start of each year. Finally, we expect diluted weighted average shares outstanding to be in the range of 375 million to 380 million shares based on our trailing 30-day average share price. For the full year, we expect revenue to be in the range of $2.320 billion to $2.330 billion. This range is inclusive of an approximate $16 million currency headwind. We expect gross margin to be approximately 81%. We expect non-GAAP operating margin to be approximately 29%. We expect free cash flow to be in the range of $760 million to $790 million. This includes $17 million in cash outflows for the 2022 installments of acquisition-related deal consideration holdbacks. Additionally, our free cash flow guidance is inclusive of an estimated $30 million headwind as a result of pending R&D tax legislation, which I will elaborate on shortly. As related to capital expenditures, we expect our addition to finance leases to be approximately 5% of revenue, and we expect cash CapEx to be in the range of $25 million to $35 million in 2022. We expect 2022 diluted weighted average shares outstanding to be in the range of 368 million to 373 million shares. In addition to this formal guidance, I wanted to share some further context behind our expectations for 2022. As related to revenue, and as Drew shared, we've been investing across the business as we grow our product portfolio. Specifically, we have increased our investment in R&D and marketing initiatives in recent quarters in a targeted way to address key opportunities, including efforts aimed towards improving our retention trends, feeling growth areas such as DocSend and HelloSign through both product innovation and foundational improvements that help us capture the synergies inherent in these deals and launching new features and capabilities aimed at improving conversion. We also continue to invest in ensuring a seamless experience for our customers as we adapt our desktop client to operating system updates and changes, most recently related to a new version of Mac OS. And we're also building out our capabilities in security and automation to address customer demand in an increasingly complex environment. As we continue to add value with these features and other investments in the user experience this year, we envision updates to our pricing and packaging approach for a subset of our customers to reflect this value. We expect the cumulative impact of these efforts to translate to monetization momentum, culminating and accelerating revenue growth in the back half of the year. Any changes we are considering on pricing and packaging in the second half of the year have been factored into this guidance. As related to operating margins, we are facing a few exogenous headwinds this year that are playing a role in our guidance. In 2021, we benefited from an approximate two-point FX tailwind, whereas in 2022, we are currently expecting roughly a 50 basis point headwind. We also expect to incur incremental T&E, event and overhead expenses in 2022 as pandemic restrictions soften and company travel and employee gatherings resume. Additionally, we will continue to invest in R&D and sales and marketing initiatives that carry a compelling ROI. As related to free cash flow, our guidance includes a $30 million cash tax headwind as a result of pending tax legislation that would defer recently effective laws that now require R&D costs to be capitalized for tax purposes. There is a possibility that the current legislation may be amended or repealed. However, until such time, we are including this impact in our guidance. Furthermore, I'll now share an update on our long-term targets, which we plan to achieve by 2024. Our infrastructure team continues to drive innovation and efficiency as we manage our storage footprint. As a result, we are now above the top end of our previous long-term gross margin target range, and we continue to see incremental room to drive efficiencies. As such, we are raising our long-term gross margin target to a range of 80% to 82%, up from our previous range of 78% to 80%. As related to operating margins and despite the exogenous headwinds mentioned earlier, we are confident in our ability to drive leverage in our business. As a result, we are increasing our long-term operating margin target to a range of 30% to 32%, up from our previous range of 28% to 30%. It is important to note that even with raising our operating margin targets, we've maintained flexibility to invest in high ROI initiatives as top line growth remains a key priority for us. Additionally, despite the aforementioned cash tax headwinds, we are reiterating our goal of annual free cash flow of $1 billion by 2024. Lastly, I want to share an update on our plan to return capital to shareholders in the form of share repurchases. We plan to exhaust our previously authorized $1 billion share repurchase program in the first half of this year. Furthermore, as previously mentioned, our Board has authorized an additional $1.2 billion share repurchase program, consistent with our strategy to allocate a significant portion of our annual free cash flow to share repurchases with the goal of reducing our share count. In conclusion, our financial objectives remain intact. We continue to focus on balancing growth and profitability in a thoughtful, disciplined way. And we continue to allocate capital to initiatives that carry a compelling return while also returning cash to shareholders in the form of share repurchases. This strong rule of 40 financial profile enables us to invest in the biggest opportunities that we may see to enhance the value of our product offerings to drive long-term sustainable top line growth and to create shareholder value. We will continue to assess these opportunities, which could range from additional strategies to monetize our free user base, inorganic opportunities to enter into product adjacencies or organic initiatives as we aim to solve the challenges that our customers are facing. In short, we continue to have many opportunities to win, and we are very excited about the road ahead. With that, I'll now turn it over to the operator for Q&A.