Fernando Gonzalez
Analyst · BTG
Thank you. Good day to everyone and thank you for joining us for our third quarter 2015 conference call and webcast. We will be happy to take your questions after our initial remarks. Our reported results reflect the unprecedented strength of the U.S. dollar versus most of the currencies in our markets, which intensified during the quarter. Despite this, we had favorable operating results. Our quarterly sales and operating EBITDA increased by 5% on a like-to-like basis. While EBITDA margin was relatively flat during the quarter, year-to-date, EBITDA margin was the highest since 2009. Now, regarding FX, some components of our business strategy have allowed us to mitigate the currency fluctuations in our different businesses. First, our cost structure, in many of the countries, we have operations, including Mexico and Colombia, have a very important local currency component. Second, we continue to focus on extracting operating efficiencies from our businesses, including our cost reduction efforts and free cash flow initiatives. And third, favorable supply demand dynamics were supportive of higher prices for our three core products in most of our markets. In fact, if you take into consideration the increase in prices on a consolidated basis in our portfolio, and adjust them for valuable costs and increase in freight rates on a year-to-date basis, we have recovered slightly more than half of the FX headwinds that we have experienced. Now, assuming we are able to maintain our pricing traction for the remainder of the year, and currencies stabilize at current levels, we expect this recovery of the FX headwinds to increase to more than 60% for the full-year. Additionally, we expect the same favorable supply demands dynamics we have seen in three of our most important markets Mexico, the U.S. and Colombia to continue during 2016. Now, due to the success of our value before volume strategy in some of our markets, we have had to give up some highly price-sensitive volumes, which we expect we will be able to recover in due course through better product and service solutions, as well as our customers’ centricity initiatives. We are encouraged by the achievements during the first nine months of this year. Consolidated domestic gray cement volumes are the highest in seven years. We are on track to meet our $150 million in cost and expense reductions for 2015, with 75% having been realized year-to-date. We also had the highest free cash flow levels since 2009, reflecting our initiatives to reduce financial expenses and improve working capital, translating into a record low of low 22 working capital days. During the quarter, we also announced we have signed agreements to sell in separate transactions our operations in Croatia as well as our operations in Austria and Hungary. In addition, we also announce an agreement to sell our gypsum wallboard business in the United States. Our total year-to-date asset sales, including these transactions, amount to approximately $620 million. On the financing side, we fully repaid the $1.94 billion outstanding under our facilities agreement, maturing in February 2017. We have now consolidated our syndicated bank debt in a single agreement under improved conditions, including a lower interest rate, which better reflect our financial metrics. Consolidated ReadyMix volumes grew during the quarter while cement and aggregates volumes remained flat. Year-to-date consolidated cement volumes, however, were the highest in seven years. We achieved record cement volumes in the Philippines and Nicaragua, and record ReadyMix volumes in Israel, the Dominican Republic, Guatemala and Egypt. Consolidated prices for our three core products are higher in local currency terms on a year-over-year basis. Sequentially, cement and ReadyMix prices remain stable. And now I would like to discuss the most important developments in our markets. In Mexico, cement industry volumes are estimated to have grown in the high single digits year-to-date. Our volumes have been impacted by our focus on our value for volume strategy and on profitability. EBITDA margin increased by 2.3 percentage points, both during the quarter and year-to-date on a year-over-year basis. Cement prices as of the third quarter are 7% higher sequentially, and year-to-date, prices as of September are 8% higher than in the same period last year. Cement demand to the industrial and commercial sector improved during the quarter. Commercial activity continued to be supported by strong drivers, including retail sales. On the industrial side, however, the pickup in manufacturing activity has been slower than expected but still expected to improve in line with the U.S. manufacturing sector. In the formal residential sector, activity during the quarter moderated from very strong performance seen during the first half of the year. In addition, second-half 2014 comparables for subsidies and housing credits are more difficult, as cement consumption from the sector was back ended last year. While housing credits granted by public entities declined during July and August, credits granted by the banking sector, which represents about 45% of total housing investment, are still up in the double digits. Recent favorable housing starts and registries should support this sector in the upcoming months. In the infrastructure sector, there was a slowdown in investment during the quarter. In the Ministry of Communications and Transportation, which is the most cement-intensive, there have been some delays in projects. While investment in this Ministry is up 3% year-to-date August, this percentage is lower than the 16% increase budgeted for the full-year 2015. Regarding the expense budget for 2016, the Mexican government has presented a proposal, which is currently under provision for expected approval next month. This budget proposal reflects a reduction in expenses of 0.5 percentage points of GDP or close to $6 billion. However, different cement-intensive budget items under the Ministry of Communications and Transportation show increased spending for next year. Proposed investment for highways and railroads are 2% and 19% higher, respectively, from this year’s level. For the self-construction sector, prospects remain favorable, given continued improvement in indicators, including job creation, real wages, and remittances. After the positive year-to-date performance, we expect our cement volumes to grow in the mid-single digits during 2015. Despite the slowdown in the energy sector and poor weather in the first half, the U.S. business continues its steady recovery. Industry cement volumes for the U.S. are up 4% year-to-date August. Our quarterly cement volumes performed in line with the industry, with an increase of 4% on a year-over-year basis. Excluding oil well cement, cement volumes grew 8%. ReadyMix volumes on a pro forma basis, adjusting for an acquisition in California in the first quarter, rose 12%, while aggregates volumes increased 11%. The growth differential between cement and ReadyMix reflects the exposure of our cement business to the oil industry, as well as differences in geographical footprint and market segment mix between the two products. The U.S. business continued to recover its profitability during the quarter. EBITDA margins expanded 2.3 percentage points year-over-year and represented the highest margins of the region since second quarter 2008. All three demand sectors contributed to volume growth in the quarter, with the residential sector outperforming the infrastructure and industrial and commercial sectors. Propelled by low inventories, job creation and household formation; housing starts are up 12% year-to-date September. Importantly, single-family construction, after marginal growth last year, has picked up momentum in 2015 with 11% growth year-to-date September. Housing permits in our four key states, Texas, Florida, California, and Arizona grew 12% year-to-date August, consistent with growth at the national level. California and Florida are outperforming the national average with a growth in excess of 17% year-over-year. We continue to be encouraged by the acceleration in housing permits, suggesting dynamic growth in housing starts over the next few quarters. The industrial and commercial sector has experienced a headwind from the sharp decline in energy investment investments year-to-date. Partially offsetting the decline in energy investments, construction spending for cement-intensive industrial and commercial segments is up 20% year-to-date August, reflecting solid growth in the lodging and office space markets. National contract awards, which are based on the commencements of a construction project, dropped 11% in the same period, largely as a consequence of bad weather in the first half of the year and reduced energy investments. Florida continues performing at above trend levels with strong double-digit growth. Public sector activity picked up during the quarter, driven by state spending, while total public infrastructure spending is flat year-to-date August. Highway and bridge investments, the most cement-intensive sector of infrastructure spending, registered an increase of 6% versus the same period last year. In addition, contract awards for highway and bridges are up 20% year-to-date August, due largely to the approval of over $17 billion in TIFIA projects over the last year. Lack of visibility continues to constrain federal highway spending with the Federal Highway Program set to expire at the end of this month. Regarding the Federal Highway Program, Congress continues to try to build on the momentum created by the Senate’s passage of a six-year bill in July. The first time the Senate has pushed through a transportation bill of this tenure since the passage of a six-year program in 2005. With the rapidly approaching October 29 deadline, however, we believe the most likely scenario is another short-term extension of the existing program to allow more time for Congress to negotiate a multiyear deal. Cement prices were flat sequentially, while ReadyMix prices rose 2% in the quarter. Aggregates prices are down 1% due to product mix. We have announced robust pricing increases for January and April 2016, and we are optimistic that they will gain traction. Incremental margins continue to reflect significant cost containment as well as operating leverage in the U.S. business. EBITDA margin year-to-date as of September was 13.2%, 2.9 percentage points higher than in the same period last year. In our northern Europe region, like-to-like cement and ReadyMix volumes increased by 1% and 3%, respectively, during the quarter. Quarterly EBITDA on a like-to-like basis also grew 5% with a margin improvement of 1 percentage point. Regional like-to-like cement and ReadyMix prices in local currency terms are up 2% and down 2%, respectively, on a year-over-year basis. In Germany, pro forma cement volumes during the quarter declined by 1%. Cement prices, also on a pro forma basis, remained stable sequentially in local currency terms. In the residential sector, the fast-growing immigration -- expected to reach about 1.5 million people this year -- is creating additional demand. This, together with continued low mortgage interest rates, low unemployment, and rising purchasing power, should continue driving this sector and more than offset restrictions, such as land availability and regulatory caps on rental increases. Regarding Infrastructure, there have been some delays in the granting of projects. However, this sector should benefit from higher tax revenues going forward. In Poland, the slight decline in volumes during the quarter reflects a moderation in activity as well as the effect of market dynamics. Our volumes benefited from increased activity in the residential sector, driven by favorable housing starts and permits. In infrastructure, despite delays, a number of projects have started recently. We expect residential and infrastructure activity to continue to drive demand for our products. In France our ReadyMix and aggregate volumes were affected by the continuing macroeconomic weakness. Housing sales have improved as a result of the government’s initiatives, which include a Buy to Let program and a stimulus package. As some inventories decrease, this should have a positive effect on new housing starts. In infrastructure, the government recently announced high-speed rail line projects for a total of €8.3 billion. In addition, some major French projects, amounting to €1.8 billion, have been selected to benefit from European Union subsidies. In the United Kingdom, our cement and aggregate volumes grew by 3% and 5%, respectively, during the quarter. The decline in ReadyMix volumes reflects our focus on profitability. The residential sector should continue to contribute to demand growth driven by economic expansion, pricing, consumer confidence, increasing employment, and real income. Also, the infrastructure sector should continue to grow in coming months, supported by a healthy pipeline of projects. Higher activity in the industrial and commercial sector should come from office buildings, warehouses, and factories. In the Mediterranean region, like-to-like domestic cement and aggregate volumes declined by 5% during the quarter. Regional ReadyMix volumes increased by 1% in the same period, driven by improved performance in Egypt and the United Emirates. Regional prices for ReadyMix and aggregates are up 2% and 5%, respectively, while like-to-like cement prices declined by 7% in local currency and on a year-over-year basis, reflecting lower prices in Egypt. In this country, the slight decline in our cement volumes during the quarter reflects the high volume base last year when we dispatched additional volumes in light of the then-prevalent energy shortage environment. Cement demand in the country has grown in the low single digits year-to-date. Sequential cement prices in local currency terms were 7% lower during the quarter, reflecting additional volume coming on stream. Regarding energy, we expect to start switching our kiln fuel from mazot to pet coke by the end of this year. We are currently in the process of installing a pet coke grinding mill for this purpose. Utilization of this fuel should translate into reduced production costs. During the rest of the year, the formal residential and infrastructure sectors should show increased activity. In Israel, our ReadyMix volumes declined by 2% during the third quarter, affected by religious holidays in September. In Spain, pro forma domestic cement volumes declined by 13%, mainly due to our focus on more profitable volumes. Total cement volumes, including clinker and export cement, however, increased by 8% during the quarter on a like-to-like basis. Sequential cement prices declined by 2% in local currency terms, mainly resulting from lower pricing in the central region. Pro forma gray cement prices in local currency terms increased by 11% on a year-over-year basis. Operating EBITDA in Spain has been improving as a result of higher total volumes and prices, a favorable operating leverage effect, and our focus on profitability. The residential sector is benefiting from improved credit conditions, employment, and consumer confidence. Increased credits for home purchases and housing permits, as well as an upturn in home prices, should continue to have a positive effect on this sector for the remainder of the year. National cement consumption is expected to grow in the mid-single digits for this year. Going forward, we expect to continue to see a favorable operating leverage effect in our markets in Spain as our volumes continue to improve, and as we realize the expected synergies from the integration of the acquired cement assets. In our South, Central America, and the Caribbean region, quarterly cement, ReadyMix and aggregate volumes declined by 2%, 6% and 3%, respectively. We are pleased with our cement volume growth in the Dominican Republic, Costa Rica, Nicaragua, and Guatemala during the quarter. In the case of Colombia, cement demand dynamics continued to be favorable with a mid single-digit growth in the industry volumes year-to-date. I will give a general overview of the region. For additional information, you can also see CLH quarterly results, which were also reported today. The regional decline in margins reflect a country mix effect with lower contribution from Colombia and Panama, as well as maintenance mainly in Costa Rica. In Colombia, our cement volumes declined by 6% year-over-year, reflecting the very high base of comparison, as the third quarter 2014 holds the all-time quarterly volume record, as well as our efforts to continue looking for windows of opportunity to apply our pricing strategies. Cement prices in local currency terms increased by 7% sequentially and by 12% year-over-year. As of September, cement prices were 14% higher from December levels. The residential sector continues to be the main driver of economic growth. Demand from this sector should continue to be bolstered by the various government housing initiatives. The infrastructure sector should continue to be an important contributor to growth of the country. The government approved $1.6 billion to finance infrastructure under the recently announced stimulus plan. In addition, projects under the 4G infrastructure program will support this sector in the midterm. 19 projects, for a total of about $8.5 billion, have been awarded in the first two waves of this program. Six first-wave projects have already obtained financing. The government expects financial closing for the remaining four first-wave projects by February next year, and for the nine second-wave projects by second-half of next year. In Panama, our cement volumes declined by 23% during the quarter, reflecting an 84% decline in volumes sold to the Canal expansion project, as well as the end of some infrastructure projects, such as the Corredor Norte. And adjusting for the Canal project, our cement volumes declined by 9% during the quarter and increased 3% year-to-date, compared with the same period last year. The year-over-year increase in cement prices mainly reflects a mix effect from lower volumes to the Canal project. The government has announced a five-year $11 billion public investment plan, which includes important projects such as the Metro system expansion, interstate highways, water management, among others. These projects should continue supporting infrastructure investment in the country over the medium-term. In Asia, cement volumes increased in the double digits during the quarter. Regional cement prices in local currency terms improved by 2% sequentially and by 4% on a year-over-year basis, resulting in an EBITDA margin expansion of 2.7 percentage points. In the Philippines, we also saw double-digit growth in cement volumes, driven by improvements in all sectors, good weather conditions, and a better ability to serve our markets through the introduction of the new cement grinding mill late last year. For the remainder of the year, the residential sector should continue to be supported by stable inflation, low mortgage rates, and higher housing demand from Filipinos overseas. Increasing demand for low-cost homes and high-end rentals are driving growth in the sector. Regarding infrastructure, despite some delays in implementation of projects, the sector is expected to show strong growth for the full-year. In the industrial and commercial sector, continued growth should come from expansions in different industries, including business process outsourcing services. In summary, we are pleased with the growth in local currency prices in most of our regions, reflecting the continued positive outcome of our value before volume strategy. And now I would like to turn the call over to Maher to discuss our financials. Maher?