Earnings Labs

California Water Service Group (CWT)

Q3 2015 Earnings Call· Sun, Nov 1, 2015

$46.49

+0.13%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to the California Water Service Group Third Quarter 2015 Earnings Results Teleconference. This call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the meeting over to Mr. Thomas Smegal, Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Please go ahead, sir.

Thomas Smegal

Management

Thank you, Dana. Welcome everyone to the third quarter earnings call for California Water Service Group. With me today is Martin Kropelnicki, our President and CEO. A replay of today’s proceedings will be available beginning today, October 29, 2015 through December 29, 2015 at 1-888-203-1112 or at 1-719-457-0820 with a replay pass code of 6725942. Before looking at this quarter’s results, we would like to take a few moments to cover forward-looking statements. During the course of the call, the company may make certain forward-looking statements. Because these statements deal with future events, they are subject to various risks and uncertainties, and actual results could differ materially from the company’s current expectations. Because of this, the company strongly advises all current shareholders as well as interested parties to carefully read and understand the company’s disclosures on risks and uncertainties found in our Form 10-K, 10-Q and other reports filed from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Now let’s look at our quarterly results. I am going to go through the income statement and some financial highlights and then turn it over to Marty for some other comments. For the third quarter, our net income was $25.1 million compared to net income of $33.7 million in the same period last year for a decrease of $8.6 million rather, earnings per share $0.52 on a fully diluted basis for the quarter as compared to earnings per share of $0.70 in the third quarter of ‘14. In the third quarter of ‘14, the company had received the benefit of the August Cal Water rate case decision by the CPUC. As part of that decision, the company had realized $6.8 million of net income related to interim rates that covered the period from January through June of 2014. Also in the…

Martin Kropelnicki

Management

Thanks, Tom. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us today to review the third quarter of 2015. Three areas I want to cover today. One, I want to give some comments and color on the quarter. It’s a rather confusing quarter when you look at the comparables year-over-year and then you factor in the drought and the effects of drought accounting. So I want to take you through the major items and how I kind of dissected the income statement in doing my review. Second, I want to provide a status update on the drought and our progress towards meeting the mandated water reductions that are mandated by the State of California; and then three, provide an update on the 2015 General Rate Case that we filed earlier this year, in July and give you an update on where we are in the progress of getting that well on its way. First, talking about the quarter, as I said it’s a little confusing with a lot of moving parts, including the accounting for drought surcharges, which is the penalty rate or drought tariff rate for people who are exceeding their water budgets. Essentially, with the mandated compliance order or the Governor Brown’s emergency drought declaration, any household or business that goes over their budget is going to pay two time the highest tier rate and what’s called the drought tariff or what we call drought surcharge. That surcharge is not revenue. Those surcharge costs go to offset anything in the WRAM balance. Let’s take a quick look and as noted also in the press release and as Tom said, in the year-over-year comparables and the third quarter of 2014, we received approval to our authorization for our 2012 general rate case. Included in that approval was an authorization for…

Thomas Smegal

Management

Thanks, Marty. Now, I would like to finish up with just a couple of highlights from the balance sheet. Our net utility plant grew to $1.66 billion as of September 30. Our work-in-progress balance increased to $149 million. As I mentioned earlier, capital investments were $118.3 million on a year-to-date basis. At the end of the quarter, company had $50.8 million in cash and $136.6 million outstanding on its revolving credit facilities. However, at financing activities, after the end of the quarter, subsequent event, on October 13, Cal Water, the regulated California operating subsidiary, sold $100 million in first mortgage bonds in a private placement. The proceeds are being used to pay down the operating company revolving credit facilities and for other corporate purposes. Cal Water has also agreed to sell an additional $50 million in first mortgage bonds on March 13, 2016 subject to customary closing conditions. So that’s the end of our presentation. Dana, we are now happy to take questions.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] We will go first to Jonathan Reeder with Wells Fargo.

Jonathan Reeder

Analyst

Hey, good morning Marty and Tom. First question, the unbilled revenue impacting Q3 that you guys kind of outlined, would you characterize that as fairly typical for the Q3 impact?

Thomas Smegal

Management

So, we had a lot of discussion about this last quarter. And what we saw at the end of the last quarter was a substantial dip in the unbilled revenue accounts receivable and that affected second quarter earnings. So, what we are seeing for the third quarter, the accounts receivable balance is approximately normal and that has to do both with the billings and the drought surcharge. So, the drought surcharge is adding to that accrual. And so when you compare it to the low number in the second quarter, we did see a bump upward in it. And so we do have to keep in mind as we go forward, there is going to be some difficulty in estimating or guessing, if you will, what that factor is going to be at the end of the year, at the end of the fourth quarter. Three moving parts. First moving part is we expect we will still see conservation from our customers. We may or may not see a continuation of the current level of drought surcharges. And so we are monitoring that carefully, and that could change by the end of the year. The other is that California is experiencing an El Niño, and the question really is whether it’s a wet El Niño as everyone expects or not. And if it occurs by the time the end of the year rolls around, we could see a drop in sales simply because it’s raining a lot in California in the later part of December. So, we have to watch those things very carefully. That does have the potential to have a year-end impact on us if any of those three factors changes.

Jonathan Reeder

Analyst

Okay. So, if it’s really wet, sales, I guess, fall off and then that unbilled...

Thomas Smegal

Management

That will drop.

Jonathan Reeder

Analyst

Yes, it will decrease a lot.

Thomas Smegal

Management

Yes.

Jonathan Reeder

Analyst

Okay. And then, go ahead.

Thomas Smegal

Management

It’s a little hard to predict that obviously, because we aren’t going to know anything from looking at sales in October and November. It’s really going to be the end of December which affects that calculation. Remember that calculation looks at the last say 20, 21 days of the quarter. It’s really going to be dependent upon what happens during that exact period.

Jonathan Reeder

Analyst

Right. But I guess, year-to-date, the only thing that was really unusual was the Q2 drop, which was attributable to the conservation, mandatory conservation, going into effect?

Thomas Smegal

Management

Right.

Jonathan Reeder

Analyst

At this point, okay. And then I think you said there is $0.04 of drought-related items that are going to go through the memorandum account, is that year-to-date so far?

Thomas Smegal

Management

That’s year-to-date, yes.

Martin Kropelnicki

Management

Yes, that’s right.

Jonathan Reeder

Analyst

Okay. And then the full year expectation is still for about $0.08 or?

Martin Kropelnicki

Management

Yes, I mean, we have ramped up pretty quick and we have had to add more resources, just depending on how each individual district is doing. We have moved resources around to respond to different needs based on the geographical regions. So, I think we were thinking between $0.06 and $0.08 a share and I think we will probably be on the high side of that about $0.07 to $0.08 a share would be my bet based on the current run rate.

Jonathan Reeder

Analyst

Okay. So, then I guess year-to-date EPS, we are at $0.76. Last Q4, I think you earned $0.24. And I don’t think there was any noise in there like the GRC catch-up or the tax benefit from a comparable this year, so assuming you would earn something similar, it puts you right around $1 for the full year. And then had it not been for that Q2 decrease in the unbilled revenues, which I think was about $0.13, I guess it would have put you about $1.13. Is that roughly, I guess, in line with your expectations and the right way to be thinking about 2015 EPS power or should we also add like the $0.08 of the drought expense on top of that? How should we think about that?

Thomas Smegal

Management

No, I think that’s about right in terms of the components of your analysis. Just keep in mind that the $0.13 in the second quarter, we did bite a little bit of that back here in the third quarter with an upward change in unbilled. So, a little bit of that came back, so you need to factor that in as well.

Martin Kropelnicki

Management

Yes. And I think just for everyone on the call remember that the unbilled revenue it’s simply the GAAP revenue accrual at the end of the period. And it’s not included in the WRAM. So, it’s unbilled. It’s estimated. And as that – as it becomes billed consumption in the next billing cycle, it goes through the WRAM and it’s trued up or down based on our adopted numbers.

Jonathan Reeder

Analyst

Okay. I mean, for a – I mean, is there a way to kind of characterize for a typical year like what the unbilled impact might be looking like? I mean, if I understand correctly, I mean, Q2 – well, go ahead, sorry.

Thomas Smegal

Management

Yes, sorry, Jonathan. So, in a very typical year, you would see no change from December to the next December in unbilled. When you have a rate change as we did have the rate design change at the end of ‘14, you do tend to see a little bit higher unbilled just because bills are higher, if you think about it way. But generally the bump up in unbilled during the summer goes away by the end of the year. So typically, it’s not a real component of earnings. It should – it’s just a floating item. Unfortunately, for this year, it’s been kind of floating downward due to the fact that people have lower bills because the drought is on and they are using less water.

Jonathan Reeder

Analyst

Okay. Yes, I got it. Alright, thank you guys.

Martin Kropelnicki

Management

Thanks, Jonathan.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We will go next to Spencer Joyce with Hilliard Lyons.

Spencer Joyce

Analyst

Martin and Tom good morning.

Martin Kropelnicki

Management

Hi Spencer, good morning.

Spencer Joyce

Analyst

Just want to jump back to the tax items here for a moment and I know we saw a nice benefit in Q3 ’14, it gave us a bit of a tough comp this year, but I know pretty consistently over the past few years, we have seen some benefits throughout the year that, while maybe one-time, they seem to be somewhat recurring, can you give us a sense of maybe what the Q4 tax rate might look like or maybe what you are gauging for a full year ‘15 here, it looks like may be trending towards a higher rate than perhaps we have seen over the past few years?

Thomas Smegal

Management

Spencer, I think you are correct there. Let’s talk a little bit about what’s been happening. Back in 2012, I think it was the first time we started incorporating the analysis of the repairs and maintenance deductions. And that 2012 started to look back at prior years, and there were adjustments from prior years. Those are the kind of what you would call non-recurring blips in this tax benefit. And so right now, we continue to have a repairs deduction, but it’s the current year repair deduction. So we are looking at for 2015, our tax rate being about 38%, whereas if you go back to ‘14, the tax was 34%. And so that is a factor. We are just on an ongoing basis now and maybe we have gotten over the hump of the analysis and reanalysis of what those past repairs and maintenance deductions were.

Spencer Joyce

Analyst

Okay. So the potentially 38% here in ‘15 versus before in ‘14, is that strictly due to a differing call it CapEx or repair profile this year or were there still some catch-up items in ‘14 that depressed that level?

Thomas Smegal

Management

So the ‘14 items were other items. They are pretty complicated and they were related to the rate case. It’s something called the South Georgia method of determining the difference between a regulatory item and a tax item, which I have some understanding of but our technical people have a lot better understanding of. So it was kind of the tax change as a result of the rate case, not really a repairs item. It’s a different item.

Spencer Joyce

Analyst

Okay. So this year here in 2015 seems to be a fairly clean year than not any special stuff, but perhaps a decent level of repair activity that might be normal moving forward?

Thomas Smegal

Management

Yes. One of the things, as we talk about the CapEx, a lot of that CapEx is mains. And a lot of those mains will likely qualify under the repair deduction, but that leads us to the tax rate that we have, the 38% rather than the higher statutory rate. So that’s kind of embedded in getting to that number. So again could it be 37%, 39% at the end of the year or probably not going to vary from 38% at this point.

Spencer Joyce

Analyst

Okay, perfect, that’s really helpful. Just finally then, I apologize, I had to hop on a little bit late. The $1.4 million uninsured loss that you all noted in the release, can you give us a little color on that and I assume that we could almost adjust that out of earnings, I mean it’s strictly a one-time kind of unique situation?

Thomas Smegal

Management

Yes. So the company has a self-insured retention level of about $0.5 million on claims. And so periodically, any utility company is going to have claims against it. Right now, our reserve required us to – we were required to increase our reserve by that amount based on a couple of relatively large claims in the quarter. That’s going to vary up and down. And I think if you go back and look, in the third quarter of ‘14 it was at a very low level. So I don’t want you to adjust it out entirely because I think that there is a normal course there. But what happened was just the difference between the third quarter of ‘14 and third quarter of ‘15 resulted in that big difference. We are always having those things. You hope that you don’t have as many. We have a couple this quarter that we had to reserve for.

Martin Kropelnicki

Management

Yes. And things will happen in the ordinary course of business. Say we have 600 vehicles in our fleet, so there is – as much as we try to avoid accidents, there is always something that happens. There is always a main break that happens. And that self-insured retention, Tom has to look at that on a monthly and quarterly basis and true that up or down based on the new claims that are coming here.

Spencer Joyce

Analyst

Yes, absolutely. Thanks for the color there. And I assume, even now we may be in a period of higher activity, if you will with some of the drought stuff. So that’s very helpful. Alright.

Martin Kropelnicki

Management

Okay, thanks.

Spencer Joyce

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And it appears we have no further questions on the phone at this time.

Thomas Smegal

Management

Okay. Dana, thank you. And I want to thank all of you for your continued interest in California Water Service Group. We look forward to talking with you again with our year end results. Thanks very much.

Martin Kropelnicki

Management

Thanks everyone. Bye-bye.

Operator

Operator

Again, that does conclude today’s presentation. We thank you for your participation. Thank you for calling.