Operator
Operator
Good morning, and welcome to the CEMEX Third Quarter 2020 Conference Call and Webcast. My name is Chuck, and I'll be your operator for today. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Our host for today are; Fernando González, Chief Executive Officer; and Maher Al-Haffar, Chief Financial Officer. And now, I would like to turn the conference over to your host, Fernando González. Please proceed, sir. Fernando González: Good morning, and thank you for joining us today on our third quarter 2020 conference call and webcast. I hope this call finds you and your families in good health. I'm joined today by Maher Al-Haffar, our CFO. We will spend a few minutes reviewing the business, and then we will be happy to take your questions. We are quite pleased with our performance in third quarter and the recovery we have experienced since the disruptions caused by COVID-19 lockdown in second quarter. In this, in the third quarter, we are moving beyond EBITDA recovery from second quarter, but rather to growth in EBITDA on a year-over-year basis at a double-digit rate. In fact, EBITDA, EBITDA margin and free cash flow in the quarter were the highest since 2016. With the lifting of lockdown measures, bulk cement has rebounded sequentially in Mexico and South, Central America and the Caribbean regions and just bagged cement has also continued to grow. Importantly, Mexico growth in the quarter is not simply recovering from second quarter COVID-19 restrictions, but also about a rebound from a difficult 2019 in the form of double-digit EBITDA growth as the current government settles into its second year. This is the second consecutive quarter of significant margin improvement, resulting from higher prices, energy tailwinds and cost efficiencies under operational resilience. Despite the volatile COVID-19 demand conditions this year, pricing is up year-over-year for all three products. We continue to derisk the capital structure in the quarter with the extension of near-term backed maturities under our facilities agreement, the bond liability management as well as an improvement in our leverage ratio. Our safety protocols, distribution capabilities and digital platforms are winning customer loyalty as evidenced by the second consecutive quarter of record Net Promoter Scores. Finally, visibility for our business continues to improve, and we believe that while the future may be bumpy, we are experiencing sustainable demand trends in many markets. I would be remiss, if I did not recognize that the third quarter achievements are a result of the extraordinary efforts on the part of our employees during these challenging times, and their appearance to the safety protocols we have put in place, which ensure the continuity of our business. Before we review the quarter, I would like to really recap some of the takeaways from our Analyst Day in September. We rolled out our medium-term strategy operation resilience, which will guide us to 2023. This plan is recognition that COVID-19 has changed the landscape of our industry and that our strategy must adjust to this new reality. Many of the goals of operational resilience are familiar at the route to how we get there is different. It is about enhancing margins through operational performance and cost containment and committing to a sustainable 20% EBITDA margin by 2023. It is about optimizing our portfolio for growth through strategic asset divestments and bolt-on investments. To this sense, we have been augmenting our resources and focus to enhance the bolt-on growth strategy. We are focusing on identifying and selecting investment projects that will either improve our profitability or capture additional value in our four core businesses, both of which will result in increased EBITDA. We have been progressing on this strategy for the last couple of years. Our current bolt-on investment pipeline includes over 40 projects representing investments in excess of $250 million that should contribute around $50 million in EBITDA in 2021. It is about achieving an investment-grade capital structure and decreasing our business to lay the foundation for the future growth. And finally, it is about considering sustainability as competitive advantage and further integrated is into all our operations and decision-making. Now let me move to the quarter. Volumes have not only rephrased the steep decline of second quarter, but they are showing year-over-year growth in all markets, except Middle East, Asia and Africa. We believe this growth is not simply a result of pent-up demand during the lockdown period, as we are now several months beyond restrictions in most markets. Mexico stands out with double-digit volume growth in the quarter, reflecting recovery from last year's government transition. The trends we are seeing give us confidence that these volumes are sustainable in the near-term in most markets. We know that COVID-19 will continue to challenge our operations, but we believe that the learning curve of governments have improved significantly and that government reactions to future outbreaks will be more targeted and less disruptive to our business. Importantly, prices for our pre products grow between 1% and 3% year-to-date September. The high-capacity utilization that exists today in our major markets, combined with a more stable demand environment, will lead to opportunities to compensate for lost input cost inflation. One of the most encouraging trends we have experienced this year has been the performance of bagged cement in our emerging market footprint. While bagged cement has always been resilient in downturns, the performance this year has been, one, not just of stability but growth. Similar to consumer trends globally, bagged cement demand has been supported by a search in home improvement as families quarantine and use their disposable income to enhance their homes. Additionally, bag consumption is highly correlated to remittances and remittance levels have remained strong to date in the crisis. Finally, government programs designed to promote self cost structure are also supportive of consumption. This has been an important factor in the growth of bagged cement in Mexico this year. During the third quarter, consolidated sales grew 3%, reflecting strong growth in cement volumes that was partially offset by a decline in revenues. While all regions contributed to the growth in sales on a like-to-like basis, Mexico was the largest contributor with a 14% increase. Local currency pricing for our three products increased between 1% and 2%, driven by our cost containment effort, consolidated EBITDA rose 15% on a like-for-like basis to $728 million, with all regions showing growth. The 180 basis points increase in EBITDA margin reflects higher prices, lower energy costs, savings in SG&A, improved logistics and mix FX. Finally, quarterly free cash flow after maintenance CapEx grew more than 50% year-over-year, reflecting increased earnings and lower maintenance and working capital needs. The last time we achieved 21% margins, partly EBITDA and free cash flow of this magnitude was in 2016. And now to drill down a bit on the 15% increase in EBITDA. While all business levels contributed to the performance, pricing provided the biggest boost. Our cost savings initiative lower fuel and distribution costs were also important factors. Reported EBITDA reflects the unfavorable effect from currency fluctuation of $22 million, due primarily to the depreciation of the Mexican peso. Operation resilience cost savings were an important contributor to margin improvement. We achieved almost one-third of our 2020 cost savings goal in the quarter. Savings here to date are equivalent to 240 basis points in margin. The biggest contributors have been SG&A with reduction in fees, sales and marketing expenses, distribution, travel headcount. And operational savings related to increased cement efficiency in Mexico and a ready-mix plants rightsizing, among others. During this year, we have new ways to operate, and we believe many of these savings are sustainable in the future. During the last few months, our digital platforms under the CEMEX Go umbrella have been in porting tools to serve our customers and a significant differentiating factor. Of course, we did not foresee a pandemic when we went live with CEMEX Go three years ago, as our investments have certainly being unlisted. In only two years, approximately 90% of recurring customers use CEMEX Go. And today, under the CEMEX Go umbrella, we have rolled out digital applications to meet specific customer segments. For example, construrama.com is a digital platform available for retail customers in our emerging market portfolio. Another example would be the development of CEMEX Go release, a digital application to improve efficiency and promote low-touch delivery of our products, all commercial aggregate customers. We believe our digital capabilities are an important factor in our record Net Promoter Scores of the last two quarters. In our operational receiving strategy, sustainability assumes a leading growth. We recognize the current challenges our industry faces, and we believe that climate action will be an important competitive advantage. We have aggressive goals to meet these challenges. 2030 goal 35% reduction in CO2 emissions. On a 2050 ambition of net CO2 concrete globally. Importantly, the path to achieve our 2020 goal is clear and based on existing prove technologies. And as of 2019, we have already achieved a 22% reduction in CO2 emissions. Take us the rest of the way, we have developed a detailed plant by planned road map. In third quarter, this road map and 2030 targets were validated by Carbon Trust, a recognized independent organization that provides certification of carbon reduction plans. We began this important challenge from a place of strength. We already have one of the highest alternative fuel usages in the industry, and this expertise will be an important tool to move forward. Additionally, we will relay on the experience we have gained in our European region, which leads our way on CO2 reduction initiatives. Europe will reach the 35% reduction in CO2 goal by the end of this year, 10 years ahead of our consolidated targets. And by 2030, we expect Europe will reduce you to by 55%. Aligned to our 2050 plan, we are already offering a net CO2 concrete, concrete that meets our 2050 ambition. It has been introduced in several countries in Europe and will be rolled out shortly in other major markets around the world. In fact, it's been used in the largest infrastructure project in Europe, the high-speed two rate projects in the U.K. To deliver fully on our 2050 ambition, the industry will need to find new technologies that can be scaled easily. We are working within our industry with governments and multilateral organizations and our own to develop these solutions. We are uniquely positioned in this work by our ability to quickly roll out innovations through our global networks. Our new business of organization solutions as well as CEMEX Ventures will play a critical role in this challenge. During this quarter alone, we announced two joint ventures: one with a Swiss company, San Helion to eliminate the carbon footprint of cement using solar power; and the other with carbon clean to develop low-cost carbon capture. And now let's move to the regions. Our operations in the U.S. continued to enjoy strong momentum in third quarter, driven primarily by a pickup in residential activity as well as strong growth in the infrastructure sector. Volumes in the quarter were somewhat affected by weather by California, coupled with higher precipitation in the Southeast. The residential sector continues to benefit from low interest rates and record low inventory, strong household formation and changes in buyer preferences to favorite server and single-family homes. The latest data shows that single-family starts and new home sales are at the highest level since the great recession. Permits for new single-family homes were up 20% year-on-year in third quarter, suggesting that this housing strength should continue into next year. The infrastructure sector has also shown growth. Highways and street spending quarter today, August was up 3% year-over-year. While trailing 12-month contract awards for our four key states as of September are up 9%. We are encouraged by the one-year extension to the FAST Act that was recently passed. We believe that with more visibility of federal funding, states will feel more comfortable disbursing their old transportation funds. In addition, the extension will give the new administration trying to undertake a more meaningful federal transportation program. Prices remained stable sequentially for our pre-products. We introduced a pricing increase for cement in California in September, and we are optimistic about its structure. As we think about next year, we look to recover much of the cost increases that we were not able to pass-through this year due to COVD-19 disruptions. EBITDA margin expanded by one percentage point, reflecting improved logistics, lower fuel costs and savings from operational resilience. In Mexico, the double-digit growth in cement volumes is a sign of recovery from a difficult 2019 as government programs take hold and spending accelerates in the second year of the administration. This growth is supported by strong self-construction, infrastructure, and in formal housing and industrial construction. Government social programs, coupled with a surge in home improvements and strong remittances have supported bagged cement volumes. These social programs for school improvements, rural roads and housing are significant. We estimate they are responsible for approximately a third of the increase in bagged cement volumes this year. Based on the preliminary budget for 2021, the existing social programs are expected to be maintained; while several new programs such as [Indiscernible] aimed at developing 13,000 new homes for social housing will be introduced. The 2021 budget for these social programs is expected to increase our double-digit rate versus prior year budget. In infrastructure, execution of federal flagship projects has weakened, while state and local governments have initiated improvements in urban infrastructure and transportation. We welcome the announcement by the Mexican government of the $14 billion private public infrastructure plans. The plan is evidence of the intent of the public and private sector to work together to reignite economy via infrastructure. During the quarter, despite a successful price increase for bagged cement, our prices were flat on a sequential basis. This is explained by product mix as bulk cement grew 54% sequentially, while bagged cement volumes were up 5%. As you know, we are committed to recovering our input cost inflation in terms of pricing of our products. Since January 2019, cement prices have declined in real terms. To that end, we have announced a 3% nation-wide price increase on bagged cement beginning early October. The EBITDA margin during the quarter increased 0.6 percentage points, mainly due to volume and prices, a favorable product mix effect, cost reduction initiatives, and feel tailwinds. Profit utilization is strong in the country, and we believe our tax expansion is coming online at the right time in the first half of 2021. Finally, next year's 2021 midterm election will be the most comprehensive election in Mexico's history with a full chamber of duties and 15 state governors up for elections as well as numerous local positions in all 32 states. The electoral spending is typically another catalyst for the consumption for bagged cements. In our EMEA region, EBITDA grew 8% year-on-year, driven by Europe, Israel, and the Philippines. The EBITDA margin increased 90 basis points due to pricing and cost containment initiatives. Philippines was an important contributor. In Europe, we saw an important rebound in our Western European markets from the lockdowns in second quarter. Our Central European countries continue to grow. We saw strong volume performance in the quarter from Germany, Poland, and the Czech Republic. While the U.K. markets pick up as lockdowns were lifted in July, we continue to see year-over-year weakness in construction activity. As we enter 2021, we remain well-positioned for Phase 4 of the European Union's emission trading systems. We have sufficient carbon allowances to cover our operations through 2030. This position will smooth the way in our transition to reach our 2030 climate goals. In the Philippines, we experienced a sharp recovery of volumes in the quarter as the lockdown measures were lifted in late May. For more information, please see our CHP quarterly earnings, which will be available this evening. Israel continued with its robust performance, again, beating its record EBITDA, which was just said in second quarter. In response to rising infection rates recently within EMEA, we have seen new targeted restrictions imposed by the U.K., France, Spain, Israel, and the Philippines, among others to combat the virus. The construction sector continues to operate without restrictions. Construction activity in our South, Central, and Caribbean region during the quarter showed encouraging trends. Regional cement volumes have recovered to almost 2019 levels. Pricing dynamics remain favorable in the region, with markets representing approximately 80% of our regional volumes, experiencing sequential increases in local currency terms. The reported decline results from a geographic mix effect. EBITDA for the region increased 31% year-over-year. This was the first increase in EBITDA since fourth quarter 2019. EBITDA margin increased 630 basis points on the back of our cost reduction initiatives, higher prices and the positive contribution of lower fuel prices. In Colombia, activities improved during the quarter driven by the self-construction sector and execution of 4G-highway projects. The midterm outlook in Colombia is favorable, supported by fiscal stimulus measures, including investments in social housing as well as the new 5G infrastructure program. Execution of the existing 4G-highway projects will continue to support volumes. Demand volumes in the Dominican Republic grew 5% on a year-over-year basis on the back of increased activity in the self-construction sector as a result of strong remittances. For additional detail on this region, I invited to review CLH's quarterly results, which were also published today. And now, I will pass the call to Maher to review our financial performance.