Marc Ganzi
Analyst · Raymond James. You may proceed with your question
Thanks, Jacky. So as we look forward to 2022 in the year ahead, I wanted to set the table by addressing some of the key variables affecting a pretty dynamic macro business environment today. It's important to note, by the way that we're always monitoring these factors and planning ahead. This management team has been through many cycles. And that experience informs our preparation, how we invest in our management of our digital businesses. Inflation is the first variable that everyone is talking about. There was bound to be an impact from all the excess capital into the global financial system. That's shown up for us primarily in two areas. One, higher raw material construction cost, and two, higher labor costs to build or install fiber towers and datacenters. On balance, we've maintained our development yields by passing through these increased costs, via our contracts with customers so it has not materially impacted our expected returns. The silver lining on this is as owners of digital real estate, we benefit to some degree from higher inflation as the value of our underlying assets increases nominally. Secondly, supply chain, where it's quite common to hear about bottlenecks in the system for certain specialty parts that are disrupting entire supply chains. We've seen that backup, for example, in power generators. We've weathered this headwind by leveraging our scale, committing to for purchasing contracts that have kept us largely on schedule. And we're also expecting this to dissipate as an issue as the worst of COVID begins to subside. We all hope. Next is geopolitics. Look, with Eastern European in the news, in terms of our impact our businesses are power and utility costs in Europe, are 100% pass throughs to our customers. So any flare ups in prices do not materially impact our businesses. More broadly though, it's important to note it's not an accident. We don't have exposure to either those geographies. Analyzing and factoring in geopolitical risk is a key part of our investment process. And while we've generally steered clear and investing -- and not investing in non-OECD economies. Finally, interest rates, which have been trending higher back towards normalized levels where they were before COVID. This is another area where we have a lot of experience and we're planning ahead pays dividends. For the last year, we've been locking in low rates at the corporate level, where 100% of our debt is fixed rate. Down at the portfolio companies, which are 73% fixed rate at our digital operating businesses. We expect rates to settle in to more normalized levels, but not trend substantially higher. If they create disruption and values for digital infrastructure assets, we certainly believe that'll create a window for us to take advantage. Now, before I wrap up, it's worth noting how shielding digital infrastructure is from the broader macroeconomic and setup. The demand for connectivity is always trending higher. And we find ourselves in one of the strongest CapEx cycles in a generation protected from cyclical forces and positioned to succeed as we support the growth of our customers. Next slide. Okay, well, let's have some fun. Let's get into DigitalBridge and what we're most excited about as we look ahead to 2022 and the opportunity finally to focus 100% on digital. With the transition complete and as we accelerate, the key thematic for this year is time to build. Working with our 14-digit rich constituents, this is going to drive new proprietary deals, and continued strong capital formation as we extend our global reach. First, the organization. We've been incredibly effective with work from home for the last couple of years, but as we get back in person, it's clear there are tangible benefits to in-person collaboration from front end new idea generation to sharing best practices and asset management this is an apprenticeship business in many ways. And as we develop the next generation of talent, we're benefiting from connecting live again. Next up is capital. We've already proven we're the partner of choice to institutional investors that want to focus on digital infrastructure. But when people are committing hundreds of millions of dollars to long-term vehicles, they want to connect in person. We've done some of that during the pandemic, but we are poised to get much more active. And we're excited about how we can drive fundraising in 2022, especially with our new strategies in credit, core and ventures. Third, customers. Following the logos has long been my guiding principle and we believe that getting back out there is going to drive more proprietary deals, and more opportunities to help our customers unlock value for their existing infrastructure and trust to deliver more converged solutions. This is really exciting. And finally, down in our portfolio companies supporting their growth is ultimately how we generate value for investors. So manifesting their strategic plans gets easier live, we're planning on deploying over $7 billion in growth CapEx on a global basis in 2022. We'll talk more about that later. Bottom line, ‘22 is about accelerating and scaling our high performance platform. It's time to build and I couldn't be more enthusiastic about the year ahead. Next slide. So to accomplish our goals in 2022, the first place we're building is our digital investment platform. We've already had a lot of success scaling this business, raising $5 billion to $6 billion a year in the past two years. We think we can continue to deliver and are targeting to reach at least $22 billion in TAM in 2022. We achieved these objectives by forming capital around three new strategies we've developed a DigitalBridge in credit, core and ventures. Before I get into each of those, I want to give you some perspective for how we've assessed those opportunities, and how we're following the DigitalBridge playbook as we execute. On the right side, you can see, we look for what we look for in the new strategy. There are four core requirements that I need to develop a new product in our investment management platform. First, I've got to be able to leverage our existing relationships, and have the right people driving the product and deploying the capital. Second, we need to see strong investor interest from our LP base. Third, it's got to be a big market, a big TAM that can move the needle for us overtime. And lastly, we need to be able to leverage our proprietary deal flow that comes from our position at the center of a converging digital infrastructure landscape. All of the strategies meet those criteria as we assess those opportunities in each vertical once we assess the opportunity, we move to the next stage in our playbook. We build the team. We've done that for all three of these strategies, finding talented executives, help us develop and craft the strategies that positioned us to form capital and ultimately deployed. This is where we are today. Next slide. The goal is to establish DigitalBridge as a full stack digital infrastructure investment manager with the ability to invest and most importantly, operate and capitalize on a $400 billion annual global CapEx spend across our industry. We believe this positions us uniquely at the intersection of supply and demand with the capability to pair capital with the right opportunity to generate attractive, risk adjusted returns for you, our investors. Our ability to go anywhere globally, to show up for customers and corporates is truly unique in our sector. There isn't an opportunity and digital infrastructure that we can execute and deploy capital against. The chart here lays this out graphically, giving you some perspective on what we are building and where each of these opportunities fits in the risk return spectrum. Next slide, please. So let's start with credit where we believe institutional investors are underexposed to growth in the new economy. As you can see on the left, while the S&P 500 is about two thirds levered to grow sectors, credit markets are only at about 40%. How do they change that? Building exposure to digital infrastructure, the backbone of our growth economy. It embeds several levels of downside protection, while generating attractive risk adjusted returns. More broadly, if you look at the history of alternative asset managers, it's interesting to note that many of these firms built originally around their flagship equity strategies have gone to build credit businesses that rival or in some cases actually exceed the size of their equity franchise. Look, our goals here are much more modest today. But we do believe there's a huge credit opportunity overtime, and we're going to continue to talk to you about it. We've assembled and incubated a credit team for last two years led by Dean Criares, and it's a team that's worked together for a long time. We're excited to see how they scale this opportunity. We've developed a broad strategy with a focus on identifying and providing skill capital, to value added opportunities, where we can bring the same business building expertise that we leverage in our flagship funds to support growing businesses that have credit needs. This is a very unique and differentiated approach. We're already incredibly active as you would suspect we would be, we've closed six loans. And shortly we're about to close our seventh loan. We have a deep pipeline of 28 new opportunities, totaling some $1.6 billion across all the verticals of digital infrastructure. We warehoused [the first six loans on our balance sheet totaling around $120 million. We've already fully realized two of those loans, demonstrating a strong proof of concept as we look to form and close more capital around the strategy in 2022. Next slide, please. Next, the core opportunity. This is one of the most exciting strategies we're launching. Why do I say that? One of the things I hear when I talk to investors around the globe today is there are strong and growing interest in longer duration, predictable return strategies. They simply can't hit the return targets with generic fixed income strategies anymore. So we believe that we're uniquely positioned with global strategic customer relationships and deal sourcing capabilities to identify and prosecute opportunities that fit this profile. Combining supportive secular trends with high quality, long-term contracted cashless. Like credit, we think this is a very big opportunity. In fact, if you look at fundraising across the broader infrastructure asset class, over the last five years, more capital has been raised for core and core plus strategies in total, than the type of value added strategies that our flagship funds address. On the people side in 2021. We brought Matt Evans over from AMP, where he headed up their Global Head of Digital Infrastructure, and then brought in Peter Hopper from Abry. And before that Peter, of course, grew GH Capital, which is one of the premier investment banks in the datacenter space today. These two gentlemen are solely focused on capitalizing in this opportunity. And we couldn't have two more qualified executives to execute the strategy. It's a strategy that's focused on high quality defensible businesses and assets, with criteria including cash yields, low development exposure, and conservative capitalizations. We believe there's a significant opportunity for assets with this plug and play profile. Next slide, please. So, last but not least, ventures. This is a space where we believe our deep domain expertise, our market intelligence, and broader portfolio give DigitalBridge and unique edge to source, vet and invest in late growth stage companies across the emerging digital infrastructure technology vertical. Over the last two years, many of you heard me talk about the software defined layer of networks. This is directly adjacent to the physical layer of digital infrastructure that we manage on a daily basis around the globe. It should come as no surprise that we should be investing in technology that supports this software defined layer. This is the infrastructure of the future. And we'll be talking about this for a very long time as we transform and change our previously narrow definition of network architecture. Here, I've called on Alex Villela to help us develop the strategy. Alex came out of Qualcomm Ventures where he led their $200 million 5G fund. And before that, he was working in Intel Capital. We've launched a pilot fund internally and have already made two successful investments from this emerging vertical. The strategy is designed to deliver on the industry's key success factors out of the box, deep specialization, a tangible value proposition for founders, and an ability to derisk the transactions by leveraging our broader digital rich ecosystem of 23 companies and customers. Our focus is to support late-stage companies with strong derisk business models in partnership with other top tier VC investors. This will start smaller than the other two strategies I've outlined. But we believe it's a great performance fee profile. And there's a lot of opportunity to grow in the broader ventures vertical. So stay tuned. Next slide. Now that we've given you some insight into our 2022 plans for capital formation, in the digital investment management platform. Now let's go into how we plan to deploy the capital across the globe. And to be clear, it's a global footprint, the opportunity for DigitalBridge in our customers, their needs and their demands. And this reach is how we deliver on a daily basis. Continuing on an old theme we've been discussing with you over the last year. Here's our latest thinking on the buy versus build matrix, which I'm happy to go through in more detail with you in our Q&A session. That being said, I want to highlight one obvious takeaway. For us building is clearly in favor around the globe today. In fact, since we've just finished the budgeting cycle for our 23 global portfolio companies. Let's turn to the next slide. So I can give you some perspective on how important this is to us. Next slide please. DigitalBridge portfolio companies that committed $7.8 billion in growth CapEx in 2022 alone. This is primarily greenfield construction, to support the growth of our customers in our portfolio companies. We have shovels in the ground in five continents across all four core verticals of digital infrastructure. We're busiest in North America, with $4.7 billion focused on supporting hyperscale workloads and the fiber that binds it all together. In Latin America, it's almost a half a billion to help introduce 5G networks, and cloud applications that are going to run on those networks. In Europe, we have plans to spend $2.2 billion on bringing low latency compute to the edge of next generation networks, which will help our mobile carrier partners lower their total costs of network infrastructure. And finally, in Asia, our newest geography, we're spending $0.5 billion on greenfield datacenters at Vantage Asia, and new [Indiscernible] developments at EdgePoint Southeast Asia tower platform. Look, this is a really exciting for everyone at DigitalBridge, in our broader umbrella portfolio companies. This is what we love doing the most building, and it's where we create the most value for customers. It's where we generate the best returns and have the greatest impact as we help build the highly converged networks of the future. With that, I will conclude our 2022 year ahead review, and turn to a quick wrap up. Next page please. I want to finish today's presentation on the three key drivers underlying this next phase of the DigitalBridge investment case, our acceleration. First, powerful secular tailwinds, we’re at the intersection of supply and demand, benefiting from both the growing secular need for more better, faster connectivity, and strong institutional investor interest in digital infrastructure and our investment management platform. Next, how have we established ourselves as a partner of choice to investors? Well, it’s simple. It's rooted in our expertise and experience as the digital infrastructure experts. We've been investing in and operating digital assets for over 25 years. And as a group, we have hundreds of years of cumulative experience. That drives proprietary deals, proprietary ideas that ultimately drive returns for your investors. It also informs a forward-looking vision of a converging digital ecosystem that we position DigitalBridge to benefit from. Finally, our transition to a simple high growth business model. Over the past year, you've seen us successfully divest four legacy business segments. Our profile is now 100%. Digital, and we're not done yet. We're continuing to find ways to simplify, and most importantly accelerate our business to a high return, earnings driven secular growth company. Earnings and returns are what matter, and we will continue to deliver that for you. This is my pledge to you as investors in DigitalBridge. Next slide, please. When we're focused on latest quarterly results, it's easy sometimes to lose sight of the forest for the trees. So wanted to share some perspective on the bigger picture opportunity before we conclude today. Preqin, the data analytics provider to the alternative asset industry recently published their forecasts for growth in the global private infrastructure market over the next five years. They're estimating an $864 billion market today, that will more than double the $1.9 trillion by 2026. This will overtake real estate as the largest real asset class allocation. That's a really significant tailwind for us. If there's one thing I know for sure, from my meetings with investors, they are under allocated to digital within the broader infrastructure asset class. When you combine that fact, with our market leadership position as the digital infrastructure experts, it's a very powerful combination and a strong setup for your investors, it positions DigitalBridge hit $100 billion in AUM inside the next five years. I believe we can and should grow faster. In fact, if we hit the mark within the next four years, that's over a 20% annual organic growth rate. Next page, please. In conclusion for today, let's bring it back to where we're going to take you and our investors in 2022. What does our scorecard look like for the year ahead? Well, it's pretty simple. There are four big areas of focus by which you our investors will greatest. Number one, we need to successfully extend our investment management platform into the verticals I described earlier, credit, core and ventures. Finish raising the capital required to execute on those really exciting opportunities. Two we're going to meet and exceed both our fundraising targets and our financial operating targets. As many of you know, this is always my favorite one to check off the list. We have given you new guidance for this year in 2023 that exceeds our previous projections. Number three, we're going to continue to invest in high quality digital businesses, leveraging our proprietary deal flow. And look, we already have a fantastic head start. We are committed to deploy $7.8 billion in capex into our existing 23 platform companies. We will deploy capital into new platforms as well. And we anticipate growing and exceeding AUM by over 20% this year. Number four, this is important. I want to continue to advance our ESG and DEI initiatives, where the progress made in 2021 highlighted the importance of integrating renewables, particularly into our operating businesses. The decarbonization of our portfolio, and creating new sources of renewable power remains one of my highest priorities in 2022. So there you have it. Those are my key priorities for 2022. And look, it's time to get back out there. It's time to build a full stack digital infrastructure manager. It's time to build billions of dollars of new digital infrastructure. And it's time to continue to build our business. So with that, I want to thank you all for listening to our earnings presentation this morning. And I'd like to turn the call back over to the operator to initiate our Q&A session. Thank you