Ajay Vashee
Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is open
Thank you, Drew. Our Q4 results demonstrate our strong execution and focus on delivering a healthy balance of top line growth and profitability. Total revenue for the quarter was up 19% year-over-year to $446 million. On a constant currency basis relative to the average rates across Q4, 2018 year-over-year growth would have been 20%. As this is our first earnings call of the year. I’d like to note that we’re formally adding total annual recurring revenue or ARR as a new key metric. We believe that ARR is the best indicator of our business performance and provides the most complete insight into the contribution from all of our revenue streams including our planned future products, add-ons, transaction volume based offerings and certain fees from the referral of users to our partners. Success with these types of initiatives will manifest in total ARR, but may distort or be excluded from metrics like paying users and ARPU. With this in mind, ARR for the quarter was $1.820 billion up 19% from the year ago period. We ended Q4 with 14.3 million paying users and ARPU was $125 in the period. Our continued growth in ARR reflects our strategy to methodically convert our highest value users to drive sustainable monetization and retention. Let’s move on to some of our customer highlights. In Q4, we had a number of wins across a range of verticals including healthcare, government, finance and real estate. In addition to the deployment with exposure that Drew mentioned I’m excited to share that one of the largest medical technology companies is now a Dropbox customer. This US headquartered company recently signed a three-year commitment to Dropbox and will be deploying our enterprise product to over 10,000 employees. Strong organic adoption of our products among the company’s sales, operations, marketing and design teams over the past few years was instrumental to landing a multi-thousand seat deployment. Employee preference, our best in class sharing tools and HIPAA Compliance were all important factors in this customers decisions to subscribe to our enterprise skew. Before I move on to the rest of the P&L, I want to note that unless otherwise indicated all income statement measures that follow are non-GAAP and excludes stock-based compensation, amortization of purchased intangibles and certain expenses related to the acquisition of HelloSign. Our non-GAAP net income also excludes net gains and losses on equity investments. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP results may be found in our earnings release which was furnished with our Form 8-K filed today with the SEC and in the supplemental investor materials posted on our investor relations website. Moving to the P&L, gross margin for the quarter was 78%. An increase of two percentage points compared to the fourth quarter of 2018. The increase in gross margin was driven by unit cost efficiency gains with our infrastructure hardware including lower depreciation as a share of revenue. Moving to operating expenses, fourth quarter R&D expense was $132 million or 30% of revenue compared to 29% in Q4 a year ago. The increase as a percentage of revenue was primarily driven by higher headcount and investments in new product development and testing. S&M expense was $97 million in the quarter or 22% of revenue compared to 25% in Q4 a year ago. The decrease was due to lower marketing spend relative to Q4 of 2018. G&A expense was $47 million or 11% of revenue, which is consistent with our G&A expense as a percentage of revenue in the prior year. Taken together, we earned $70 million in operating profit in fourth quarter. This translates to a 16% operating margin, which is 5% improvement from Q4 of 2018. Net income for the quarter was $67 million, up from $42 million a year ago. Diluted EPS was $0.16 per share, based on 418 million diluted weighted average shares outstanding, up from $0.10 in Q4 a year ago. Moving on to cash balance and cash flow. We ended Q4 with cash and short-term investments of $1.159 billion. Cash flow from operations was $187 million in the quarter. Capital expenditures were $26 million, yielding free cash flow of $161 million or 36% of revenue. CapEx in Q4 included $23 million of spend on our new headquarters of which $10 million was offset by tenant improvement allowances. Excluding the headquarter spend net of TIAs of $13 million, free cash flow would have been $175 million or 39% of revenue. In Q4, we also added $37 million to our finance lease funds for data center equipment. We expect additions to our finance lease funds to be 7% and 8% of revenue in 2020 and to decline modestly as a percentage of revenue on an annual basis thereafter. Let’s move onto our full results. Total revenue for 2019 was $1.661 billion representing 19% year-over-year growth. On a constant currency basis relative to the average rates across 2018 year-over-year growth would have been 21%. Gross margin was 76% up one percentage point from the prior year. And our operating margin was 12% in line with 2018. As a reminder, our operating margin in 2019 included two point headwind from non-recurring facilities and M&A related expenses. Cash flow from operations was $529 million in 2019. Capital expenditures were $136 million yielding free cash flow of $392 million or 24% of revenue. CapEx in 2019 included $120 million of spend on our new headquarters of which $55 million was offset by tenant improvement allowances. Excluding the headquarter spend net of TIAs of $64 million, free cash flow would have been $457 million or 27% of revenue. In 2019, we also added $144 million to our finance lease funds for data center equipment. Now let’s turn to our guidance. For the first quarter of 2020, we expect revenue to be in the range of $452 million to $454 million or 17% to 18% year-over-year growth. On a constant currency basis relative to the average rates across Q1 of 2019 we anticipate year-over-year growth to be approximately 18% to 19%. We expect non-GAAP operating margin to be in the range of 13.5% to 14% and diluted weighted average shares outstanding to be in the range of $418 million to $423 million based on our trailing 30-day average share price. I would like to remind everyone that in Q1 of each year there is seasonality to operating margins and free cash flow due to the reset of payroll taxes and the payout of yearend bonuses. Turning to the full year 2020, we expect revenue to be in the range of $1.890 to $1.905 billion or approximately 14% to 15% year-over-year growth. On a constant currency basis relative to the average rates across FY 2019 we anticipate revenue to be approximately $8 million higher. As Drew noted, we’re focused on driving the adoption of our new desktop app this year as well as bringing some new products to market. These initiatives will be incorporated into our outlook as we develop more signal throughout the year. We expect fiscal 2020 gross margin to be approximately 1.5 points higher than fiscal 2019. Non-GAAP operating margin to be in the range of 17.5% to 18%. And free cash flow to be in the range of $475 million to $485 million. This range includes one-time spend related to the build out of our new corporate headquarters as well as the payout of deal consideration holdback related to our acquisition of HelloSign. Excluding these items free cash flow will be $525 to $535 million. 2020 is the last year we expect to incur CapEx related to the build out of our new headquarters. Finally, we expect 2020 diluted weighted average shares outstanding to be in the range of $417 million to $422 million based on our trailing 30-day average share price. To echo what Drew mentioned earlier, we’re committed to delivering shareholder value as we invest across our business in 2020 and beyond. As a result, we’re raising our long-term operating margin target to 28% to 30% up from 20% to 22% which we expect to reach by 2024. To get there, we’ll drive more efficiency and higher levels of productivity across each of our operating expense categories. Accordingly, we’re revising our long-term for R&D spend to 23% to 25% of revenue down from 25% to 27% previously. Across R&D we plan to be prudent with headcount expansion over the coming years as we drive adoption of the new Dropbox, optimize our team oriented conversion flows and invest in new high ROI products launches. We’re revising our long-term target for S&M spend to 18% to 20% of revenue down from 22% to 24% previously. Across S&M, we plan to focus our spend to support adoption of the new Dropbox while prioritizing our most strategic growth and monetization initiatives. Finally, we’re maintaining our long-term G&A spend target of 8% to 10% of revenue. I also want to note that these efficiencies put us on a trajectory to generate over $1 billion of free cash flow on an annual basis by 2024. I want to be clear that as we execute against our new targets, we won’t be reducing investment in our growth engine and new product development rather we’ve carefully considered where we can drive material efficiency improvements across the business while preserving investment in our highest potential product and growth bets. Our updated long-term operating margin and free cash flow targets not only demonstrate our commitment to delivering profitable growth, but are a testament to the inherent efficiency of our self-serve business model. Finally, as indicated in our earnings press release our board has authorized a $600 million share repurchase program that we intend to execute on beginning this quarter. This not only underscore the confidence that the board and management team have in the future of Dropbox but also allows us to leverage the strength of our balance sheet to deliver returns back to our shareholders. I’m excited about the large and growing opportunity ahead of us, as we continue to strengthen our core business and pioneer the smart works space category. I’ll now turn it back to Drew for closing remarks.