Operator
Operator
Good morning, and welcome to CEMEX Fourth Quarter 2012 Conference Call and Video Webcast. My name is Jasmine, and I'll be your operator for today. [Operator Instructions] Our hosts for today are Fernando González, Executive Vice President of Finance and Administration; and Maher Al-Haffar, Vice President of Corporate Communications, Public Affairs and Investor Relations. And now, I will turn the conference over to your host, Fernando González. Please proceed. Fernando A. González: Thanks. Good day to everyone. Thank you for joining us for our Fourth Quarter 2012 Conference Call and Video Webcast. After Maher and I discuss the results of the quarter, we will be happy to take your questions. We are pleased with our 10% growth in operating EBITDA on a like-to-like basis on the back of essentially flat consolidated net sales. This is the sixth consecutive quarter with a year-over-year EBITDA increase. For the full year, operating EBITDA grew by 14% on a like-to-like basis, reaching $2.6 billion. Improvement in pricing and volume in several of our regions, as well as the continued success of our transformation effort, has led to the highest operating EBITDA and operating EBITDA margin since 2009. Infrastructure and housing continue to be the main drivers of demand for our products. The U.S., as well as the South, Central America and the Caribbean and Asia regions contributed strongly to our fourth quarter and full year 2012 consolidated cement volumes. The favorable volumes from these regions partially mitigated the declines we experienced in the Northern Europe and Mediterranean regions and, to a lesser extent, Mexico. In the case of the U.S., we had double-digit growth in our full year cement, ready mix and aggregate volumes. Prices for domestic gray cement on a consolidated basis increased by 1% sequentially in local currency terms, while ready mix and aggregates prices were stable. For the full year 2012, we saw low- to mid-single digit increases in consolidated prices in local-currency terms for our 3 core products. Although we are recovering part of input cost inflation, we continue to be at levels below our targeted return on capital employed. On this front, execution of our value-before-volume strategy continues with primary focus on greater transparency in pricing and enhancing our customer relations experience. These should, in the medium-term, translate into the desired returns on investment in our core businesses. As part of this strategy, in our Northern Europe region, we have now put in place the elements of our new pricing standards and principles in our cement business. We have introduced our structured price system and energy cost surcharges, effective January 2013. We have also informed our customers of bi-annual price negotiations in April and the second half of the year, as well as new service price lists. To support this strategy, we continue training our sales force and have adjusted their compensation mechanism. In Europe, we have also been working on pricing strategies for our ready mix and aggregates businesses. In the case of ready-mix, we already are in the implementation phase in some countries. Our value-before-volume strategy is also quite advanced in the U.S., where we have initiated the implementation in our cement business. In Mexico and other regions, we will move to the implementation soon. 2012 was a year of recovery for CEMEX. Our close to 2 percentage point margin expansion during the year, which translates into an incremental EBITDA contribution of about $300 million, was a result of significant operating leverage in our U.S., South Central American and the Caribbean and Asia regions. Our U.S. operations showed annual growth in volumes for the first time since 2005. Higher volumes, plus a strong operating leverage effect, led the U.S. to be EBITDA profitable for the first time since 2009. In addition, during the year, we reported record volumes in some of our operations. We had record-high cement volumes in Colombia, Panama, Nicaragua and the Philippines, as well as record-high ready-mix volumes in Israel. Moreover, improved operating efficiencies and the success of our commercial and pricing strategies also contributed to EBITDA margin expansion. Regarding our transformation program, we achieved our targeted incremental improvement of $200 million in our steady-state EBITDA during 2012 while reaching the run rate of $400 million by the end of the year. Although we finished the implementation of the initiatives of our transformation program, our cost reduction effort is ongoing. We are pursuing additional efforts designed to improve our operating efficiencies and the value we generate from our asset base while delivering better value for our customers. We will keep you informed on these efforts. 2012 was also a landmark year on the financing side. During the year, we executed several major transactions, including the refinancing of close to $6.7 billion of debt under the financing agreement into a new facilities agreement, with a final maturity in 2017 and $500 million in new senior secured notes due 2018. The issuance of $940 million in new senior secured notes due in 2019 in exchange for perpetual debentures and 2014 eurobonds resulted in a reduction in our overall indebtedness of $131 million. The issuance of $1.5 billion in new senior secured notes, due in 2022, and the initial share offering of a 26.65% minority position in CEMEX Latam Holdings resulting in net proceeds of about $960 million. Under our 2012 financial plan, we significantly improved our debt maturity profile and strengthened our capital structure. Maher will provide more details on this topic later in the call. In addition, we are pleased with the way our credit risk has re-rated. We continue to be vigilant and prepare for windows of opportunity to reduce interest expense and the margin. We also continue with our efforts to increase the use of alternative fuels. Our substitution rate for alternatives reached 27% during 2012, surpassing coal as the second-most important fuel for us behind pet coke. Now, I would like to discuss the most important developments in our markets. In Mexico, we are pleased with the growth in operating EBITDA on a like-to-like basis and the EBITDA margin expansion for the full year 2012. This improvement reflected new operating efficiencies and was captured despite volumes that were below our expectations. During the year, we saw robust performance from the industrial and commercial sector, while cement volumes for the formal residential sector declined on a year-over-year basis. Cement volumes for the informal residential and infrastructure sectors remained flat versus 2011. Regarding the formal residential sector, homebuilders face working capital constraints, which translate into weak cement volumes going into this sector. Housing inventories held by homebuilders are still high, although we have seen reductions in the past few months. In addition, an increasing number of mortgages are used to finance existing homes and housing improvement. For this year, we estimate investment in the formal residential sector to grow by about 1.5% in real terms. We expect a gradual reduction in homebuilders inventories, although some of these inventories of homes and land may take longer to clear, as some of these home developments are in places where public services are still inadequate. The sales construction sector was weaker than expected. Year-to-date, remittances as of November 2012 are 6% higher in peso terms on a year-over-year basis despite a decline in the last 4 months. During 2013, investment in the informal residential sector is expected to have a positive performance reflecting the continued strong levels in employment and aggregate wages, and a better performance in remittances due to improvements in the U.S. economy. Investment in infrastructure during 2012 grew by about 9% in real terms, driven to a great extent by oil and energy projects, which are not intensive in cement consumption. During the first half of the year, we saw a more cautious than expected stance from the government towards infrastructure spending during the electoral period. For this year, investment in infrastructure is expected to grow by about 2% in real terms. The industrial and commercial sector was the most dynamic during 2012, driven by private consumption and manufacturing activity. We estimate this trend to continue during this year, reflecting good expected microeconomic performance. We continue with our efforts in design to increase our operating efficiencies through all of our businesses, focused primarily on synergies amongst all areas to maximize value. For example, we have been able to increase the use of alternative fuels in Mexico, reaching an 18% substitution rate in 2012 from 15% the year before. In the United States, the recovery in our markets continue to gain momentum during the fourth quarter. Cement volumes were up 9% on a year-over-year basis, driven by higher demand in the residential and industrial and commercial sectors. On a year-over-year basis, fourth quarter ready-mix and aggregate volumes increased by 10% and 20%, respectively. The strong growth in aggregate volumes in the quarter reflects our ongoing work on a large infrastructure project in Florida. The residential sector in the U.S. continued to outpace our growth expectations. In 2012, work began on 780,000 homes, a 28% jump from 2011. Housing starts gained steam throughout the year, reaching a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 954,000 in December, the highest rate since June 2008. In our key states of California, Florida, Texas and Arizona, housing permits grew 39% from 2012, significantly in excess of the national growth rate of 29%. The industrial and commercial sector contributed to growth during the year. On a year-over-year basis, nominal spending rose 14% year-to-date, November. Contract awards are up 14% for this period. The infrastructure sector displayed the slowest growth of the 3 sectors in 2012, attributable to the uncertainties surrounding the reauthorization of the highway bill earlier in the year, as well as concern regarding the fiscal cliff. Public construction spending increased by 4% through November 2012, with streets and highways up 1%. With the new highway bill in place, some resolution of the fiscal cliff, as well as the improving financial condition of the States, we expect highway spending to show more growth in 2013. In 2012, we adopted our value-before-volume pricing initiative. This strategy produced some initial gains in cement and ready-mix prices. Our cement prices to external customers increased by 3% during the year. Our ready-mix prices also were up 4% during 2012, due in large part to our success in charging fees and surcharges for fuel, environmental compliance costs, less-than-full-truckload deliveries and other value-added services. Our aggregates prices were flat due to product mix variation. In the coming years, we are determined to not only recover input cost inflation, but also to recover our margin erosion and secure a reasonable return on capital for our business. We have announced price increases for our cement of $8.80 per metric ton for both January and July. Our January increases are sticking in the Midwest, California and Florida markets, but at varying rates of success. In the South Atlantic, the prices increase has been regrettably rolled back and we now coincide with the scaled Texas price increase in April. In Texas, we successfully implemented 2 price increases in 2012, with the most recent increase introduced last October. As recovery takes hold and capacity utilization rates rise, we will seek to announce similar pricing strategies for our cement in the rest of our markets. In our ready mix business, we have announced January price increases between $6.50 and $10 per cubic meter. The increase is applied to all of our markets except Texas, where our increase is again set for April. Our increases have been sticking and we will see prices drift up in the coming months, as contracts secured at the higher prices substitute other contracts. While there has been a favorable pricing trend emerging, our products remain chronically underpriced and there is still a long way to go to recover the margins necessary to earn satisfactory returns on our invested capital. During the quarter, we experienced significant operational leverage. The leverage performance was partially offset by the high volume growth in lower-priced aggregates associated with the large infrastructure project in Florida. Optimizing our energy mix remains a key objective in the U.S. business. Our alternative energy usage for the full year 2012 was 22%, 4% higher than in the prior year. 9 of our 11 active plants can use alternative fuels. We are optimistic with regards to the U.S. recovery as we enter 2013. We expect high single-digit volume growth in cement, ready mix and aggregates in 2013. This forecast reflects a continued strong recovery in the residential sector, a vibrant industrial and commercial sector, as well as better demand from the infrastructure sector. In our Northern Europe region, the economic slowdown in 2012 affected private and public construction spending and, consequently, the volumes for our products. On a year-over-year basis, operating EBITDA margin in the region improved during the fourth quarter, reflecting our continued cost reduction initiatives, which have offset lower volumes. In Germany, Poland and the U.K., we recovered the slight temporary losses in cement market shares we lost in early 2012. In the region, we continue with our value-before-volume strategy. During 2012, we went through cement capacity shutdowns and closing of ready-mix plants to support this strategy. We continue to adapt our cement production to customer needs. In Germany, the residential sector was the main driver of demand for our products during 2012. Residential permits increased by 8% during the second and third quarter, and 10% during the month of October. The environment for residential construction continues to be positive with low mortgage rates and low unemployment. In contrast, the industrial and commercial sector has begun to slow down. Permits during the second and third quarters increased by 17% and 7%, respectively, and declined by 25% during October. This slowdown in permits will likely continue this year, reflecting the economic environment. On the infrastructure side, after seeing volatility in new orders as well as bottlenecks in the German construction industry that affected some projects during 2012, we expect to this sector to be stable this year. In Poland, we saw a sharp reduction in infrastructure spending during the second half of 2012, from a very high consumption base in 2011 and as road and sports-related infrastructure projects built in anticipation to the Euro 2012 Championship came to an end. During 2012, the decline in EU funds for capital investments in the public sector and the liquidity problems faced by some construction companies also affected infrastructure construction. Housing starts also ended at a lower level than in 2011, as almost -- as some of the growth registered during the first half of the year was artificially driven by the changes in the Developer's Act that were introduced at the end of April. For this year, the slowdown in infrastructure and housing is expected to continue, although at a more moderate rate than in 2012. In France, the infrastructure sector showed slight growth in 2012, driven by highway and high-speed railway projects. Activity was impacted by financing constraints faced by local administrations as well as deficit reduction targets. Activity in this sector should continue this year with the continuation of some projects, as well as expected spending in anticipation of municipal elections next year. The housing sector, on the other hand, declined during 2012, reflecting the decrease in the tax benefit on buy-to-let investments and tight credit availability. A new, less attractive buy-to-let scheme has been introduced for this year. Despite this, a slight decline in housing starts is expected for 2013. In the United Kingdom, the decline in our volumes during 2012 reflects the economic slowdown, as well as cuts in public spending. We do not expect a change in trend during 2013. In our Mediterranean region, positive ready-mix volumes from our operations in Israel, Croatia and Egypt partially mitigated the decline in volumes from our operations in Spain and the Emirates during 2012. In cement, we saw declines throughout the region. Regional prices in local currency terms during 2012 were higher for ready-mix and aggregates, while the 1% decline in cement was due to the decline in Egyptian prices. In the case of Spain, cement prices for the year ended up 2% higher on a year-over-year basis. In Spain, demand for our products continue to be affected by low construction activity in the different sectors. The continued fiscal austerity measures keep infrastructure spending at very low levels. Preliminary housing starts estimates for 2012 suggest the starts dropped by about 40%, a reflection of high existing home inventory levels. For 2013, the residential sector should stabilize at a very low level while investment in infrastructure should continue to decline, reflecting continued budget cuts. We continue to export from Spain to other countries in order to mitigate the decline in domestic cement volumes. During 2012, exports accounted for about 1/3 of our volumes. We continue to implement commercial initiatives to grow our pie, including the increased utilization of ready-mix for road construction, new potential market niches and introduction of new premium products, among others. In addition, and as part of our value-before-volume strategy, we have gone through cement capacity adjustments. In Egypt, the decline in our volumes and prices during the quarter reflects the increase in cement capacity in the country. Shortage of energy continues to impact the delivery of cement, partially mitigating the impact of this new capacity. The main driver of cement consumption remains the informal sector. There was increased residential activity during the quarter, as some developers moved to restart unfinished residential developments. Infrastructure activities continue to be low. For this year, we continue to expect downward pressure on our volumes, reflecting the increased cement production capacity in the country and, potentially, lower exports resulting from higher energy prices. In our South, Central America and the Caribbean region, we are pleased with the operating EBITDA expansion seen during the quarter and full year. Infrastructure, low income housing and, to a lesser extent, renewable energy projects were the main drivers of growth. In the region, 2012 was a record year in terms of cement volume and operating EBITDA generation in Colombia, Panama, Nicaragua and Brazil. In addition, Costa Rica showed double-digit growth in cement volumes during the year on a year-over-year basis. In Colombia, our cement and ready-mix volumes during 2012 grew by 5% and 14%, respectively. The higher growth in ready-mix reflects our increased coverage in the country with the addition of 32 plants and 200 new mixer trucks. During the year, the residential sector enjoyed stable interest rates, controlled inflation and favorable economic conditions. However, we saw a decline in permits resulting from the high activity seen during 2011 in anticipation of the change in the building code. For this year, we expect healthy activity in the sector, especially low-income housing, resulting from the $780 million approved by the government to extend the interest rate subsidy. In addition, housing construction is expected to grow further due to the 100,000 units of free housing for low income families announced by President Santos. This represents an investment of $2.3 billion starting this year. Infrastructure in the country should continue to be a driver for growth with a $19 billion program, which will be invested during the next 3 years. The industrial and commercial sector saw a recovery in permits during the second half of 2012, especially for industrial buildings. For this year, we expect this favorable trend to continue as a result of the recently signed trade agreement with the U.S. and the European Union. This should boost demand for this type of buildings, particularly in coastal cities in the north, like Barranquilla, Cartagena and Santa Marta. In Panama, the infrastructure sector was the main contributor to cement consumption during the year. There were many projects in addition to the ongoing canal expansion that drove this growth, including the Panama City's Metro project and the expansion of its airport, the third bridge over the canal, the Cinta Costera 3 highway, as well as different hydroelectric plants. Most of these projects will continue their construction phase this year. The industrial and commercial sector also grew during 2012, driven by the construction of office building, hotels, shopping centers and stores. The positive trend in this sector is expected to continue during this year, as demand for commercial areas continues with still relatively low available inventories. In Asia, operating EBITDA increased by 49% during the quarter, with EBITDA margin expanding more than 5 percentage points. For the full year, EBITDA grew by 20% with a margin expansion of 2.1 percentage points. The regional increases in domestic cement volumes during the quarter and full year 2012 reflect the positive performance of our operations in the Philippines and Bangladesh. Regional prices in local currency terms also increased by 2% sequentially. The Philippines enjoying record cement volumes during 2012, increasing 15% on a year-over-year basis. Prices in local currency terms show a favorable trend during the year. The increase in volumes in the country was driven by the continued recovery in infrastructure, as well as a favorable performance from the residential and industrial and commercial sectors. During 2013, we expect these sectors to continue to contribute to volume growth. The residential sector will continue to benefit from stable inflation and mortgage lending rates, as well as strong remittances. Infrastructure spending is expected to remain strong with infrastructure projects still in the pipeline and the upcoming midterm elections. To satisfy the fast-growing market in the country, our new grinding capacity in the Philippines of 1.5 million tons per year is expected to be operational during the first quarter of 2014. In summary, during 2012, we were able to offset the weakness that we are experiencing in our Northern Europe and Mediterranean regions with the favorable market dynamics and strong operating leverage evidenced in the rest of our portfolio. And now, I will turn the call over to Maher to discuss our financials. Maher?